SBET @ $9.57

DEEP DRAWDOWN

Covered-call income plan ⌂ Portfolio

AccountU10001299

Shares3,000

Avg cost$22.50

Drawdown-57.5%

IV regimeHIGH

Writable30

Deep drawdown. Earn income while the position recovers without capping the rebound. The safest rung that still clears the income floor is recommended; Ultra Safe goes deeper OTM for the lowest called-away odds when you want maximum room above your $22.50 basis.

Income playbook

ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾

Strike $11 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $34,200 (premium included).

Called-away odds15%

SaferRiskier

SELL 30 × $11 CALL

16 Oct 2026 · 10 DTE · bid $0.10 / mid $0.12 · $300 this cycle

14.9%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

85%

Income / mo

$900

Annualized

38%

EV / cycle

+$158

If assigned

-$34,200

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.62/share ($1,861 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 7 at spot $11.25.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$11.00	17d	-$0.10	$-0.23 to $-0.02	67%	52%
Ss Escape	$11.43	45d	+$0.17	$0.00 to $0.26	71%	61%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾

Strike $12 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $31,380 (premium included).

Called-away odds6%

SaferRiskier

SELL 30 × $12 CALL

16 Oct 2026 · 10 DTE · bid $0.04 / mid $0.07 · $120 this cycle

25.4%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

94%

Income / mo

$360

Annualized

15%

EV / cycle

+$87

If assigned

-$31,380

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.68/share ($2,031 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 8 at spot $12.29.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$12.00	17d	-$0.14	$-0.22 to $-0.01	67%	52%
Ss Escape	$12.43	45d	+$0.13	$0.04 to $0.29	71%	61%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

NormalBalanced risk and income▾

Strike $10 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $34,950 (premium included).

Called-away odds32%

SaferRiskier

SELL 30 × $10 CALL

30 Oct 2026 · 24 DTE · bid $0.35 / mid $0.41 · $1,050 this cycle

9.7%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

68%

Income / mo

$1,312

Annualized

56%

EV / cycle

+$270

If assigned

-$34,950

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.68/share ($2,027 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 9 at spot $10.73.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$10.50	31d	-$0.06	$-0.17 to $-0.08	68%	53%
Ss Escape	$10.93	45d	+$0.01	$-0.15 to $-0.03	72%	62%
Safety Up	$11.43	38d	-$0.29	$-0.47 to $-0.34	76%	71%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾

Strike $12 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $31,050 (premium included).

Called-away odds16%

SaferRiskier

SELL 30 × $12 CALL

6 Nov 2026 · 31 DTE · bid $0.15 / mid $0.21 · $450 this cycle

25.4%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

84%

Income / mo

$435

Annualized

18%

EV / cycle

+$152

If assigned

-$31,050

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.97/share ($2,913 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 18 at spot $12.25.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$12.00	38d	-$0.29	$-0.41 to $-0.19	67%	53%
Ss Escape	$11.43	45d	+$0.13	$0.02 to $0.27	63%	43%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾

Strike $14 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $24,960 (premium included).

Called-away odds11%

SaferRiskier

SELL 30 × $14 CALL

20 Nov 2026 · 45 DTE · bid $0.18 / mid $0.19 · $540 this cycle

46.3%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

89%

Income / mo

$360

Annualized

15%

EV / cycle

+$311

If assigned

-$24,960

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

No pre-priced escape map: the near-term chain is too sparse to anchor an honest buyback.

NormalBalanced risk and income▾

Strike $10 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $34,500 (premium included).

Called-away odds35%

SaferRiskier

SELL 30 × $10 CALL

13 Nov 2026 · 38 DTE · bid $0.50 / mid $0.59 · $1,500 this cycle

9.7%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

65%

Income / mo

$1,184

Annualized

50%

EV / cycle

+$311

If assigned

-$34,500

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.81/share ($2,430 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 12 at spot $10.74.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$10.50	45d	-$0.04	$-0.16 to $-0.09	68%	54%
Ss Escape	$9.93	45d	+$0.21	$0.10 to $0.18	62%	42%
Safety Up	$10.93	45d	-$0.22	$-0.36 to $-0.28	72%	62%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

stock_fight.py · generated 2026-10-06 03:50 · read-only, advisory. Places no orders.