SBET @ $10.07

DEEP DRAWDOWN

Covered-call income plan ⌂ Portfolio

AccountU10001299

Shares3,000

Avg cost$22.50

Drawdown-55.2%

IV regimeHIGH

Writable30

Deep drawdown. Earn income while the position recovers without capping the rebound. The safest rung that still clears the income floor is recommended; Ultra Safe goes deeper OTM for the lowest called-away odds when you want maximum room above your $22.50 basis.

Income playbook

ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾

Strike $12 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $32,640 (premium included).

Called-away odds17%

SaferRiskier

SELL 30 × $12 CALL

2 Oct 2026 · 10 DTE · bid $0.12 / mid $0.17 · $360 this cycle

14.2%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

83%

Income / mo

$1,080

Annualized

43%

EV / cycle

+$169

If assigned

-$32,640

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.50/share ($1,507 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 6 at spot $11.80.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$11.50	17d	+$0.01	$-0.09 to $0.06	64%	53%
Ss Escape	$12.93	38d	+$0.04	$-0.10 to $0.09	79%	73%
Reliable Up	$11.93	38d	+$0.36	$0.26 to $0.43	71%	61%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾

Strike $14 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $25,320 (premium included).

Called-away odds3%

SaferRiskier

SELL 30 × $14 CALL

9 Oct 2026 · 17 DTE · bid $0.06 / mid $0.08 · $180 this cycle

39.0%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

97%

Income / mo

$318

Annualized

13%

EV / cycle

+$162

If assigned

-$25,320

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.84/share ($2,516 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 13 at spot $14.37.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$14.00	24d	-$0.05	$-0.08 to $0.14	67%	53%
Ss Escape	$14.43	38d	+$0.03	$-0.03 to $0.25	71%	60%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

NormalBalanced risk and income▾

Strike $10 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $35,010 (premium included).

Called-away odds38%

SaferRiskier

SELL 30 × $10 CALL

2 Oct 2026 · 10 DTE · bid $0.33 / mid $0.41 · $990 this cycle

4.3%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

62%

Income / mo

$2,970

Annualized

120%

EV / cycle

+$195

If assigned

-$35,010

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.46/share ($1,376 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 3 at spot $10.78.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$10.50	17d	+$0.03	$-0.12 to $-0.03	65%	53%
Ss Escape	$11.93	38d	+$0.05	$-0.15 to $-0.03	79%	74%
Safety Up	$15.43	38d	-$0.30	$-0.58 to $-0.41	96%	96%
Reliable Up	$10.93	38d	+$0.36	$0.21 to $0.30	72%	61%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾

Strike $12 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $29,160 (premium included).

Called-away odds18%

SaferRiskier

SELL 30 × $12 CALL

23 Oct 2026 · 31 DTE · bid $0.28 / mid $0.41 · $840 this cycle

24.1%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

82%

Income / mo

$813

Annualized

33%

EV / cycle

+$419

If assigned

-$29,160

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.98/share ($2,934 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 17 at spot $12.81.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$12.50	38d	-$0.10	$-0.21 to $-0.03	68%	54%
Safety Up	$12.93	38d	-$0.27	$-0.39 to $-0.22	71%	61%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾

Strike $15 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $21,900 (premium included).

Called-away odds7%

SaferRiskier

SELL 30 × $15 CALL

30 Oct 2026 · 38 DTE · bid $0.20 / mid $0.23 · $600 this cycle

49.0%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

93%

Income / mo

$474

Annualized

19%

EV / cycle

+$507

If assigned

-$21,900

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

No pre-priced escape map: the near-term chain is too sparse to anchor an honest buyback.

NormalBalanced risk and income▾

Strike $11 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $32,790 (premium included).

Called-away odds36%

SaferRiskier

SELL 30 × $11 CALL

23 Oct 2026 · 31 DTE · bid $0.57 / mid $0.67 · $1,710 this cycle

9.2%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

64%

Income / mo

$1,655

Annualized

67%

EV / cycle

+$323

If assigned

-$32,790

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.86/share ($2,582 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 10 at spot $11.28.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$11.00	38d	-$0.03	$-0.16 to $-0.08	68%	54%
Safety Up	$12.43	38d	-$0.49	$-0.70 to $-0.58	81%	77%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

stock_fight.py · generated 2026-09-22 21:48 · read-only, advisory. Places no orders.