SBET @ $10.18

DEEP DRAWDOWN

Covered-call income plan ⌂ Portfolio

AccountU10001299

Shares3,000

Avg cost$22.50

Drawdown-54.8%

IV regimeHIGH

Writable30

Deep drawdown. Earn income while the position recovers without capping the rebound. The safest rung that still clears the income floor is recommended; Ultra Safe goes deeper OTM for the lowest called-away odds when you want maximum room above your $22.50 basis.

Income playbook

ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾

Strike $12 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $31,170 (premium included).

Called-away odds13%

SaferRiskier

SELL 30 × $12 CALL

2 Oct 2026 · 9 DTE · bid $0.11 / mid $0.14 · $330 this cycle

17.9%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

87%

Income / mo

$1,100

Annualized

44%

EV / cycle

+$184

If assigned

-$31,170

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.48/share ($1,442 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 6 at spot $12.30.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$12.00	16d	+$0.07	$0.01 to $0.15	65%	53%
Ss Escape	$13.32	30d	+$0.01	$-0.09 to $0.08	79%	74%
Safety Up	$13.82	30d	-$0.10	$-0.23 to $-0.04	83%	79%
Reliable Up	$12.82	30d	+$0.15	$0.06 to $0.23	75%	66%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾

Strike $15 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $22,140 (premium included).

Called-away odds5%

SaferRiskier

SELL 30 × $15 CALL

23 Oct 2026 · 30 DTE · bid $0.12 / mid $0.15 · $360 this cycle

47.3%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

95%

Income / mo

$360

Annualized

14%

EV / cycle

+$316

If assigned

-$22,140

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $1.11/share ($3,329 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 21 at spot $15.36.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$15.00	37d	-$0.45	$-0.52 to $-0.20	64%	53%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

NormalBalanced risk and income▾

Strike $11 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $33,720 (premium included).

Called-away odds29%

SaferRiskier

SELL 30 × $11 CALL

2 Oct 2026 · 9 DTE · bid $0.26 / mid $0.30 · $780 this cycle

8.1%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

71%

Income / mo

$2,600

Annualized

104%

EV / cycle

+$272

If assigned

-$33,720

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.44/share ($1,322 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 4 at spot $11.27.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$11.00	16d	+$0.09	$-0.00 to $0.09	65%	53%
Ss Escape	$12.32	30d	+$0.03	$-0.12 to $0.01	80%	74%
Safety Up	$14.82	37d	-$0.21	$-0.44 to $-0.25	90%	89%
Reliable Up	$11.82	30d	+$0.16	$0.03 to $0.14	75%	67%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾

Strike $12 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $28,980 (premium included).

Called-away odds19%

SaferRiskier

SELL 30 × $12 CALL

23 Oct 2026 · 30 DTE · bid $0.34 / mid $0.37 · $1,020 this cycle

22.8%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

81%

Income / mo

$1,020

Annualized

41%

EV / cycle

+$602

If assigned

-$28,980

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.92/share ($2,774 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 16 at spot $12.79.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$12.50	37d	-$0.29	$-0.44 to $-0.23	64%	54%
Ss Escape	$11.82	37d	+$0.00	$-0.12 to $0.12	58%	41%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾

Strike $15 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $22,140 (premium included).

Called-away odds5%

SaferRiskier

SELL 30 × $15 CALL

23 Oct 2026 · 30 DTE · bid $0.12 / mid $0.15 · $360 this cycle

47.3%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

95%

Income / mo

$360

Annualized

14%

EV / cycle

+$316

If assigned

-$22,140

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $1.11/share ($3,329 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 21 at spot $15.36.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$15.00	37d	-$0.45	$-0.52 to $-0.20	64%	53%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

NormalBalanced risk and income▾

Strike $11 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $32,580 (premium included).

Called-away odds37%

SaferRiskier

SELL 30 × $11 CALL

23 Oct 2026 · 30 DTE · bid $0.64 / mid $0.71 · $1,920 this cycle

8.1%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

63%

Income / mo

$1,920

Annualized

76%

EV / cycle

+$520

If assigned

-$32,580

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.81/share ($2,441 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 9 at spot $11.29.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$11.00	37d	-$0.21	$-0.43 to $-0.31	64%	54%
Ss Escape	$10.32	37d	+$0.08	$-0.10 to $0.01	58%	40%
Safety Up	$12.32	37d	-$0.61	$-0.93 to $-0.76	77%	75%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

stock_fight.py · generated 2026-09-23 21:47 · read-only, advisory. Places no orders.