SBET @ $8.86

DEEP DRAWDOWN

Covered-call income plan ⌂ Portfolio

AccountU10001299

Shares3,000

Avg cost$22.50

Drawdown-60.6%

IV regimeHIGH

Writable30

Deep drawdown. Earn income while the position recovers without capping the rebound. The safest rung that still clears the income floor is recommended; Ultra Safe goes deeper OTM for the lowest called-away odds when you want maximum room above your $22.50 basis.

Income playbook

ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾

Strike $10 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $37,260 (premium included).

Called-away odds14%

SaferRiskier

SELL 30 × $10 CALL

18 Sep 2026 · 6 DTE · bid $0.08 / mid $0.09 · $240 this cycle

12.9%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

86%

Income / mo

$1,200

Annualized

55%

EV / cycle

+$144

If assigned

-$37,260

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.39/share ($1,160 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 4 at spot $10.25.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$10.00	13d	+$0.07	$-0.01 to $0.13	66%	53%
Ss Escape	$11.14	34d	+$0.10	$-0.03 to $0.15	78%	72%
Safety Up	$11.64	41d	-$0.05	$-0.21 to $-0.00	80%	77%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾

Strike $11 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $34,350 (premium included).

Called-away odds11%

SaferRiskier

SELL 30 × $11 CALL

25 Sep 2026 · 13 DTE · bid $0.05 / mid $0.11 · $150 this cycle

24.2%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

89%

Income / mo

$346

Annualized

16%

EV / cycle

+$34

If assigned

-$34,350

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.56/share ($1,665 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 9 at spot $11.28.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$11.00	20d	+$0.02	$-0.01 to $0.13	67%	53%
Ss Escape	$11.64	41d	+$0.13	$0.06 to $0.25	74%	65%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

NormalBalanced risk and income▾

Strike $10 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $38,550 (premium included).

Called-away odds25%

SaferRiskier

SELL 30 × $10 CALL

18 Sep 2026 · 6 DTE · bid $0.15 / mid $0.17 · $450 this cycle

7.2%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

75%

Income / mo

$2,250

Annualized

103%

EV / cycle

+$187

If assigned

-$38,550

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.37/share ($1,102 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 3 at spot $9.74.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$9.50	13d	+$0.08	$-0.03 to $0.08	66%	53%
Up And Out	$9.64	13d	+$0.01	$-0.12 to $0.00	68%	57%
Ss Escape	$10.64	34d	+$0.10	$-0.06 to $0.09	79%	73%
Safety Up	$11.64	34d	-$0.09	$-0.29 to $-0.11	86%	83%
Reliable Up	$10.14	41d	+$0.32	$0.18 to $0.32	74%	65%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾

Strike $12 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $30,900 (premium included).

Called-away odds14%

SaferRiskier

SELL 30 × $12 CALL

16 Oct 2026 · 34 DTE · bid $0.20 / mid $0.22 · $600 this cycle

35.4%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

86%

Income / mo

$529

Annualized

24%

EV / cycle

+$336

If assigned

-$30,900

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.93/share ($2,791 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 22 at spot $12.30.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$12.00	41d	-$0.16	$-0.20 to $-0.03	68%	53%
Ss Escape	$11.14	41d	+$0.16	$0.14 to $0.39	58%	35%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾

Strike $12 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $30,900 (premium included).

Called-away odds14%

SaferRiskier

SELL 30 × $12 CALL

16 Oct 2026 · 34 DTE · bid $0.20 / mid $0.22 · $600 this cycle

35.4%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

86%

Income / mo

$529

Annualized

24%

EV / cycle

+$336

If assigned

-$30,900

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.93/share ($2,791 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 22 at spot $12.30.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$12.00	41d	-$0.16	$-0.20 to $-0.03	68%	53%
Ss Escape	$11.14	41d	+$0.16	$0.14 to $0.39	58%	35%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

NormalBalanced risk and income▾

Strike $10 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $36,060 (premium included).

Called-away odds31%

SaferRiskier

SELL 30 × $10 CALL

16 Oct 2026 · 34 DTE · bid $0.48 / mid $0.52 · $1,440 this cycle

12.9%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

69%

Income / mo

$1,271

Annualized

58%

EV / cycle

+$502

If assigned

-$36,060

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.78/share ($2,326 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 13 at spot $10.24.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$10.00	41d	-$0.04	$-0.14 to $-0.05	68%	54%
Ss Escape	$9.64	41d	+$0.10	$0.00 to $0.11	64%	46%
Safety Up	$10.64	41d	-$0.27	$-0.39 to $-0.30	75%	66%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

stock_fight.py · generated 2026-09-12 03:50 · read-only, advisory. Places no orders.