SBET @ $9.46

DEEP DRAWDOWN

Covered-call income plan ⌂ Portfolio

AccountU10001299

Shares3,000

Avg cost$22.50

Drawdown-58.0%

IV regimeHIGH

Writable30

Deep drawdown. Earn income while the position recovers without capping the rebound. The safest rung that still clears the income floor is recommended; Ultra Safe goes deeper OTM for the lowest called-away odds when you want maximum room above your $22.50 basis.

Income playbook

ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾

Strike $11 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $33,960 (premium included).

Called-away odds19%

SaferRiskier

SELL 30 × $11 CALL

16 Oct 2026 · 16 DTE · bid $0.18 / mid $0.23 · $540 this cycle

16.3%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

81%

Income / mo

$1,012

Annualized

43%

EV / cycle

+$247

If assigned

-$33,960

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.58/share ($1,731 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 9 at spot $11.27.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$11.00	23d	+$0.01	$-0.06 to $0.06	67%	53%
Ss Escape	$11.04	30d	+$0.07	$-0.02 to $0.13	67%	54%
Safety Up	$12.04	37d	-$0.15	$-0.30 to $-0.11	76%	70%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾

Strike $13 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $28,350 (premium included).

Called-away odds5%

SaferRiskier

SELL 30 × $13 CALL

16 Oct 2026 · 16 DTE · bid $0.05 / mid $0.06 · $150 this cycle

37.4%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

95%

Income / mo

$281

Annualized

12%

EV / cycle

+$110

If assigned

-$28,350

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.68/share ($2,046 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 13 at spot $13.33.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$13.00	23d	-$0.08	$-0.06 to $0.16	67%	52%
Ss Escape	$13.04	37d	+$0.01	$0.01 to $0.28	65%	54%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

NormalBalanced risk and income▾

Strike $10 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $36,810 (premium included).

Called-away odds33%

SaferRiskier

SELL 30 × $10 CALL

9 Oct 2026 · 9 DTE · bid $0.23 / mid $0.27 · $690 this cycle

5.7%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

67%

Income / mo

$2,300

Annualized

99%

EV / cycle

+$177

If assigned

-$36,810

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.37/share ($1,123 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 4 at spot $10.24.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$10.00	16d	+$0.11	$0.04 to $0.10	66%	53%
Up And Out	$10.04	16d	+$0.09	$0.01 to $0.08	67%	54%
Ss Escape	$11.04	30d	+$0.01	$-0.13 to $-0.03	78%	72%
Safety Up	$11.54	23d	-$0.18	$-0.36 to $-0.23	84%	82%
Reliable Up	$10.54	30d	+$0.14	$0.02 to $0.11	73%	64%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾

Strike $12 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $31,080 (premium included).

Called-away odds16%

SaferRiskier

SELL 30 × $12 CALL

30 Oct 2026 · 30 DTE · bid $0.14 / mid $0.29 · $420 this cycle

26.8%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

84%

Income / mo

$420

Annualized

18%

EV / cycle

+$84

If assigned

-$31,080

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.84/share ($2,506 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 18 at spot $12.27.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$12.00	37d	-$0.22	$-0.32 to $-0.13	65%	53%
Ss Escape	$11.54	37d	+$0.04	$-0.02 to $0.16	61%	44%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾

Strike $12 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $31,080 (premium included).

Called-away odds16%

SaferRiskier

SELL 30 × $12 CALL

30 Oct 2026 · 30 DTE · bid $0.14 / mid $0.29 · $420 this cycle

26.8%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

84%

Income / mo

$420

Annualized

18%

EV / cycle

+$84

If assigned

-$31,080

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.84/share ($2,506 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 18 at spot $12.27.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$12.00	37d	-$0.22	$-0.32 to $-0.13	65%	53%
Ss Escape	$11.54	37d	+$0.04	$-0.02 to $0.16	61%	44%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

NormalBalanced risk and income▾

Strike $10 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $34,710 (premium included).

Called-away odds32%

SaferRiskier

SELL 30 × $10 CALL

30 Oct 2026 · 30 DTE · bid $0.43 / mid $0.54 · $1,290 this cycle

11.0%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

68%

Income / mo

$1,290

Annualized

55%

EV / cycle

+$348

If assigned

-$34,710

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.73/share ($2,193 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 11 at spot $10.75.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$10.50	37d	-$0.15	$-0.30 to $-0.18	65%	54%
Ss Escape	$10.04	37d	+$0.12	$0.00 to $0.10	61%	44%
Safety Up	$11.54	37d	-$0.40	$-0.59 to $-0.47	77%	72%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

stock_fight.py · generated 2026-09-30 21:47 · read-only, advisory. Places no orders.