SBET @ $9.75

DEEP DRAWDOWN

Covered-call income plan ⌂ Portfolio

AccountU10001299

Shares3,000

Avg cost$22.50

Drawdown-56.6%

IV regimeHIGH

Writable30

Deep drawdown. Earn income while the position recovers without capping the rebound. The safest rung that still clears the income floor is recommended; Ultra Safe goes deeper OTM for the lowest called-away odds when you want maximum room above your $22.50 basis.

Income playbook

ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾

Strike $11 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $34,290 (premium included).

Called-away odds14%

SaferRiskier

SELL 30 × $11 CALL

2 Oct 2026 · 7 DTE · bid $0.07 / mid $0.11 · $210 this cycle

12.8%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

86%

Income / mo

$900

Annualized

37%

EV / cycle

+$101

If assigned

-$34,290

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.41/share ($1,241 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 5 at spot $11.25.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$11.00	14d	+$0.05	$-0.03 to $0.11	65%	53%
Ss Escape	$11.75	28d	+$0.03	$-0.09 to $0.09	73%	67%
Safety Up	$12.25	28d	-$0.04	$-0.16 to $0.02	79%	74%
Reliable Up	$11.75	35d	+$0.19	$0.08 to $0.25	73%	66%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾

Strike $12 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $31,410 (premium included).

Called-away odds3%

SaferRiskier

SELL 30 × $12 CALL

2 Oct 2026 · 7 DTE · bid $0.03 / mid $0.04 · $90 this cycle

23.0%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

97%

Income / mo

$386

Annualized

16%

EV / cycle

+$81

If assigned

-$31,410

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.45/share ($1,354 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 6 at spot $12.29.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$12.00	14d	+$0.02	$-0.03 to $0.15	65%	52%
Ss Escape	$12.75	28d	+$0.01	$-0.08 to $0.14	73%	66%
Safety Up	$12.75	21d	-$0.03	$-0.11 to $0.09	74%	68%
Reliable Up	$12.75	35d	+$0.17	$0.10 to $0.31	73%	65%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

NormalBalanced risk and income▾

Strike $10 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $34,710 (premium included).

Called-away odds35%

SaferRiskier

SELL 30 × $10 CALL

16 Oct 2026 · 21 DTE · bid $0.43 / mid $0.50 · $1,290 this cycle

7.6%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

65%

Income / mo

$1,843

Annualized

77%

EV / cycle

+$301

If assigned

-$34,710

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.64/share ($1,921 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 7 at spot $10.76.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$10.50	28d	+$0.02	$-0.08 to $-0.01	67%	53%
Ss Escape	$10.25	28d	+$0.13	$0.03 to $0.10	64%	47%
Safety Up	$12.75	42d	-$0.41	$-0.67 to $-0.51	85%	83%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾

Strike $14 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $25,080 (premium included).

Called-away odds7%

SaferRiskier

SELL 30 × $14 CALL

30 Oct 2026 · 35 DTE · bid $0.14 / mid $0.28 · $420 this cycle

43.5%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

93%

Income / mo

$360

Annualized

15%

EV / cycle

+$330

If assigned

-$25,080

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $1.09/share ($3,277 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 23 at spot $14.35.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$14.00	42d	-$0.53	$-0.63 to $-0.32	63%	53%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾

Strike $14 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $25,080 (premium included).

Called-away odds7%

SaferRiskier

SELL 30 × $14 CALL

30 Oct 2026 · 35 DTE · bid $0.14 / mid $0.28 · $420 this cycle

43.5%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

93%

Income / mo

$360

Annualized

15%

EV / cycle

+$330

If assigned

-$25,080

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $1.09/share ($3,277 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 23 at spot $14.35.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$14.00	42d	-$0.53	$-0.63 to $-0.32	63%	53%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

NormalBalanced risk and income▾

Strike $11 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $33,540 (premium included).

Called-away odds32%

SaferRiskier

SELL 30 × $11 CALL

30 Oct 2026 · 35 DTE · bid $0.32 / mid $0.52 · $960 this cycle

12.8%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

68%

Income / mo

$823

Annualized

34%

EV / cycle

-$164

If assigned

-$33,540

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.86/share ($2,575 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 13 at spot $11.28.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$11.00	42d	-$0.33	$-0.55 to $-0.38	63%	54%
Safety Up	$11.25	42d	-$0.31	$-0.50 to $-0.36	68%	58%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

stock_fight.py · generated 2026-09-25 21:47 · read-only, advisory. Places no orders.