SBET @ $9.65

DEEP DRAWDOWN

Covered-call income plan ⌂ Portfolio

AccountU10001299

Shares3,000

Avg cost$22.50

Drawdown-57.1%

IV regimeHIGH

Writable30

Deep drawdown. Earn income while the position recovers without capping the rebound. The safest rung that still clears the income floor is recommended; Ultra Safe goes deeper OTM for the lowest called-away odds when you want maximum room above your $22.50 basis.

Income playbook

ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾

Strike $11 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $34,200 (premium included).

Called-away odds16%

SaferRiskier

SELL 30 × $11 CALL

16 Oct 2026 · 10 DTE · bid $0.10 / mid $0.13 · $300 this cycle

14.0%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

84%

Income / mo

$900

Annualized

38%

EV / cycle

+$132

If assigned

-$34,200

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.44/share ($1,317 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 6 at spot $11.24.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$11.00	17d	+$0.05	$-0.00 to $0.10	66%	53%
Ss Escape	$12.35	45d	+$0.07	$-0.04 to $0.11	78%	72%
Safety Up	$13.35	45d	-$0.10	$-0.24 to $-0.06	84%	81%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾

Strike $12 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $31,380 (premium included).

Called-away odds6%

SaferRiskier

SELL 30 × $12 CALL

16 Oct 2026 · 10 DTE · bid $0.04 / mid $0.05 · $120 this cycle

24.4%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

94%

Income / mo

$360

Annualized

15%

EV / cycle

+$79

If assigned

-$31,380

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.48/share ($1,437 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 8 at spot $12.27.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$12.00	17d	+$0.03	$0.02 to $0.16	66%	52%
Ss Escape	$13.35	45d	+$0.06	$-0.01 to $0.19	77%	72%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

NormalBalanced risk and income▾

Strike $10 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $35,430 (premium included).

Called-away odds26%

SaferRiskier

SELL 30 × $10 CALL

16 Oct 2026 · 10 DTE · bid $0.19 / mid $0.23 · $570 this cycle

8.8%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

74%

Income / mo

$1,710

Annualized

72%

EV / cycle

+$213

If assigned

-$35,430

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.42/share ($1,258 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 5 at spot $10.75.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$10.50	17d	+$0.07	$-0.02 to $0.08	66%	53%
Ss Escape	$11.85	45d	+$0.08	$-0.08 to $0.07	78%	73%
Safety Up	$12.85	45d	-$0.09	$-0.27 to $-0.10	84%	81%
Reliable Up	$10.85	45d	+$0.45	$0.34 to $0.47	72%	60%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾

Strike $12 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $29,520 (premium included).

Called-away odds16%

SaferRiskier

SELL 30 × $12 CALL

6 Nov 2026 · 31 DTE · bid $0.16 / mid $0.18 · $480 this cycle

29.5%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

84%

Income / mo

$465

Annualized

20%

EV / cycle

+$129

If assigned

-$29,520

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $1.02/share ($3,051 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 19 at spot $12.80.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$12.50	38d	-$0.40	$-0.53 to $-0.29	65%	53%
Ss Escape	$11.85	45d	+$0.20	$0.13 to $0.38	63%	42%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾

Strike $14 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $24,960 (premium included).

Called-away odds12%

SaferRiskier

SELL 30 × $14 CALL

20 Nov 2026 · 45 DTE · bid $0.18 / mid $0.24 · $540 this cycle

45.1%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

88%

Income / mo

$360

Annualized

15%

EV / cycle

+$274

If assigned

-$24,960

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

No pre-priced escape map: the near-term chain is too sparse to anchor an honest buyback.

NormalBalanced risk and income▾

Strike $11 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $32,940 (premium included).

Called-away odds32%

SaferRiskier

SELL 30 × $11 CALL

20 Nov 2026 · 45 DTE · bid $0.52 / mid $0.61 · $1,560 this cycle

14.0%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

68%

Income / mo

$1,040

Annualized

44%

EV / cycle

+$349

If assigned

-$32,940

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

No pre-priced escape map: the near-term chain is too sparse to anchor an honest buyback.

stock_fight.py · generated 2026-10-06 21:49 · read-only, advisory. Places no orders.