SBET @ $8.22

DEEP DRAWDOWN

Covered-call income plan ⌂ Portfolio

AccountU10001299

Shares3,000

Avg cost$22.50

Drawdown-63.5%

IV regimeHIGH

Writable30

Deep drawdown. Earn income while the position recovers without capping the rebound. The safest rung that still clears the income floor is recommended; Ultra Safe goes deeper OTM for the lowest called-away odds when you want maximum room above your $22.50 basis.

Income playbook

ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾

Strike $10 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $38,850 (premium included).

Called-away odds12%

SaferRiskier

SELL 30 × $10 CALL

25 Sep 2026 · 7 DTE · bid $0.05 / mid $0.08 · $150 this cycle

15.6%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

88%

Income / mo

$643

Annualized

32%

EV / cycle

+$67

If assigned

-$38,850

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.37/share ($1,115 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 5 at spot $9.73.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$9.50	14d	+$0.04	$-0.03 to $0.08	66%	52%
Ss Escape	$10.78	42d	+$0.01	$-0.14 to $0.04	79%	74%
Reliable Up	$10.28	28d	+$0.06	$-0.04 to $0.10	77%	70%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾

Strike $11 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $34,140 (premium included).

Called-away odds9%

SaferRiskier

SELL 30 × $11 CALL

16 Oct 2026 · 28 DTE · bid $0.12 / mid $0.15 · $360 this cycle

33.8%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

91%

Income / mo

$386

Annualized

19%

EV / cycle

+$266

If assigned

-$34,140

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.73/share ($2,200 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 19 at spot $11.27.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$11.00	35d	-$0.12	$-0.16 to $0.00	67%	53%
Ss Escape	$10.78	42d	+$0.10	$0.08 to $0.27	66%	49%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

NormalBalanced risk and income▾

Strike $9 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $40,080 (premium included).

Called-away odds22%

SaferRiskier

SELL 30 × $9 CALL

25 Sep 2026 · 7 DTE · bid $0.14 / mid $0.18 · $420 this cycle

9.5%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

78%

Income / mo

$1,800

Annualized

89%

EV / cycle

+$201

If assigned

-$40,080

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.35/share ($1,057 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 4 at spot $9.22.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$9.00	14d	+$0.05	$-0.03 to $0.06	66%	52%
Ss Escape	$10.28	42d	+$0.01	$-0.13 to $0.02	79%	75%
Safety Up	$10.78	42d	-$0.09	$-0.25 to $-0.09	82%	80%
Reliable Up	$9.28	35d	+$0.23	$0.12 to $0.25	70%	60%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾

Strike $10 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $35,550 (premium included).

Called-away odds17%

SaferRiskier

SELL 30 × $10 CALL

23 Oct 2026 · 35 DTE · bid $0.15 / mid $0.23 · $450 this cycle

27.7%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

83%

Income / mo

$386

Annualized

19%

EV / cycle

+$111

If assigned

-$35,550

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.79/share ($2,365 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 20 at spot $10.73.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$10.50	42d	-$0.15	$-0.23 to $-0.08	67%	53%
Ss Escape	$9.78	42d	+$0.29	$0.25 to $0.42	61%	37%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾

Strike $11 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $34,200 (premium included).

Called-away odds14%

SaferRiskier

SELL 30 × $11 CALL

23 Oct 2026 · 35 DTE · bid $0.10 / mid $0.18 · $300 this cycle

33.8%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

86%

Income / mo

$257

Annualized

13%

EV / cycle

+$62

If assigned

-$34,200

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.83/share ($2,478 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 22 at spot $11.24.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$11.00	42d	-$0.19	$-0.25 to $-0.07	67%	53%
Ss Escape	$10.28	42d	+$0.26	$0.23 to $0.44	61%	37%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

NormalBalanced risk and income▾

Strike $9 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $39,210 (premium included).

Called-away odds35%

SaferRiskier

SELL 30 × $9 CALL

23 Oct 2026 · 35 DTE · bid $0.43 / mid $0.55 · $1,290 this cycle

9.5%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

65%

Income / mo

$1,106

Annualized

55%

EV / cycle

+$249

If assigned

-$39,210

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.68/share ($2,027 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 11 at spot $9.21.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$9.00	42d	-$0.07	$-0.18 to $-0.11	67%	54%
Ss Escape	$8.78	42d	+$0.07	$-0.02 to $0.04	66%	48%
Safety Up	$9.78	42d	-$0.40	$-0.60 to $-0.49	75%	70%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

stock_fight.py · generated 2026-09-18 03:50 · read-only, advisory. Places no orders.