SBET @ $6.79

DEEP DRAWDOWN

Covered-call income plan ⌂ Portfolio

AccountU10001299

Shares3,000

Avg cost$22.50

Drawdown-69.8%

IV regimeHIGH

Writable30

Deep drawdown. Earn income while the position recovers without capping the rebound. The safest rung that still clears the income floor is recommended; Ultra Safe goes deeper OTM for the lowest called-away odds when you want maximum room above your $22.50 basis.

Income playbook

ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾

Strike $8 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $43,260 (premium included).

Called-away odds17%

SaferRiskier

SELL 30 × $8 CALL

13 Nov 2026 · 11 DTE · bid $0.08 / mid $0.14 · $240 this cycle

17.8%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

83%

Income / mo

$655

Annualized

39%

EV / cycle

+$63

If assigned

-$43,260

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.85/share ($2,554 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 7 at spot $8.20.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$8.00	18d	-$0.39	$-0.65 to $-0.29	67%	53%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾

Strike $9 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $40,320 (premium included).

Called-away odds10%

SaferRiskier

SELL 30 × $9 CALL

20 Nov 2026 · 18 DTE · bid $0.06 / mid $0.08 · $180 this cycle

32.5%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

90%

Income / mo

$300

Annualized

18%

EV / cycle

+$82

If assigned

-$40,320

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.60/share ($1,792 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 13 at spot $9.24.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$9.00	25d	-$0.35	$-0.43 to $-0.21	60%	53%
Safety Up	$9.21	32d	-$0.04	$-0.06 to $0.10	71%	59%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

NormalBalanced risk and income▾

Strike $8 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $44,280 (premium included).

Called-away odds31%

SaferRiskier

SELL 30 × $8 CALL

20 Nov 2026 · 18 DTE · bid $0.24 / mid $0.30 · $720 this cycle

10.5%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

69%

Income / mo

$1,200

Annualized

72%

EV / cycle

+$142

If assigned

-$44,280

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.50/share ($1,493 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 7 at spot $7.71.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$7.50	25d	-$0.27	$-0.45 to $-0.31	61%	53%
Ss Escape	$7.71	32d	+$0.02	$-0.07 to $0.01	72%	59%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away oddsRECOMMENDED▾

Strike $8 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $44,670 (premium included).

Called-away odds35%

SaferRiskier

SELL 30 × $8 CALL

11 Dec 2026 · 39 DTE · bid $0.11 / mid $0.48 · $330 this cycle

10.5%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

65%

Income / mo

$254

Annualized

15%

EV / cycle

-$584

If assigned

-$44,670

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

No pre-priced escape map: the near-term chain is too sparse to anchor an honest buyback.

ConservativeSafe, deep OTM▾

Strike $8 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $44,850 (premium included).

Annualized yield 8.4% is below the 12% floor: thin premium for this position size.

Called-away odds34%

SaferRiskier

SELL 30 × $8 CALL

4 Dec 2026 · 32 DTE · bid $0.05 / mid $0.43 · $150 this cycle

10.5%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

66%

Income / mo

$141

Annualized

EV / cycle

-$637

If assigned

-$44,850

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.86/share ($2,586 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 11 at spot $7.68.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$7.50	39d	-$0.55	$-0.88 to $-0.66	62%	54%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

NormalBalanced risk and income▾

Strike $8 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $44,670 (premium included).

Called-away odds35%

SaferRiskier

SELL 30 × $8 CALL

11 Dec 2026 · 39 DTE · bid $0.11 / mid $0.48 · $330 this cycle

10.5%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

65%

Income / mo

$254

Annualized

15%

EV / cycle

-$584

If assigned

-$44,670

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

No pre-priced escape map: the near-term chain is too sparse to anchor an honest buyback.

stock_fight.py · generated 2026-11-02 22:34 · read-only, advisory. Places no orders.