SPY @ $754.62

SHALLOW UNDERWATER

Covered-call income plan ⌂ Portfolio

AccountU6241782

Shares480

Avg cost$762.56

Drawdown-1.0%

IV regimeLOW

Writable4

Shallow drawdown. A normal covered call is reasonable; keep the strike at or above your $762.56 basis so assignment cannot lock a loss.

Income playbook

ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾

Called-away odds20%

SaferRiskier

SELL 4 × $768 CALL

9 Nov 2026 · 6 DTE · bid $1.68 / mid $1.69 · $672 this cycle

1.8%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

80%

Income / mo

$3,360

Annualized

14%

EV / cycle

+$306

If assigned

+$2,850

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $5.09/share ($2,036 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 4 at spot $771.85.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$768.00	7d	+$0.78	$0.30 to $0.75	66%	50%
Up And Out	$769.38	7d	+$0.04	$-0.68 to $-0.06	68%	54%
Ss Escape	$794.38	45d	+$0.11	$-2.14 to $0.20	82%	78%
Safety Up	$800.38	45d	-$1.47	$-4.00 to $-1.48	86%	83%
Reliable Up	$790.38	45d	+$1.43	$-0.57 to $1.66	80%	74%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾

Called-away odds20%

SaferRiskier

SELL 4 × $770 CALL

11 Nov 2026 · 8 DTE · bid $1.99 / mid $2.00 · $796 this cycle

2.0%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

80%

Income / mo

$2,985

Annualized

12%

EV / cycle

+$377

If assigned

+$3,774

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $6.11/share ($2,444 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 4 at spot $774.40.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$770.00	9d	+$0.45	$0.24 to $0.56	66%	50%
Up And Out	$770.38	9d	+$0.23	$-0.03 to $0.31	66%	51%
Ss Escape	$792.38	45d	+$0.18	$-1.95 to $0.19	80%	75%
Safety Up	$799.38	45d	-$1.94	$-4.45 to $-2.07	84%	81%
Reliable Up	$782.38	38d	+$3.27	$1.76 to $3.63	74%	65%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

NormalBalanced risk and income▾

Strike $760 is BELOW your $762.56 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $718 (premium included).

Called-away odds37%

SaferRiskier

SELL 4 × $760 CALL

9 Nov 2026 · 6 DTE · bid $4.35 / mid $4.37 · $1,740 this cycle

0.7%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

63%

Income / mo

$8,700

Annualized

35%

EV / cycle

+$564

If assigned

+$718

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $5.04/share ($2,015 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 2 at spot $764.09.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$760.00	7d	+$0.91	$0.36 to $0.76	66%	50%
Up And Out	$761.38	7d	+$0.17	$-0.61 to $-0.04	68%	54%
Ss Escape	$787.38	45d	+$0.13	$-2.79 to $-0.75	82%	79%
Safety Up	$801.38	45d	-$2.88	$-6.50 to $-4.01	90%	89%
Reliable Up	$770.38	38d	+$5.89	$4.03 to $5.32	73%	62%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

NormalBalanced risk and incomeRECOMMENDED▾

Called-away odds37%

SaferRiskier

SELL 4 × $766 CALL

4 Dec 2026 · 31 DTE · bid $9.43 / mid $9.48 · $3,772 this cycle

1.5%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

63%

Income / mo

$3,650

Annualized

15%

EV / cycle

+$1,360

If assigned

+$5,150

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $11.41/share ($4,565 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 9 at spot $769.92.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$766.00	38d	+$1.94	$1.15 to $1.57	68%	51%
Up And Out	$768.38	38d	+$0.53	$-0.46 to $0.04	69%	54%
Ss Escape	$771.38	45d	+$0.44	$-1.25 to $-0.39	69%	57%
Safety Up	$799.38	45d	-$9.41	$-13.55 to $-11.49	89%	88%
Reliable Up	$767.38	45d	+$2.72	$1.36 to $2.07	68%	52%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾

Called-away odds33%

SaferRiskier

SELL 4 × $769 CALL

4 Dec 2026 · 31 DTE · bid $8.03 / mid $8.09 · $3,212 this cycle

1.9%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

67%

Income / mo

$3,108

Annualized

13%

EV / cycle

+$1,256

If assigned

+$5,790

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $11.46/share ($4,583 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 10 at spot $772.85.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$769.00	38d	+$1.82	$1.04 to $1.58	68%	51%
Up And Out	$771.38	38d	+$0.41	$-0.56 to $0.05	69%	54%
Ss Escape	$774.38	45d	+$0.31	$-1.31 to $-0.31	69%	57%
Safety Up	$794.38	45d	-$7.87	$-11.12 to $-9.22	84%	81%
Reliable Up	$770.38	45d	+$2.58	$1.27 to $2.15	68%	52%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

ConservativeSafe, deep OTM▾

Annualized yield 5.9% is below the 12% floor: thin premium for this position size.

Called-away odds20%

SaferRiskier

SELL 4 × $781 CALL

4 Dec 2026 · 31 DTE · bid $3.81 / mid $3.83 · $1,524 this cycle

3.5%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

80%

Income / mo

$1,475

Annualized

EV / cycle

+$811

If assigned

+$8,902

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $11.64/share ($4,655 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 15 at spot $785.00.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$781.00	38d	+$1.31	$0.60 to $1.72	68%	51%
Up And Out	$782.38	38d	+$0.48	$-0.32 to $0.80	68%	53%
Ss Escape	$785.38	45d	+$0.33	$-1.00 to $0.67	69%	56%
Safety Up	$792.38	45d	-$3.38	$-5.07 to $-3.21	74%	65%
Reliable Up	$782.38	45d	+$2.04	$0.90 to $2.52	68%	52%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

stock_fight.py · generated 2026-11-04 04:55 · read-only, advisory. Places no orders.