SBET @ $9.32

DEEP DRAWDOWN
Covered-call income plan ⌂ Portfolio
AccountU10001299
Shares3,000
Avg cost$22.50
Drawdown-58.6%
IV regimeHIGH
Writable30
Deep drawdown. Earn income while the position recovers without capping the rebound. The safest rung that still clears the income floor is recommended; Ultra Safe goes deeper OTM for the lowest called-away odds when you want maximum room above your $22.50 basis.
Income playbook
ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾
Strike $10 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $35,670 (premium included).
Called-away odds15%
SaferRiskier
SELL 30 × $10 CALL
25 Sep 2026 · 6 DTE · bid $0.11 / mid $0.12 · $330 this cycle
12.7%
OTM
Survival (OTM)
85%
Income / mo
$1,650
Annualized
72%
EV / cycle
+$197
If assigned
-$35,670
If challenged: pre-priced escape map
If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.47/share ($1,399 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 4 at spot $10.78.
DoorNew strikeTenorEst credit/shP25-P75POPSurvival
Credit Out$10.5013d-$0.06$-0.19 to $-0.0064%53%
Ss Escape$11.6841d+$0.07$-0.10 to $0.1477%71%
Safety Up$12.1827d-$0.10$-0.29 to $-0.0583%79%
Reliable Up$11.1841d+$0.24$0.09 to $0.3073%65%
Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.
Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾
Strike $12 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $32,910 (premium included).
Called-away odds2%
SaferRiskier
SELL 30 × $12 CALL
25 Sep 2026 · 6 DTE · bid $0.03 / mid $0.07 · $90 this cycle
23.4%
OTM
Survival (OTM)
98%
Income / mo
$450
Annualized
20%
EV / cycle
+$85
If assigned
-$32,910
If challenged: pre-priced escape map
If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.51/share ($1,532 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 5 at spot $11.78.
DoorNew strikeTenorEst credit/shP25-P75POPSurvival
Credit Out$11.5013d-$0.09$-0.18 to $0.0564%52%
Ss Escape$12.6841d+$0.06$-0.07 to $0.2276%70%
Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.
NormalBalanced risk and income▾
Strike $10 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $36,930 (premium included).
Called-away odds25%
SaferRiskier
SELL 30 × $10 CALL
25 Sep 2026 · 6 DTE · bid $0.19 / mid $0.21 · $570 this cycle
7.3%
OTM
Survival (OTM)
75%
Income / mo
$2,850
Annualized
124%
EV / cycle
+$295
If assigned
-$36,930
If challenged: pre-priced escape map
If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.44/share ($1,332 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 3 at spot $10.26.
DoorNew strikeTenorEst credit/shP25-P75POPSurvival
Credit Out$10.0013d-$0.05$-0.23 to $-0.0664%53%
Ss Escape$11.1841d+$0.08$-0.14 to $0.0677%71%
Safety Up$11.6827d-$0.10$-0.32 to $-0.1283%79%
Reliable Up$10.6841d+$0.24$0.05 to $0.2374%65%
Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.
ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾
Strike $12 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $30,780 (premium included).
Called-away odds18%
SaferRiskier
SELL 30 × $12 CALL
30 Oct 2026 · 41 DTE · bid $0.24 / mid $0.40 · $720 this cycle
28.8%
OTM
Survival (OTM)
82%
Income / mo
$527
Annualized
23%
EV / cycle
+$285
If assigned
-$30,780
If challenged: pre-priced escape map
No pre-priced escape map: the near-term chain is too sparse to anchor an honest buyback.
Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾
Strike $12 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $30,780 (premium included).
Called-away odds18%
SaferRiskier
SELL 30 × $12 CALL
30 Oct 2026 · 41 DTE · bid $0.24 / mid $0.40 · $720 this cycle
28.8%
OTM
Survival (OTM)
82%
Income / mo
$527
Annualized
23%
EV / cycle
+$285
If assigned
-$30,780
If challenged: pre-priced escape map
No pre-priced escape map: the near-term chain is too sparse to anchor an honest buyback.
NormalBalanced risk and income▾
Strike $10 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $34,410 (premium included).
Called-away odds33%
SaferRiskier
SELL 30 × $10 CALL
30 Oct 2026 · 41 DTE · bid $0.53 / mid $0.70 · $1,590 this cycle
12.7%
OTM
Survival (OTM)
67%
Income / mo
$1,163
Annualized
51%
EV / cycle
+$381
If assigned
-$34,410
If challenged: pre-priced escape map
No pre-priced escape map: the near-term chain is too sparse to anchor an honest buyback.
stock_fight.py · generated 2026-09-19 03:50 · read-only, advisory. Places no orders.