SBET @ $8.44

DEEP DRAWDOWN

Covered-call income plan ⌂ Portfolio

AccountU10001299

Shares3,000

Avg cost$22.50

Drawdown-62.5%

IV regimeHIGH

Writable30

Deep drawdown. Earn income while the position recovers without capping the rebound. The safest rung that still clears the income floor is recommended; Ultra Safe goes deeper OTM for the lowest called-away odds when you want maximum room above your $22.50 basis.

Income playbook

ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾

Strike $10 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $37,170 (premium included).

Called-away odds15%

SaferRiskier

SELL 30 × $10 CALL

30 Oct 2026 · 17 DTE · bid $0.11 / mid $0.12 · $330 this cycle

18.5%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

85%

Income / mo

$582

Annualized

28%

EV / cycle

+$165

If assigned

-$37,170

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.64/share ($1,915 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 11 at spot $10.20.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$10.00	24d	-$0.25	$-0.37 to $-0.15	64%	52%
Ss Escape	$10.06	45d	+$0.07	$-0.05 to $0.19	68%	55%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾

Strike $10 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $35,910 (premium included).

Called-away odds3%

SaferRiskier

SELL 30 × $10 CALL

23 Oct 2026 · 10 DTE · bid $0.03 / mid $0.04 · $90 this cycle

24.4%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

97%

Income / mo

$270

Annualized

13%

EV / cycle

+$80

If assigned

-$35,910

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.44/share ($1,333 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 8 at spot $10.72.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$10.50	17d	-$0.04	$-0.08 to $0.06	66%	52%
Ss Escape	$11.56	45d	+$0.03	$-0.03 to $0.14	78%	72%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

NormalBalanced risk and income▾

Strike $9 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $39,900 (premium included).

Called-away odds30%

SaferRiskier

SELL 30 × $9 CALL

23 Oct 2026 · 10 DTE · bid $0.20 / mid $0.23 · $600 this cycle

6.6%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

70%

Income / mo

$1,800

Annualized

86%

EV / cycle

+$209

If assigned

-$39,900

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.38/share ($1,143 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 4 at spot $9.20.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$9.00	17d	+$0.00	$-0.10 to $-0.01	66%	52%
Ss Escape	$10.06	45d	+$0.06	$-0.09 to $0.03	79%	73%
Safety Up	$11.06	45d	-$0.18	$-0.38 to $-0.23	85%	83%
Reliable Up	$9.56	45d	+$0.15	$0.01 to $0.13	73%	65%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾

Strike $10 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $35,490 (premium included).

Called-away odds16%

SaferRiskier

SELL 30 × $10 CALL

13 Nov 2026 · 31 DTE · bid $0.17 / mid $0.24 · $510 this cycle

24.4%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

84%

Income / mo

$494

Annualized

24%

EV / cycle

+$259

If assigned

-$35,490

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.91/share ($2,720 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 18 at spot $10.73.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$10.50	38d	-$0.27	$-0.39 to $-0.18	68%	53%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾

Strike $12 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $32,700 (premium included).

Called-away odds9%

SaferRiskier

SELL 30 × $12 CALL

13 Nov 2026 · 31 DTE · bid $0.10 / mid $0.22 · $300 this cycle

36.3%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

91%

Income / mo

$290

Annualized

14%

EV / cycle

+$191

If assigned

-$32,700

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.99/share ($2,979 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 21 at spot $11.73.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$11.50	38d	-$0.35	$-0.40 to $-0.14	68%	53%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

NormalBalanced risk and income▾

Strike $10 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $37,590 (premium included).

Called-away odds32%

SaferRiskier

SELL 30 × $10 CALL

27 Nov 2026 · 45 DTE · bid $0.47 / mid $0.54 · $1,410 this cycle

12.6%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

68%

Income / mo

$940

Annualized

45%

EV / cycle

+$490

If assigned

-$37,590

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

No pre-priced escape map: the near-term chain is too sparse to anchor an honest buyback.

stock_fight.py · generated 2026-10-13 03:50 · read-only, advisory. Places no orders.