SBET @ $9.44

DEEP DRAWDOWN
Covered-call income plan ⌂ Portfolio
AccountU10001299
Shares3,000
Avg cost$22.50
Drawdown-58.0%
IV regimeHIGH
Writable30
Deep drawdown. Earn income while the position recovers without capping the rebound. The safest rung that still clears the income floor is recommended; Ultra Safe goes deeper OTM for the lowest called-away odds when you want maximum room above your $22.50 basis.
Income playbook
ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾
Strike $10 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $35,760 (premium included).
Called-away odds19%
SaferRiskier
SELL 30 × $10 CALL
16 Oct 2026 · 9 DTE · bid $0.08 / mid $0.14 · $240 this cycle
11.2%
OTM
Survival (OTM)
81%
Income / mo
$800
Annualized
34%
EV / cycle
+$52
If assigned
-$35,760
If challenged: pre-priced escape map
If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.52/share ($1,570 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 6 at spot $10.71.
DoorNew strikeTenorEst credit/shP25-P75POPSurvival
Credit Out$10.5016d-$0.11$-0.24 to $-0.0665%52%
Ss Escape$11.0637d+$0.07$-0.08 to $0.1373%64%
Reliable Up$11.0644d+$0.15$-0.01 to $0.2172%63%
Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.
Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾
Strike $12 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $31,410 (premium included).
Called-away odds4%
SaferRiskier
SELL 30 × $12 CALL
16 Oct 2026 · 9 DTE · bid $0.03 / mid $0.04 · $90 this cycle
27.1%
OTM
Survival (OTM)
96%
Income / mo
$300
Annualized
13%
EV / cycle
+$70
If assigned
-$31,410
If challenged: pre-priced escape map
If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.60/share ($1,794 total).
DoorNew strikeTenorEst credit/shP25-P75POPSurvival
Credit Out$12.0016d-$0.17-65%52%
Ss Escape$12.5637d+$0.02-73%63%
Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.
NormalBalanced risk and income▾
Strike $10 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $36,690 (premium included).
Called-away odds35%
SaferRiskier
SELL 30 × $10 CALL
23 Oct 2026 · 16 DTE · bid $0.27 / mid $0.36 · $810 this cycle
5.9%
OTM
Survival (OTM)
65%
Income / mo
$1,519
Annualized
65%
EV / cycle
+$104
If assigned
-$36,690
If challenged: pre-priced escape map
If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.53/share ($1,587 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 6 at spot $10.21.
DoorNew strikeTenorEst credit/shP25-P75POPSurvival
Credit Out$10.0023d-$0.05$-0.18 to $-0.1066%53%
Ss Escape$10.5637d+$0.00$-0.16 to $-0.0573%65%
Safety Up$12.5644d-$0.26$-0.49 to $-0.3487%86%
Reliable Up$10.0637d+$0.18$0.03 to $0.1369%55%
Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.
ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾
Strike $12 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $30,510 (premium included).
Called-away odds19%
SaferRiskier
SELL 30 × $12 CALL
20 Nov 2026 · 44 DTE · bid $0.33 / mid $0.44 · $990 this cycle
27.1%
OTM
Survival (OTM)
81%
Income / mo
$675
Annualized
29%
EV / cycle
+$491
If assigned
-$30,510
If challenged: pre-priced escape map
No pre-priced escape map: the near-term chain is too sparse to anchor an honest buyback.
Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾
Strike $12 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $31,200 (premium included).
Called-away odds12%
SaferRiskier
SELL 30 × $12 CALL
6 Nov 2026 · 30 DTE · bid $0.10 / mid $0.18 · $300 this cycle
27.1%
OTM
Survival (OTM)
88%
Income / mo
$300
Annualized
13%
EV / cycle
+$151
If assigned
-$31,200
If challenged: pre-priced escape map
If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.81/share ($2,436 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 19 at spot $12.25.
DoorNew strikeTenorEst credit/shP25-P75POPSurvival
Credit Out$12.0037d-$0.14$-0.20 to $-0.0267%53%
Ss Escape$11.5637d+$0.06$0.03 to $0.2262%43%
Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.
NormalBalanced risk and income▾
Strike $10 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $35,040 (premium included).
Called-away odds30%
SaferRiskier
SELL 30 × $10 CALL
6 Nov 2026 · 30 DTE · bid $0.32 / mid $0.51 · $960 this cycle
11.2%
OTM
Survival (OTM)
70%
Income / mo
$960
Annualized
41%
EV / cycle
+$238
If assigned
-$35,040
If challenged: pre-priced escape map
If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.71/share ($2,132 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 12 at spot $10.73.
DoorNew strikeTenorEst credit/shP25-P75POPSurvival
Credit Out$10.5037d-$0.06$-0.17 to $-0.0767%53%
Ss Escape$10.0637d+$0.14$0.04 to $0.1663%43%
Safety Up$11.0637d-$0.26$-0.40 to $-0.2974%65%
Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.
stock_fight.py · generated 2026-10-07 03:50 · read-only, advisory. Places no orders.