SBET @ $8.75

DEEP DRAWDOWN

Covered-call income plan ⌂ Portfolio

AccountU10001299

Shares3,000

Avg cost$22.50

Drawdown-61.1%

IV regimeHIGH

Writable30

Deep drawdown. Earn income while the position recovers without capping the rebound. The safest rung that still clears the income floor is recommended; Ultra Safe goes deeper OTM for the lowest called-away odds when you want maximum room above your $22.50 basis.

Income playbook

ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾

Strike $10 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $37,200 (premium included).

Called-away odds15%

SaferRiskier

SELL 30 × $10 CALL

25 Sep 2026 · 7 DTE · bid $0.10 / mid $0.11 · $300 this cycle

14.3%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

85%

Income / mo

$1,286

Annualized

60%

EV / cycle

+$171

If assigned

-$37,200

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.36/share ($1,095 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 5 at spot $10.26.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$10.00	14d	+$0.10	$0.05 to $0.15	67%	52%
Ss Escape	$10.75	35d	+$0.16	$0.05 to $0.20	74%	67%
Safety Up	$11.75	35d	-$0.08	$-0.23 to $-0.05	83%	80%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾

Strike $12 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $31,080 (premium included).

Called-away odds8%

SaferRiskier

SELL 30 × $12 CALL

16 Oct 2026 · 28 DTE · bid $0.14 / mid $0.16 · $420 this cycle

37.1%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

92%

Income / mo

$450

Annualized

21%

EV / cycle

+$337

If assigned

-$31,080

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.83/share ($2,502 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 19 at spot $12.30.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$12.00	35d	-$0.18	$-0.23 to $-0.02	66%	53%
Ss Escape	$11.75	42d	+$0.03	$-0.01 to $0.23	64%	49%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

NormalBalanced risk and income▾

Strike $10 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $38,520 (premium included).

Called-away odds25%

SaferRiskier

SELL 30 × $10 CALL

25 Sep 2026 · 7 DTE · bid $0.16 / mid $0.17 · $480 this cycle

8.6%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

75%

Income / mo

$2,057

Annualized

95%

EV / cycle

+$181

If assigned

-$38,520

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.35/share ($1,040 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 4 at spot $9.74.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$9.50	14d	+$0.11	$0.05 to $0.12	67%	53%
Ss Escape	$10.25	35d	+$0.16	$0.04 to $0.16	75%	67%
Safety Up	$11.75	28d	-$0.14	$-0.30 to $-0.16	90%	88%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾

Strike $11 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $33,750 (premium included).

Called-away odds19%

SaferRiskier

SELL 30 × $11 CALL

23 Oct 2026 · 35 DTE · bid $0.25 / mid $0.28 · $750 this cycle

25.7%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

81%

Income / mo

$643

Annualized

30%

EV / cycle

+$310

If assigned

-$33,750

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.83/share ($2,490 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 19 at spot $11.27.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$11.00	42d	-$0.22	$-0.33 to $-0.17	65%	54%
Ss Escape	$10.25	42d	+$0.29	$0.24 to $0.40	61%	38%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾

Strike $12 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $32,610 (premium included).

Called-away odds16%

SaferRiskier

SELL 30 × $12 CALL

23 Oct 2026 · 35 DTE · bid $0.13 / mid $0.21 · $390 this cycle

31.4%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

84%

Income / mo

$334

Annualized

15%

EV / cycle

+$72

If assigned

-$32,610

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.87/share ($2,603 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 21 at spot $11.79.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$11.50	42d	-$0.25	$-0.35 to $-0.15	65%	53%
Ss Escape	$10.75	42d	+$0.26	$0.22 to $0.42	61%	38%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

NormalBalanced risk and income▾

Strike $10 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $37,440 (premium included).

Called-away odds37%

SaferRiskier

SELL 30 × $10 CALL

23 Oct 2026 · 35 DTE · bid $0.52 / mid $0.59 · $1,560 this cycle

8.6%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

63%

Income / mo

$1,337

Annualized

62%

EV / cycle

+$332

If assigned

-$37,440

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.72/share ($2,151 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 10 at spot $9.74.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$9.50	42d	-$0.14	$-0.28 to $-0.20	66%	54%
Ss Escape	$9.25	42d	+$0.05	$-0.06 to $0.00	64%	48%
Safety Up	$10.25	42d	-$0.49	$-0.75 to $-0.61	72%	68%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

stock_fight.py · generated 2026-09-18 21:47 · read-only, advisory. Places no orders.