SPY @ $753.14

SHALLOW UNDERWATER

Covered-call income plan ⌂ Portfolio

AccountU6241782

Shares480

Avg cost$762.56

Drawdown-1.2%

IV regimeLOW

Writable4

Shallow drawdown. A normal covered call is reasonable; keep the strike at or above your $762.56 basis so assignment cannot lock a loss.

Income playbook

ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾

Called-away odds20%

SaferRiskier

SELL 4 × $767 CALL

9 Nov 2026 · 6 DTE · bid $1.96 / mid $1.98 · $784 this cycle

1.8%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

80%

Income / mo

$3,920

Annualized

16%

EV / cycle

+$436

If assigned

+$2,562

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $5.68/share ($2,274 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 3 at spot $771.17.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$767.00	7d	+$0.75	$0.51 to $0.84	67%	50%
Up And Out	$767.86	7d	+$0.25	$-0.11 to $0.25	68%	53%
Ss Escape	$792.86	45d	+$0.13	$-2.27 to $0.28	82%	77%
Safety Up	$799.86	45d	-$1.84	$-4.60 to $-1.85	86%	83%
Reliable Up	$785.86	45d	+$2.73	$0.74 to $3.08	78%	70%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾

Called-away odds16%

SaferRiskier

SELL 4 × $769 CALL

9 Nov 2026 · 6 DTE · bid $1.49 / mid $1.50 · $596 this cycle

2.1%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

84%

Income / mo

$2,980

Annualized

12%

EV / cycle

+$358

If assigned

+$3,174

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $5.70/share ($2,279 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 4 at spot $773.23.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$769.00	7d	+$0.72	$0.49 to $0.85	67%	50%
Up And Out	$769.86	7d	+$0.22	$-0.13 to $0.28	68%	53%
Ss Escape	$794.86	45d	+$0.05	$-2.16 to $0.40	82%	77%
Safety Up	$799.86	45d	-$1.41	$-3.84 to $-1.18	85%	82%
Reliable Up	$787.86	45d	+$2.64	$0.85 to $3.20	78%	70%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

NormalBalanced risk and income▾

Strike $759 is BELOW your $762.56 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $494 (premium included).

Called-away odds37%

SaferRiskier

SELL 4 × $759 CALL

9 Nov 2026 · 6 DTE · bid $4.79 / mid $4.81 · $1,916 this cycle

0.8%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

63%

Income / mo

$9,580

Annualized

39%

EV / cycle

+$724

If assigned

+$494

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $5.62/share ($2,250 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 3 at spot $763.34.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$759.00	7d	+$0.89	$0.60 to $0.82	67%	50%
Up And Out	$759.86	7d	+$0.40	$-0.02 to $0.25	68%	53%
Ss Escape	$785.86	45d	+$0.14	$-2.87 to $-0.74	82%	78%
Safety Up	$800.86	45d	-$3.30	$-7.13 to $-4.47	90%	89%
Reliable Up	$777.86	45d	+$3.09	$0.59 to $2.37	77%	70%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

NormalBalanced risk and incomeRECOMMENDED▾

Called-away odds38%

SaferRiskier

SELL 4 × $764 CALL

4 Dec 2026 · 31 DTE · bid $10.31 / mid $10.34 · $4,124 this cycle

1.4%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

62%

Income / mo

$3,991

Annualized

16%

EV / cycle

+$1,588

If assigned

+$4,702

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $11.95/share ($4,778 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 9 at spot $767.93.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$764.00	38d	+$2.02	$1.14 to $1.64	68%	51%
Up And Out	$766.86	38d	+$0.31	$-0.73 to $-0.20	70%	55%
Ss Escape	$769.86	45d	+$0.23	$-1.44 to $-0.58	71%	58%
Safety Up	$799.86	45d	-$10.12	$-14.60 to $-12.30	90%	89%
Reliable Up	$765.86	45d	+$2.59	$1.12 to $1.92	68%	53%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾

Called-away odds32%

SaferRiskier

SELL 4 × $769 CALL

4 Dec 2026 · 31 DTE · bid $7.95 / mid $7.97 · $3,180 this cycle

2.1%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

68%

Income / mo

$3,077

Annualized

12%

EV / cycle

+$1,392

If assigned

+$5,758

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $12.02/share ($4,809 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 11 at spot $773.02.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$769.00	38d	+$1.80	$0.94 to $1.60	68%	51%
Up And Out	$771.86	38d	+$0.09	$-0.94 to $-0.20	70%	55%
Ss Escape	$773.86	45d	+$0.55	$-0.98 to $0.13	70%	57%
Safety Up	$792.86	45d	-$7.72	$-10.91 to $-8.86	83%	79%
Reliable Up	$770.86	45d	+$2.36	$0.94 to $2.01	68%	53%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

ConservativeSafe, deep OTM▾

Annualized yield 6.3% is below the 12% floor: thin premium for this position size.

Called-away odds19%

SaferRiskier

SELL 4 × $780 CALL

4 Dec 2026 · 31 DTE · bid $4.06 / mid $4.08 · $1,624 this cycle

3.6%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

81%

Income / mo

$1,572

Annualized

EV / cycle

+$922

If assigned

+$8,602

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $12.20/share ($4,878 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 15 at spot $783.93.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$780.00	38d	+$1.32	$0.55 to $1.72	68%	51%
Up And Out	$781.86	38d	+$0.18	$-0.69 to $0.48	69%	53%
Ss Escape	$784.86	45d	+$0.01	$-1.34 to $0.40	70%	57%
Safety Up	$791.86	45d	-$3.66	$-5.51 to $-3.48	75%	65%
Reliable Up	$781.86	45d	+$1.84	$0.61 to $2.28	68%	53%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

stock_fight.py · generated 2026-11-03 22:38 · read-only, advisory. Places no orders.