SBET @ $9.03

DEEP DRAWDOWN

Covered-call income plan ⌂ Portfolio

AccountU10001299

Shares3,000

Avg cost$22.50

Drawdown-59.9%

IV regimeHIGH

Writable30

Deep drawdown. Earn income while the position recovers without capping the rebound. The safest rung that still clears the income floor is recommended; Ultra Safe goes deeper OTM for the lowest called-away odds when you want maximum room above your $22.50 basis.

Income playbook

ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾

Strike $10 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $35,670 (premium included).

Called-away odds18%

SaferRiskier

SELL 30 × $10 CALL

25 Sep 2026 · 11 DTE · bid $0.11 / mid $0.17 · $330 this cycle

16.3%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

82%

Income / mo

$900

Annualized

40%

EV / cycle

+$86

If assigned

-$35,670

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.47/share ($1,419 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 7 at spot $10.77.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$10.50	18d	+$0.04	$-0.01 to $0.11	66%	53%
Ss Escape	$11.47	32d	+$0.03	$-0.06 to $0.08	77%	70%
Reliable Up	$11.47	39d	+$0.10	$-0.00 to $0.16	76%	69%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾

Strike $12 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $31,320 (premium included).

Called-away odds6%

SaferRiskier

SELL 30 × $12 CALL

2 Oct 2026 · 18 DTE · bid $0.06 / mid $0.10 · $180 this cycle

32.9%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

94%

Income / mo

$300

Annualized

13%

EV / cycle

+$130

If assigned

-$31,320

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.66/share ($1,990 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 13 at spot $12.30.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$12.00	25d	-$0.06	$-0.09 to $0.08	66%	53%
Ss Escape	$11.97	32d	+$0.12	$0.09 to $0.28	67%	53%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

NormalBalanced risk and income▾

Strike $10 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $36,900 (premium included).

Called-away odds26%

SaferRiskier

SELL 30 × $10 CALL

25 Sep 2026 · 11 DTE · bid $0.20 / mid $0.24 · $600 this cycle

10.7%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

74%

Income / mo

$1,636

Annualized

73%

EV / cycle

+$155

If assigned

-$36,900

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.45/share ($1,352 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 6 at spot $10.26.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$10.00	18d	+$0.06	$-0.02 to $0.07	66%	53%
Ss Escape	$10.97	32d	+$0.04	$-0.08 to $0.04	77%	71%
Safety Up	$11.97	32d	-$0.20	$-0.36 to $-0.22	85%	83%
Reliable Up	$10.97	39d	+$0.10	$-0.02 to $0.10	76%	69%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾

Strike $12 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $30,930 (premium included).

Called-away odds13%

SaferRiskier

SELL 30 × $12 CALL

16 Oct 2026 · 32 DTE · bid $0.19 / mid $0.24 · $570 this cycle

32.9%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

87%

Income / mo

$534

Annualized

24%

EV / cycle

+$359

If assigned

-$30,930

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.88/share ($2,641 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 20 at spot $12.29.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$12.00	39d	-$0.20	$-0.28 to $-0.08	66%	54%
Ss Escape	$11.47	39d	+$0.03	$-0.02 to $0.18	60%	43%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾

Strike $12 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $29,640 (premium included).

Called-away odds12%

SaferRiskier

SELL 30 × $12 CALL

23 Oct 2026 · 39 DTE · bid $0.12 / mid $0.22 · $360 this cycle

38.4%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

88%

Income / mo

$277

Annualized

12%

EV / cycle

+$149

If assigned

-$29,640

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

No pre-priced escape map: the near-term chain is too sparse to anchor an honest buyback.

NormalBalanced risk and income▾

Strike $10 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $35,910 (premium included).

Called-away odds34%

SaferRiskier

SELL 30 × $10 CALL

16 Oct 2026 · 32 DTE · bid $0.53 / mid $0.55 · $1,590 this cycle

10.7%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

66%

Income / mo

$1,491

Annualized

67%

EV / cycle

+$498

If assigned

-$35,910

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.73/share ($2,201 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 10 at spot $10.26.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$10.00	39d	-$0.10	$-0.23 to $-0.14	66%	54%
Ss Escape	$9.47	39d	+$0.13	$0.02 to $0.10	60%	43%
Safety Up	$11.97	39d	-$0.53	$-0.74 to $-0.61	86%	84%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

stock_fight.py · generated 2026-09-14 21:53 · read-only, advisory. Places no orders.