SBET @ $9.29

DEEP DRAWDOWN
Covered-call income plan ⌂ Portfolio
AccountU10001299
Shares3,000
Avg cost$22.50
Drawdown-58.7%
IV regimeHIGH
Writable30
Deep drawdown. Earn income while the position recovers without capping the rebound. The safest rung that still clears the income floor is recommended; Ultra Safe goes deeper OTM for the lowest called-away odds when you want maximum room above your $22.50 basis.
Income playbook
ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾
Strike $10 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $35,700 (premium included).
Called-away odds13%
SaferRiskier
SELL 30 × $10 CALL
9 Oct 2026 · 8 DTE · bid $0.10 / mid $0.11 · $300 this cycle
13.0%
OTM
Survival (OTM)
87%
Income / mo
$1,125
Annualized
49%
EV / cycle
+$202
If assigned
-$35,700
If challenged: pre-priced escape map
If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.37/share ($1,096 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 5 at spot $10.73.
DoorNew strikeTenorEst credit/shP25-P75POPSurvival
Credit Out$10.5015d+$0.14$0.11 to $0.2068%52%
Up And Out$10.7115d+$0.05$-0.01 to $0.0971%59%
Ss Escape$11.7136d+$0.01$-0.12 to $0.0478%73%
Safety Up$12.2136d-$0.09$-0.24 to $-0.0681%79%
Reliable Up$11.2136d+$0.15$0.05 to $0.2074%66%
Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.
Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾
Strike $12 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $31,410 (premium included).
Called-away odds1%
SaferRiskier
SELL 30 × $12 CALL
9 Oct 2026 · 8 DTE · bid $0.03 / mid $0.04 · $90 this cycle
29.2%
OTM
Survival (OTM)
99%
Income / mo
$337
Annualized
15%
EV / cycle
+$89
If assigned
-$31,410
If challenged: pre-priced escape map
If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.42/share ($1,252 total).
DoorNew strikeTenorEst credit/shP25-P75POPSurvival
Credit Out$12.0015d+$0.11-68%52%
Up And Out$12.2115d+$0.01-71%59%
Ss Escape$12.7129d+$0.09-75%67%
Safety Up$13.2136d-$0.02-77%72%
Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.
NormalBalanced risk and income▾
Strike $10 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $36,960 (premium included).
Called-away odds25%
SaferRiskier
SELL 30 × $10 CALL
9 Oct 2026 · 8 DTE · bid $0.18 / mid $0.19 · $540 this cycle
7.6%
OTM
Survival (OTM)
75%
Income / mo
$2,025
Annualized
88%
EV / cycle
+$250
If assigned
-$36,960
If challenged: pre-priced escape map
If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.35/share ($1,044 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 4 at spot $10.21.
DoorNew strikeTenorEst credit/shP25-P75POPSurvival
Credit Out$10.0015d+$0.15$0.10 to $0.1768%52%
Up And Out$10.2115d+$0.06$-0.01 to $0.0671%59%
Ss Escape$11.2136d+$0.01$-0.12 to $0.0178%73%
Safety Up$11.7122d-$0.16$-0.31 to $-0.1886%84%
Reliable Up$10.7136d+$0.15$0.04 to $0.1574%67%
Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.
ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾
Strike $12 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $31,050 (premium included).
Called-away odds17%
SaferRiskier
SELL 30 × $12 CALL
6 Nov 2026 · 36 DTE · bid $0.15 / mid $0.34 · $450 this cycle
29.2%
OTM
Survival (OTM)
83%
Income / mo
$375
Annualized
16%
EV / cycle
+$58
If assigned
-$31,050
If challenged: pre-priced escape map
No pre-priced escape map: the near-term chain is too sparse to anchor an honest buyback.
Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾
Strike $14 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $26,670 (premium included).
Called-away odds11%
SaferRiskier
SELL 30 × $14 CALL
6 Nov 2026 · 36 DTE · bid $0.11 / mid $0.14 · $330 this cycle
45.3%
OTM
Survival (OTM)
89%
Income / mo
$275
Annualized
12%
EV / cycle
+$129
If assigned
-$26,670
If challenged: pre-priced escape map
No pre-priced escape map: the near-term chain is too sparse to anchor an honest buyback.
NormalBalanced risk and income▾
Strike $10 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $35,940 (premium included).
Called-away odds38%
SaferRiskier
SELL 30 × $10 CALL
6 Nov 2026 · 36 DTE · bid $0.52 / mid $0.68 · $1,560 this cycle
7.6%
OTM
Survival (OTM)
62%
Income / mo
$1,300
Annualized
57%
EV / cycle
+$271
If assigned
-$35,940
If challenged: pre-priced escape map
No pre-priced escape map: the near-term chain is too sparse to anchor an honest buyback.
stock_fight.py · generated 2026-10-01 03:50 · read-only, advisory. Places no orders.