SBET @ $8.79

DEEP DRAWDOWN

Covered-call income plan ⌂ Portfolio

AccountU10001299

Shares3,000

Avg cost$22.50

Drawdown-60.9%

IV regimeHIGH

Writable30

Deep drawdown. Earn income while the position recovers without capping the rebound. The safest rung that still clears the income floor is recommended; Ultra Safe goes deeper OTM for the lowest called-away odds when you want maximum room above your $22.50 basis.

Income playbook

ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾

Strike $10 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $37,320 (premium included).

Called-away odds12%

SaferRiskier

SELL 30 × $10 CALL

16 Oct 2026 · 7 DTE · bid $0.06 / mid $0.13 · $180 this cycle

13.8%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

88%

Income / mo

$771

Annualized

36%

EV / cycle

+$103

If assigned

-$37,320

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.39/share ($1,157 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 5 at spot $10.22.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$10.00	14d	+$0.01	$-0.07 to $0.07	66%	52%
Ss Escape	$11.21	42d	+$0.05	$-0.08 to $0.11	78%	73%
Reliable Up	$10.21	42d	+$0.31	$0.21 to $0.38	69%	58%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾

Strike $11 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $34,350 (premium included).

Called-away odds7%

SaferRiskier

SELL 30 × $11 CALL

23 Oct 2026 · 14 DTE · bid $0.05 / mid $0.13 · $150 this cycle

25.1%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

93%

Income / mo

$321

Annualized

15%

EV / cycle

+$99

If assigned

-$34,350

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.52/share ($1,548 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 10 at spot $11.22.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$11.00	21d	-$0.08	$-0.12 to $0.05	65%	52%
Ss Escape	$11.21	35d	+$0.06	$0.02 to $0.21	70%	58%
Reliable Up	$11.21	42d	+$0.16	$0.11 to $0.31	69%	58%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

NormalBalanced risk and income▾

Strike $10 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $38,370 (premium included).

Called-away odds29%

SaferRiskier

SELL 30 × $10 CALL

23 Oct 2026 · 14 DTE · bid $0.21 / mid $0.33 · $630 this cycle

8.1%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

71%

Income / mo

$1,350

Annualized

62%

EV / cycle

+$193

If assigned

-$38,370

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.45/share ($1,337 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 6 at spot $9.70.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$9.50	21d	-$0.03	$-0.12 to $-0.04	66%	53%
Ss Escape	$9.71	35d	+$0.11	$-0.00 to $0.10	70%	58%
Safety Up	$11.71	42d	-$0.19	$-0.36 to $-0.23	86%	84%
Reliable Up	$9.71	42d	+$0.20	$0.08 to $0.19	69%	58%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾

Strike $11 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $33,960 (premium included).

Called-away odds18%

SaferRiskier

SELL 30 × $11 CALL

13 Nov 2026 · 35 DTE · bid $0.18 / mid $0.23 · $540 this cycle

25.1%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

82%

Income / mo

$463

Annualized

21%

EV / cycle

+$191

If assigned

-$33,960

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.93/share ($2,791 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 20 at spot $11.23.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$11.00	42d	-$0.27	$-0.39 to $-0.18	67%	53%
Ss Escape	$10.21	42d	+$0.18	$0.09 to $0.34	60%	35%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾

Strike $12 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $30,960 (premium included).

Called-away odds14%

SaferRiskier

SELL 30 × $12 CALL

20 Nov 2026 · 42 DTE · bid $0.18 / mid $0.29 · $540 this cycle

36.5%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

86%

Income / mo

$386

Annualized

18%

EV / cycle

+$266

If assigned

-$30,960

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

No pre-priced escape map: the near-term chain is too sparse to anchor an honest buyback.

NormalBalanced risk and income▾

Strike $10 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $37,890 (premium included).

Called-away odds36%

SaferRiskier

SELL 30 × $10 CALL

13 Nov 2026 · 35 DTE · bid $0.37 / mid $0.57 · $1,110 this cycle

8.1%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

64%

Income / mo

$951

Annualized

44%

EV / cycle

+$140

If assigned

-$37,890

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.80/share ($2,410 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 11 at spot $9.70.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$9.50	42d	-$0.17	$-0.34 to $-0.24	67%	54%
Ss Escape	$8.71	42d	+$0.28	$0.13 to $0.24	60%	34%
Safety Up	$9.71	42d	-$0.28	$-0.47 to $-0.35	69%	58%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

stock_fight.py · generated 2026-10-09 03:50 · read-only, advisory. Places no orders.