SBET @ $9.86

DEEP DRAWDOWN
Covered-call income plan ⌂ Portfolio
AccountU10001299
Shares3,000
Avg cost$22.50
Drawdown-56.2%
IV regimeHIGH
Writable30
Deep drawdown. Earn income while the position recovers without capping the rebound. The safest rung that still clears the income floor is recommended; Ultra Safe goes deeper OTM for the lowest called-away odds when you want maximum room above your $22.50 basis.
Income playbook
ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾
Strike $12 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $30,900 (premium included).
Called-away odds19%
SaferRiskier
SELL 30 × $12 CALL
16 Oct 2026 · 22 DTE · bid $0.20 / mid $0.27 · $600 this cycle
21.7%
OTM
Survival (OTM)
81%
Income / mo
$818
Annualized
34%
EV / cycle
+$223
If assigned
-$30,900
If challenged: pre-priced escape map
If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.81/share ($2,440 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 13 at spot $12.31.
DoorNew strikeTenorEst credit/shP25-P75POPSurvival
Credit Out$12.0029d-$0.20$-0.33 to $-0.1165%53%
Ss Escape$11.6429d+$0.03$-0.06 to $0.1563%45%
Safety Up$12.6436d-$0.19$-0.33 to $-0.1173%64%
Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.
Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾
Strike $14 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $25,350 (premium included).
Called-away odds7%
SaferRiskier
SELL 30 × $14 CALL
9 Oct 2026 · 15 DTE · bid $0.05 / mid $0.17 · $150 this cycle
42.0%
OTM
Survival (OTM)
93%
Income / mo
$300
Annualized
12%
EV / cycle
+$75
If assigned
-$25,350
If challenged: pre-priced escape map
If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.82/share ($2,463 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 12 at spot $14.39.
DoorNew strikeTenorEst credit/shP25-P75POPSurvival
Credit Out$14.0022d-$0.28$-0.30 to $-0.0364%53%
Ss Escape$13.6429d+$0.10$0.15 to $0.4363%46%
Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.
NormalBalanced risk and income▾
Strike $10 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $35,220 (premium included).
Called-away odds31%
SaferRiskier
SELL 30 × $10 CALL
2 Oct 2026 · 8 DTE · bid $0.26 / mid $0.31 · $780 this cycle
6.5%
OTM
Survival (OTM)
69%
Income / mo
$2,925
Annualized
120%
EV / cycle
+$282
If assigned
-$35,220
If challenged: pre-priced escape map
If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.43/share ($1,300 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 4 at spot $10.77.
DoorNew strikeTenorEst credit/shP25-P75POPSurvival
Credit Out$10.5015d-$0.05$-0.22 to $-0.0963%53%
Ss Escape$11.6436d+$0.18$0.01 to $0.1478%71%
Safety Up$13.1436d-$0.22$-0.47 to $-0.2885%84%
Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.
ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾
Strike $14 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $24,960 (premium included).
Called-away odds13%
SaferRiskier
SELL 30 × $14 CALL
30 Oct 2026 · 36 DTE · bid $0.18 / mid $0.21 · $540 this cycle
42.0%
OTM
Survival (OTM)
87%
Income / mo
$450
Annualized
19%
EV / cycle
+$248
If assigned
-$24,960
If challenged: pre-priced escape map
No pre-priced escape map: the near-term chain is too sparse to anchor an honest buyback.
Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾
Strike $14 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $24,960 (premium included).
Called-away odds13%
SaferRiskier
SELL 30 × $14 CALL
30 Oct 2026 · 36 DTE · bid $0.18 / mid $0.21 · $540 this cycle
42.0%
OTM
Survival (OTM)
87%
Income / mo
$450
Annualized
19%
EV / cycle
+$248
If assigned
-$24,960
If challenged: pre-priced escape map
No pre-priced escape map: the near-term chain is too sparse to anchor an honest buyback.
NormalBalanced risk and income▾
Strike $11 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $32,580 (premium included).
Called-away odds34%
SaferRiskier
SELL 30 × $11 CALL
30 Oct 2026 · 36 DTE · bid $0.64 / mid $0.65 · $1,920 this cycle
11.6%
OTM
Survival (OTM)
66%
Income / mo
$1,600
Annualized
66%
EV / cycle
+$650
If assigned
-$32,580
If challenged: pre-priced escape map
No pre-priced escape map: the near-term chain is too sparse to anchor an honest buyback.
stock_fight.py · generated 2026-09-24 03:50 · read-only, advisory. Places no orders.