SBET @ $9.68

DEEP DRAWDOWN

Covered-call income plan ⌂ Portfolio

AccountU10001299

Shares3,000

Avg cost$22.50

Drawdown-57.0%

IV regimeHIGH

Writable30

Deep drawdown. Earn income while the position recovers without capping the rebound. The safest rung that still clears the income floor is recommended; Ultra Safe goes deeper OTM for the lowest called-away odds when you want maximum room above your $22.50 basis.

Income playbook

ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾

Strike $12 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $32,760 (premium included).

Called-away odds12%

SaferRiskier

SELL 30 × $12 CALL

9 Oct 2026 · 10 DTE · bid $0.08 / mid $0.10 · $240 this cycle

18.8%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

88%

Income / mo

$720

Annualized

30%

EV / cycle

+$118

If assigned

-$32,760

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.48/share ($1,438 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 7 at spot $11.78.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$11.50	17d	+$0.05	$-0.00 to $0.14	66%	53%
Ss Escape	$11.82	24d	+$0.05	$-0.02 to $0.14	70%	60%
Reliable Up	$11.82	38d	+$0.32	$0.26 to $0.44	70%	59%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾

Strike $14 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $25,200 (premium included).

Called-away odds9%

SaferRiskier

SELL 30 × $14 CALL

30 Oct 2026 · 31 DTE · bid $0.10 / mid $0.22 · $300 this cycle

44.6%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

91%

Income / mo

$290

Annualized

12%

EV / cycle

+$154

If assigned

-$25,200

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $1.04/share ($3,121 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 21 at spot $14.37.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$14.00	38d	-$0.35	$-0.42 to $-0.17	65%	53%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

NormalBalanced risk and income▾

Strike $10 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $35,370 (premium included).

Called-away odds28%

SaferRiskier

SELL 30 × $10 CALL

9 Oct 2026 · 10 DTE · bid $0.21 / mid $0.24 · $630 this cycle

8.5%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

72%

Income / mo

$1,890

Annualized

79%

EV / cycle

+$183

If assigned

-$35,370

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.44/share ($1,313 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 5 at spot $10.76.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$10.50	17d	+$0.07	$-0.01 to $0.07	66%	53%
Ss Escape	$10.82	24d	+$0.07	$-0.05 to $0.06	70%	60%
Safety Up	$11.82	24d	-$0.19	$-0.37 to $-0.23	81%	77%
Reliable Up	$10.82	38d	+$0.33	$0.22 to $0.33	70%	60%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾

Strike $12 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $30,810 (premium included).

Called-away odds19%

SaferRiskier

SELL 30 × $12 CALL

30 Oct 2026 · 31 DTE · bid $0.23 / mid $0.40 · $690 this cycle

24.0%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

81%

Income / mo

$668

Annualized

28%

EV / cycle

+$229

If assigned

-$30,810

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.89/share ($2,675 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 17 at spot $12.30.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$12.00	38d	-$0.23	$-0.36 to $-0.17	65%	54%
Ss Escape	$11.32	38d	+$0.10	$-0.01 to $0.18	59%	42%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾

Strike $14 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $25,200 (premium included).

Called-away odds9%

SaferRiskier

SELL 30 × $14 CALL

30 Oct 2026 · 31 DTE · bid $0.10 / mid $0.22 · $300 this cycle

44.6%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

91%

Income / mo

$290

Annualized

12%

EV / cycle

+$154

If assigned

-$25,200

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $1.04/share ($3,121 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 21 at spot $14.37.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$14.00	38d	-$0.35	$-0.42 to $-0.17	65%	53%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

NormalBalanced risk and income▾

Strike $11 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $33,300 (premium included).

Called-away odds30%

SaferRiskier

SELL 30 × $11 CALL

30 Oct 2026 · 31 DTE · bid $0.40 / mid $0.46 · $1,200 this cycle

13.6%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

70%

Income / mo

$1,161

Annualized

49%

EV / cycle

+$298

If assigned

-$33,300

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.82/share ($2,452 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 12 at spot $11.27.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$11.00	38d	-$0.17	$-0.33 to $-0.20	65%	54%
Ss Escape	$10.32	38d	+$0.15	$0.01 to $0.15	59%	41%
Safety Up	$11.32	38d	-$0.19	$-0.32 to $-0.22	70%	60%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

stock_fight.py · generated 2026-09-29 21:49 · read-only, advisory. Places no orders.