SBET @ $8.31

DEEP DRAWDOWN

Covered-call income plan ⌂ Portfolio

AccountU10001299

Shares3,000

Avg cost$22.50

Drawdown-63.1%

IV regimeHIGH

Writable30

Deep drawdown. Earn income while the position recovers without capping the rebound. The safest rung that still clears the income floor is recommended; Ultra Safe goes deeper OTM for the lowest called-away odds when you want maximum room above your $22.50 basis.

Income playbook

ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾

Strike $11 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $33,900 (premium included).

Called-away odds15%

SaferRiskier

SELL 30 × $11 CALL

16 Oct 2026 · 30 DTE · bid $0.20 / mid $0.24 · $600 this cycle

32.4%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

85%

Income / mo

$600

Annualized

29%

EV / cycle

+$337

If assigned

-$33,900

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.82/share ($2,448 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 19 at spot $11.28.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$11.00	37d	-$0.16	$-0.22 to $-0.06	67%	53%
Ss Escape	$10.19	37d	+$0.25	$0.22 to $0.42	59%	35%
Safety Up	$11.19	44d	-$0.12	$-0.20 to $-0.02	69%	57%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾

Strike $11 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $34,290 (premium included).

Called-away odds12%

SaferRiskier

SELL 30 × $11 CALL

9 Oct 2026 · 23 DTE · bid $0.07 / mid $0.21 · $210 this cycle

32.4%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

88%

Income / mo

$274

Annualized

13%

EV / cycle

+$43

If assigned

-$34,290

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.77/share ($2,308 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 15 at spot $11.26.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$11.00	30d	-$0.15	$-0.21 to $-0.03	67%	53%
Ss Escape	$10.69	37d	+$0.04	$-0.02 to $0.20	63%	47%
Safety Up	$11.19	44d	-$0.03	$-0.10 to $0.12	69%	57%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

NormalBalanced risk and income▾

Strike $9 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $40,050 (premium included).

Called-away odds29%

SaferRiskier

SELL 30 × $9 CALL

25 Sep 2026 · 9 DTE · bid $0.15 / mid $0.25 · $450 this cycle

8.3%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

71%

Income / mo

$1,500

Annualized

73%

EV / cycle

+$33

If assigned

-$40,050

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.55/share ($1,664 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 4 at spot $9.25.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$9.00	16d	-$0.13	$-0.33 to $-0.15	66%	53%
Ss Escape	$9.69	44d	+$0.09	$-0.15 to $0.06	75%	66%
Safety Up	$10.19	44d	-$0.10	$-0.37 to $-0.14	78%	73%
Reliable Up	$9.19	44d	+$0.21	$-0.01 to $0.19	70%	58%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾

Strike $11 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $33,900 (premium included).

Called-away odds15%

SaferRiskier

SELL 30 × $11 CALL

16 Oct 2026 · 30 DTE · bid $0.20 / mid $0.24 · $600 this cycle

32.4%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

85%

Income / mo

$600

Annualized

29%

EV / cycle

+$337

If assigned

-$33,900

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.82/share ($2,448 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 19 at spot $11.28.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$11.00	37d	-$0.16	$-0.22 to $-0.06	67%	53%
Ss Escape	$10.19	37d	+$0.25	$0.22 to $0.42	59%	35%
Safety Up	$11.19	44d	-$0.12	$-0.20 to $-0.02	69%	57%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾

Strike $12 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $30,990 (premium included).

Called-away odds13%

SaferRiskier

SELL 30 × $12 CALL

30 Oct 2026 · 44 DTE · bid $0.17 / mid $0.24 · $510 this cycle

44.4%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

87%

Income / mo

$348

Annualized

17%

EV / cycle

+$244

If assigned

-$30,990

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

No pre-priced escape map: the near-term chain is too sparse to anchor an honest buyback.

NormalBalanced risk and income▾

Strike $9 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $39,210 (premium included).

Called-away odds37%

SaferRiskier

SELL 30 × $9 CALL

16 Oct 2026 · 30 DTE · bid $0.43 / mid $0.53 · $1,290 this cycle

8.3%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

63%

Income / mo

$1,290

Annualized

63%

EV / cycle

+$164

If assigned

-$39,210

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.67/share ($2,003 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 9 at spot $9.23.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$9.00	37d	-$0.05	$-0.17 to $-0.10	67%	54%
Ss Escape	$8.69	37d	+$0.05	$-0.06 to $0.01	63%	46%
Safety Up	$10.69	44d	-$0.43	$-0.65 to $-0.53	83%	81%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

stock_fight.py · generated 2026-09-16 03:50 · read-only, advisory. Places no orders.