SBET @ $9.70

DEEP DRAWDOWN

Covered-call income plan ⌂ Portfolio

AccountU10001299

Shares3,000

Avg cost$22.50

Drawdown-56.9%

IV regimeHIGH

Writable30

Deep drawdown. Earn income while the position recovers without capping the rebound. The safest rung that still clears the income floor is recommended; Ultra Safe goes deeper OTM for the lowest called-away odds when you want maximum room above your $22.50 basis.

Income playbook

ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾

Strike $12 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $32,700 (premium included).

Called-away odds13%

SaferRiskier

SELL 30 × $12 CALL

9 Oct 2026 · 11 DTE · bid $0.10 / mid $0.15 · $300 this cycle

18.6%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

87%

Income / mo

$818

Annualized

34%

EV / cycle

+$165

If assigned

-$32,700

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.54/share ($1,615 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 7 at spot $11.78.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$11.50	18d	+$0.04	$-0.02 to $0.13	67%	53%
Ss Escape	$11.80	25d	+$0.08	$0.00 to $0.17	70%	59%
Safety Up	$12.80	39d	-$0.01	$-0.15 to $0.08	76%	71%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾

Strike $12 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $31,350 (premium included).

Called-away odds9%

SaferRiskier

SELL 30 × $12 CALL

9 Oct 2026 · 11 DTE · bid $0.05 / mid $0.08 · $150 this cycle

23.7%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

91%

Income / mo

$409

Annualized

17%

EV / cycle

+$77

If assigned

-$31,350

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.56/share ($1,685 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 8 at spot $12.29.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$12.00	18d	+$0.02	$-0.02 to $0.14	67%	53%
Ss Escape	$12.30	25d	+$0.07	$0.01 to $0.18	70%	59%
Safety Up	$13.30	39d	-$0.02	$-0.12 to $0.08	76%	71%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

NormalBalanced risk and income▾

Strike $10 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $34,950 (premium included).

Called-away odds33%

SaferRiskier

SELL 30 × $10 CALL

16 Oct 2026 · 18 DTE · bid $0.35 / mid $0.41 · $1,050 this cycle

8.2%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

67%

Income / mo

$1,750

Annualized

73%

EV / cycle

+$236

If assigned

-$34,950

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.58/share ($1,749 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 7 at spot $10.76.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$10.50	25d	+$0.04	$-0.05 to $0.02	67%	53%
Ss Escape	$10.30	25d	+$0.11	$0.01 to $0.09	64%	48%
Safety Up	$11.80	39d	-$0.13	$-0.32 to $-0.19	77%	72%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾

Strike $14 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $25,110 (premium included).

Called-away odds9%

SaferRiskier

SELL 30 × $14 CALL

30 Oct 2026 · 32 DTE · bid $0.13 / mid $0.17 · $390 this cycle

44.3%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

91%

Income / mo

$366

Annualized

15%

EV / cycle

+$233

If assigned

-$25,110

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $1.03/share ($3,098 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 22 at spot $14.34.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$14.00	39d	-$0.46	$-0.54 to $-0.23	63%	53%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾

Strike $14 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $25,110 (premium included).

Called-away odds9%

SaferRiskier

SELL 30 × $14 CALL

30 Oct 2026 · 32 DTE · bid $0.13 / mid $0.17 · $390 this cycle

44.3%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

91%

Income / mo

$366

Annualized

15%

EV / cycle

+$233

If assigned

-$25,110

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $1.03/share ($3,098 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 22 at spot $14.34.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$14.00	39d	-$0.46	$-0.54 to $-0.23	63%	53%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

NormalBalanced risk and income▾

Strike $10 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $34,350 (premium included).

Called-away odds37%

SaferRiskier

SELL 30 × $10 CALL

30 Oct 2026 · 32 DTE · bid $0.55 / mid $0.64 · $1,650 this cycle

8.2%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

63%

Income / mo

$1,547

Annualized

65%

EV / cycle

+$283

If assigned

-$34,350

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.77/share ($2,323 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 9 at spot $10.78.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$10.50	39d	-$0.25	$-0.47 to $-0.35	63%	54%
Ss Escape	$9.80	39d	+$0.03	$-0.16 to $-0.06	56%	41%
Safety Up	$11.80	39d	-$0.42	$-0.62 to $-0.51	78%	74%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

stock_fight.py · generated 2026-09-28 21:47 · read-only, advisory. Places no orders.