Crypto sleeve: 500 MARA + 250 BMNR (250 more at BMNR $30) + 300 IBIT, weekly calls on a quarter

Built 2026-11-04 00:10 SGT from CBOE delayed quotes (the Friday 30 Oct close; MARA $6.77, BMNR $20.15, IBIT $43.36 = BTC about $76,743), bought at the ask. Your plan in the Portfolio Reset (Convexity tab), including the IBIT calls that replace your 10 spot BTC. Every other MARA / BMNR size and structure is on Crypto Options Comparison. Read-only: nothing here places an order.
Cost = Max Loss
$328k
MARA + BMNR $203k · IBIT $125k
at the ask (mid $315k); nothing can force a sale
IBIT leg
300x 90C
Dec '28 @ $3.80 / $4.15
$125k · frees $643k from 10 BTC
MARA leg
500x 25C
Dec '28 @ $1.20 / $1.34
$67k · 6% of open interest
BMNR leg
250x 40C
Jan '29 @ $5.10 / $5.45; 250 more at BMNR $30
$136k · 4% of open interest
Weekly calls, book basis
$5k/mo
$16k gross at the bid
125 MARA + 62 BMNR + 75 IBIT covered
At MARA $40 / BMNR $70, add bought
$2.25M
at expiry; $2.82M if by end-2027
breakeven MARA $30 / BMNR $55
In plain words

P&L curve: MARA + BMNR

The MARA and BMNR legs' P&L (value minus what was paid: $203k before the add, the add priced as the 40C by Jun '27 above BMNR $30) at each paired step of the CRYPTO page's tandem ladder (MARA on top, the BMNR price expected at about the same time underneath; the marked pairs are orange). Three clocks: at expiry, if the pair is reached on 31 Dec 2027, and if it were reached today (full time value left). Each leg at its 30 Oct implied vol, held still. The red line is the Max Loss after that add: the curve can never go below it.
At expiry (Dec '28 / Jan '29)If reached by 31 Dec 2027If reached today
$0$1.0M$2.0M$3.0M$4.0M$5.0M$6.0M$7.0M$8.0M$9.0M-$423K$11$22$15$30$20$35$25$45$30$55$35$60$40$70$50$80$60$90$70$100$80$115$90$135$100$150MARABMNR

Price detail in tandem

500 MARA + 250 BMNR, 250 more at BMNR $30

$203K paid now = the Max Loss until the add. Below BMNR $30 only the 250 are held. From $30 up the add is bought, priced here as the 40C with BMNR at $30 on each date, 74% volatility held; a higher strike costs less and pays less. TOTAL is what the calls are worth; each P&L row is that TOTAL less what was paid, so never add the two.
MARA price$11$15$20$25$30$35
▼
$40
$50$60
▼
$70
$80$90
▼
$100
$125$150$175$200
BMNR price$22$30$35$45$55$60$70$80$90$100$115$135$150$190$225$260$300
MARA value$0$0$0$0$250K$500K$750K$1.2M$1.8M$2.2M$2.8M$3.2M$3.8M$5.0M$6.2M$7.5M$8.8M
BMNR value$0$0$0$250K$750K$1.0M$1.5M$2.0M$2.5M$3.0M$3.8M$4.8M$5.5M$7.5M$9.2M$11.0M$13.0M
TOTAL (MARA + BMNR)$0$0$0$250K$1.0M$1.5M$2.2M$3.2M$4.2M$5.2M$6.5M$8.0M$9.2M$12.5M$15.5M$18.5M$21.8M
P&L at expiry = TOTAL − $423K paid (add by Jun '27)-$203K-$423K-$423K-$173K+$577K+$1.1M+$1.8M+$2.8M+$3.8M+$4.8M+$6.1M+$7.6M+$8.8M+$12.1M+$15.1M+$18.1M+$21.3M
P&L = TOTAL − $475K paid (add by Dec '26)-$203K-$475K-$475K-$225K+$525K+$1.0M+$1.8M+$2.8M+$3.8M+$4.8M+$6.0M+$7.5M+$8.8M+$12.0M+$15.0M+$18.0M+$21.3M
P&L = TOTAL − $368K paid (add by Dec '27)-$203K-$368K-$368K-$118K+$632K+$1.1M+$1.9M+$2.9M+$3.9M+$4.9M+$6.1M+$7.6M+$8.9M+$12.1M+$15.1M+$18.1M+$21.4M
P&L if reached by end-2027, add by Jun '27-$68K+$37K+$308K+$800K+$1.4M+$1.8M+$2.4M+$3.3M+$4.2M+$5.1M+$6.3M+$7.8M+$9.0M+$12.2M+$15.2M+$18.2M+$21.5M
P&L if all 500 + 500 bought now ($340K paid)-$340K-$340K-$340K-$90K+$660K+$1.2M+$1.9M+$2.9M+$3.9M+$4.9M+$6.2M+$7.7M+$8.9M+$12.2M+$15.2M+$18.2M+$21.4M
Current book TOTAL: compare with the TOTAL row$594K$939K$1.4M$2.1M$2.8M$3.3M$4.0M$5.5M$6.9M$8.4M$10.1M$12.0M$13.7M$18.0M$22.2M$26.3M$30.6M

500 MARA + 250 BMNR, never adding

$203K paid = the Max Loss at every price, and it never rises. Every $1 on BMNR above $40 adds $25k instead of $50k. Breaks even at expiry by MARA $30 / BMNR $55.
MARA price$11$15$20$25$30$35
▼
$40
$50$60
▼
$70
$80$90
▼
$100
$125$150$175$200
BMNR price$22$30$35$45$55$60$70$80$90$100$115$135$150$190$225$260$300
MARA value$0$0$0$0$250K$500K$750K$1.2M$1.8M$2.2M$2.8M$3.2M$3.8M$5.0M$6.2M$7.5M$8.8M
BMNR value$0$0$0$125K$375K$500K$750K$1.0M$1.2M$1.5M$1.9M$2.4M$2.8M$3.8M$4.6M$5.5M$6.5M
TOTAL (MARA + BMNR)$0$0$0$125K$625K$1.0M$1.5M$2.2M$3.0M$3.8M$4.6M$5.6M$6.5M$8.8M$10.9M$13.0M$15.2M
P&L at expiry = TOTAL − $203K paid-$203K-$203K-$203K-$78K+$422K+$797K+$1.3M+$2.0M+$2.8M+$3.5M+$4.4M+$5.4M+$6.3M+$8.5M+$10.7M+$12.8M+$15.0M
P&L if reached by end-2027-$68K+$97K+$298K+$623K+$994K+$1.3M+$1.7M+$2.4M+$3.1M+$3.8M+$4.6M+$5.6M+$6.4M+$8.7M+$10.8M+$12.9M+$15.1M
P&L if all 500 + 500 bought now ($340K paid)-$340K-$340K-$340K-$90K+$660K+$1.2M+$1.9M+$2.9M+$3.9M+$4.9M+$6.2M+$7.7M+$8.9M+$12.2M+$15.2M+$18.2M+$21.4M
Current book TOTAL: compare with the TOTAL row$594K$939K$1.4M$2.1M$2.8M$3.3M$4.0M$5.5M$6.9M$8.4M$10.1M$12.0M$13.7M$18.0M$22.2M$26.3M$30.6M

IBIT leg: P&L curve against BTC

300x IBIT Dec '28 90C, $125k paid, on its own BTC ladder (IBIT does not follow the MARA / BMNR pairs; the marked levels are the Portfolio Reset's $200k / $300k / $400k / $600k). IBIT = BTC x 0.000565 shares-per-BTC, shrinking 0.25% a year for the fee. Same three clocks, 30 Oct implied vol 47% held still. This curve leaves out the interest on the $643k freed (about $46k to expiry), which the table below includes.
At expiry (15 Dec '28)If reached by 31 Dec 2027If reached today
$0$1.0M$2.0M$3.0M$4.0M$5.0M$6.0M$7.0M-$125K$60k0.8x$77k1.0x$100k1.3x$125k1.6x$150k2.0x$175k2.3x$200k2.6x$250k3.3x$300k3.9x$400k5.2x$500k6.5x$600k7.8xBTCvs now
BTC $200k
(2.6x)
BTC $300k
(3.9x)
BTC $400k
(5.2x)
BTC $600k
(7.8x)
IBIT calls at expiry, after interest on the freed cash+$594k+$2.28M+$3.97M+$7.34M
Holding the 10 BTC instead+$1.23M+$2.23M+$3.23M+$5.23M
P&L against today: calls = value at 15 Dec 2028 minus the $125k paid plus $46k of interest on the $643k kept as cash. Below BTC about $160,140 the calls expire worthless; they break even at about $164,791. Holding the BTC does better up to about $295,000, the calls above it. That is the trade: the freed cash back, in exchange for the gain between today and there. The Convexity tab of the Portfolio Reset has every strike compared.

The 25% weekly calls

The CRYPTO_SLEEVE weekly model (weekly_income.py: Friday 0.20-delta weeklies at the 2026-10-30 bids, 61 weeks to 31 Dec 2027, 4,000 paths each, strike and premium kept at today's ratios to spot), on 125 MARA, 62 BMNR and 75 IBIT (the Portfolio Reset's cvx_buffer.py, the same rule).
NameSpotCoveredWeekly (Nov 6 '26)Bid / askDeltaOut of the moneyImplied volLast 12 months realizedPer weekWeeks sold to end-2027Next earnings
MARA$6.771258C$0.08 / $0.100.1818%115%85%$1k56 of 612026-11-04
BMNR$20.156222.5C$0.19 / $0.210.1812%79%76%$1k56 of 612026-11-20
IBIT$43.367546C$0.23 / $0.250.186%43%47%$2k61 of 61none

Income and its cost

MARA + BMNRIBITWhole sleeveWhat it means
Premium at the bid, per month$9k$8k$17kbefore earnings weeks are skipped
Book basis, per month$2k$2k$5kgross on the weeks sold x your trade-tape keep and the INCOME_BOOK ratio (37%), less commissions ($730 + $319)
Ceiling to end-2027$122k$105k$227kevery call sold expires worthless
Last 12 months, real path+$84k+$17k+$101kMARA $18 to $7, BMNR $47 to $20, IBIT down 30%: a falling year, the best case for selling calls
No view, to end-2027 (typical / expected)+$4k / -$15k+$11k / +$3k+$15k / -$12kabout break-even: the premium pays for the rally weeks
No view at last year's vol, expected+$31k-$31k+$0kMARA realized 85% vs 115% implied (a volatility premium); IBIT 47% vs 43% (none)
Prices halve (typical / expected)+$5k / -$12k+$25k / +$21k+$30k / +$9ka small cushion, not a hedge
Rally path (typical / expected)-$125k / -$320k-$52k / -$75k-$177k / -$395kMARA / BMNR: IDEAL ($40 / $70 by end-2027), 1-in-10 bad -$840k; IBIT: BTC doubles by end-2027, 1-in-10 bad -$205k
One rally week (+25% / +50% / +100%)+$7k / -$15k / -$51k-$33k / -$78k / -$146k-$26k / -$93k / -$197kthe short calls' loss net of the long calls' gain that week, every name at once
Typical = the median path, expected = the average over paths, 1-in-10 bad = the 10th percentile; a typical of the sum is each name's typical added, an approximation. The real-path year kept 78% of the MARA / BMNR premium sold; the book basis assumes 37% for all three.

The sleeve with and without the calls, by end-2027

Path to 31 Dec 2027Sleeve P&L
(calls' value left − cost)
Weekly calls
typical
Sleeve + calls
typical
Weekly calls
expected
Sleeve + calls
expected
Weekly calls
1-in-10 bad
Prices halve-$196k+$5k-$192k-$12k-$208k-$79k
Prices flat-$132k+$4k-$128k-$15k-$147k-$86k
IDEAL: MARA $40 / BMNR $70 by end-2027+$2.40M-$125k+$2.27M-$320k+$2.08M-$840k
IBIT: BTC halves-$124k+$25k-$99k+$21k-$103k-$11k
IBIT: BTC flat-$100k+$11k-$89k+$3k-$97k-$52k
IBIT: BTC doubles by end-2027+$349k-$52k+$297k-$75k+$274k-$205k
Sleeve P&L = the two calls' model value on 31 Dec 2027 at that price (time value left, vol held still) minus the cost. Weekly calls = the whole program over the same 61 weeks on paths whose median lands there. The IBIT rows are the IBIT calls and their 75 weeklies alone, without the interest on the freed cash.

Before any ticket