SBET @ $8.21

DEEP DRAWDOWN

Covered-call income plan ⌂ Portfolio

AccountU10001299

Shares3,000

Avg cost$22.50

Drawdown-63.5%

IV regimeHIGH

Writable30

Deep drawdown. Earn income while the position recovers without capping the rebound. The safest rung that still clears the income floor is recommended; Ultra Safe goes deeper OTM for the lowest called-away odds when you want maximum room above your $22.50 basis.

Income playbook

ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾

Strike $10 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $38,820 (premium included).

Called-away odds17%

SaferRiskier

SELL 30 × $10 CALL

25 Sep 2026 · 9 DTE · bid $0.06 / mid $0.19 · $180 this cycle

15.7%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

83%

Income / mo

$600

Annualized

30%

EV / cycle

-$2

If assigned

-$38,820

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.57/share ($1,709 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 6 at spot $9.76.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$9.50	16d	-$0.15	$-0.30 to $-0.10	65%	53%
Ss Escape	$9.79	37d	+$0.12	$-0.04 to $0.18	71%	60%
Safety Up	$10.29	37d	-$0.03	$-0.22 to $0.01	75%	68%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾

Strike $12 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $31,140 (premium included).

Called-away odds7%

SaferRiskier

SELL 30 × $12 CALL

23 Oct 2026 · 37 DTE · bid $0.12 / mid $0.20 · $360 this cycle

46.2%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

93%

Income / mo

$292

Annualized

14%

EV / cycle

+$277

If assigned

-$31,140

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $1.06/share ($3,169 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 26 at spot $12.31.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$12.00	44d	-$0.45	$-0.53 to $-0.21	65%	53%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

NormalBalanced risk and income▾

Strike $9 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $39,450 (premium included).

Called-away odds33%

SaferRiskier

SELL 30 × $9 CALL

9 Oct 2026 · 23 DTE · bid $0.35 / mid $0.47 · $1,050 this cycle

9.6%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

67%

Income / mo

$1,370

Annualized

68%

EV / cycle

+$259

If assigned

-$39,450

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.57/share ($1,712 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 9 at spot $9.23.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$9.00	30d	+$0.05	$-0.03 to $0.03	68%	53%
Ss Escape	$9.29	37d	+$0.01	$-0.10 to $-0.01	71%	60%
Safety Up	$10.79	37d	-$0.33	$-0.51 to $-0.38	85%	82%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾

Strike $10 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $35,280 (premium included).

Called-away odds19%

SaferRiskier

SELL 30 × $10 CALL

23 Oct 2026 · 37 DTE · bid $0.24 / mid $0.32 · $720 this cycle

27.9%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

81%

Income / mo

$584

Annualized

29%

EV / cycle

+$291

If assigned

-$35,280

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.92/share ($2,773 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 21 at spot $10.75.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$10.50	44d	-$0.33	$-0.47 to $-0.25	65%	54%
Ss Escape	$9.79	44d	+$0.02	$-0.10 to $0.15	58%	39%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾

Strike $12 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $31,140 (premium included).

Called-away odds7%

SaferRiskier

SELL 30 × $12 CALL

23 Oct 2026 · 37 DTE · bid $0.12 / mid $0.20 · $360 this cycle

46.2%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

93%

Income / mo

$292

Annualized

14%

EV / cycle

+$277

If assigned

-$31,140

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $1.06/share ($3,169 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 26 at spot $12.31.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$12.00	44d	-$0.45	$-0.53 to $-0.21	65%	53%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

NormalBalanced risk and income▾

Strike $9 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $39,150 (premium included).

Called-away odds35%

SaferRiskier

SELL 30 × $9 CALL

16 Oct 2026 · 30 DTE · bid $0.45 / mid $0.52 · $1,350 this cycle

9.6%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

65%

Income / mo

$1,350

Annualized

67%

EV / cycle

+$331

If assigned

-$39,150

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.65/share ($1,936 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 10 at spot $9.22.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$9.00	37d	-$0.04	$-0.14 to $-0.07	67%	54%
Ss Escape	$8.79	37d	+$0.02	$-0.09 to $-0.01	64%	49%
Safety Up	$10.79	37d	-$0.45	$-0.62 to $-0.52	86%	84%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

stock_fight.py · generated 2026-09-16 21:52 · read-only, advisory. Places no orders.