SBET @ $9.31

DEEP DRAWDOWN

Covered-call income plan ⌂ Portfolio

AccountU10001299

Shares3,000

Avg cost$22.50

Drawdown-58.6%

IV regimeHIGH

Writable30

Deep drawdown. Earn income while the position recovers without capping the rebound. The safest rung that still clears the income floor is recommended; Ultra Safe goes deeper OTM for the lowest called-away odds when you want maximum room above your $22.50 basis.

Income playbook

ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾

Strike $10 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $35,520 (premium included).

Called-away odds20%

SaferRiskier

SELL 30 × $10 CALL

16 Oct 2026 · 13 DTE · bid $0.16 / mid $0.18 · $480 this cycle

12.8%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

80%

Income / mo

$1,108

Annualized

48%

EV / cycle

+$228

If assigned

-$35,520

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.48/share ($1,437 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 7 at spot $10.74.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$10.50	20d	+$0.02	$-0.07 to $0.04	66%	53%
Ss Escape	$11.19	34d	+$0.02	$-0.09 to $0.05	75%	67%
Safety Up	$11.69	41d	-$0.14	$-0.30 to $-0.12	78%	74%
Reliable Up	$11.19	41d	+$0.08	$-0.04 to $0.11	75%	66%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾

Strike $12 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $32,940 (premium included).

Called-away odds1%

SaferRiskier

SELL 30 × $12 CALL

9 Oct 2026 · 6 DTE · bid $0.02 / mid $0.03 · $60 this cycle

23.5%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

99%

Income / mo

$300

Annualized

13%

EV / cycle

+$59

If assigned

-$32,940

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.41/share ($1,226 total).

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$11.50	13d	+$0.06	-	67%	52%
Ss Escape	$12.19	27d	+$0.05	-	75%	67%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

NormalBalanced risk and income▾

Strike $10 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $36,750 (premium included).

Called-away odds30%

SaferRiskier

SELL 30 × $10 CALL

16 Oct 2026 · 13 DTE · bid $0.25 / mid $0.28 · $750 this cycle

7.4%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

70%

Income / mo

$1,731

Annualized

75%

EV / cycle

+$250

If assigned

-$36,750

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.46/share ($1,369 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 6 at spot $10.22.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$10.00	20d	+$0.03	$-0.07 to $0.02	66%	53%
Ss Escape	$10.69	34d	+$0.03	$-0.10 to $0.01	75%	67%
Safety Up	$12.19	41d	-$0.22	$-0.41 to $-0.26	87%	85%
Reliable Up	$10.19	41d	+$0.27	$0.15 to $0.26	70%	58%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾

Strike $12 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $32,160 (premium included).

Called-away odds19%

SaferRiskier

SELL 30 × $12 CALL

13 Nov 2026 · 41 DTE · bid $0.28 / mid $0.47 · $840 this cycle

23.5%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

81%

Income / mo

$615

Annualized

27%

EV / cycle

+$438

If assigned

-$32,160

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

No pre-priced escape map: the near-term chain is too sparse to anchor an honest buyback.

Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾

Strike $12 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $30,990 (premium included).

Called-away odds14%

SaferRiskier

SELL 30 × $12 CALL

13 Nov 2026 · 41 DTE · bid $0.17 / mid $0.38 · $510 this cycle

28.9%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

86%

Income / mo

$373

Annualized

16%

EV / cycle

+$251

If assigned

-$30,990

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

No pre-priced escape map: the near-term chain is too sparse to anchor an honest buyback.

NormalBalanced risk and income▾

Strike $10 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $35,850 (premium included).

Called-away odds37%

SaferRiskier

SELL 30 × $10 CALL

6 Nov 2026 · 34 DTE · bid $0.55 / mid $0.64 · $1,650 this cycle

7.4%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

63%

Income / mo

$1,456

Annualized

63%

EV / cycle

+$509

If assigned

-$35,850

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.94/share ($2,823 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 10 at spot $10.22.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$10.00	41d	-$0.27	$-0.50 to $-0.37	68%	53%
Ss Escape	$9.19	41d	+$0.17	$-0.04 to $0.09	60%	35%
Safety Up	$10.69	41d	-$0.52	$-0.78 to $-0.64	75%	68%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

stock_fight.py · generated 2026-10-03 03:50 · read-only, advisory. Places no orders.