SBET @ $8.73

DEEP DRAWDOWN

Covered-call income plan ⌂ Portfolio

AccountU10001299

Shares3,000

Avg cost$22.50

Drawdown-61.2%

IV regimeHIGH

Writable30

Deep drawdown. Earn income while the position recovers without capping the rebound. The safest rung that still clears the income floor is recommended; Ultra Safe goes deeper OTM for the lowest called-away odds when you want maximum room above your $22.50 basis.

Income playbook

ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾

Strike $10 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $37,170 (premium included).

Called-away odds18%

SaferRiskier

SELL 30 × $10 CALL

23 Oct 2026 · 14 DTE · bid $0.11 / mid $0.15 · $330 this cycle

14.5%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

82%

Income / mo

$707

Annualized

33%

EV / cycle

+$135

If assigned

-$37,170

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.46/share ($1,387 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 8 at spot $10.22.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$10.00	21d	-$0.03	$-0.10 to $0.01	65%	53%
Ss Escape	$10.27	35d	+$0.01	$-0.10 to $0.06	68%	59%
Safety Up	$11.27	42d	-$0.05	$-0.17 to $-0.01	79%	74%
Reliable Up	$10.27	42d	+$0.25	$0.16 to $0.30	71%	59%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾

Strike $10 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $35,820 (premium included).

Called-away odds11%

SaferRiskier

SELL 30 × $10 CALL

23 Oct 2026 · 14 DTE · bid $0.06 / mid $0.12 · $180 this cycle

20.3%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

89%

Income / mo

$386

Annualized

18%

EV / cycle

+$87

If assigned

-$35,820

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.49/share ($1,456 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 10 at spot $10.71.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$10.50	21d	-$0.04	$-0.09 to $0.05	65%	53%
Ss Escape	$10.77	42d	+$0.23	$0.18 to $0.35	71%	59%
Safety Up	$11.77	42d	-$0.06	$-0.14 to $0.03	79%	74%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

NormalBalanced risk and income▾

Strike $9 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $39,870 (premium included).

Called-away odds38%

SaferRiskier

SELL 30 × $9 CALL

16 Oct 2026 · 7 DTE · bid $0.21 / mid $0.22 · $630 this cycle

3.1%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

62%

Income / mo

$2,700

Annualized

125%

EV / cycle

+$131

If assigned

-$39,870

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.29/share ($880 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 3 at spot $9.20.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$9.00	14d	+$0.11	$0.03 to $0.08	67%	52%
Ss Escape	$10.27	42d	+$0.13	$-0.02 to $0.08	80%	75%
Safety Up	$12.27	42d	-$0.14	$-0.35 to $-0.21	91%	90%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾

Strike $11 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $33,750 (premium included).

Called-away odds20%

SaferRiskier

SELL 30 × $11 CALL

20 Nov 2026 · 42 DTE · bid $0.25 / mid $0.34 · $750 this cycle

26.0%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

80%

Income / mo

$536

Annualized

25%

EV / cycle

+$269

If assigned

-$33,750

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

No pre-priced escape map: the near-term chain is too sparse to anchor an honest buyback.

Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾

Strike $12 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $30,990 (premium included).

Called-away odds13%

SaferRiskier

SELL 30 × $12 CALL

20 Nov 2026 · 42 DTE · bid $0.17 / mid $0.21 · $510 this cycle

37.5%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

87%

Income / mo

$364

Annualized

17%

EV / cycle

+$243

If assigned

-$30,990

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

No pre-priced escape map: the near-term chain is too sparse to anchor an honest buyback.

NormalBalanced risk and income▾

Strike $10 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $37,590 (premium included).

Called-away odds35%

SaferRiskier

SELL 30 × $10 CALL

13 Nov 2026 · 35 DTE · bid $0.47 / mid $0.49 · $1,410 this cycle

8.8%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

65%

Income / mo

$1,209

Annualized

56%

EV / cycle

+$383

If assigned

-$37,590

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.84/share ($2,533 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 11 at spot $9.71.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$9.50	42d	-$0.17	$-0.34 to $-0.23	68%	54%
Ss Escape	$8.77	42d	+$0.18	$0.01 to $0.13	60%	36%
Safety Up	$9.77	42d	-$0.28	$-0.47 to $-0.35	71%	60%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

stock_fight.py · generated 2026-10-09 21:49 · read-only, advisory. Places no orders.