SBET @ $9.46

DEEP DRAWDOWN

Covered-call income plan ⌂ Portfolio

AccountU10001299

Shares3,000

Avg cost$22.50

Drawdown-58.0%

IV regimeHIGH

Writable30

Deep drawdown. Earn income while the position recovers without capping the rebound. The safest rung that still clears the income floor is recommended; Ultra Safe goes deeper OTM for the lowest called-away odds when you want maximum room above your $22.50 basis.

Income playbook

ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾

Strike $12 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $30,810 (premium included).

Called-away odds14%

SaferRiskier

SELL 30 × $12 CALL

30 Oct 2026 · 31 DTE · bid $0.23 / mid $0.28 · $690 this cycle

26.8%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

86%

Income / mo

$668

Annualized

29%

EV / cycle

+$447

If assigned

-$30,810

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.88/share ($2,643 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 18 at spot $12.29.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$12.00	38d	-$0.27	$-0.38 to $-0.19	65%	53%
Ss Escape	$11.54	38d	+$0.00	$-0.08 to $0.12	62%	44%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾

Strike $12 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $29,880 (premium included).

Called-away odds5%

SaferRiskier

SELL 30 × $12 CALL

9 Oct 2026 · 10 DTE · bid $0.04 / mid $0.05 · $120 this cycle

32.1%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

95%

Income / mo

$360

Annualized

15%

EV / cycle

+$91

If assigned

-$29,880

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.53/share ($1,604 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 9 at spot $12.84.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$12.50	17d	-$0.03	$-0.05 to $0.14	66%	52%
Ss Escape	$13.04	38d	+$0.05	$0.01 to $0.24	71%	62%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

NormalBalanced risk and income▾

Strike $10 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $36,180 (premium included).

Called-away odds37%

SaferRiskier

SELL 30 × $10 CALL

16 Oct 2026 · 17 DTE · bid $0.44 / mid $0.48 · $1,320 this cycle

5.7%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

63%

Income / mo

$2,329

Annualized

100%

EV / cycle

+$411

If assigned

-$36,180

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.54/share ($1,618 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 6 at spot $10.24.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$10.00	24d	-$0.04	$-0.17 to $-0.09	65%	53%
Ss Escape	$10.04	31d	+$0.00	$-0.16 to $-0.06	66%	55%
Safety Up	$12.54	31d	-$0.39	$-0.62 to $-0.49	92%	91%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾

Strike $12 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $30,810 (premium included).

Called-away odds14%

SaferRiskier

SELL 30 × $12 CALL

30 Oct 2026 · 31 DTE · bid $0.23 / mid $0.28 · $690 this cycle

26.8%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

86%

Income / mo

$668

Annualized

29%

EV / cycle

+$447

If assigned

-$30,810

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.88/share ($2,643 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 18 at spot $12.29.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$12.00	38d	-$0.27	$-0.38 to $-0.19	65%	53%
Ss Escape	$11.54	38d	+$0.00	$-0.08 to $0.12	62%	44%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾

Strike $12 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $29,460 (premium included).

Called-away odds11%

SaferRiskier

SELL 30 × $12 CALL

30 Oct 2026 · 31 DTE · bid $0.18 / mid $0.25 · $540 this cycle

32.1%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

89%

Income / mo

$523

Annualized

22%

EV / cycle

+$391

If assigned

-$29,460

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.92/share ($2,753 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 20 at spot $12.80.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$12.50	38d	-$0.30	$-0.39 to $-0.16	65%	53%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

NormalBalanced risk and income▾

Strike $10 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $34,920 (premium included).

Called-away odds32%

SaferRiskier

SELL 30 × $10 CALL

30 Oct 2026 · 31 DTE · bid $0.36 / mid $0.50 · $1,080 this cycle

11.0%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

68%

Income / mo

$1,045

Annualized

45%

EV / cycle

+$127

If assigned

-$34,920

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.77/share ($2,312 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 12 at spot $10.75.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$10.50	38d	-$0.19	$-0.35 to $-0.23	65%	54%
Ss Escape	$10.04	38d	+$0.08	$-0.04 to $0.07	62%	43%
Safety Up	$11.04	38d	-$0.35	$-0.53 to $-0.40	72%	64%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

stock_fight.py · generated 2026-09-29 03:50 · read-only, advisory. Places no orders.