SBET @ $8.90

DEEP DRAWDOWN

Covered-call income plan ⌂ Portfolio

AccountU10001299

Shares3,000

Avg cost$22.50

Drawdown-60.4%

IV regimeHIGH

Writable30

Deep drawdown. Earn income while the position recovers without capping the rebound. The safest rung that still clears the income floor is recommended; Ultra Safe goes deeper OTM for the lowest called-away odds when you want maximum room above your $22.50 basis.

Income playbook

ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾

Strike $10 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $37,230 (premium included).

Called-away odds15%

SaferRiskier

SELL 30 × $10 CALL

16 Oct 2026 · 8 DTE · bid $0.09 / mid $0.10 · $270 this cycle

12.3%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

85%

Income / mo

$1,012

Annualized

46%

EV / cycle

+$155

If assigned

-$37,230

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.35/share ($1,055 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 5 at spot $10.21.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$10.00	15d	+$0.05	$-0.01 to $0.10	66%	52%
Up And Out	$10.10	15d	+$0.02	$-0.04 to $0.07	68%	56%
Ss Escape	$11.10	43d	+$0.14	$0.06 to $0.20	78%	71%
Safety Up	$12.10	43d	-$0.07	$-0.18 to $-0.03	84%	82%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾

Strike $11 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $34,410 (premium included).

Called-away odds4%

SaferRiskier

SELL 30 × $11 CALL

16 Oct 2026 · 8 DTE · bid $0.03 / mid $0.04 · $90 this cycle

23.5%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

96%

Income / mo

$337

Annualized

15%

EV / cycle

+$72

If assigned

-$34,410

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.39/share ($1,160 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 7 at spot $11.22.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$11.00	15d	+$0.02	$0.02 to $0.13	66%	52%
Ss Escape	$12.10	43d	+$0.13	$0.09 to $0.26	77%	71%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

NormalBalanced risk and income▾

Strike $10 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $38,190 (premium included).

Called-away odds33%

SaferRiskier

SELL 30 × $10 CALL

23 Oct 2026 · 15 DTE · bid $0.27 / mid $0.30 · $810 this cycle

6.7%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

67%

Income / mo

$1,620

Annualized

74%

EV / cycle

+$248

If assigned

-$38,190

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.56/share ($1,687 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 6 at spot $9.70.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$9.50	22d	-$0.22	$-0.42 to $-0.27	63%	53%
Ss Escape	$9.60	36d	+$0.12	$-0.04 to $0.08	69%	56%
Safety Up	$10.60	43d	-$0.12	$-0.33 to $-0.18	78%	72%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾

Strike $11 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $33,840 (premium included).

Called-away odds20%

SaferRiskier

SELL 30 × $11 CALL

13 Nov 2026 · 36 DTE · bid $0.22 / mid $0.34 · $660 this cycle

23.5%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

80%

Income / mo

$550

Annualized

25%

EV / cycle

+$240

If assigned

-$33,840

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.84/share ($2,521 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 19 at spot $11.25.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$11.00	43d	-$0.29	$-0.43 to $-0.23	65%	53%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾

Strike $13 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $28,110 (premium included).

Called-away odds10%

SaferRiskier

SELL 30 × $13 CALL

20 Nov 2026 · 43 DTE · bid $0.13 / mid $0.24 · $390 this cycle

46.0%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

90%

Income / mo

$272

Annualized

12%

EV / cycle

+$206

If assigned

-$28,110

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

No pre-priced escape map: the near-term chain is too sparse to anchor an honest buyback.

NormalBalanced risk and income▾

Strike $10 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $36,000 (premium included).

Called-away odds33%

SaferRiskier

SELL 30 × $10 CALL

20 Nov 2026 · 43 DTE · bid $0.50 / mid $0.65 · $1,500 this cycle

12.3%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

67%

Income / mo

$1,047

Annualized

48%

EV / cycle

+$455

If assigned

-$36,000

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

No pre-priced escape map: the near-term chain is too sparse to anchor an honest buyback.

stock_fight.py · generated 2026-10-08 03:50 · read-only, advisory. Places no orders.