SBET @ $9.47

DEEP DRAWDOWN

Covered-call income plan ⌂ Portfolio

AccountU10001299

Shares3,000

Avg cost$22.50

Drawdown-57.9%

IV regimeHIGH

Writable30

Deep drawdown. Earn income while the position recovers without capping the rebound. The safest rung that still clears the income floor is recommended; Ultra Safe goes deeper OTM for the lowest called-away odds when you want maximum room above your $22.50 basis.

Income playbook

ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾

Strike $11 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $34,170 (premium included).

Called-away odds15%

SaferRiskier

SELL 30 × $11 CALL

16 Oct 2026 · 11 DTE · bid $0.11 / mid $0.12 · $330 this cycle

16.2%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

85%

Income / mo

$900

Annualized

39%

EV / cycle

+$179

If assigned

-$34,170

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.49/share ($1,471 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 7 at spot $11.26.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$11.00	18d	-$0.06	$-0.15 to $0.00	64%	52%
Ss Escape	$12.03	39d	+$0.06	$-0.04 to $0.13	77%	70%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾

Strike $12 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $31,290 (premium included).

Called-away odds9%

SaferRiskier

SELL 30 × $12 CALL

23 Oct 2026 · 18 DTE · bid $0.07 / mid $0.13 · $210 this cycle

26.7%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

91%

Income / mo

$350

Annualized

15%

EV / cycle

+$132

If assigned

-$31,290

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.70/share ($2,090 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 12 at spot $12.28.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$12.00	25d	-$0.19	$-0.26 to $-0.05	64%	53%
Ss Escape	$12.03	39d	+$0.04	$-0.03 to $0.20	66%	54%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

NormalBalanced risk and income▾

Strike $10 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $36,630 (premium included).

Called-away odds34%

SaferRiskier

SELL 30 × $10 CALL

16 Oct 2026 · 11 DTE · bid $0.29 / mid $0.32 · $870 this cycle

5.6%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

66%

Income / mo

$2,373

Annualized

102%

EV / cycle

+$257

If assigned

-$36,630

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.45/share ($1,337 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 4 at spot $10.23.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$10.00	18d	-$0.03	$-0.17 to $-0.07	65%	53%
Ss Escape	$11.03	39d	+$0.08	$-0.08 to $0.03	77%	71%
Safety Up	$11.03	18d	-$0.24	$-0.42 to $-0.30	82%	78%
Reliable Up	$10.53	32d	+$0.13	$-0.01 to $0.09	73%	64%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾

Strike $12 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $29,520 (premium included).

Called-away odds16%

SaferRiskier

SELL 30 × $12 CALL

6 Nov 2026 · 32 DTE · bid $0.16 / mid $0.21 · $480 this cycle

32.0%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

84%

Income / mo

$450

Annualized

19%

EV / cycle

+$124

If assigned

-$29,520

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $1.19/share ($3,559 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 20 at spot $12.80.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$12.50	39d	-$0.52	$-0.68 to $-0.38	66%	53%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾

Strike $12 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $29,520 (premium included).

Called-away odds16%

SaferRiskier

SELL 30 × $12 CALL

6 Nov 2026 · 32 DTE · bid $0.16 / mid $0.21 · $480 this cycle

32.0%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

84%

Income / mo

$450

Annualized

19%

EV / cycle

+$124

If assigned

-$29,520

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $1.19/share ($3,559 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 20 at spot $12.80.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$12.50	39d	-$0.52	$-0.68 to $-0.38	66%	53%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

NormalBalanced risk and income▾

Strike $10 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $34,560 (premium included).

Called-away odds33%

SaferRiskier

SELL 30 × $10 CALL

6 Nov 2026 · 32 DTE · bid $0.48 / mid $0.69 · $1,440 this cycle

10.9%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

67%

Income / mo

$1,350

Annualized

58%

EV / cycle

+$385

If assigned

-$34,560

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $1.00/share ($2,990 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 11 at spot $10.75.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$10.50	39d	-$0.36	$-0.62 to $-0.44	66%	54%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

stock_fight.py · generated 2026-10-05 21:47 · read-only, advisory. Places no orders.