SBET @ $9.12

DEEP DRAWDOWN

Covered-call income plan ⌂ Portfolio

AccountU10001299

Shares3,000

Avg cost$22.50

Drawdown-59.5%

IV regimeHIGH

Writable30

Deep drawdown. Earn income while the position recovers without capping the rebound. The safest rung that still clears the income floor is recommended; Ultra Safe goes deeper OTM for the lowest called-away odds when you want maximum room above your $22.50 basis.

Income playbook

ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾

Strike $10 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $35,640 (premium included).

Called-away odds18%

SaferRiskier

SELL 30 × $10 CALL

25 Sep 2026 · 10 DTE · bid $0.12 / mid $0.16 · $360 this cycle

15.1%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

82%

Income / mo

$1,080

Annualized

48%

EV / cycle

+$119

If assigned

-$35,640

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.59/share ($1,779 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 6 at spot $10.79.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$10.50	17d	-$0.05	$-0.17 to $0.01	67%	53%
Ss Escape	$10.88	38d	+$0.14	$-0.02 to $0.21	71%	61%
Safety Up	$11.38	31d	-$0.04	$-0.21 to $0.01	76%	69%
Reliable Up	$10.88	45d	+$0.24	$0.08 to $0.32	71%	61%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾

Strike $12 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $31,200 (premium included).

Called-away odds10%

SaferRiskier

SELL 30 × $12 CALL

2 Oct 2026 · 17 DTE · bid $0.10 / mid $0.12 · $300 this cycle

31.6%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

90%

Income / mo

$529

Annualized

24%

EV / cycle

+$184

If assigned

-$31,200

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.71/share ($2,128 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 12 at spot $12.30.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$12.00	24d	-$0.12	$-0.17 to $0.04	66%	53%
Ss Escape	$12.38	38d	+$0.01	$-0.05 to $0.20	71%	60%
Reliable Up	$12.38	45d	+$0.12	$0.06 to $0.32	71%	60%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

NormalBalanced risk and income▾

Strike $10 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $36,750 (premium included).

Called-away odds27%

SaferRiskier

SELL 30 × $10 CALL

25 Sep 2026 · 10 DTE · bid $0.25 / mid $0.30 · $750 this cycle

9.6%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

73%

Income / mo

$2,250

Annualized

100%

EV / cycle

+$300

If assigned

-$36,750

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.56/share ($1,694 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 5 at spot $10.26.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$10.00	17d	-$0.03	$-0.18 to $-0.03	67%	53%
Ss Escape	$10.38	38d	+$0.15	$-0.03 to $0.15	72%	61%
Safety Up	$11.88	31d	-$0.23	$-0.47 to $-0.26	84%	81%
Reliable Up	$10.38	45d	+$0.25	$0.07 to $0.25	71%	61%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾

Strike $12 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $29,190 (premium included).

Called-away odds16%

SaferRiskier

SELL 30 × $12 CALL

30 Oct 2026 · 45 DTE · bid $0.27 / mid $0.42 · $810 this cycle

37.1%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

84%

Income / mo

$540

Annualized

24%

EV / cycle

+$388

If assigned

-$29,190

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

No pre-priced escape map: the near-term chain is too sparse to anchor an honest buyback.

Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾

Strike $12 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $29,520 (premium included).

Called-away odds15%

SaferRiskier

SELL 30 × $12 CALL

23 Oct 2026 · 38 DTE · bid $0.16 / mid $0.33 · $480 this cycle

37.1%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

85%

Income / mo

$379

Annualized

17%

EV / cycle

+$150

If assigned

-$29,520

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $1.06/share ($3,187 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 24 at spot $12.79.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$12.50	45d	-$0.37	$-0.48 to $-0.19	65%	54%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

NormalBalanced risk and income▾

Strike $10 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $35,760 (premium included).

Called-away odds36%

SaferRiskier

SELL 30 × $10 CALL

16 Oct 2026 · 31 DTE · bid $0.58 / mid $0.60 · $1,740 this cycle

9.6%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

64%

Income / mo

$1,684

Annualized

75%

EV / cycle

+$542

If assigned

-$35,760

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.77/share ($2,322 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 10 at spot $10.25.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$10.00	38d	-$0.12	$-0.26 to $-0.17	67%	54%
Ss Escape	$9.38	38d	+$0.12	$-0.03 to $0.09	59%	40%
Safety Up	$11.88	38d	-$0.53	$-0.74 to $-0.61	86%	83%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

stock_fight.py · generated 2026-09-15 03:50 · read-only, advisory. Places no orders.