SBET @ $9.56

DEEP DRAWDOWN

Covered-call income plan ⌂ Portfolio

AccountU10001299

Shares3,000

Avg cost$22.50

Drawdown-57.5%

IV regimeHIGH

Writable30

Deep drawdown. Earn income while the position recovers without capping the rebound. The safest rung that still clears the income floor is recommended; Ultra Safe goes deeper OTM for the lowest called-away odds when you want maximum room above your $22.50 basis.

Income playbook

ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾

Strike $10 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $35,520 (premium included).

Called-away odds20%

SaferRiskier

SELL 30 × $10 CALL

9 Oct 2026 · 7 DTE · bid $0.16 / mid $0.17 · $480 this cycle

9.8%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

80%

Income / mo

$2,057

Annualized

87%

EV / cycle

+$286

If assigned

-$35,520

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.36/share ($1,083 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 4 at spot $10.74.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$10.50	14d	+$0.15	$0.10 to $0.19	68%	52%
Ss Escape	$11.44	28d	+$0.07	$-0.04 to $0.09	78%	71%
Safety Up	$12.44	28d	-$0.13	$-0.28 to $-0.12	86%	83%
Reliable Up	$10.94	28d	+$0.23	$0.14 to $0.27	73%	62%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾

Strike $12 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $29,790 (premium included).

Called-away odds6%

SaferRiskier

SELL 30 × $12 CALL

23 Oct 2026 · 21 DTE · bid $0.07 / mid $0.10 · $210 this cycle

30.8%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

94%

Income / mo

$300

Annualized

13%

EV / cycle

+$160

If assigned

-$29,790

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.74/share ($2,213 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 15 at spot $12.77.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$12.50	28d	-$0.21	$-0.26 to $-0.04	64%	53%
Ss Escape	$12.44	42d	+$0.04	$-0.01 to $0.24	65%	53%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

NormalBalanced risk and income▾

Strike $10 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $36,870 (premium included).

Called-away odds33%

SaferRiskier

SELL 30 × $10 CALL

9 Oct 2026 · 7 DTE · bid $0.21 / mid $0.28 · $630 this cycle

4.6%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

67%

Income / mo

$2,700

Annualized

115%

EV / cycle

+$166

If assigned

-$36,870

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.34/share ($1,031 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 3 at spot $10.22.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$10.00	14d	+$0.16	$0.09 to $0.15	68%	52%
Ss Escape	$10.94	28d	+$0.07	$-0.08 to $0.04	78%	72%
Safety Up	$11.94	28d	-$0.12	$-0.31 to $-0.17	86%	84%
Reliable Up	$10.44	28d	+$0.23	$0.11 to $0.21	73%	63%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away oddsRECOMMENDED▾

Strike $12 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $32,400 (premium included).

Called-away odds25%

SaferRiskier

SELL 30 × $12 CALL

13 Nov 2026 · 42 DTE · bid $0.20 / mid $0.45 · $600 this cycle

20.3%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

75%

Income / mo

$429

Annualized

18%

EV / cycle

-$191

If assigned

-$32,400

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

No pre-priced escape map: the near-term chain is too sparse to anchor an honest buyback.

ConservativeSafe, deep OTM▾

Strike $12 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $29,820 (premium included).

Annualized yield 5.5% is below the 12% floor: thin premium for this position size.

Called-away odds17%

SaferRiskier

SELL 30 × $12 CALL

13 Nov 2026 · 42 DTE · bid $0.06 / mid $0.30 · $180 this cycle

30.8%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

83%

Income / mo

$129

Annualized

EV / cycle

-$209

If assigned

-$29,820

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

No pre-priced escape map: the near-term chain is too sparse to anchor an honest buyback.

NormalBalanced risk and income▾

Strike $10 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $34,680 (premium included).

Called-away odds37%

SaferRiskier

SELL 30 × $10 CALL

13 Nov 2026 · 42 DTE · bid $0.44 / mid $0.70 · $1,320 this cycle

9.8%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

63%

Income / mo

$943

Annualized

40%

EV / cycle

-$142

If assigned

-$34,680

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

No pre-priced escape map: the near-term chain is too sparse to anchor an honest buyback.

stock_fight.py · generated 2026-10-02 03:50 · read-only, advisory. Places no orders.