SBET @ $6.70

DEEP DRAWDOWN
Covered-call income plan ⌂ Portfolio
AccountU10001299
Shares3,000
Avg cost$22.50
Drawdown-70.2%
IV regimeHIGH
Writable30
Deep drawdown. Earn income while the position recovers without capping the rebound. The safest rung that still clears the income floor is recommended; Ultra Safe goes deeper OTM for the lowest called-away odds when you want maximum room above your $22.50 basis.
Income playbook
ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾
Strike $8 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $44,850 (premium included).
Called-away odds18%
SaferRiskier
SELL 30 × $8 CALL
6 Nov 2026 · 7 DTE · bid $0.05 / mid $0.17 · $150 this cycle
11.9%
OTM
Survival (OTM)
82%
Income / mo
$643
Annualized
39%
EV / cycle
+$22
If assigned
-$44,850
If challenged: pre-priced escape map
If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.45/share ($1,341 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 4 at spot $7.71.
DoorNew strikeTenorEst credit/shP25-P75POPSurvival
Credit Out$7.5014d-$0.11$-0.26 to $-0.0866%52%
Ss Escape$7.3021d+$0.09$-0.06 to $0.1363%47%
Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.
Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾
Strike $9 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $40,230 (premium included).
Called-away odds10%
SaferRiskier
SELL 30 × $9 CALL
27 Nov 2026 · 28 DTE · bid $0.09 / mid $0.19 · $270 this cycle
34.3%
OTM
Survival (OTM)
90%
Income / mo
$289
Annualized
18%
EV / cycle
+$164
If assigned
-$40,230
If challenged: pre-priced escape map
If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.84/share ($2,522 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 18 at spot $9.21.
DoorNew strikeTenorEst credit/shP25-P75POPSurvival
Credit Out$9.0035d-$0.44$-0.54 to $-0.3064%53%
Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.
NormalBalanced risk and income▾
Strike $8 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $44,340 (premium included).
Called-away odds28%
SaferRiskier
SELL 30 × $8 CALL
20 Nov 2026 · 21 DTE · bid $0.22 / mid $0.28 · $660 this cycle
11.9%
OTM
Survival (OTM)
72%
Income / mo
$943
Annualized
57%
EV / cycle
+$194
If assigned
-$44,340
If challenged: pre-priced escape map
If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.47/share ($1,402 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 9 at spot $7.69.
DoorNew strikeTenorEst credit/shP25-P75POPSurvival
Credit Out$7.5028d-$0.13$-0.24 to $-0.1564%53%
Ss Escape$7.3035d+$0.04$-0.07 to $0.0362%48%
Safety Up$7.8035d-$0.18$-0.32 to $-0.2169%62%
Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.
Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away oddsRECOMMENDED▾
Strike $8 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $44,490 (premium included).
Called-away odds32%
SaferRiskier
SELL 30 × $8 CALL
4 Dec 2026 · 35 DTE · bid $0.17 / mid $0.42 · $510 this cycle
11.9%
OTM
Survival (OTM)
68%
Income / mo
$437
Annualized
26%
EV / cycle
-$170
If assigned
-$44,490
If challenged: pre-priced escape map
If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.77/share ($2,299 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 13 at spot $7.68.
DoorNew strikeTenorEst credit/shP25-P75POPSurvival
Credit Out$7.5042d-$0.44$-0.69 to $-0.5162%54%
Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.
ConservativeSafe, deep OTM▾
Strike $8 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $41,970 (premium included).
Annualized yield 1.6% is below the 12% floor: thin premium for this position size.
Called-away odds17%
SaferRiskier
SELL 30 × $8 CALL
4 Dec 2026 · 35 DTE · bid $0.01 / mid $0.21 · $30 this cycle
26.9%
OTM
Survival (OTM)
83%
Income / mo
$26
Annualized
2%
EV / cycle
-$207
If assigned
-$41,970
If challenged: pre-priced escape map
If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.87/share ($2,605 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 19 at spot $8.72.
DoorNew strikeTenorEst credit/shP25-P75POPSurvival
Credit Out$8.5042d-$0.53$-0.74 to $-0.4762%53%
Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.
NormalBalanced risk and income▾
Strike $8 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $44,490 (premium included).
Called-away odds32%
SaferRiskier
SELL 30 × $8 CALL
4 Dec 2026 · 35 DTE · bid $0.17 / mid $0.42 · $510 this cycle
11.9%
OTM
Survival (OTM)
68%
Income / mo
$437
Annualized
26%
EV / cycle
-$170
If assigned
-$44,490
If challenged: pre-priced escape map
If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.77/share ($2,299 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 13 at spot $7.68.
DoorNew strikeTenorEst credit/shP25-P75POPSurvival
Credit Out$7.5042d-$0.44$-0.69 to $-0.5162%54%
Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.
stock_fight.py · generated 2026-10-30 21:34 · read-only, advisory. Places no orders.