SBET @ $8.01

DEEP DRAWDOWN

Covered-call income plan ⌂ Portfolio

AccountU10001299

Shares3,000

Avg cost$22.50

Drawdown-64.4%

IV regimeHIGH

Writable30

Deep drawdown. Earn income while the position recovers without capping the rebound. The safest rung that still clears the income floor is recommended; Ultra Safe goes deeper OTM for the lowest called-away odds when you want maximum room above your $22.50 basis.

Income playbook

ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾

Strike $9 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $40,320 (premium included).

Called-away odds19%

SaferRiskier

SELL 30 × $9 CALL

25 Sep 2026 · 8 DTE · bid $0.06 / mid $0.10 · $180 this cycle

12.4%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

81%

Income / mo

$675

Annualized

34%

EV / cycle

-$13

If assigned

-$40,320

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.49/share ($1,461 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 5 at spot $9.23.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$9.00	15d	-$0.07	$-0.21 to $-0.03	66%	53%
Ss Escape	$9.49	36d	+$0.07	$-0.11 to $0.11	73%	64%
Safety Up	$9.99	43d	-$0.02	$-0.22 to $0.02	76%	70%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾

Strike $11 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $34,380 (premium included).

Called-away odds5%

SaferRiskier

SELL 30 × $11 CALL

2 Oct 2026 · 15 DTE · bid $0.04 / mid $0.05 · $120 this cycle

37.3%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

95%

Income / mo

$240

Annualized

12%

EV / cycle

+$91

If assigned

-$34,380

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.65/share ($1,936 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 12 at spot $11.21.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$11.00	22d	-$0.27	$-0.27 to $-0.02	63%	53%
Ss Escape	$10.99	36d	+$0.09	$0.13 to $0.38	67%	53%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

NormalBalanced risk and income▾

Strike $8 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $41,490 (premium included).

Called-away odds32%

SaferRiskier

SELL 30 × $8 CALL

25 Sep 2026 · 8 DTE · bid $0.17 / mid $0.23 · $510 this cycle

6.1%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

68%

Income / mo

$1,913

Annualized

97%

EV / cycle

+$62

If assigned

-$41,490

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.46/share ($1,380 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 3 at spot $8.72.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$8.50	15d	-$0.05	$-0.22 to $-0.09	66%	53%
Ss Escape	$8.99	36d	+$0.08	$-0.13 to $0.02	73%	64%
Safety Up	$9.99	43d	-$0.11	$-0.36 to $-0.18	81%	78%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾

Strike $10 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $35,520 (premium included).

Called-away odds16%

SaferRiskier

SELL 30 × $10 CALL

23 Oct 2026 · 36 DTE · bid $0.16 / mid $0.31 · $480 this cycle

31.1%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

84%

Income / mo

$400

Annualized

20%

EV / cycle

+$156

If assigned

-$35,520

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.89/share ($2,658 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 21 at spot $10.76.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$10.50	43d	-$0.23	$-0.33 to $-0.14	67%	54%
Ss Escape	$9.99	43d	+$0.03	$-0.05 to $0.16	62%	43%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾

Strike $12 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $31,140 (premium included).

Called-away odds7%

SaferRiskier

SELL 30 × $12 CALL

30 Oct 2026 · 43 DTE · bid $0.12 / mid $0.25 · $360 this cycle

49.8%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

93%

Income / mo

$251

Annualized

13%

EV / cycle

+$273

If assigned

-$31,140

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

No pre-priced escape map: the near-term chain is too sparse to anchor an honest buyback.

NormalBalanced risk and income▾

Strike $9 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $39,090 (premium included).

Called-away odds34%

SaferRiskier

SELL 30 × $9 CALL

30 Oct 2026 · 43 DTE · bid $0.47 / mid $0.62 · $1,410 this cycle

12.4%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

66%

Income / mo

$984

Annualized

50%

EV / cycle

+$271

If assigned

-$39,090

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

No pre-priced escape map: the near-term chain is too sparse to anchor an honest buyback.

stock_fight.py · generated 2026-09-17 03:51 · read-only, advisory. Places no orders.