SBET @ $8.61

DEEP DRAWDOWN
Covered-call income plan ⌂ Portfolio
AccountU10001299
Shares3,000
Avg cost$22.50
Drawdown-61.7%
IV regimeHIGH
Writable30
Deep drawdown. Earn income while the position recovers without capping the rebound. The safest rung that still clears the income floor is recommended; Ultra Safe goes deeper OTM for the lowest called-away odds when you want maximum room above your $22.50 basis.
Income playbook
ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾
Strike $10 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $38,760 (premium included).
Called-away odds19%
SaferRiskier
SELL 30 × $10 CALL
16 Oct 2026 · 8 DTE · bid $0.08 / mid $0.13 · $240 this cycle
10.3%
OTM
Survival (OTM)
81%
Income / mo
$900
Annualized
42%
EV / cycle
+$75
If assigned
-$38,760
If challenged: pre-priced escape map
If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.34/share ($1,034 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 5 at spot $9.70.
DoorNew strikeTenorEst credit/shP25-P75POPSurvival
Credit Out$9.5015d+$0.06$-0.00 to $0.0966%52%
Ss Escape$10.8943d+$0.07$-0.05 to $0.0881%76%
Reliable Up$9.8943d+$0.23$0.13 to $0.2671%61%
Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.
Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾
Strike $10 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $35,820 (premium included).
Called-away odds10%
SaferRiskier
SELL 30 × $10 CALL
23 Oct 2026 · 15 DTE · bid $0.06 / mid $0.08 · $180 this cycle
22.0%
OTM
Survival (OTM)
90%
Income / mo
$360
Annualized
17%
EV / cycle
+$98
If assigned
-$35,820
If challenged: pre-priced escape map
If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.51/share ($1,517 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 10 at spot $10.72.
DoorNew strikeTenorEst credit/shP25-P75POPSurvival
Credit Out$10.5022d-$0.06$-0.12 to $0.0465%52%
Ss Escape$10.8943d+$0.05$-0.02 to $0.1770%61%
Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.
NormalBalanced risk and income▾
Strike $9 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $39,960 (premium included).
Called-away odds34%
SaferRiskier
SELL 30 × $9 CALL
16 Oct 2026 · 8 DTE · bid $0.18 / mid $0.22 · $540 this cycle
4.5%
OTM
Survival (OTM)
66%
Income / mo
$2,025
Annualized
95%
EV / cycle
+$108
If assigned
-$39,960
If challenged: pre-priced escape map
If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.33/share ($979 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 3 at spot $9.19.
DoorNew strikeTenorEst credit/shP25-P75POPSurvival
Credit Out$9.0015d+$0.07$-0.02 to $0.0566%52%
Ss Escape$10.3943d+$0.07$-0.08 to $0.0381%76%
Safety Up$11.3943d-$0.10$-0.28 to $-0.1587%86%
Reliable Up$9.3943d+$0.23$0.10 to $0.2071%62%
Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.
ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾
Strike $11 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $33,750 (premium included).
Called-away odds18%
SaferRiskier
SELL 30 × $11 CALL
20 Nov 2026 · 43 DTE · bid $0.25 / mid $0.29 · $750 this cycle
27.8%
OTM
Survival (OTM)
82%
Income / mo
$523
Annualized
25%
EV / cycle
+$340
If assigned
-$33,750
If challenged: pre-priced escape map
No pre-priced escape map: the near-term chain is too sparse to anchor an honest buyback.
Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾
Strike $11 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $33,750 (premium included).
Called-away odds18%
SaferRiskier
SELL 30 × $11 CALL
20 Nov 2026 · 43 DTE · bid $0.25 / mid $0.29 · $750 this cycle
27.8%
OTM
Survival (OTM)
82%
Income / mo
$523
Annualized
25%
EV / cycle
+$340
If assigned
-$33,750
If challenged: pre-priced escape map
No pre-priced escape map: the near-term chain is too sparse to anchor an honest buyback.
NormalBalanced risk and income▾
Strike $10 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $36,240 (premium included).
Called-away odds28%
SaferRiskier
SELL 30 × $10 CALL
20 Nov 2026 · 43 DTE · bid $0.42 / mid $0.47 · $1,260 this cycle
16.1%
OTM
Survival (OTM)
72%
Income / mo
$879
Annualized
41%
EV / cycle
+$466
If assigned
-$36,240
If challenged: pre-priced escape map
No pre-priced escape map: the near-term chain is too sparse to anchor an honest buyback.
stock_fight.py · generated 2026-10-08 21:47 · read-only, advisory. Places no orders.