SBET @ $9.65

DEEP DRAWDOWN

Covered-call income plan ⌂ Portfolio

AccountU10001299

Shares3,000

Avg cost$22.50

Drawdown-57.1%

IV regimeHIGH

Writable30

Deep drawdown. Earn income while the position recovers without capping the rebound. The safest rung that still clears the income floor is recommended; Ultra Safe goes deeper OTM for the lowest called-away odds when you want maximum room above your $22.50 basis.

Income playbook

ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾

Strike $10 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $35,730 (premium included).

Called-away odds20%

SaferRiskier

SELL 30 × $10 CALL

2 Oct 2026 · 6 DTE · bid $0.09 / mid $0.12 · $270 this cycle

8.8%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

80%

Income / mo

$1,350

Annualized

57%

EV / cycle

+$90

If assigned

-$35,730

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.34/share ($1,023 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 4 at spot $10.75.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$10.50	13d	+$0.15	$0.09 to $0.18	66%	53%
Ss Escape	$11.85	34d	+$0.03	$-0.12 to $0.05	78%	74%
Safety Up	$12.35	27d	-$0.08	$-0.23 to $-0.06	84%	81%
Reliable Up	$11.35	34d	+$0.25	$0.14 to $0.28	75%	67%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾

Strike $14 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $25,080 (premium included).

Called-away odds9%

SaferRiskier

SELL 30 × $14 CALL

30 Oct 2026 · 34 DTE · bid $0.14 / mid $0.16 · $420 this cycle

45.1%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

91%

Income / mo

$371

Annualized

16%

EV / cycle

+$262

If assigned

-$25,080

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $1.05/share ($3,163 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 24 at spot $14.36.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$14.00	41d	-$0.41	$-0.48 to $-0.19	64%	53%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

NormalBalanced risk and income▾

Strike $10 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $36,810 (premium included).

Called-away odds36%

SaferRiskier

SELL 30 × $10 CALL

2 Oct 2026 · 6 DTE · bid $0.23 / mid $0.25 · $690 this cycle

3.6%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

64%

Income / mo

$3,450

Annualized

145%

EV / cycle

+$207

If assigned

-$36,810

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.32/share ($975 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 3 at spot $10.25.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$10.00	13d	+$0.15	$0.07 to $0.14	67%	53%
Ss Escape	$11.35	34d	+$0.03	$-0.15 to $-0.02	78%	74%
Safety Up	$14.35	34d	-$0.20	$-0.44 to $-0.27	94%	93%
Reliable Up	$10.85	34d	+$0.25	$0.11 to $0.21	75%	68%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾

Strike $12 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $29,310 (premium included).

Called-away odds16%

SaferRiskier

SELL 30 × $12 CALL

30 Oct 2026 · 34 DTE · bid $0.23 / mid $0.29 · $690 this cycle

29.5%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

84%

Income / mo

$609

Annualized

26%

EV / cycle

+$322

If assigned

-$29,310

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.94/share ($2,824 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 19 at spot $12.82.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$12.50	41d	-$0.30	$-0.43 to $-0.21	65%	53%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾

Strike $14 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $25,080 (premium included).

Called-away odds9%

SaferRiskier

SELL 30 × $14 CALL

30 Oct 2026 · 34 DTE · bid $0.14 / mid $0.16 · $420 this cycle

45.1%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

91%

Income / mo

$371

Annualized

16%

EV / cycle

+$262

If assigned

-$25,080

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $1.05/share ($3,163 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 24 at spot $14.36.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$14.00	41d	-$0.41	$-0.48 to $-0.19	64%	53%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

NormalBalanced risk and income▾

Strike $10 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $34,200 (premium included).

Called-away odds37%

SaferRiskier

SELL 30 × $10 CALL

30 Oct 2026 · 34 DTE · bid $0.60 / mid $0.67 · $1,800 this cycle

8.8%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

63%

Income / mo

$1,588

Annualized

67%

EV / cycle

+$442

If assigned

-$34,200

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.79/share ($2,373 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 10 at spot $10.77.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$10.50	41d	-$0.19	$-0.37 to $-0.26	65%	54%
Ss Escape	$9.85	41d	+$0.07	$-0.09 to $0.02	58%	39%
Safety Up	$11.35	41d	-$0.44	$-0.67 to $-0.55	74%	69%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

stock_fight.py · generated 2026-09-26 03:50 · read-only, advisory. Places no orders.