SBET @ $9.56

DEEP DRAWDOWN

Covered-call income plan ⌂ Portfolio

AccountU10001299

Shares3,000

Avg cost$22.50

Drawdown-57.5%

IV regimeHIGH

Writable30

Deep drawdown. Earn income while the position recovers without capping the rebound. The safest rung that still clears the income floor is recommended; Ultra Safe goes deeper OTM for the lowest called-away odds when you want maximum room above your $22.50 basis.

Income playbook

ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾

Strike $12 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $32,700 (premium included).

Called-away odds18%

SaferRiskier

SELL 30 × $12 CALL

23 Oct 2026 · 22 DTE · bid $0.10 / mid $0.17 · $300 this cycle

20.3%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

82%

Income / mo

$409

Annualized

17%

EV / cycle

-$40

If assigned

-$32,700

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.63/share ($1,891 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 13 at spot $11.76.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$11.50	29d	-$0.17	$-0.27 to $-0.11	63%	53%
Ss Escape	$10.94	29d	+$0.05	$-0.03 to $0.14	56%	40%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾

Strike $11 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $34,410 (premium included).

Called-away odds13%

SaferRiskier

SELL 30 × $11 CALL

9 Oct 2026 · 8 DTE · bid $0.03 / mid $0.14 · $90 this cycle

15.1%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

87%

Income / mo

$337

Annualized

14%

EV / cycle

-$21

If assigned

-$34,410

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.38/share ($1,142 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 6 at spot $11.26.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$11.00	15d	+$0.08	$0.04 to $0.15	65%	52%
Ss Escape	$11.44	29d	+$0.06	$-0.03 to $0.13	69%	62%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

NormalBalanced risk and income▾

Strike $10 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $36,900 (premium included).

Called-away odds35%

SaferRiskier

SELL 30 × $10 CALL

9 Oct 2026 · 8 DTE · bid $0.20 / mid $0.24 · $600 this cycle

4.6%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

65%

Income / mo

$2,250

Annualized

95%

EV / cycle

+$56

If assigned

-$36,900

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.35/share ($1,039 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 3 at spot $10.23.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$10.00	15d	+$0.10	$0.02 to $0.08	66%	53%
Ss Escape	$10.44	29d	+$0.07	$-0.07 to $0.03	70%	62%
Safety Up	$11.94	29d	-$0.15	$-0.34 to $-0.22	85%	83%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away oddsRECOMMENDED▾

Strike $11 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $34,020 (premium included).

Called-away odds30%

SaferRiskier

SELL 30 × $11 CALL

6 Nov 2026 · 36 DTE · bid $0.16 / mid $0.41 · $480 this cycle

15.1%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

70%

Income / mo

$400

Annualized

17%

EV / cycle

-$534

If assigned

-$34,020

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.90/share ($2,708 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 14 at spot $11.27.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$11.00	43d	-$0.45	$-0.70 to $-0.50	62%	54%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

ConservativeSafe, deep OTM▾

Strike $12 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $29,970 (premium included).

Annualized yield 1.1% is below the 12% floor: thin premium for this position size.

Called-away odds18%

SaferRiskier

SELL 30 × $12 CALL

6 Nov 2026 · 36 DTE · bid $0.01 / mid $0.21 · $30 this cycle

30.8%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

82%

Income / mo

$25

Annualized

EV / cycle

-$475

If assigned

-$29,970

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $1.03/share ($3,077 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 21 at spot $12.79.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$12.50	43d	-$0.56	$-0.73 to $-0.43	62%	53%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

NormalBalanced risk and income▾

Strike $10 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $35,190 (premium included).

Called-away odds36%

SaferRiskier

SELL 30 × $10 CALL

6 Nov 2026 · 36 DTE · bid $0.27 / mid $0.53 · $810 this cycle

9.8%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

64%

Income / mo

$675

Annualized

29%

EV / cycle

-$518

If assigned

-$35,190

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.86/share ($2,585 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 11 at spot $10.75.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$10.50	43d	-$0.42	$-0.69 to $-0.52	62%	54%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

stock_fight.py · generated 2026-10-01 21:49 · read-only, advisory. Places no orders.