SBET @ $9.95

DEEP DRAWDOWN
Covered-call income plan ⌂ Portfolio
AccountU10001299
Shares3,000
Avg cost$22.50
Drawdown-55.8%
IV regimeHIGH
Writable30
Deep drawdown. Earn income while the position recovers without capping the rebound. The safest rung that still clears the income floor is recommended; Ultra Safe goes deeper OTM for the lowest called-away odds when you want maximum room above your $22.50 basis.
Income playbook
ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾
Strike $12 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $32,460 (premium included).
Called-away odds18%
SaferRiskier
SELL 30 × $12 CALL
2 Oct 2026 · 10 DTE · bid $0.18 / mid $0.19 · $540 this cycle
15.6%
OTM
Survival (OTM)
82%
Income / mo
$1,620
Annualized
66%
EV / cycle
+$291
If assigned
-$32,460
If challenged: pre-priced escape map
If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.54/share ($1,611 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 6 at spot $11.81.
DoorNew strikeTenorEst credit/shP25-P75POPSurvival
Credit Out$11.5017d+$0.05$-0.03 to $0.1066%53%
Up And Out$11.5517d+$0.03$-0.06 to $0.0767%54%
Ss Escape$13.0538d+$0.01$-0.15 to $0.0479%74%
Safety Up$13.5538d-$0.14$-0.33 to $-0.1281%78%
Reliable Up$12.5538d+$0.11$-0.03 to $0.1575%69%
Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.
Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾
Strike $14 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $25,110 (premium included).
Called-away odds10%
SaferRiskier
SELL 30 × $14 CALL
16 Oct 2026 · 24 DTE · bid $0.13 / mid $0.17 · $390 this cycle
40.7%
OTM
Survival (OTM)
90%
Income / mo
$488
Annualized
20%
EV / cycle
+$222
If assigned
-$25,110
If challenged: pre-priced escape map
If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.92/share ($2,761 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 16 at spot $14.38.
DoorNew strikeTenorEst credit/shP25-P75POPSurvival
Credit Out$14.0031d-$0.15$-0.20 to $-0.0067%53%
Ss Escape$13.5538d+$0.15$0.12 to $0.3563%46%
Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.
NormalBalanced risk and income▾
Strike $10 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $34,920 (premium included).
Called-away odds36%
SaferRiskier
SELL 30 × $10 CALL
2 Oct 2026 · 10 DTE · bid $0.36 / mid $0.39 · $1,080 this cycle
5.5%
OTM
Survival (OTM)
64%
Income / mo
$3,240
Annualized
132%
EV / cycle
+$313
If assigned
-$34,920
If challenged: pre-priced escape map
If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.49/share ($1,470 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 4 at spot $10.78.
DoorNew strikeTenorEst credit/shP25-P75POPSurvival
Credit Out$10.5017d+$0.07$-0.05 to $0.0366%53%
Up And Out$10.5517d+$0.05$-0.07 to $0.0167%54%
Ss Escape$12.0538d+$0.02$-0.19 to $-0.0679%75%
Safety Up$14.5538d-$0.35$-0.66 to $-0.4691%90%
Reliable Up$11.0538d+$0.22$0.04 to $0.1672%63%
Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.
ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾
Strike $14 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $25,020 (premium included).
Called-away odds14%
SaferRiskier
SELL 30 × $14 CALL
30 Oct 2026 · 38 DTE · bid $0.16 / mid $0.24 · $480 this cycle
40.7%
OTM
Survival (OTM)
86%
Income / mo
$379
Annualized
15%
EV / cycle
+$125
If assigned
-$25,020
If challenged: pre-priced escape map
No pre-priced escape map: the near-term chain is too sparse to anchor an honest buyback.
Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾
Strike $14 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $25,020 (premium included).
Called-away odds14%
SaferRiskier
SELL 30 × $14 CALL
30 Oct 2026 · 38 DTE · bid $0.16 / mid $0.24 · $480 this cycle
40.7%
OTM
Survival (OTM)
86%
Income / mo
$379
Annualized
15%
EV / cycle
+$125
If assigned
-$25,020
If challenged: pre-priced escape map
No pre-priced escape map: the near-term chain is too sparse to anchor an honest buyback.
NormalBalanced risk and income▾
Strike $11 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $32,550 (premium included).
Called-away odds36%
SaferRiskier
SELL 30 × $11 CALL
30 Oct 2026 · 38 DTE · bid $0.65 / mid $0.73 · $1,950 this cycle
10.6%
OTM
Survival (OTM)
64%
Income / mo
$1,539
Annualized
63%
EV / cycle
+$451
If assigned
-$32,550
If challenged: pre-priced escape map
No pre-priced escape map: the near-term chain is too sparse to anchor an honest buyback.
stock_fight.py · generated 2026-09-22 03:50 · read-only, advisory. Places no orders.