SBET @ $10.27

DEEP DRAWDOWN

Covered-call income plan ⌂ Portfolio

AccountU10001299

Shares3,000

Avg cost$22.50

Drawdown-54.4%

IV regimeHIGH

Writable30

Deep drawdown. Earn income while the position recovers without capping the rebound. The safest rung that still clears the income floor is recommended; Ultra Safe goes deeper OTM for the lowest called-away odds when you want maximum room above your $22.50 basis.

Income playbook

ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾

Strike $12 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $29,190 (premium included).

Called-away odds19%

SaferRiskier

SELL 30 × $12 CALL

16 Oct 2026 · 23 DTE · bid $0.27 / mid $0.38 · $810 this cycle

21.7%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

81%

Income / mo

$1,057

Annualized

42%

EV / cycle

+$375

If assigned

-$29,190

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.80/share ($2,402 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 13 at spot $12.81.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$12.50	30d	-$0.02	$-0.10 to $0.04	67%	53%
Ss Escape	$12.73	37d	+$0.03	$-0.06 to $0.10	70%	58%
Safety Up	$13.23	37d	-$0.15	$-0.27 to $-0.10	74%	65%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾

Strike $15 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $22,230 (premium included).

Called-away odds7%

SaferRiskier

SELL 30 × $15 CALL

16 Oct 2026 · 23 DTE · bid $0.09 / mid $0.10 · $270 this cycle

46.1%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

93%

Income / mo

$352

Annualized

14%

EV / cycle

+$171

If assigned

-$22,230

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.96/share ($2,882 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 17 at spot $15.38.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$15.00	30d	-$0.15	$-0.14 to $0.10	67%	53%
Ss Escape	$14.73	37d	+$0.13	$0.17 to $0.45	66%	49%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

NormalBalanced risk and income▾

Strike $11 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $33,600 (premium included).

Called-away odds31%

SaferRiskier

SELL 30 × $11 CALL

2 Oct 2026 · 9 DTE · bid $0.30 / mid $0.35 · $900 this cycle

7.1%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

69%

Income / mo

$3,000

Annualized

118%

EV / cycle

+$323

If assigned

-$33,600

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.55/share ($1,643 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 4 at spot $11.28.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$11.00	16d	+$0.02	$-0.13 to $-0.01	66%	53%
Ss Escape	$11.73	30d	+$0.02	$-0.19 to $-0.02	73%	66%
Safety Up	$12.73	23d	-$0.24	$-0.47 to $-0.30	84%	81%
Reliable Up	$11.73	37d	+$0.17	$-0.03 to $0.13	74%	65%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾

Strike $14 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $24,750 (premium included).

Called-away odds15%

SaferRiskier

SELL 30 × $14 CALL

30 Oct 2026 · 37 DTE · bid $0.25 / mid $0.32 · $750 this cycle

36.3%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

85%

Income / mo

$608

Annualized

24%

EV / cycle

+$365

If assigned

-$24,750

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

No pre-priced escape map: the near-term chain is too sparse to anchor an honest buyback.

Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾

Strike $15 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $21,900 (premium included).

Called-away odds11%

SaferRiskier

SELL 30 × $15 CALL

30 Oct 2026 · 37 DTE · bid $0.20 / mid $0.23 · $600 this cycle

46.1%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

89%

Income / mo

$486

Annualized

19%

EV / cycle

+$336

If assigned

-$21,900

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

No pre-priced escape map: the near-term chain is too sparse to anchor an honest buyback.

NormalBalanced risk and income▾

Strike $12 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $31,590 (premium included).

Called-away odds32%

SaferRiskier

SELL 30 × $12 CALL

23 Oct 2026 · 30 DTE · bid $0.47 / mid $0.65 · $1,410 this cycle

12.0%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

68%

Income / mo

$1,410

Annualized

56%

EV / cycle

+$261

If assigned

-$31,590

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.81/share ($2,441 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 11 at spot $11.81.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$11.50	37d	+$0.03	$-0.06 to $0.01	68%	54%
Ss Escape	$11.23	37d	+$0.15	$0.07 to $0.14	66%	49%
Safety Up	$12.73	37d	-$0.42	$-0.60 to $-0.48	78%	73%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

stock_fight.py · generated 2026-09-23 03:50 · read-only, advisory. Places no orders.