SBET @ $9.44

DEEP DRAWDOWN

Covered-call income plan ⌂ Portfolio

AccountU10001299

Shares3,000

Avg cost$22.50

Drawdown-58.0%

IV regimeHIGH

Writable30

Deep drawdown. Earn income while the position recovers without capping the rebound. The safest rung that still clears the income floor is recommended; Ultra Safe goes deeper OTM for the lowest called-away odds when you want maximum room above your $22.50 basis.

Income playbook

ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾

Strike $11 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $33,960 (premium included).

Called-away odds19%

SaferRiskier

SELL 30 × $11 CALL

16 Oct 2026 · 16 DTE · bid $0.18 / mid $0.20 · $540 this cycle

16.5%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

81%

Income / mo

$1,012

Annualized

43%

EV / cycle

+$262

If assigned

-$33,960

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.56/share ($1,687 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 9 at spot $11.25.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$11.00	23d	+$0.03	$-0.03 to $0.08	67%	53%
Up And Out	$11.06	23d	+$0.02	$-0.04 to $0.06	68%	54%
Ss Escape	$11.06	23d	+$0.02	$-0.04 to $0.06	68%	54%
Safety Up	$12.06	37d	-$0.16	$-0.29 to $-0.13	77%	71%
Reliable Up	$11.06	37d	+$0.17	$0.08 to $0.24	68%	55%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾

Strike $13 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $28,350 (premium included).

Called-away odds5%

SaferRiskier

SELL 30 × $13 CALL

16 Oct 2026 · 16 DTE · bid $0.05 / mid $0.08 · $150 this cycle

37.7%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

95%

Income / mo

$281

Annualized

12%

EV / cycle

+$110

If assigned

-$28,350

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.66/share ($1,993 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 13 at spot $13.31.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$13.00	23d	-$0.05	$0.00 to $0.16	67%	52%
Ss Escape	$13.06	37d	+$0.09	$0.15 to $0.34	67%	54%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

NormalBalanced risk and income▾

Strike $10 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $36,750 (premium included).

Called-away odds32%

SaferRiskier

SELL 30 × $10 CALL

9 Oct 2026 · 9 DTE · bid $0.25 / mid $0.28 · $750 this cycle

5.9%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

68%

Income / mo

$2,500

Annualized

107%

EV / cycle

+$259

If assigned

-$36,750

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.40/share ($1,199 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 4 at spot $10.23.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$10.00	16d	+$0.11	$0.02 to $0.09	67%	53%
Up And Out	$10.06	16d	+$0.08	$-0.00 to $0.07	68%	54%
Ss Escape	$11.06	37d	+$0.02	$-0.15 to $-0.02	77%	71%
Safety Up	$12.06	30d	-$0.18	$-0.37 to $-0.23	86%	84%
Reliable Up	$10.56	30d	+$0.15	$0.02 to $0.12	74%	65%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾

Strike $12 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $32,220 (premium included).

Called-away odds19%

SaferRiskier

SELL 30 × $12 CALL

30 Oct 2026 · 30 DTE · bid $0.26 / mid $0.30 · $780 this cycle

21.8%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

81%

Income / mo

$780

Annualized

34%

EV / cycle

+$377

If assigned

-$32,220

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.83/share ($2,489 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 16 at spot $11.78.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$11.50	37d	-$0.16	$-0.27 to $-0.09	67%	53%
Ss Escape	$11.06	37d	+$0.07	$-0.02 to $0.16	63%	44%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾

Strike $12 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $31,110 (premium included).

Called-away odds15%

SaferRiskier

SELL 30 × $12 CALL

30 Oct 2026 · 30 DTE · bid $0.13 / mid $0.20 · $390 this cycle

27.1%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

85%

Income / mo

$390

Annualized

17%

EV / cycle

+$106

If assigned

-$31,110

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.87/share ($2,598 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 18 at spot $12.27.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$12.00	37d	-$0.19	$-0.27 to $-0.08	67%	53%
Ss Escape	$11.56	37d	+$0.04	$-0.02 to $0.18	63%	44%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

NormalBalanced risk and income▾

Strike $10 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $34,890 (premium included).

Called-away odds31%

SaferRiskier

SELL 30 × $10 CALL

30 Oct 2026 · 30 DTE · bid $0.37 / mid $0.46 · $1,110 this cycle

11.2%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

69%

Income / mo

$1,110

Annualized

48%

EV / cycle

+$252

If assigned

-$34,890

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.76/share ($2,273 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 12 at spot $10.75.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$10.50	37d	-$0.10	$-0.24 to $-0.13	67%	53%
Ss Escape	$10.06	37d	+$0.12	$0.01 to $0.12	63%	44%
Safety Up	$11.06	37d	-$0.34	$-0.52 to $-0.39	73%	65%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

stock_fight.py · generated 2026-09-30 03:50 · read-only, advisory. Places no orders.