SBET @ $9.89

DEEP DRAWDOWN

Covered-call income plan ⌂ Portfolio

AccountU10001299

Shares3,000

Avg cost$22.50

Drawdown-56.0%

IV regimeHIGH

Writable30

Deep drawdown. Earn income while the position recovers without capping the rebound. The safest rung that still clears the income floor is recommended; Ultra Safe goes deeper OTM for the lowest called-away odds when you want maximum room above your $22.50 basis.

Income playbook

ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾

Strike $12 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $32,490 (premium included).

Called-away odds18%

SaferRiskier

SELL 30 × $12 CALL

9 Oct 2026 · 14 DTE · bid $0.17 / mid $0.20 · $510 this cycle

16.3%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

82%

Income / mo

$1,093

Annualized

45%

EV / cycle

+$234

If assigned

-$32,490

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.65/share ($1,959 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 8 at spot $11.79.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$11.50	21d	-$0.04	$-0.15 to $0.01	67%	53%
Ss Escape	$11.61	28d	+$0.06	$-0.07 to $0.11	68%	56%
Safety Up	$12.11	28d	-$0.16	$-0.33 to $-0.12	73%	65%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾

Strike $13 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $28,140 (premium included).

Called-away odds11%

SaferRiskier

SELL 30 × $13 CALL

16 Oct 2026 · 21 DTE · bid $0.12 / mid $0.13 · $360 this cycle

31.4%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

89%

Income / mo

$514

Annualized

21%

EV / cycle

+$209

If assigned

-$28,140

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.86/share ($2,569 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 14 at spot $13.33.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$13.00	28d	-$0.15	$-0.21 to $0.00	67%	53%
Ss Escape	$12.61	28d	+$0.01	$-0.03 to $0.20	63%	45%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

NormalBalanced risk and income▾

Strike $10 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $35,430 (premium included).

Called-away odds30%

SaferRiskier

SELL 30 × $10 CALL

2 Oct 2026 · 7 DTE · bid $0.19 / mid $0.32 · $570 this cycle

6.2%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

70%

Income / mo

$2,443

Annualized

100%

EV / cycle

+$132

If assigned

-$35,430

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.45/share ($1,346 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 3 at spot $10.76.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$10.50	14d	-$0.01	$-0.17 to $-0.03	65%	53%
Ss Escape	$11.11	21d	+$0.04	$-0.13 to $0.02	75%	66%
Safety Up	$13.11	35d	-$0.19	$-0.45 to $-0.23	86%	84%
Reliable Up	$10.61	28d	+$0.29	$0.13 to $0.28	69%	56%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾

Strike $12 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $29,160 (premium included).

Called-away odds19%

SaferRiskier

SELL 30 × $12 CALL

30 Oct 2026 · 35 DTE · bid $0.28 / mid $0.32 · $840 this cycle

26.4%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

81%

Income / mo

$720

Annualized

30%

EV / cycle

+$318

If assigned

-$29,160

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $1.13/share ($3,390 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 19 at spot $12.81.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$12.50	42d	-$1.12	$-1.50 to $-1.03	54%	53%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾

Strike $14 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $24,990 (premium included).

Called-away odds12%

SaferRiskier

SELL 30 × $14 CALL

30 Oct 2026 · 35 DTE · bid $0.17 / mid $0.22 · $510 this cycle

41.6%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

88%

Income / mo

$437

Annualized

18%

EV / cycle

+$259

If assigned

-$24,990

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $1.27/share ($3,797 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 23 at spot $14.33.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$14.00	42d	-$1.26	$-1.51 to $-0.94	53%	53%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

NormalBalanced risk and income▾

Strike $12 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $31,740 (premium included).

Called-away odds28%

SaferRiskier

SELL 30 × $12 CALL

30 Oct 2026 · 35 DTE · bid $0.42 / mid $0.49 · $1,260 this cycle

16.3%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

72%

Income / mo

$1,080

Annualized

44%

EV / cycle

+$352

If assigned

-$31,740

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $1.04/share ($3,119 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 15 at spot $11.78.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$11.50	42d	-$1.03	$-1.48 to $-1.11	54%	54%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

stock_fight.py · generated 2026-09-25 03:50 · read-only, advisory. Places no orders.