SBET @ $6.74

DEEP DRAWDOWN

Covered-call income plan ⌂ Portfolio

AccountU10001299

Shares3,000

Avg cost$22.50

Drawdown-70.0%

IV regimeHIGH

Writable30

Deep drawdown. Earn income while the position recovers without capping the rebound. The safest rung that still clears the income floor is recommended; Ultra Safe goes deeper OTM for the lowest called-away odds when you want maximum room above your $22.50 basis.

Income playbook

ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾

Strike $8 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $44,850 (premium included).

Called-away odds20%

SaferRiskier

SELL 30 × $8 CALL

6 Nov 2026 · 7 DTE · bid $0.05 / mid $0.08 · $150 this cycle

11.3%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

80%

Income / mo

$643

Annualized

39%

EV / cycle

-$7

If assigned

-$44,850

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.42/share ($1,261 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 4 at spot $7.70.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$7.50	14d	-$0.13	$-0.31 to $-0.12	63%	53%
Ss Escape	$7.76	35d	+$0.05	$-0.11 to $0.07	70%	60%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾

Strike $9 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $40,290 (premium included).

Called-away odds7%

SaferRiskier

SELL 30 × $9 CALL

20 Nov 2026 · 21 DTE · bid $0.07 / mid $0.18 · $210 this cycle

33.5%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

93%

Income / mo

$300

Annualized

18%

EV / cycle

+$167

If assigned

-$40,290

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.70/share ($2,096 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 14 at spot $9.22.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$9.00	28d	-$0.38	$-0.49 to $-0.22	62%	53%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

NormalBalanced risk and income▾

Strike $7 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $45,990 (premium included).

Called-away odds38%

SaferRiskier

SELL 30 × $7 CALL

6 Nov 2026 · 7 DTE · bid $0.17 / mid $0.20 · $510 this cycle

3.9%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

62%

Income / mo

$2,186

Annualized

132%

EV / cycle

+$38

If assigned

-$45,990

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.39/share ($1,177 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 3 at spot $7.20.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$7.00	14d	-$0.12	$-0.35 to $-0.19	63%	53%
Ss Escape	$7.26	35d	+$0.06	$-0.16 to $-0.01	70%	61%
Safety Up	$8.26	42d	-$0.16	$-0.43 to $-0.24	81%	78%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾

Strike $8 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $41,460 (premium included).

Called-away odds20%

SaferRiskier

SELL 30 × $8 CALL

11 Dec 2026 · 42 DTE · bid $0.18 / mid $0.34 · $540 this cycle

26.1%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

80%

Income / mo

$386

Annualized

23%

EV / cycle

+$173

If assigned

-$41,460

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

No pre-priced escape map: the near-term chain is too sparse to anchor an honest buyback.

Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾

Strike $10 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $38,760 (premium included).

Called-away odds8%

SaferRiskier

SELL 30 × $10 CALL

4 Dec 2026 · 35 DTE · bid $0.08 / mid $0.21 · $240 this cycle

40.9%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

92%

Income / mo

$206

Annualized

12%

EV / cycle

+$157

If assigned

-$38,760

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.86/share ($2,581 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 24 at spot $9.73.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$9.50	42d	-$0.49	$-0.58 to $-0.32	62%	53%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

NormalBalanced risk and income▾

Strike $8 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $42,750 (premium included).

Called-away odds27%

SaferRiskier

SELL 30 × $8 CALL

11 Dec 2026 · 42 DTE · bid $0.25 / mid $0.41 · $750 this cycle

18.7%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

73%

Income / mo

$536

Annualized

32%

EV / cycle

+$156

If assigned

-$42,750

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

No pre-priced escape map: the near-term chain is too sparse to anchor an honest buyback.

stock_fight.py · generated 2026-10-31 03:50 · read-only, advisory. Places no orders.