SPY @ $753.58

SHALLOW UNDERWATER

Covered-call income plan ⌂ Portfolio

AccountU6241782

Shares480

Avg cost$762.56

Drawdown-1.2%

IV regimeLOW

Writable4

Shallow drawdown. A normal covered call is reasonable; keep the strike at or above your $762.56 basis so assignment cannot lock a loss.

Income playbook

Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away oddsRECOMMENDED▾

Called-away odds24%

SaferRiskier

SELL 4 × $769 CALL

13 Nov 2026 · 11 DTE · bid $3.03 / mid $3.05 · $1,212 this cycle

2.0%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

76%

Income / mo

$3,305

Annualized

13%

EV / cycle

+$501

If assigned

+$3,790

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $7.29/share ($2,917 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 5 at spot $773.42.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$769.00	14d	+$0.73	$0.20 to $0.99	67%	50%
Ss Escape	$784.42	39d	+$0.70	$-1.20 to $0.67	76%	68%
Safety Up	$794.42	39d	-$2.96	$-5.54 to $-3.27	83%	79%
Reliable Up	$782.42	39d	+$1.61	$-0.16 to $1.65	75%	66%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

ConservativeSafe, deep OTM▾

Annualized yield 10.9% is below the 12% floor: thin premium for this position size.

Called-away odds20%

SaferRiskier

SELL 4 × $770 CALL

11 Nov 2026 · 9 DTE · bid $2.03 / mid $2.05 · $812 this cycle

2.2%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

80%

Income / mo

$2,707

Annualized

11%

EV / cycle

+$359

If assigned

+$3,790

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $6.41/share ($2,566 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 5 at spot $774.33.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$770.00	10d	+$0.47	$0.33 to $0.62	65%	50%
Ss Escape	$789.42	39d	+$0.09	$-1.73 to $0.33	79%	73%
Safety Up	$795.42	39d	-$1.95	$-4.18 to $-1.81	83%	79%
Reliable Up	$780.42	32d	+$2.26	$0.93 to $2.77	73%	64%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

NormalBalanced risk and income▾

Strike $760 is BELOW your $762.56 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $1,046 (premium included).

Called-away odds38%

SaferRiskier

SELL 4 × $760 CALL

10 Nov 2026 · 8 DTE · bid $5.17 / mid $5.20 · $2,068 this cycle

0.9%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

62%

Income / mo

$7,755

Annualized

31%

EV / cycle

+$565

If assigned

+$1,046

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $6.00/share ($2,401 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 3 at spot $764.55.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$760.00	9d	+$0.64	$0.41 to $0.57	66%	50%
Ss Escape	$780.42	39d	+$0.52	$-2.10 to $-0.47	79%	73%
Safety Up	$798.42	39d	-$4.04	$-7.89 to $-5.43	90%	89%
Reliable Up	$775.42	39d	+$2.58	$0.37 to $1.78	76%	68%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

NormalBalanced risk and incomeRECOMMENDED▾

Called-away odds36%

SaferRiskier

SELL 4 × $766 CALL

4 Dec 2026 · 32 DTE · bid $9.21 / mid $9.25 · $3,684 this cycle

1.6%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

64%

Income / mo

$3,454

Annualized

14%

EV / cycle

+$1,301

If assigned

+$5,062

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $11.63/share ($4,652 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 9 at spot $769.94.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$766.00	39d	+$1.96	$1.18 to $1.65	67%	51%
Up And Out	$768.42	39d	+$0.50	$-0.45 to $0.08	69%	54%
Ss Escape	$768.42	39d	+$0.50	$-0.45 to $0.08	69%	54%
Safety Up	$791.42	39d	-$8.91	$-12.27 to $-10.48	86%	83%
Reliable Up	$766.42	39d	+$1.70	$0.89 to $1.36	67%	51%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾

Called-away odds34%

SaferRiskier

SELL 4 × $768 CALL

4 Dec 2026 · 32 DTE · bid $8.28 / mid $8.31 · $3,312 this cycle

1.9%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

66%

Income / mo

$3,105

Annualized

13%

EV / cycle

+$1,236

If assigned

+$5,490

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $11.66/share ($4,664 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 10 at spot $772.02.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$768.00	39d	+$1.88	$1.10 to $1.66	67%	51%
Up And Out	$770.42	39d	+$0.41	$-0.53 to $0.08	69%	54%
Ss Escape	$770.42	39d	+$0.41	$-0.53 to $0.08	69%	54%
Safety Up	$790.42	39d	-$8.23	$-11.21 to $-9.48	84%	80%
Reliable Up	$768.42	39d	+$1.62	$0.81 to $1.37	67%	51%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

ConservativeSafe, deep OTM▾

Annualized yield 5.5% is below the 12% floor: thin premium for this position size.

Called-away odds19%

SaferRiskier

SELL 4 × $781 CALL

4 Dec 2026 · 32 DTE · bid $3.66 / mid $3.69 · $1,464 this cycle

3.6%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

81%

Income / mo

$1,373

Annualized

EV / cycle

+$760

If assigned

+$8,842

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $11.86/share ($4,743 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 15 at spot $785.14.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$781.00	39d	+$1.33	$0.64 to $1.73	67%	51%
Up And Out	$781.42	39d	+$1.07	$0.35 to $1.44	67%	51%
Ss Escape	$781.42	39d	+$1.07	$0.35 to $1.44	67%	51%
Safety Up	$788.42	39d	-$2.88	$-4.07 to $-2.86	72%	61%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

stock_fight.py · generated 2026-11-03 04:53 · read-only, advisory. Places no orders.