SBET @ $9.84

DEEP DRAWDOWN

Covered-call income plan ⌂ Portfolio

AccountU10001299

Shares3,000

Avg cost$22.50

Drawdown-56.3%

IV regimeHIGH

Writable30

Deep drawdown. Earn income while the position recovers without capping the rebound. The safest rung that still clears the income floor is recommended; Ultra Safe goes deeper OTM for the lowest called-away odds when you want maximum room above your $22.50 basis.

Income playbook

ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾

Strike $11 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $34,200 (premium included).

Called-away odds20%

SaferRiskier

SELL 30 × $11 CALL

2 Oct 2026 · 8 DTE · bid $0.10 / mid $0.24 · $300 this cycle

11.8%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

80%

Income / mo

$1,125

Annualized

46%

EV / cycle

+$59

If assigned

-$34,200

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.46/share ($1,375 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 5 at spot $11.26.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$11.00	15d	+$0.03	$-0.07 to $0.07	65%	53%
Ss Escape	$12.16	36d	+$0.03	$-0.11 to $0.08	76%	70%
Safety Up	$12.66	36d	-$0.09	$-0.25 to $-0.05	79%	76%
Reliable Up	$11.66	36d	+$0.25	$0.14 to $0.31	73%	64%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾

Strike $14 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $25,350 (premium included).

Called-away odds7%

SaferRiskier

SELL 30 × $14 CALL

9 Oct 2026 · 15 DTE · bid $0.05 / mid $0.17 · $150 this cycle

42.3%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

93%

Income / mo

$300

Annualized

12%

EV / cycle

+$73

If assigned

-$25,350

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.78/share ($2,332 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 12 at spot $14.34.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$14.00	22d	-$0.07	$-0.04 to $0.17	67%	53%
Ss Escape	$14.16	29d	+$0.00	$0.03 to $0.27	69%	56%
Reliable Up	$14.66	36d	-$0.05	$-0.05 to $0.20	72%	63%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

NormalBalanced risk and income▾

Strike $10 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $35,310 (premium included).

Called-away odds31%

SaferRiskier

SELL 30 × $10 CALL

2 Oct 2026 · 8 DTE · bid $0.23 / mid $0.27 · $690 this cycle

6.7%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

69%

Income / mo

$2,588

Annualized

107%

EV / cycle

+$197

If assigned

-$35,310

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.44/share ($1,313 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 4 at spot $10.76.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$10.50	15d	+$0.04	$-0.10 to $0.01	65%	53%
Ss Escape	$11.66	36d	+$0.04	$-0.16 to $0.00	76%	71%
Safety Up	$12.66	29d	-$0.19	$-0.41 to $-0.24	85%	83%
Reliable Up	$11.16	36d	+$0.26	$0.10 to $0.23	73%	65%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾

Strike $14 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $24,990 (premium included).

Called-away odds8%

SaferRiskier

SELL 30 × $14 CALL

30 Oct 2026 · 36 DTE · bid $0.17 / mid $0.23 · $510 this cycle

42.3%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

92%

Income / mo

$425

Annualized

18%

EV / cycle

+$397

If assigned

-$24,990

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $1.19/share ($3,566 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 23 at spot $14.37.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$14.00	43d	-$0.76	$-0.94 to $-0.54	60%	53%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾

Strike $14 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $24,990 (premium included).

Called-away odds8%

SaferRiskier

SELL 30 × $14 CALL

30 Oct 2026 · 36 DTE · bid $0.17 / mid $0.23 · $510 this cycle

42.3%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

92%

Income / mo

$425

Annualized

18%

EV / cycle

+$397

If assigned

-$24,990

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $1.19/share ($3,566 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 23 at spot $14.37.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$14.00	43d	-$0.76	$-0.94 to $-0.54	60%	53%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

NormalBalanced risk and income▾

Strike $11 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $33,000 (premium included).

Called-away odds34%

SaferRiskier

SELL 30 × $11 CALL

30 Oct 2026 · 36 DTE · bid $0.50 / mid $0.67 · $1,500 this cycle

11.8%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

66%

Income / mo

$1,250

Annualized

52%

EV / cycle

+$203

If assigned

-$33,000

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.93/share ($2,802 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 12 at spot $11.28.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$11.00	43d	-$0.53	$-0.85 to $-0.64	61%	54%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

stock_fight.py · generated 2026-09-24 21:47 · read-only, advisory. Places no orders.