SBET @ $8.15

DEEP DRAWDOWN

Covered-call income plan ⌂ Portfolio

AccountU10001299

Shares3,000

Avg cost$22.50

Drawdown-63.8%

IV regimeHIGH

Writable30

Deep drawdown. Earn income while the position recovers without capping the rebound. The safest rung that still clears the income floor is recommended; Ultra Safe goes deeper OTM for the lowest called-away odds when you want maximum room above your $22.50 basis.

Income playbook

ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾

Strike $10 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $36,780 (premium included).

Called-away odds18%

SaferRiskier

SELL 30 × $10 CALL

16 Oct 2026 · 29 DTE · bid $0.24 / mid $0.27 · $720 this cycle

22.7%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

82%

Income / mo

$745

Annualized

37%

EV / cycle

+$403

If assigned

-$36,780

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.68/share ($2,044 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 15 at spot $10.25.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$10.00	36d	-$0.06	$-0.13 to $-0.02	67%	53%
Ss Escape	$9.85	36d	+$0.06	$0.00 to $0.10	66%	50%
Safety Up	$10.35	43d	-$0.05	$-0.14 to $-0.02	72%	61%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾

Strike $12 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $31,260 (premium included).

Called-away odds4%

SaferRiskier

SELL 30 × $12 CALL

16 Oct 2026 · 29 DTE · bid $0.08 / mid $0.14 · $240 this cycle

47.2%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

96%

Income / mo

$248

Annualized

12%

EV / cycle

+$209

If assigned

-$31,260

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.82/share ($2,453 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 22 at spot $12.26.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$12.00	36d	-$0.17	$-0.15 to $0.02	66%	53%
Ss Escape	$11.85	43d	+$0.05	$0.08 to $0.27	66%	50%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

NormalBalanced risk and income▾

Strike $8 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $41,250 (premium included).

Called-away odds37%

SaferRiskier

SELL 30 × $8 CALL

25 Sep 2026 · 8 DTE · bid $0.25 / mid $0.27 · $750 this cycle

4.3%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

63%

Income / mo

$2,812

Annualized

140%

EV / cycle

+$172

If assigned

-$41,250

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.47/share ($1,396 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 3 at spot $8.72.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$8.50	15d	-$0.06	$-0.25 to $-0.12	66%	53%
Ss Escape	$9.35	36d	+$0.00	$-0.23 to $-0.08	77%	70%
Safety Up	$10.35	36d	-$0.21	$-0.49 to $-0.31	86%	83%
Reliable Up	$8.85	43d	+$0.24	$0.03 to $0.17	72%	61%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾

Strike $10 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $35,370 (premium included).

Called-away odds18%

SaferRiskier

SELL 30 × $10 CALL

23 Oct 2026 · 36 DTE · bid $0.21 / mid $0.29 · $630 this cycle

28.8%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

82%

Income / mo

$525

Annualized

26%

EV / cycle

+$265

If assigned

-$35,370

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.87/share ($2,598 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 21 at spot $10.74.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$10.50	43d	-$0.13	$-0.21 to $-0.05	68%	54%
Ss Escape	$9.85	43d	+$0.01	$-0.08 to $0.13	58%	40%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾

Strike $12 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $32,670 (premium included).

Called-away odds11%

SaferRiskier

SELL 30 × $12 CALL

23 Oct 2026 · 36 DTE · bid $0.11 / mid $0.19 · $330 this cycle

41.1%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

89%

Income / mo

$275

Annualized

14%

EV / cycle

+$147

If assigned

-$32,670

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.95/share ($2,845 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 24 at spot $11.79.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$11.50	43d	-$0.20	$-0.24 to $-0.04	68%	53%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

NormalBalanced risk and income▾

Strike $9 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $39,000 (premium included).

Called-away odds35%

SaferRiskier

SELL 30 × $9 CALL

23 Oct 2026 · 36 DTE · bid $0.50 / mid $0.57 · $1,500 this cycle

10.4%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

65%

Income / mo

$1,250

Annualized

62%

EV / cycle

+$463

If assigned

-$39,000

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.74/share ($2,227 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 12 at spot $9.22.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$9.00	43d	-$0.05	$-0.15 to $-0.08	68%	54%
Ss Escape	$8.85	43d	+$0.02	$-0.08 to $-0.01	67%	51%
Safety Up	$9.85	43d	-$0.48	$-0.71 to $-0.57	74%	70%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

stock_fight.py · generated 2026-09-17 21:52 · read-only, advisory. Places no orders.