SBET @ $8.57

DEEP DRAWDOWN

Covered-call income plan ⌂ Portfolio

AccountU10001299

Shares3,000

Avg cost$22.50

Drawdown-61.9%

IV regimeHIGH

Writable30

Deep drawdown. Earn income while the position recovers without capping the rebound. The safest rung that still clears the income floor is recommended; Ultra Safe goes deeper OTM for the lowest called-away odds when you want maximum room above your $22.50 basis.

Income playbook

ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾

Strike $10 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $37,200 (premium included).

Called-away odds16%

SaferRiskier

SELL 30 × $10 CALL

25 Sep 2026 · 10 DTE · bid $0.10 / mid $0.21 · $300 this cycle

16.7%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

84%

Income / mo

$900

Annualized

43%

EV / cycle

+$114

If assigned

-$37,200

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.64/share ($1,925 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 6 at spot $10.26.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$10.00	17d	-$0.11	$-0.23 to $-0.03	67%	53%
Ss Escape	$10.43	38d	+$0.07	$-0.09 to $0.16	72%	62%
Reliable Up	$10.43	45d	+$0.16	$0.00 to $0.25	72%	61%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾

Strike $11 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $34,350 (premium included).

Called-away odds7%

SaferRiskier

SELL 30 × $11 CALL

25 Sep 2026 · 10 DTE · bid $0.05 / mid $0.08 · $150 this cycle

28.4%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

93%

Income / mo

$450

Annualized

21%

EV / cycle

+$102

If assigned

-$34,350

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.71/share ($2,117 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 7 at spot $11.29.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$11.00	17d	-$0.16	$-0.22 to $-0.00	67%	53%
Ss Escape	$11.43	38d	+$0.03	$-0.07 to $0.20	72%	61%
Reliable Up	$11.43	45d	+$0.13	$0.03 to $0.30	71%	61%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

NormalBalanced risk and income▾

Strike $9 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $39,690 (premium included).

Called-away odds37%

SaferRiskier

SELL 30 × $9 CALL

25 Sep 2026 · 10 DTE · bid $0.27 / mid $0.34 · $810 this cycle

5.0%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

63%

Income / mo

$2,430

Annualized

115%

EV / cycle

+$100

If assigned

-$39,690

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.58/share ($1,732 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 3 at spot $9.25.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$9.00	17d	-$0.07	$-0.27 to $-0.14	68%	53%
Ss Escape	$9.43	38d	+$0.09	$-0.17 to $-0.00	72%	62%
Safety Up	$10.93	38d	-$0.26	$-0.59 to $-0.39	84%	81%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾

Strike $11 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $33,810 (premium included).

Called-away odds17%

SaferRiskier

SELL 30 × $11 CALL

16 Oct 2026 · 31 DTE · bid $0.23 / mid $0.27 · $690 this cycle

28.4%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

83%

Income / mo

$668

Annualized

32%

EV / cycle

+$337

If assigned

-$33,810

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.85/share ($2,560 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 18 at spot $11.28.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$11.00	38d	-$0.17	$-0.26 to $-0.08	67%	53%
Ss Escape	$10.43	38d	+$0.11	$0.04 to $0.24	61%	41%
Safety Up	$11.43	45d	-$0.16	$-0.27 to $-0.08	71%	61%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾

Strike $12 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $29,580 (premium included).

Called-away odds10%

SaferRiskier

SELL 30 × $12 CALL

23 Oct 2026 · 38 DTE · bid $0.14 / mid $0.22 · $420 this cycle

45.9%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

90%

Income / mo

$332

Annualized

16%

EV / cycle

+$240

If assigned

-$29,580

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $1.11/share ($3,323 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 26 at spot $12.83.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$12.50	45d	-$0.34	$-0.41 to $-0.12	66%	54%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

NormalBalanced risk and income▾

Strike $10 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $36,300 (premium included).

Called-away odds27%

SaferRiskier

SELL 30 × $10 CALL

16 Oct 2026 · 31 DTE · bid $0.40 / mid $0.43 · $1,200 this cycle

16.7%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

73%

Income / mo

$1,161

Annualized

55%

EV / cycle

+$481

If assigned

-$36,300

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.78/share ($2,328 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 14 at spot $10.26.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$10.00	38d	-$0.11	$-0.23 to $-0.11	67%	54%
Ss Escape	$9.93	45d	+$0.00	$-0.13 to $0.01	66%	53%
Safety Up	$10.43	38d	-$0.22	$-0.34 to $-0.24	72%	62%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

stock_fight.py · generated 2026-09-15 21:53 · read-only, advisory. Places no orders.