FORTRESS FIGHT: AMZN @ $253.80

BE SS: $267.92  |  CC-SS: $269.04  |  5 contracts (500 sh) |  ⌂ PORTFOLIO

GENERATED2026-10-29 03:13

AMZN @ $253.80   UNDERWATER $14.12 (5.3% below BE SS)

⚠ EARNINGS · DO NOT SELL INCOME INTO IT
AMZN reports 2026-10-29 (Thu), TOMORROW. The recommended CC (2d) expires on/after it, so selling now holds a short call through the earnings gap, a report can blow past your strike overnight and cap you at a loss. No priced expiry closes before the print, so waiting for it is the only clean option.

5 contracts (500 sh)  |  BE SS: $267.92  |  CC-SS: $269.04 (banked floor $266.83)  |  IV: HIGH  |  Accounts: Joint:1782

LC: $200 exp 2028-01-21 (entry $94.731/sh)
SP: $250 exp 2028-01-21 (entry $29.636/sh)
HP: $215 exp 2027-02-19 (entry $6.933/sh)

Economics

Max Loss$51,460(ND $67.92 + SW $35) x 500
Normal income ref$11,786/mo95% ann ROI on ML
Hedge rolling cost$809/mo
Unrealized P&L$-7,535fortress legs from IBKR
INCOME GOALPOSTS & VELOCITY
50% INCOME FLOOR
$5,893/mo
HEDGE COVER
$809/mo
NORMAL INCOME
$11,786/mo (ATM CC, chain)
IC VELOCITY
2.9 mo to earn back $33,960
ML VELOCITY
4.4 mo to earn back $51,460
NOT a deep drawdown: a CC at CC-SS $269.04 (probe: $270C 14d) still earns $5,625/mo (48% of normal). Sell the normal CC at/above CC-SS; a FIGHT CC below it is not needed here.
🏦 CAMPAIGN LEDGER , realized CC income since 2026-08-13; banked cash shrinks the hole (shown as an info-only banked floor, the recommended CC-SS stays the pure recovery strike; seeded from open positions, reconciled from IBKR executions nightly)
Banked since 2026-08-13
$1,152
Hole (after banked)
$6,383
was $7,535 · 15% earned back
Cycles closed
25
Credit in flight
$0
CC-SS · banked floor (info)
$269.04 → $266.83
? 5 leg(s) closed as UNKNOWN (vanished with no fill in window): banked $0, conservative. Fix campaign.json by hand if wrong.
Full leg history (25) and event log · CLOSED 17 · UNKNOWN 5 · EXPIRED 3 · updated 2026-10-29 03:10
StatusLegCredit/shCreditOpenedClosedClose/shBankedAccountSource
EXPIRED5x $267.5C 14 Oct 2026$0.49$2432026-10-132026-10-15$0.00$243U6241782execution
CLOSED1x $277.5C 16 Oct 2026$0.31$312026-10-122026-10-13$0.16$15U6241782execution
CLOSED1x $277.5C 16 Oct 2026$0.31$312026-10-122026-10-13$0.17$14U6241782execution
CLOSED1x $277.5C 16 Oct 2026$0.31$312026-10-122026-10-13$0.17$14U6241782execution
CLOSED1x $277.5C 16 Oct 2026$0.31$312026-10-122026-10-13$0.17$14U6241782execution
CLOSED1x $277.5C 16 Oct 2026$0.31$312026-10-122026-10-13$0.16$15U6241782execution
CLOSED4x $262.5C 14 Oct 2026$1.07$4272026-10-092026-10-12$2.31$-497U6241782execution
CLOSED1x $262.5C 14 Oct 2026$1.07$1072026-10-092026-10-12$2.31$-124U6241782execution
CLOSED2x $275C 16 Oct 2026$0.40$802026-10-072026-10-09$0.24$32U6241782execution
CLOSED1x $275C 16 Oct 2026$0.40$402026-10-072026-10-09$0.25$15U6241782execution
CLOSED1x $275C 16 Oct 2026$0.40$402026-10-072026-10-09$0.25$15U6241782execution
CLOSED1x $275C 16 Oct 2026$0.40$402026-10-072026-10-09$0.24$16U6241782execution
CLOSED1x $260C 9 Oct 2026$1.15$1152026-10-052026-10-07$1.24$-9U6241782snapshot
CLOSED1x $260C 9 Oct 2026$1.15$1152026-10-052026-10-07$1.22$-7U6241782snapshot
CLOSED1x $260C 9 Oct 2026$1.15$1152026-10-052026-10-07$1.22$-7U6241782snapshot
CLOSED1x $260C 9 Oct 2026$1.15$1152026-10-052026-10-07$1.23$-8U6241782snapshot
CLOSED1x $260C 9 Oct 2026$1.15$1152026-10-052026-10-07$1.23$-8U6241782snapshot
EXPIRED5x $257.5C 30 Sep 2026$0.88$4422026-09-282026-10-01$0.00$442U6241782snapshot
UNKNOWN5x $270C 2 Oct 2026$0.27$1342026-09-252026-09-28$0.27$0U6241782execution
UNKNOWN5x $275C 2 Oct 2026$0.62$3122026-09-222026-09-25$0.62$0U6241782snapshot
UNKNOWN5x $260C 25 Sep 2026$1.16$5822026-09-182026-09-22$1.16$0U6241782snapshot
CLOSED5x $267.5C 11 Sep 2026$0.82$4102026-09-022026-09-09$0.11$355U6241782execution
UNKNOWN5x $270C 4 Sep 2026$0.73$3662026-09-012026-09-02$0.73$0U6241782snapshot
EXPIRED5x $272.5C 28 Aug 2026$1.25$6252026-08-182026-08-31$0.00$625U6241782execution
UNKNOWN5x $277.5C 21 Aug 2026$2.00$1,0022026-08-132026-08-18$2.00$0U6241782seed
Event log
2026-10-15 BOT 5x $267.5C 20261014 @ $0.00 with no tracked leg (ignored)
2026-10-15 EXPIRED WORTHLESS 5x $267.5C: banked $243
2026-10-13 CLOSED 1x $277.5C 20261016: banked $15
2026-10-13 PARTIAL CLOSE 1x $277.5C: banked $15 (1 remain)
2026-10-13 PARTIAL CLOSE 1x $277.5C: banked $14 (2 remain)
2026-10-13 PARTIAL CLOSE 1x $277.5C: banked $14 (3 remain)
2026-10-13 PARTIAL CLOSE 1x $277.5C: banked $14 (4 remain)
2026-10-13 SOLD 1x $267.5C 20261014 @ $0.48 (extends leg to 5)
2026-10-13 SOLD 1x $267.5C 20261014 @ $0.48 (extends leg to 4)
2026-10-13 SOLD 1x $267.5C 20261014 @ $0.49 (extends leg to 3)
2026-10-13 SOLD 1x $267.5C 20261014 @ $0.49 (extends leg to 2)
2026-10-13 SOLD 1x $267.5C 20261014 @ $0.49 (new leg)
2026-10-12 CLOSED 4x $262.5C 20261014: banked $-497
2026-10-12 SOLD 4x $277.5C 20261016 @ $0.31 (extends leg to 5)
2026-10-12 PARTIAL CLOSE 1x $262.5C: banked $-124 (4 remain)
2026-10-12 SOLD 1x $277.5C 20261016 @ $0.31 (new leg)
2026-10-09 CLOSED 2x $275C 20261016: banked $32
2026-10-09 SOLD 2x $262.5C 20261014 @ $1.04 (extends leg to 5)
2026-10-09 PARTIAL CLOSE 1x $275C: banked $16 (2 remain)
2026-10-09 SOLD 1x $262.5C 20261014 @ $1.04 (extends leg to 3)
2026-10-09 PARTIAL CLOSE 1x $275C: banked $15 (3 remain)
2026-10-09 PARTIAL CLOSE 1x $275C: banked $15 (4 remain)
2026-10-09 SOLD 1x $262.5C 20261014 @ $1.11 (extends leg to 2)
2026-10-09 SOLD 1x $262.5C 20261014 @ $1.11 (new leg)
2026-10-07 CLOSED 1x $260C 20261009: banked $-9
2026-10-07 SOLD 1x $275C 20261016 @ $0.40 (extends leg to 5)
2026-10-07 PARTIAL CLOSE 1x $260C: banked $-8 (1 remain)
2026-10-07 SOLD 1x $275C 20261016 @ $0.39 (extends leg to 4)
2026-10-07 PARTIAL CLOSE 1x $260C: banked $-8 (2 remain)
2026-10-07 PARTIAL CLOSE 1x $260C: banked $-7 (3 remain)
2026-10-07 PARTIAL CLOSE 1x $260C: banked $-7 (4 remain)
2026-10-07 SOLD 1x $275C 20261016 @ $0.41 (extends leg to 3)
2026-10-07 SOLD 1x $275C 20261016 @ $0.40 (extends leg to 2)
2026-10-07 SOLD 1x $275C 20261016 @ $0.40 (new leg)
2026-10-05 TRACKING 5x $260C 20261009 @ $1.15 (snapshot)
2026-10-01 EXPIRED WORTHLESS 5x $257.5C: banked $442
2026-09-28 TRACKING 5x $257.5C 20260930 @ $0.88 (snapshot)
2026-09-28 ? 5x $270C 20261002 vanished with no fill in window: banked $0 (conservative), fix campaign.json by hand if wrong
2026-09-25 ? 5x $275C 20261002 vanished with no fill in window: banked $0 (conservative), fix campaign.json by hand if wrong
2026-09-25 BOT 1x $250C 20260925 @ $1.31 with no tracked leg (ignored)
TECHNICALS (cc_timing weekly gate + daily trigger)
WEEKLYNEUTRAL · %B 51 (live) · RSI 52 · MACD bearish, hist falling
DAILYMIXED (provisional) · RSI 49 · %B 41 · hist rising (nightly)
LEVELSUpper BB (CC ceiling) $275.13 (+8%) · daily UBB $264.83 · 1-wk expected move ±$24 (chain IV)
SETUPNo tilt: engine default. (advisory; floors and picks are chain-only)
⚠ Next earnings 2026-10-29: candidates whose expiry crosses it are flagged in the spectrum; EV is unreliable across earnings.
NOT a deep drawdown. A CC at/above CC-SS $269.04 keeps this fortress whole if assigned, so there is no need to FIGHT below it. Three income options to consider, richer → safer, all at/above CC-SS. Click a card for its if-challenged roll menu.
💰 Richer · sell 5 × $270 13 Nov 2026 (16d) · more income, lower survivalroll menu if challenged ▾
Survival (stays ≤ $270)
69%
Touch odds
65%
Per cycle
$2,825
Income / mo
$5,297
🎯 Recommended · sell 5 × $275 30 Oct 2026 (2d) · richest strike still ≥80% survivalroll menu if challenged ▾
Survival (stays ≤ $275)
81%
Touch odds
39%
Per cycle
$1,485
Income / mo
$22,275
🛡 Safer · sell 5 × $285 30 Oct 2026 (2d) · higher survival, lighter premiumroll menu if challenged ▾
Survival (stays ≤ $285)
90%
Touch odds
21%
Per cycle
$675
Income / mo
$10,125
⚔ FIGHT CC options · full candidate scan (75 clear the floor), click to expand

Every eligible strike x expiry in the 2-45 DTE band (8 expiries scanned, 75 clear the income floor), each sized to the minimum contracts that clear it. Sorted by survival (safest first): the primary 🎯 is the safest; rows below trade safety for income.

Fortress delta: 1.020 (IBKR)  |  Recovery@SS: +$7,773 (un-capped fortress gain if stock rallies to SS)  |  Do-nothing @ SS: $2,667

StrikeDTEExpiryBidSellPer cycleIncome/moNet/moSurvivalTouchPOP (mid)EV/moCap Give-up @ CC-SS%ICRecoverTotal P&L @ SS
$2902d30 Oct 2026$0.865/5$430$6,450$5,64193%hist 95%14%hist 13%93%+$3,385-$00.0%0.0mo$668 (vs do-nothing $-1,999)
$287.502d30 Oct 2026$1.095/5$545$8,175$7,36692%hist 95%17%hist 13%92%+$4,097-$00.0%0.0mo$783 (vs do-nothing $-1,884)
$2852d30 Oct 2026$1.355/5$675$10,125$9,31690%hist 86%21%hist 23%91%+$4,751-$00.0%0.0mo$913 (vs do-nothing $-1,754)
$282.502d30 Oct 2026$1.665/5$830$12,450$11,64188%hist 86%25%hist 23%89%+$5,436-$00.0%0.0mo$1,068 (vs do-nothing $-1,599)
$2802d30 Oct 2026$2.045/5$1,020$15,300$14,49186%hist 86%29%hist 23%87%+$6,242-$00.0%0.0mo$1,258 (vs do-nothing $-1,409)
$2805d2 Nov 2026$2.325/5$1,160$6,960$6,15185%hist 86%31%hist 30%87%+$2,746-$00.0%0.0mo$1,398 (vs do-nothing $-1,269)
$277.502d30 Oct 2026$2.475/5$1,235$18,525$17,71683%hist 86%34%hist 30%86%+$6,958-$00.0%0.0mo$1,473 (vs do-nothing $-1,194)
$277.505d2 Nov 2026$2.775/5$1,385$8,310$7,50183%hist 86%36%hist 30%85%+$3,055-$00.0%0.0mo$1,623 (vs do-nothing $-1,044)
$277.507d4 Nov 2026$2.965/5$1,480$6,343$5,53482%hist 86%38%hist 30%84%+$2,163-$00.0%0.0mo$1,718 (vs do-nothing $-949)
$2752d30 Oct 2026$2.975/5$1,485$22,275$21,46681%hist 86%39%hist 30%84%+$7,683-$00.0%0.0mo$1,723 (vs do-nothing $-944)
$2755d2 Nov 2026$3.255/5$1,625$9,750$8,94180%hist 83%41%hist 40%83%+$3,265-$00.0%0.0mo$1,863 (vs do-nothing $-804)
$2757d4 Nov 2026$3.455/5$1,725$7,393$6,58479%hist 83%43%hist 40%83%+$2,305-$00.0%0.0mo$1,963 (vs do-nothing $-704)
$2759d6 Nov 2026$3.755/5$1,875$6,250$5,44179%hist 83%44%hist 40%82%+$2,087-$00.0%0.0mo$2,113 (vs do-nothing $-554)
Show 62 more candidates (lower strikes: more income, lower survival)

Showing the 60 next-safest rows of 62.

StrikeDTEExpiryBidSellPer cycleIncome/moNet/moSurvivalTouchPOP (mid)EV/moCap Give-up @ CC-SS%ICRecoverTotal P&L @ SS
$272.502d30 Oct 2026$3.505/5$1,750$26,250$25,44178%hist 83%45%hist 40%82%+$8,075-$00.0%0.0mo$1,988 (vs do-nothing $-679)
$272.505d2 Nov 2026$3.855/5$1,925$11,550$10,74177%hist 83%47%hist 40%81%+$3,627-$00.0%0.0mo$2,163 (vs do-nothing $-504)
$272.507d4 Nov 2026$4.055/5$2,025$8,679$7,86977%hist 83%48%hist 40%81%+$2,536-$00.0%0.0mo$2,263 (vs do-nothing $-404)
$272.509d6 Nov 2026$4.355/5$2,175$7,250$6,44176%hist 83%49%hist 40%81%+$2,258-$00.0%0.0mo$2,413 (vs do-nothing $-254)
$2702d30 Oct 2026$4.155/5$2,075$31,125$30,31675%hist 83%52%hist 44%80%+$8,788-$00.0%0.0mo$2,313 (vs do-nothing $-354)
$2705d2 Nov 2026$4.505/5$2,250$13,500$12,69174%hist 83%53%hist 44%79%+$3,912-$00.0%0.0mo$2,488 (vs do-nothing $-179)
$2707d4 Nov 2026$4.705/5$2,350$10,071$9,26274%hist 83%54%hist 44%79%+$2,717-$00.0%0.0mo$2,588 (vs do-nothing $-79)
$2709d6 Nov 2026$5.005/5$2,500$8,333$7,52474%hist 83%55%hist 44%79%+$2,391-$00.0%0.0mo$2,738 (vs do-nothing +$71)
$27012d9 Nov 2026$5.105/5$2,550$6,375$5,56673%hist 83%55%hist 44%79%+$1,768-$00.0%0.0mo$2,788 (vs do-nothing +$121)
$267.502d30 Oct 2026$4.855/5$2,425$36,375$35,56672%hist 83%58%hist 44%78%+$9,294-$00.0%0.0mo$1,892 (vs do-nothing $-775)
$267.505d2 Nov 2026$5.155/5$2,575$15,450$14,64171%hist 83%59%hist 44%77%+$3,954-$00.0%0.0mo$2,042 (vs do-nothing $-625)
$267.507d4 Nov 2026$5.455/5$2,725$11,679$10,86971%hist 83%60%hist 54%77%+$2,940-$00.0%0.0mo$2,192 (vs do-nothing $-475)
$267.509d6 Nov 2026$5.705/5$2,850$9,500$8,69171%hist 83%61%hist 54%77%+$2,477-$00.0%0.0mo$2,317 (vs do-nothing $-350)
$2652d30 Oct 2026$5.705/5$2,850$42,750$41,94168%hist 66%65%hist 54%76%+$10,341-$00.0%0.0mo$1,067 (vs do-nothing $-1,600)
$2655d2 Nov 2026$6.005/5$3,000$18,000$17,19168%hist 66%66%hist 54%76%+$4,334-$00.0%0.0mo$1,217 (vs do-nothing $-1,450)
$2657d4 Nov 2026$6.255/5$3,125$13,393$12,58468%hist 66%67%hist 54%75%+$3,087-$00.0%0.0mo$1,342 (vs do-nothing $-1,325)
$2659d6 Nov 2026$6.555/5$3,275$10,917$10,10767%hist 66%67%hist 54%75%+$2,672-$00.0%0.0mo$1,492 (vs do-nothing $-1,175)
$26512d9 Nov 2026$6.655/5$3,325$8,312$7,50367%hist 66%68%hist 54%75%+$1,931-$00.0%0.0mo$1,542 (vs do-nothing $-1,125)
$26514d11 Nov 2026$6.855/5$3,425$7,339$6,53067%hist 66%69%hist 54%75%+$1,581-$00.0%0.0mo$1,642 (vs do-nothing $-1,025)
$267.5016d13 Nov 2026$6.405/5$3,200$6,000$5,19167%hist 66%70%hist 54%73%$-718-$00.0%0.0mo$2,667 (vs do-nothing +$0)
$262.502d30 Oct 2026$6.555/5$3,275$49,125$48,31665%hist 66%72%hist 68%74%+$10,785-$00.0%0.0mo$242 (vs do-nothing $-2,425)
$262.505d2 Nov 2026$6.905/5$3,450$20,700$19,89165%hist 66%73%hist 68%74%+$4,587-$00.0%0.0mo$417 (vs do-nothing $-2,250)
$26516d13 Nov 2026$7.255/5$3,625$6,797$5,98864%hist 66%75%hist 68%71%$-688-$00.0%0.0mo$1,842 (vs do-nothing $-825)
$262.507d4 Nov 2026$7.155/5$3,575$15,321$14,51264%hist 66%74%hist 68%73%+$3,254-$00.0%0.0mo$542 (vs do-nothing $-2,125)
$262.509d6 Nov 2026$7.455/5$3,725$12,417$11,60764%hist 66%74%hist 68%73%+$2,801-$00.0%0.0mo$692 (vs do-nothing $-1,975)
$262.5016d13 Nov 2026$8.155/5$4,075$7,641$6,83162%hist 66%80%hist 79%70%$-676-$00.0%0.0mo$1,042 (vs do-nothing $-1,625)
$2602d30 Oct 2026$7.505/5$3,750$56,250$55,44161%hist 66%80%hist 79%72%+$11,302-$7712.3%0.1mo$-533 (vs do-nothing $-3,200)
$2605d2 Nov 2026$7.855/5$3,925$23,550$22,74161%hist 66%81%hist 79%72%+$4,701-$5961.8%0.1mo$-358 (vs do-nothing $-3,025)
$2607d4 Nov 2026$8.105/5$4,050$17,357$16,54861%hist 66%81%hist 79%72%+$3,323-$4711.4%0.0mo$-233 (vs do-nothing $-2,900)
$2609d6 Nov 2026$8.405/5$4,200$14,000$13,19161%hist 66%81%hist 79%72%+$2,857-$3210.9%0.0mo$-83 (vs do-nothing $-2,750)
$26012d9 Nov 2026$8.505/5$4,250$10,625$9,81661%hist 66%82%hist 79%72%+$2,022-$2710.8%0.0mo$-33 (vs do-nothing $-2,700)
$26014d11 Nov 2026$8.805/5$4,400$9,429$8,61961%hist 66%82%hist 79%71%+$1,728-$1210.4%0.0mo$117 (vs do-nothing $-2,550)
$26023d20 Nov 2026$9.955/5$4,975$6,489$5,68060%hist 66%83%hist 79%71%+$1,328-$00.0%0.0mo$692 (vs do-nothing $-1,975)
$26016d13 Nov 2026$9.155/5$4,575$8,578$7,76959%hist 70%86%hist 79%68%$-638-$00.0%0.0mo$292 (vs do-nothing $-2,375)
$257.502d30 Oct 2026$8.555/5$4,275$64,125$63,31658%hist 70%88%hist 79%70%+$11,785-$1,4964.4%0.1mo$-1,258 (vs do-nothing $-3,925)
$257.505d2 Nov 2026$8.905/5$4,450$26,700$25,89158%hist 70%88%hist 79%70%+$4,813-$1,3213.9%0.1mo$-1,083 (vs do-nothing $-3,750)
$257.507d4 Nov 2026$9.155/5$4,575$19,607$18,79857%hist 70%89%hist 79%70%+$3,394-$1,1963.5%0.1mo$-958 (vs do-nothing $-3,625)
$257.509d6 Nov 2026$9.455/5$4,725$15,750$14,94157%hist 70%89%hist 79%70%+$2,915-$1,0463.1%0.1mo$-808 (vs do-nothing $-3,475)
$257.5023d20 Nov 2026$11.055/5$5,525$7,207$6,39757%hist 70%90%hist 89%70%+$1,360-$2460.7%0.0mo$-8 (vs do-nothing $-2,675)
$257.5016d13 Nov 2026$10.255/5$5,125$9,609$8,80057%hist 70%91%hist 89%67%$-577-$6461.9%0.1mo$-408 (vs do-nothing $-3,075)
$25516d13 Nov 2026$11.405/5$5,700$10,688$9,87854%hist 70%97%hist 89%66%$-540-$1,3213.9%0.1mo$-1,083 (vs do-nothing $-3,750)
$25523d20 Nov 2026$12.205/5$6,100$7,957$7,14754%hist 70%97%hist 89%68%+$1,366-$9212.7%0.1mo$-683 (vs do-nothing $-3,350)
$25514d11 Nov 2026$11.005/5$5,500$11,786$10,97754%hist 70%97%hist 89%68%+$1,760-$1,5214.5%0.1mo$-1,283 (vs do-nothing $-3,950)
$25512d9 Nov 2026$10.755/5$5,375$13,438$12,62854%hist 70%96%hist 89%68%+$2,131-$1,6464.8%0.1mo$-1,408 (vs do-nothing $-4,075)
$2559d6 Nov 2026$10.605/5$5,300$17,667$16,85754%hist 70%96%hist 89%68%+$2,971-$1,7215.1%0.1mo$-1,483 (vs do-nothing $-4,150)
$2557d4 Nov 2026$10.305/5$5,150$22,071$21,26254%hist 70%96%hist 89%68%+$3,459-$1,8715.5%0.2mo$-1,633 (vs do-nothing $-4,300)
$2555d2 Nov 2026$10.055/5$5,025$30,150$29,34154%hist 70%96%hist 89%68%+$4,916-$1,9965.9%0.2mo$-1,758 (vs do-nothing $-4,425)
$2552d30 Oct 2026$9.655/5$4,825$72,375$71,56654%hist 70%96%hist 89%68%+$11,779-$2,1966.5%0.2mo$-1,958 (vs do-nothing $-4,625)
$252.5016d13 Nov 2026$12.605/5$6,300$11,812$11,00352%hist 70%100%hist 89%65%$-531-$1,9715.8%0.2mo$-1,733 (vs do-nothing $-4,400)
$252.5023d20 Nov 2026$13.455/5$6,725$8,772$7,96351%hist 70%100%hist 89%67%+$1,381-$1,5464.6%0.1mo$-1,308 (vs do-nothing $-3,975)
$252.509d6 Nov 2026$11.805/5$5,900$19,667$18,85750%hist 70%100%hist 89%67%+$2,936-$2,3717.0%0.2mo$-2,133 (vs do-nothing $-4,800)
$252.507d4 Nov 2026$11.505/5$5,750$24,643$23,83450%hist 70%100%hist 89%67%+$3,407-$2,5217.4%0.2mo$-2,283 (vs do-nothing $-4,950)
$252.505d2 Nov 2026$11.255/5$5,625$33,750$32,94150%hist 70%100%hist 89%66%+$4,852-$2,6467.8%0.2mo$-2,408 (vs do-nothing $-5,075)
$252.502d30 Oct 2026$10.855/5$5,425$81,375$80,56650%100%hist 89%66%+$11,625-$2,8468.4%0.2mo$-2,608 (vs do-nothing $-5,275)
$25016d13 Nov 2026$13.855/5$6,925$12,984$12,17549%100%hist 89%64%$-549-$2,5967.6%0.2mo$-2,358 (vs do-nothing $-5,025)
$25023d20 Nov 2026$14.755/5$7,375$9,620$8,81048%100%hist 89%66%+$1,370-$2,1466.3%0.2mo$-1,908 (vs do-nothing $-4,575)
$25014d11 Nov 2026$12.755/5$6,375$13,661$12,85247%100%hist 89%65%+$913-$3,1469.3%0.3mo$-2,908 (vs do-nothing $-5,575)
$25012d9 Nov 2026$12.955/5$6,475$16,188$15,37847%100%hist 89%65%+$1,676-$3,0469.0%0.3mo$-2,808 (vs do-nothing $-5,475)
$2509d6 Nov 2026$13.105/5$6,550$21,833$21,02447%100%hist 89%65%+$2,891-$2,9718.7%0.3mo$-2,733 (vs do-nothing $-5,400)
$2507d4 Nov 2026$12.755/5$6,375$27,321$26,51247%100%hist 89%65%+$3,234-$3,1469.3%0.3mo$-2,908 (vs do-nothing $-5,575)
108 more priced, not eligible (safety, income floor or quote screens): shown for reference
StrikeDTEExpiryBidSellPer cycleIncome/moNet/moSurvivalTouchPOP (mid)EV/moCap Give-up @ CC-SS%ICRecoverTotal P&L @ SSWhy not eligible
$3152d30 Oct 2026$0.035/5$15$225$-58499%hist 95%1%hist 4%99%+$113-$00.0%0.0mo$253 (vs do-nothing $-2,414)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$3155d2 Nov 2026$0.025/5$10$60$-74999%hist 95%2%hist 4%99%+$8-$00.0%0.0mo$248 (vs do-nothing $-2,419)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$312.502d30 Oct 2026$0.065/5$30$450$-35999%hist 95%2%hist 4%99%+$293-$00.0%0.0mo$268 (vs do-nothing $-2,399)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$312.505d2 Nov 2026$0.045/5$20$120$-68999%hist 95%2%hist 4%99%+$42-$00.0%0.0mo$258 (vs do-nothing $-2,409)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$3102d30 Oct 2026$0.105/5$50$750$-5999%hist 95%2%hist 4%99%+$534-$00.0%0.0mo$288 (vs do-nothing $-2,379)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$3157d4 Nov 2026$0.075/5$35$150$-65999%hist 95%2%hist 4%99%+$81-$00.0%0.0mo$273 (vs do-nothing $-2,394)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$3105d2 Nov 2026$0.075/5$35$210$-59999%hist 95%3%hist 4%99%+$96-$00.0%0.0mo$273 (vs do-nothing $-2,394)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$307.502d30 Oct 2026$0.145/5$70$1,050$24199%hist 95%3%hist 4%99%+$750-$00.0%0.0mo$308 (vs do-nothing $-2,359)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$312.507d4 Nov 2026$0.105/5$50$214$-59599%hist 95%3%hist 4%99%+$118-$00.0%0.0mo$288 (vs do-nothing $-2,379)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$3159d6 Nov 2026$0.195/5$95$317$-49398%hist 95%3%hist 4%98%+$230-$00.0%0.0mo$333 (vs do-nothing $-2,334)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$31512d9 Nov 2026$0.055/5$25$62$-74798%hist 95%3%hist 4%98%$-13-$00.0%0.0mo$263 (vs do-nothing $-2,404)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$307.505d2 Nov 2026$0.145/5$70$420$-38998%hist 95%4%hist 4%98%+$254-$00.0%0.0mo$308 (vs do-nothing $-2,359)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$3107d4 Nov 2026$0.165/5$80$343$-46698%hist 95%4%hist 4%98%+$209-$00.0%0.0mo$318 (vs do-nothing $-2,349)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$3052d30 Oct 2026$0.185/5$90$1,350$54198%hist 95%4%hist 4%98%+$928-$00.0%0.0mo$328 (vs do-nothing $-2,339)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$312.509d6 Nov 2026$0.175/5$85$283$-52698%hist 95%4%hist 4%98%+$169-$00.0%0.0mo$323 (vs do-nothing $-2,344)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$31516d13 Nov 2026$0.245/5$120$225$-58498%hist 95%5%hist 4%98%+$134-$00.0%0.0mo$358 (vs do-nothing $-2,309)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$3055d2 Nov 2026$0.225/5$110$660$-14998%hist 95%5%hist 4%98%+$422-$00.0%0.0mo$348 (vs do-nothing $-2,319)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$3109d6 Nov 2026$0.255/5$125$417$-39398%hist 95%5%hist 4%98%+$265-$00.0%0.0mo$363 (vs do-nothing $-2,304)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$307.507d4 Nov 2026$0.225/5$110$471$-33898%hist 95%5%hist 4%98%+$286-$00.0%0.0mo$348 (vs do-nothing $-2,319)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$302.502d30 Oct 2026$0.225/5$110$1,650$84198%hist 95%5%hist 4%98%+$1,049-$00.0%0.0mo$348 (vs do-nothing $-2,319)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$31514d11 Nov 2026$0.125/5$60$129$-68198%hist 95%5%hist 4%98%+$10-$00.0%0.0mo$298 (vs do-nothing $-2,369)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$31012d9 Nov 2026$0.185/5$90$225$-58498%hist 95%5%hist 4%98%+$98-$00.0%0.0mo$328 (vs do-nothing $-2,339)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$312.5016d13 Nov 2026$0.305/5$150$281$-52897%hist 95%5%hist 4%97%+$165-$00.0%0.0mo$388 (vs do-nothing $-2,279)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$307.509d6 Nov 2026$0.315/5$155$517$-29397%hist 95%6%hist 4%97%+$317-$00.0%0.0mo$393 (vs do-nothing $-2,274)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$302.505d2 Nov 2026$0.245/5$120$720$-8997%hist 95%6%hist 4%97%+$384-$00.0%0.0mo$358 (vs do-nothing $-2,309)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$3057d4 Nov 2026$0.325/5$160$686$-12397%hist 95%6%hist 4%97%+$431-$00.0%0.0mo$398 (vs do-nothing $-2,269)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$31014d11 Nov 2026$0.235/5$115$246$-56397%hist 95%6%hist 4%97%+$95-$00.0%0.0mo$353 (vs do-nothing $-2,314)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$3002d30 Oct 2026$0.315/5$155$2,325$1,51697%hist 95%6%hist 4%97%+$1,469-$00.0%0.0mo$393 (vs do-nothing $-2,274)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$31016d13 Nov 2026$0.415/5$205$384$-42597%hist 95%6%hist 4%97%+$236-$00.0%0.0mo$443 (vs do-nothing $-2,224)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$3059d6 Nov 2026$0.415/5$205$683$-12697%hist 95%7%hist 4%97%+$422-$00.0%0.0mo$443 (vs do-nothing $-2,224)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$31523d20 Nov 2026$0.545/5$270$352$-45797%hist 95%7%hist 4%97%+$221-$00.0%0.0mo$508 (vs do-nothing $-2,159)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$302.507d4 Nov 2026$0.395/5$195$836$2797%hist 95%7%hist 4%97%+$490-$00.0%0.0mo$433 (vs do-nothing $-2,234)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$30512d9 Nov 2026$0.135/5$65$162$-64797%hist 95%7%hist 4%97%$-52-$00.0%0.0mo$303 (vs do-nothing $-2,364)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$3005d2 Nov 2026$0.435/5$215$1,290$48196%hist 95%7%hist 4%97%+$822-$00.0%0.0mo$453 (vs do-nothing $-2,214)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$307.5016d13 Nov 2026$0.505/5$250$469$-34096%hist 95%8%hist 4%96%+$279-$00.0%0.0mo$488 (vs do-nothing $-2,179)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$297.502d30 Oct 2026$0.405/5$200$3,000$2,19196%hist 95%8%hist 4%96%+$1,794-$00.0%0.0mo$438 (vs do-nothing $-2,229)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$302.509d6 Nov 2026$0.525/5$260$867$5796%hist 95%8%hist 4%96%+$526-$00.0%0.0mo$498 (vs do-nothing $-2,169)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$30514d11 Nov 2026$0.155/5$75$161$-64896%hist 95%8%hist 4%96%$-75-$00.0%0.0mo$313 (vs do-nothing $-2,354)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$3007d4 Nov 2026$0.565/5$280$1,200$39196%hist 95%9%hist 4%96%+$736-$00.0%0.0mo$518 (vs do-nothing $-2,149)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$30516d13 Nov 2026$0.625/5$310$581$-22896%hist 95%9%hist 4%96%+$341-$00.0%0.0mo$548 (vs do-nothing $-2,119)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$31023d20 Nov 2026$0.705/5$350$457$-35396%hist 95%9%hist 4%96%+$268-$00.0%0.0mo$588 (vs do-nothing $-2,079)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$297.505d2 Nov 2026$0.535/5$265$1,590$78196%hist 95%9%hist 4%96%+$946-$00.0%0.0mo$503 (vs do-nothing $-2,164)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$2952d30 Oct 2026$0.535/5$265$3,975$3,16695%hist 95%9%hist 4%96%+$2,304-$00.0%0.0mo$503 (vs do-nothing $-2,164)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$3009d6 Nov 2026$0.655/5$325$1,083$27495%hist 95%10%hist 4%95%+$640-$00.0%0.0mo$563 (vs do-nothing $-2,104)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$30012d9 Nov 2026$0.535/5$265$663$-14795%hist 95%10%hist 13%95%+$306-$00.0%0.0mo$503 (vs do-nothing $-2,164)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$302.5016d13 Nov 2026$0.755/5$375$703$-10695%hist 95%10%hist 13%95%+$399-$00.0%0.0mo$613 (vs do-nothing $-2,054)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$297.507d4 Nov 2026$0.625/5$310$1,329$51995%hist 95%11%hist 13%95%+$711-$00.0%0.0mo$548 (vs do-nothing $-2,119)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$30014d11 Nov 2026$0.245/5$120$257$-55295%hist 95%11%hist 13%95%$-93-$00.0%0.0mo$358 (vs do-nothing $-2,309)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$2955d2 Nov 2026$0.685/5$340$2,040$1,23195%hist 95%11%hist 13%95%+$1,165-$00.0%0.0mo$578 (vs do-nothing $-2,089)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$297.509d6 Nov 2026$0.795/5$395$1,317$50794%hist 95%12%hist 13%95%+$744-$00.0%0.0mo$633 (vs do-nothing $-2,034)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$30523d20 Nov 2026$0.955/5$475$620$-19094%hist 95%12%hist 13%95%+$348-$00.0%0.0mo$713 (vs do-nothing $-1,954)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$292.502d30 Oct 2026$0.675/5$335$5,025$4,21694%hist 95%12%hist 13%95%+$2,747-$00.0%0.0mo$573 (vs do-nothing $-2,094)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$30016d13 Nov 2026$0.925/5$460$862$5394%hist 95%12%hist 13%94%+$479-$00.0%0.0mo$698 (vs do-nothing $-1,969)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$2957d4 Nov 2026$0.785/5$390$1,671$86294%hist 95%13%hist 13%94%+$859-$00.0%0.0mo$628 (vs do-nothing $-2,039)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$292.505d2 Nov 2026$0.855/5$425$2,550$1,74193%hist 95%13%hist 13%94%+$1,377-$00.0%0.0mo$663 (vs do-nothing $-2,004)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$2959d6 Nov 2026$0.955/5$475$1,583$77493%hist 95%14%hist 13%94%+$847-$00.0%0.0mo$713 (vs do-nothing $-1,954)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$29512d9 Nov 2026$0.545/5$270$675$-13493%hist 95%14%hist 13%93%+$91-$00.0%0.0mo$508 (vs do-nothing $-2,159)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$297.5016d13 Nov 2026$1.065/5$530$994$18593%hist 95%14%hist 13%93%+$513-$00.0%0.0mo$768 (vs do-nothing $-1,899)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$29514d11 Nov 2026$0.335/5$165$354$-45693%hist 95%15%hist 13%93%$-188-$00.0%0.0mo$403 (vs do-nothing $-2,264)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$30023d20 Nov 2026$1.285/5$640$835$2693%hist 95%15%hist 13%93%+$442-$00.0%0.0mo$878 (vs do-nothing $-1,789)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$292.507d4 Nov 2026$0.965/5$480$2,057$1,24893%hist 95%15%hist 13%93%+$1,000-$00.0%0.0mo$718 (vs do-nothing $-1,949)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$2905d2 Nov 2026$1.055/5$525$3,150$2,34192%hist 95%16%hist 13%93%+$1,597-$00.0%0.0mo$763 (vs do-nothing $-1,904)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$292.509d6 Nov 2026$1.165/5$580$1,933$1,12492%hist 95%16%hist 13%93%+$994-$00.0%0.0mo$818 (vs do-nothing $-1,849)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$29516d13 Nov 2026$1.295/5$645$1,209$40092%hist 95%17%hist 13%92%+$610-$00.0%0.0mo$883 (vs do-nothing $-1,784)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$2907d4 Nov 2026$1.215/5$605$2,593$1,78491%hist 95%18%hist 13%92%+$1,230-$00.0%0.0mo$843 (vs do-nothing $-1,824)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$2909d6 Nov 2026$1.395/5$695$2,317$1,50791%hist 95%19%hist 13%91%+$1,127-$00.0%0.0mo$933 (vs do-nothing $-1,734)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$292.5016d13 Nov 2026$1.515/5$755$1,416$60691%hist 95%19%hist 13%91%+$673-$00.0%0.0mo$993 (vs do-nothing $-1,674)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$287.505d2 Nov 2026$1.305/5$650$3,900$3,09191%hist 95%19%hist 13%91%+$1,871-$00.0%0.0mo$888 (vs do-nothing $-1,779)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$29523d20 Nov 2026$1.705/5$850$1,109$29991%hist 95%19%hist 13%91%+$544-$00.0%0.0mo$1,088 (vs do-nothing $-1,579)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$29012d9 Nov 2026$1.415/5$705$1,762$95391%hist 95%19%hist 13%91%+$828-$00.0%0.0mo$943 (vs do-nothing $-1,724)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$29014d11 Nov 2026$1.465/5$730$1,564$75590%hist 95%20%hist 23%91%+$715-$00.0%0.0mo$968 (vs do-nothing $-1,699)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$287.507d4 Nov 2026$1.475/5$735$3,150$2,34190%hist 86%21%hist 23%91%+$1,411-$00.0%0.0mo$973 (vs do-nothing $-1,694)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$29016d13 Nov 2026$1.795/5$895$1,678$86989%hist 86%22%hist 23%90%+$763-$00.0%0.0mo$1,133 (vs do-nothing $-1,534)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$287.509d6 Nov 2026$1.675/5$835$2,783$1,97489%hist 86%22%hist 23%90%+$1,288-$00.0%0.0mo$1,073 (vs do-nothing $-1,594)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$2855d2 Nov 2026$1.585/5$790$4,740$3,93189%hist 86%23%hist 23%90%+$2,120-$00.0%0.0mo$1,028 (vs do-nothing $-1,639)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$2857d4 Nov 2026$1.775/5$885$3,793$2,98488%hist 86%25%hist 23%89%+$1,597-$00.0%0.0mo$1,123 (vs do-nothing $-1,544)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$29023d20 Nov 2026$2.245/5$1,120$1,461$65288%hist 86%25%hist 23%89%+$653-$00.0%0.0mo$1,358 (vs do-nothing $-1,309)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$287.5016d13 Nov 2026$2.075/5$1,035$1,941$1,13188%hist 86%25%hist 23%89%+$821-$00.0%0.0mo$1,273 (vs do-nothing $-1,394)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$2859d6 Nov 2026$1.995/5$995$3,317$2,50788%hist 86%26%hist 23%89%+$1,452-$00.0%0.0mo$1,233 (vs do-nothing $-1,434)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$28512d9 Nov 2026$2.065/5$1,030$2,575$1,76687%hist 86%26%hist 23%89%+$1,120-$00.0%0.0mo$1,268 (vs do-nothing $-1,399)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$282.505d2 Nov 2026$1.915/5$955$5,730$4,92187%hist 86%27%hist 23%88%+$2,388-$00.0%0.0mo$1,193 (vs do-nothing $-1,474)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$28514d11 Nov 2026$2.215/5$1,105$2,368$1,55987%hist 86%27%hist 23%88%+$1,050-$00.0%0.0mo$1,343 (vs do-nothing $-1,324)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$282.507d4 Nov 2026$2.115/5$1,055$4,521$3,71286%hist 86%29%hist 23%88%+$1,775-$00.0%0.0mo$1,293 (vs do-nothing $-1,374)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$28516d13 Nov 2026$2.405/5$1,200$2,250$1,44186%hist 86%29%hist 23%88%+$888-$00.0%0.0mo$1,438 (vs do-nothing $-1,229)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$282.509d6 Nov 2026$2.345/5$1,170$3,900$3,09186%hist 86%30%hist 23%87%+$1,593-$00.0%0.0mo$1,408 (vs do-nothing $-1,259)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$28523d20 Nov 2026$2.975/5$1,485$1,937$1,12885%hist 86%32%hist 30%87%+$794-$00.0%0.0mo$1,723 (vs do-nothing $-944)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$282.5016d13 Nov 2026$2.835/5$1,415$2,653$1,84484%hist 86%33%hist 30%86%+$1,041-$00.0%0.0mo$1,653 (vs do-nothing $-1,014)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$2807d4 Nov 2026$2.535/5$1,265$5,421$4,61284%hist 86%33%hist 30%86%+$2,018-$00.0%0.0mo$1,503 (vs do-nothing $-1,164)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$2809d6 Nov 2026$2.765/5$1,380$4,600$3,79184%hist 86%34%hist 30%86%+$1,769-$00.0%0.0mo$1,618 (vs do-nothing $-1,049)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$28012d9 Nov 2026$2.735/5$1,365$3,412$2,60383%hist 86%34%hist 30%86%+$1,211-$00.0%0.0mo$1,603 (vs do-nothing $-1,064)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$28014d11 Nov 2026$3.005/5$1,500$3,214$2,40583%hist 86%35%hist 30%85%+$1,216-$00.0%0.0mo$1,738 (vs do-nothing $-929)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$28016d13 Nov 2026$3.305/5$1,650$3,094$2,28582%hist 86%37%hist 30%85%+$1,125-$00.0%0.0mo$1,888 (vs do-nothing $-779)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$277.509d6 Nov 2026$3.205/5$1,600$5,333$4,52481%hist 86%39%hist 30%84%+$1,887-$00.0%0.0mo$1,838 (vs do-nothing $-829)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$28023d20 Nov 2026$3.855/5$1,925$2,511$1,70281%hist 86%39%hist 30%84%+$914-$00.0%0.0mo$2,163 (vs do-nothing $-504)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$277.5016d13 Nov 2026$3.755/5$1,875$3,516$2,70680%hist 86%41%hist 40%83%+$1,209-$00.0%0.0mo$2,113 (vs do-nothing $-554)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$277.5023d20 Nov 2026$4.405/5$2,200$2,870$2,06079%hist 83%44%hist 40%82%+$991-$00.0%0.0mo$2,438 (vs do-nothing $-229)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$27512d9 Nov 2026$3.805/5$1,900$4,750$3,94179%hist 83%44%hist 40%82%+$1,518-$00.0%0.0mo$2,138 (vs do-nothing $-529)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$27514d11 Nov 2026$3.905/5$1,950$4,179$3,36978%hist 83%45%hist 40%82%+$1,241-$00.0%0.0mo$2,188 (vs do-nothing $-479)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$27516d13 Nov 2026$4.305/5$2,150$4,031$3,22278%hist 83%46%hist 40%82%+$1,298-$00.0%0.0mo$2,388 (vs do-nothing $-279)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$27523d20 Nov 2026$5.005/5$2,500$3,261$2,45277%hist 83%49%hist 40%81%+$1,061-$00.0%0.0mo$2,738 (vs do-nothing +$71)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$272.5016d13 Nov 2026$4.955/5$2,475$4,641$3,83175%hist 83%52%hist 44%80%+$1,363-$00.0%0.0mo$2,713 (vs do-nothing +$46)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$272.5023d20 Nov 2026$5.655/5$2,825$3,685$2,87674%hist 83%54%hist 44%79%+$1,119-$00.0%0.0mo$3,063 (vs do-nothing +$396)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$27014d11 Nov 2026$5.255/5$2,625$5,625$4,81673%hist 83%56%hist 44%78%+$1,445-$00.0%0.0mo$2,863 (vs do-nothing +$196)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$27023d20 Nov 2026$6.355/5$3,175$4,141$3,33272%hist 83%59%hist 44%78%+$1,162-$00.0%0.0mo$3,413 (vs do-nothing +$746)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$27016d13 Nov 2026$5.655/5$2,825$5,297$4,48869%hist 66%65%hist 54%74%$-718-$00.0%0.0mo$3,063 (vs do-nothing +$396)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$267.5023d20 Nov 2026$7.155/5$3,575$4,663$3,85469%hist 66%65%hist 54%76%+$1,220-$00.0%0.0mo$3,042 (vs do-nothing +$375)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$26523d20 Nov 2026$8.005/5$4,000$5,217$4,40866%hist 66%71%hist 68%75%+$1,257-$00.0%0.0mo$2,217 (vs do-nothing $-450)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$262.5023d20 Nov 2026$8.955/5$4,475$5,837$5,02863%hist 66%77%hist 68%73%+$1,304-$00.0%0.0mo$1,442 (vs do-nothing $-1,225)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract

Per cycle = bid x 100 x contracts, the cash this expiry pays. Touch = P(strike trades before expiry), with the graded record's hist pill. Recover = months of this income to close the hole to CC-SS. Income/mo = FIGHT leg gross, DTE-prorated. Net/mo = FIGHT + conservative CC gross minus hedge cost. POP (mid) = probability stock closes at or below (strike + mid premium) at expiry, per-strike chain IV when available. Survival = CC expires fully worthless. EV/mo = premium minus expected buyback, monthly, with realized vol = IV x 85% (variance risk premium 15%). Survival, POP and touch use vol x 1.00 (raw implied: the VRP haircut is applied to the premium edge but NOT to risk, because understating the edge costs opportunity while understating breach odds costs capital; the risk-side haircut arms only from the graded ledger). Cap give-up @ SS = recovery mortgaged on a V-bounce to SS, net of premium. Total P&L @ SS = absolute position P&L if the stock closes at SS; "vs do-nothing" = opportunity cost against holding all 5 contracts at the conservative CC.

fortress_fight.py v6.3  |  2026-10-29 03:13