FORTRESS FIGHT: AMZN @ $239.08

BE SS: $267.92  |  CC-SS: $269.82  |  5 contracts (500 sh) |  ⌂ PORTFOLIO

GENERATED2026-10-31 03:19

AMZN @ $239.08   UNDERWATER $28.84 (10.8% below BE SS)

5 contracts (500 sh)  |  BE SS: $267.92  |  CC-SS: $269.82 (banked floor $267.64)  |  IV: MEDIUM  |  Accounts: Joint:1782

LC: $200 exp 2028-01-21 (entry $94.731/sh)
SP: $250 exp 2028-01-21 (entry $29.636/sh)
HP: $215 exp 2027-02-19 (entry $6.933/sh)

Economics

Max Loss$51,460(ND $67.92 + SW $35) x 500
Normal income ref$6,857/mo75% ann ROI on ML
Hedge rolling cost$1,105/mo
Unrealized P&L$-15,285fortress legs from IBKR
INCOME GOALPOSTS & VELOCITY
50% INCOME FLOOR
$3,429/mo
HEDGE COVER
$1,105/mo
NORMAL INCOME
$6,857/mo (ATM CC, chain)
IC VELOCITY
5.0 mo to earn back $33,960
ML VELOCITY
7.5 mo to earn back $51,460
Deep drawdown confirmed: a CC at CC-SS $269.82 (probe: $270C 14d) brings only $375/mo (<20% of normal), so FIGHT below it is warranted.
🏦 CAMPAIGN LEDGER , realized CC income since 2026-08-13; banked cash shrinks the hole (shown as an info-only banked floor, the recommended CC-SS stays the pure recovery strike; seeded from open positions, reconciled from IBKR executions nightly)
Banked since 2026-08-13
$1,152
Hole (after banked)
$14,133
was $15,285 · 8% earned back
Cycles closed
25
Credit in flight
$0
CC-SS · banked floor (info)
$269.82 → $267.64
? 5 leg(s) closed as UNKNOWN (vanished with no fill in window): banked $0, conservative. Fix campaign.json by hand if wrong.
Full leg history (25) and event log · CLOSED 17 · UNKNOWN 5 · EXPIRED 3 · updated 2026-10-31 03:15
StatusLegCredit/shCreditOpenedClosedClose/shBankedAccountSource
EXPIRED5x $267.5C 14 Oct 2026$0.49$2432026-10-132026-10-15$0.00$243U6241782execution
CLOSED1x $277.5C 16 Oct 2026$0.31$312026-10-122026-10-13$0.16$15U6241782execution
CLOSED1x $277.5C 16 Oct 2026$0.31$312026-10-122026-10-13$0.17$14U6241782execution
CLOSED1x $277.5C 16 Oct 2026$0.31$312026-10-122026-10-13$0.17$14U6241782execution
CLOSED1x $277.5C 16 Oct 2026$0.31$312026-10-122026-10-13$0.17$14U6241782execution
CLOSED1x $277.5C 16 Oct 2026$0.31$312026-10-122026-10-13$0.16$15U6241782execution
CLOSED4x $262.5C 14 Oct 2026$1.07$4272026-10-092026-10-12$2.31$-497U6241782execution
CLOSED1x $262.5C 14 Oct 2026$1.07$1072026-10-092026-10-12$2.31$-124U6241782execution
CLOSED2x $275C 16 Oct 2026$0.40$802026-10-072026-10-09$0.24$32U6241782execution
CLOSED1x $275C 16 Oct 2026$0.40$402026-10-072026-10-09$0.25$15U6241782execution
CLOSED1x $275C 16 Oct 2026$0.40$402026-10-072026-10-09$0.25$15U6241782execution
CLOSED1x $275C 16 Oct 2026$0.40$402026-10-072026-10-09$0.24$16U6241782execution
CLOSED1x $260C 9 Oct 2026$1.15$1152026-10-052026-10-07$1.24$-9U6241782snapshot
CLOSED1x $260C 9 Oct 2026$1.15$1152026-10-052026-10-07$1.22$-7U6241782snapshot
CLOSED1x $260C 9 Oct 2026$1.15$1152026-10-052026-10-07$1.22$-7U6241782snapshot
CLOSED1x $260C 9 Oct 2026$1.15$1152026-10-052026-10-07$1.23$-8U6241782snapshot
CLOSED1x $260C 9 Oct 2026$1.15$1152026-10-052026-10-07$1.23$-8U6241782snapshot
EXPIRED5x $257.5C 30 Sep 2026$0.88$4422026-09-282026-10-01$0.00$442U6241782snapshot
UNKNOWN5x $270C 2 Oct 2026$0.27$1342026-09-252026-09-28$0.27$0U6241782execution
UNKNOWN5x $275C 2 Oct 2026$0.62$3122026-09-222026-09-25$0.62$0U6241782snapshot
UNKNOWN5x $260C 25 Sep 2026$1.16$5822026-09-182026-09-22$1.16$0U6241782snapshot
CLOSED5x $267.5C 11 Sep 2026$0.82$4102026-09-022026-09-09$0.11$355U6241782execution
UNKNOWN5x $270C 4 Sep 2026$0.73$3662026-09-012026-09-02$0.73$0U6241782snapshot
EXPIRED5x $272.5C 28 Aug 2026$1.25$6252026-08-182026-08-31$0.00$625U6241782execution
UNKNOWN5x $277.5C 21 Aug 2026$2.00$1,0022026-08-132026-08-18$2.00$0U6241782seed
Event log
2026-10-15 BOT 5x $267.5C 20261014 @ $0.00 with no tracked leg (ignored)
2026-10-15 EXPIRED WORTHLESS 5x $267.5C: banked $243
2026-10-13 CLOSED 1x $277.5C 20261016: banked $15
2026-10-13 PARTIAL CLOSE 1x $277.5C: banked $15 (1 remain)
2026-10-13 PARTIAL CLOSE 1x $277.5C: banked $14 (2 remain)
2026-10-13 PARTIAL CLOSE 1x $277.5C: banked $14 (3 remain)
2026-10-13 PARTIAL CLOSE 1x $277.5C: banked $14 (4 remain)
2026-10-13 SOLD 1x $267.5C 20261014 @ $0.48 (extends leg to 5)
2026-10-13 SOLD 1x $267.5C 20261014 @ $0.48 (extends leg to 4)
2026-10-13 SOLD 1x $267.5C 20261014 @ $0.49 (extends leg to 3)
2026-10-13 SOLD 1x $267.5C 20261014 @ $0.49 (extends leg to 2)
2026-10-13 SOLD 1x $267.5C 20261014 @ $0.49 (new leg)
2026-10-12 CLOSED 4x $262.5C 20261014: banked $-497
2026-10-12 SOLD 4x $277.5C 20261016 @ $0.31 (extends leg to 5)
2026-10-12 PARTIAL CLOSE 1x $262.5C: banked $-124 (4 remain)
2026-10-12 SOLD 1x $277.5C 20261016 @ $0.31 (new leg)
2026-10-09 CLOSED 2x $275C 20261016: banked $32
2026-10-09 SOLD 2x $262.5C 20261014 @ $1.04 (extends leg to 5)
2026-10-09 PARTIAL CLOSE 1x $275C: banked $16 (2 remain)
2026-10-09 SOLD 1x $262.5C 20261014 @ $1.04 (extends leg to 3)
2026-10-09 PARTIAL CLOSE 1x $275C: banked $15 (3 remain)
2026-10-09 PARTIAL CLOSE 1x $275C: banked $15 (4 remain)
2026-10-09 SOLD 1x $262.5C 20261014 @ $1.11 (extends leg to 2)
2026-10-09 SOLD 1x $262.5C 20261014 @ $1.11 (new leg)
2026-10-07 CLOSED 1x $260C 20261009: banked $-9
2026-10-07 SOLD 1x $275C 20261016 @ $0.40 (extends leg to 5)
2026-10-07 PARTIAL CLOSE 1x $260C: banked $-8 (1 remain)
2026-10-07 SOLD 1x $275C 20261016 @ $0.39 (extends leg to 4)
2026-10-07 PARTIAL CLOSE 1x $260C: banked $-8 (2 remain)
2026-10-07 PARTIAL CLOSE 1x $260C: banked $-7 (3 remain)
2026-10-07 PARTIAL CLOSE 1x $260C: banked $-7 (4 remain)
2026-10-07 SOLD 1x $275C 20261016 @ $0.41 (extends leg to 3)
2026-10-07 SOLD 1x $275C 20261016 @ $0.40 (extends leg to 2)
2026-10-07 SOLD 1x $275C 20261016 @ $0.40 (new leg)
2026-10-05 TRACKING 5x $260C 20261009 @ $1.15 (snapshot)
2026-10-01 EXPIRED WORTHLESS 5x $257.5C: banked $442
2026-09-28 TRACKING 5x $257.5C 20260930 @ $0.88 (snapshot)
2026-09-28 ? 5x $270C 20261002 vanished with no fill in window: banked $0 (conservative), fix campaign.json by hand if wrong
2026-09-25 ? 5x $275C 20261002 vanished with no fill in window: banked $0 (conservative), fix campaign.json by hand if wrong
2026-09-25 BOT 1x $250C 20260925 @ $1.31 with no tracked leg (ignored)
TECHNICALS (cc_timing weekly gate + daily trigger)
WEEKLYNEUTRAL · %B 21 (live) · RSI 45 · MACD bearish, hist falling
DAILYFALLING (provisional) · RSI 37 · %B -2 · hist falling (nightly)
LEVELSUpper BB (CC ceiling) $275.18 (+15%) · daily UBB $267.91 · 1-wk expected move ±$12 (chain IV)
SETUPNo tilt: engine default. (advisory; floors and picks are chain-only)
⚠ Next earnings 2027-02-04: candidates whose expiry crosses it are flagged in the spectrum; EV is unreliable across earnings.
INTERPRETATION
Primary: 5 contracts at $247.50 / 7d. This is the safest strike (survival 76%, breach 24%) that still earns 50% of normal income ($3,429/mo); it brings $4,329/mo. The engine maximizes the odds the pullback never reaches your strike, rather than chasing the fattest near-ATM premium.
More income, less safety: the ladder tops out at 5 × $242.50/7d for $7,821/mo, but breach risk rises to 38% (+14pp vs the primary). The lower strike is hit by a smaller bounce.
More safety, less income: for just the hedge you can sit at 5 × $270/21d (93% survival, $500/mo).
Downside anchor: the primary mortgages $10,149 (30% of IC) ONLY on a full V-bounce all the way to SS $268, recoverable in 1.5 months of normal income. That is the rare tail; the frequent case is the strike holding. Surgical close on the 5 contracts realizes $-15,310 and cuts bleed by $1,105/mo.

📅 Two weekly tracks, this Friday & next Friday

Each Friday gets its own recommended pick and full income ladder (safest strike per income rung, sized across your 5 contracts). The master ranks the two by E[net]/mo to pick one grand pick; both are shown here so you can choose the tenor that fits your roll cadence.

🏆 Grand pick: NEXT FRIDAY · 6 Nov 2026 (7d) · sell 5 × $247.50, 76% survival, $4,329/mo (E[net] $681/mo).
This week's Friday is inside the pin/gamma window, so only the next weekly is shown.
TrackExpirySellSurvivalIncome/moE[net]/mo
NEXT FRIDAY 🏆6 Nov 2026 · 7d5 × $247.5076%$4,329$681
E[net] arithmetic on the grand pick: keep $1,010 with probability 62%; on the 38% touch you roll, paying $2,004 to close and taking $776 back from the best priced door (net cash $1,228) and parking about one cycle of income. Charging the FULL buyback with no door credit (the pre-2026-07-25 model) contradicted the campaign simulation, which prices the same event as a cash-neutral even roll.

📅 NEXT FRIDAY · 6 Nov 2026 · 7d · E[net] $681/mo 🏆 GRAND PICK

🎯 Engine pick: sell 5 × $247.50 (50% normal), 76% survival, breach 24%, $4,329/mo.
⚖️ Worth a safer step: the $250 rung (33% normal) lifts survival to 81% (breach 24% → 19%) for $1,221/mo less (28% income), and it still covers your hedge. The pick sits below the ~80% (≈1σ) comfort line; on a drawdown you are nursing back, dodging the frequent breach usually beats the extra premium. Lean: the safer $250 rung, unless you need the income to cover the hedge bleed, or you expect AMZN to stay flat-to-down near term.
AMZN  spot $239.08 · click a rung to expand its decision panel
RungSellExpiryDTEOTMSurvivalTouch oddsFIGHT edgePer cycleIncome/moΔ vs pickCap give-up
▸cover hedge5 × $2556 Nov7d6.7%90%hist 86%21%hist 23%+6pp$355$1,521-$2,807$7,054
Sell 5 × $255 6.7% OTM over spot $239.08 6 Nov 2026 (7d, $0.74 mid)
= $355 credit for the 7d cycle → $1,521/mo projected
Survival (stays ≤ $255)
90%
Breach risk
10%
POP (stays ≤ $255.74)
91%
EV / mo
+$762
📈 CAMPAIGN OUTLOOK (400 simulated futures, this rung on repeat for 9 months, no directional opinion)
FIGHT'S EDGE
+6pp
63% whole by 9mo vs 57% doing nothing
FIRE DRILLS
~1.0/quarter
challenges to roll; realized tends lower (calibration)
BANKED RATE WHILE FIGHTING
$-69/mo
median; plan ~$-47/mo after 68% keep · $-226 banked by campaign end (selling stops once whole)
green: with FIGHT · grey: without
if it recovers, the typical trip is ~1.5 mo [0.8-3.1], measured ONLY among the 63% of futures that got whole
🛡 IF CHALLENGED (spot reaches the strike) · challenge = the strike is touched at any point, so it runs ~2x the breach risk (finishing through it)
Challenge odds (touch by expiry)
15%
Flat exit net (mid-life)
-$1,710
Free roll-up
none
Safest escape (by 27 Nov 2026)
$266 @ 78% POP
73% survival
Roll menuyour doors if the call gets challenged; each row = buy back the 5 calls + sell the new ones, one order. Prices assume the central case (day 3 of 7); earlier = worse credits, later = better, through the strike = add intrinsic
Buyback gross: $5.84/sh now → $4.13 mid-life (likely $3.51–$6.32) → ≈ $0 at expiry  |  you banked $0.71/sh, so a flat mid-life exit nets -$3.42/sh  |  roll rows are incremental, the banked premium stays yours
📊 Across 458 simulated challenges: the $255 strike is typically first touched on day 5 of 7, at $258 (overshoots $2.92). The [P25–P75] under each Total is that door's credit across those paths; % credit is the share of those challenges where the roll is a net credit.
MoveNew strike ≈New expiryTenorEst netTotal (5 ct)POP / surv
of new CC
If rolled & exited
total P&L · cap gain @ new strike
Reliable up-and-out (highest cap still free ≥60%)~$26127 Nov 202624d left+$1.33/sh+$667
cycle +$1,022
[+$298…+$1,127] · 88% credit
73%
surv 63%
-$3,594 NOT
cap gain +$11,691
Roll out (same strike, buy time)~$2559 Nov 20266d left+$0.35/sh+$173
cycle +$528
[+$71…+$547] · 84% credit
67%
surv 51%
-$6,980 NOT
cap gain +$8,305
Max even-money escape in the band~$26120 Nov 202618d left+$0.57/sh+$285
cycle +$640
[-$105…+$666] · 68% credit
73%
surv 64%
-$3,976 NOT
cap gain +$11,309
SS $268 not reachable for even money within 45d; this is the ceiling of the free ladder
Safety roll (pay small debit, max POP)~$26627 Nov 202624d left-$0.41/sh-$205
cycle +$150
[-$740…+$168] · 35% credit
78%
surv 73%
-$2,024 NOT
cap gain +$13,261
budget: banked $355 debit $205 (58% used ≈ 0.6 wk of income) → whole cycle still +$150 cash · rolled 5 ct earn ≈ $2,324/mo while parked; 0 ct free to re-sell
If rolled & exited = your total from-entry P&L if you roll to that strike and then close the whole fortress with the stock pinned there (all legs repriced; SAFE = P&L ≥ 0). Cap gain is what that roll earns THIS cycle (premium + appreciation from today to the new strike); the total adds your existing MTM on top. Same from-entry basis as this tool's @cap / total-exit numbers, at the rolled strike.
POP = P(stays ≤ strike + premium collected, the call is profitable); surv = P(stays ≤ strike, the call expires fully worthless). Survival is the stricter bar (no premium cushion), so it sits below POP.
Method: each leg = its live quote (buyback off the ask, sells off the bid) × a Black-Scholes ratio to the challenge, using the leg's own IV shifted -0.4 vol pt per +1% move (equity skew: vol eases as spot rises; buyback shift floored at 0). Estimates, not quotes; the live roll table owns the real decision when a CC is actually threatened.
More detail, income coverage, downside budget, tripwires, held-to-expiry ladder, V-bounce stress
Income coverage
Gross FIGHT income$1,521/mo
vs 50% target ($3,429/mo)-56%
vs normal income ($6,857/mo)22% covered
Net income (after hedge)$417/mo
Downside budget
⚠ $255 is $15 below CC-SS $269.82: assignment on a recovery to whole locks the cap give-up below.
Cap give-up @ CC-SS (V-bounce)-$7,054
… as % of IC ($33,960)20.8%
… as % of ML ($51,460)13.7%
Recovery months (at normal income)1.0 mo
Surgical close (5 ct)$-15,300
Tripwiresprice and time left decide together; the matrix is the playbook
The one rule: roll when the short call's remaining TIME VALUE < $0.18/sh (~25% of the $0.71 collected) or spot ≥ $255.74 (breakeven), whichever comes first. Time value = call mark price minus intrinsic (max(0, spot − $255)); NOT the premium you collected. Momentum override: two daily closes above $267.91 (daily upper band) or daily RSI > 70 → treat "pressing" as "through".
Spot \ Time≥ 4d left3d left≤ 2d (expiry)
Below $252.45Do nothing. Theta wins.Do nothing.Penny buyback at the close; re-sell next cycle.
Pressing the strike
$252-255.74
Hold, alert at breakeven. Rolling into a spike pays top dollar; let theta bleed the buyback first.★ Roll on strength NOW: cheap buyback, fat credits.Close or roll same day; pin risk at the strike.
Through breakeven
≥ $255.74
Act now: intrinsic compounds daily. Up-and-out or safety roll.Roll or close immediately; time value is gone.Close today, or be assigned.
If held to expiryexact, settlement = intrinsic  ·  fortress delta 0.98 (IBKR)
ScenarioSpotCC leg netPosition totalvs todayvs do-nothing
at strike$255.00 (1.4σ)$355$-7,153+$8,132+$285
+2.5%$261.38 (1.9σ)$-2,832$-7,226+$8,059-$2,902
+5%$267.75 (2.4σ)$-6,020$-7,300+$7,985-$5,965
SS (= V-bounce)$267.92 (2.5σ)$-6,105$-7,302+$7,983-$5,965
V-BOUNCE STRESS (stock → CC-SS $269.82, where you are whole again, by expiry)
Starting unrealized P&L: $-15,285
+ Fortress recovery (un-capped): +$15,015
− CC assignment net of premium (5 × $255): -$7,054
Total Position P&L @ SS: $-7,323 (+$7,962 vs today)
Do-nothing baseline at SS: $-1,358 (this trade vs do-nothing: $-5,965, the opportunity cost of earning $1,521/mo FIGHT income now)
▸33% normal ← lean5 × $2506 Nov7d4.6%81%hist 86%38%hist 30%+12pp$725$3,107-$1,221$9,184
Sell 5 × $250 4.6% OTM over spot $239.08 6 Nov 2026 (7d, $1.49 mid)
= $725 credit for the 7d cycle → $3,107/mo projected
Survival (stays ≤ $250)
81%
Breach risk
19%
POP (stays ≤ $251.49)
84%
EV / mo
+$1,233
📈 CAMPAIGN OUTLOOK (400 simulated futures, this rung on repeat for 9 months, no directional opinion)
FIGHT'S EDGE
+12pp
72% whole by 9mo vs 60% doing nothing
FIRE DRILLS
~1.8/quarter
challenges to roll; realized tends lower (calibration)
BANKED RATE WHILE FIGHTING
$577/mo
median; plan ~$392/mo after 68% keep · $1,552 banked by campaign end (selling stops once whole)
green: with FIGHT · grey: without
if it recovers, the typical trip is ~1.8 mo [0.8-3.3], measured ONLY among the 72% of futures that got whole
🛡 IF CHALLENGED (spot reaches the strike) · challenge = the strike is touched at any point, so it runs ~2x the breach risk (finishing through it)
Challenge odds (touch by expiry)
30%
Flat exit net (mid-life)
-$1,299
Free roll-up
+$2/wk
Safest escape (by 20 Nov 2026)
$261 @ 79% POP
74% survival
Roll menuyour doors if the call gets challenged; each row = buy back the 5 calls + sell the new ones, one order. Prices assume the central case (day 3 of 7); earlier = worse credits, later = better, through the strike = add intrinsic
Buyback gross: $5.72/sh now → $4.05 mid-life (likely $4.06–$6.33) → ≈ $0 at expiry  |  you banked $1.45/sh, so a flat mid-life exit nets -$2.60/sh  |  roll rows are incremental, the banked premium stays yours
📊 Across 902 simulated challenges: the $250 strike is typically first touched on day 4 of 7, at $253 (overshoots $2.74). The [P25–P75] under each Total is that door's credit across those paths; % credit is the share of those challenges where the roll is a net credit.
MoveNew strike ≈New expiryTenorEst netTotal (5 ct)POP / surv
of new CC
If rolled & exited
total P&L · cap gain @ new strike
Reliable up-and-out (highest cap still free ≥60%)~$25627 Nov 202624d left+$1.48/sh+$741
cycle +$1,466
[+$256…+$865] · 89% credit
73%
surv 63%
-$5,593 NOT
cap gain +$9,692
Roll out (same strike, buy time)~$2509 Nov 20266d left+$0.45/sh+$227
cycle +$952
[+$41…+$390] · 84% credit
67%
surv 51%
-$8,998 NOT
cap gain +$6,287
Max even-money escape in the band~$25620 Nov 202618d left+$0.70/sh+$348
cycle +$1,073
[-$125…+$437] · 62% credit
73%
surv 64%
-$5,986 NOT
cap gain +$9,299
SS $268 not reachable for even money within 45d; this is the ceiling of the free ladder
Up-and-out for even (raise the cap, free)~$2519 Nov 20266d left+$0.05/sh+$27
cycle +$752
[-$196…+$135] · 40% credit
69%
surv 54%
-$8,749 NOT
cap gain +$6,536
Safety roll (pay small debit, max POP)~$26120 Nov 202618d left-$0.97/sh-$487
cycle +$238
[-$1,137…-$421] · 10% credit
79%
surv 74%
-$4,378 NOT
cap gain +$10,907
budget: banked $725 debit $487 (67% used ≈ 0.7 wk of income) → whole cycle still +$238 cash · rolled 5 ct earn ≈ $2,562/mo while parked; 0 ct free to re-sell
If rolled & exited = your total from-entry P&L if you roll to that strike and then close the whole fortress with the stock pinned there (all legs repriced; SAFE = P&L ≥ 0). Cap gain is what that roll earns THIS cycle (premium + appreciation from today to the new strike); the total adds your existing MTM on top. Same from-entry basis as this tool's @cap / total-exit numbers, at the rolled strike.
POP = P(stays ≤ strike + premium collected, the call is profitable); surv = P(stays ≤ strike, the call expires fully worthless). Survival is the stricter bar (no premium cushion), so it sits below POP.
Method: each leg = its live quote (buyback off the ask, sells off the bid) × a Black-Scholes ratio to the challenge, using the leg's own IV shifted -0.4 vol pt per +1% move (equity skew: vol eases as spot rises; buyback shift floored at 0). Estimates, not quotes; the live roll table owns the real decision when a CC is actually threatened.
More detail, income coverage, downside budget, tripwires, held-to-expiry ladder, V-bounce stress
Income coverage
Gross FIGHT income$3,107/mo
vs 50% target ($3,429/mo)-9%
vs normal income ($6,857/mo)45% covered
Net income (after hedge)$2,002/mo
Downside budget
⚠ $250 is $20 below CC-SS $269.82: assignment on a recovery to whole locks the cap give-up below.
Cap give-up @ CC-SS (V-bounce)-$9,184
… as % of IC ($33,960)27.0%
… as % of ML ($51,460)17.8%
Recovery months (at normal income)1.3 mo
Surgical close (5 ct)$-15,305
Tripwiresprice and time left decide together; the matrix is the playbook
The one rule: roll when the short call's remaining TIME VALUE < $0.36/sh (~25% of the $1.45 collected) or spot ≥ $251.49 (breakeven), whichever comes first. Time value = call mark price minus intrinsic (max(0, spot − $250)); NOT the premium you collected. Momentum override: two daily closes above $267.91 (daily upper band) or daily RSI > 70 → treat "pressing" as "through".
Spot \ Time≥ 4d left3d left≤ 2d (expiry)
Below $247.50Do nothing. Theta wins.Do nothing.Penny buyback at the close; re-sell next cycle.
Pressing the strike
$248-251.49
Hold, alert at breakeven. Rolling into a spike pays top dollar; let theta bleed the buyback first.★ Roll on strength NOW: cheap buyback, fat credits.Close or roll same day; pin risk at the strike.
Through breakeven
≥ $251.49
Act now: intrinsic compounds daily. Up-and-out or safety roll.Roll or close immediately; time value is gone.Close today, or be assigned.
If held to expiryexact, settlement = intrinsic  ·  fortress delta 0.98 (IBKR)
ScenarioSpotCC leg netPosition totalvs todayvs do-nothing
at strike$250.00 (≤1σ, normal week)$725$-9,226+$6,059+$655
+2.5%$256.25 (1.5σ)$-2,400$-9,297+$5,988-$2,470
+5%$262.50 (2.0σ)$-5,525$-9,369+$5,916-$5,595
SS (= V-bounce)$267.92 (2.5σ)$-8,235$-9,432+$5,853-$8,095
V-BOUNCE STRESS (stock → CC-SS $269.82, where you are whole again, by expiry)
Starting unrealized P&L: $-15,285
+ Fortress recovery (un-capped): +$15,015
− CC assignment net of premium (5 × $250): -$9,184
Total Position P&L @ SS: $-9,453 (+$5,832 vs today)
Do-nothing baseline at SS: $-1,358 (this trade vs do-nothing: $-8,095, the opportunity cost of earning $3,107/mo FIGHT income now)
▸🎯 50% normal5 × $247.506 Nov7d3.5%76%hist 83%50%hist 40%+14pp$1,010$4,329—$10,149
Sell 5 × $247.50 3.5% OTM over spot $239.08 6 Nov 2026 (7d, $2.07 mid)
= $1,010 credit for the 7d cycle → $4,329/mo projected
Survival (stays ≤ $247.50)
76%
Breach risk
24%
POP (stays ≤ $249.57)
80%
EV / mo
+$1,476
📈 CAMPAIGN OUTLOOK (400 simulated futures, this rung on repeat for 9 months, no directional opinion)
FIGHT'S EDGE
+14pp
74% whole by 9mo vs 61% doing nothing
FIRE DRILLS
~2.3/quarter
challenges to roll; realized tends lower (calibration)
BANKED RATE WHILE FIGHTING
$971/mo
median; plan ~$660/mo after 68% keep · $2,345 banked by campaign end (selling stops once whole)
green: with FIGHT · grey: without
if it recovers, the typical trip is ~1.4 mo [0.7-3.0], measured ONLY among the 74% of futures that got whole
🛡 IF CHALLENGED (spot reaches the strike) · challenge = the strike is touched at any point, so it runs ~2x the breach risk (finishing through it)
Challenge odds (touch by expiry)
38%
Flat exit net (mid-life)
-$994
Free roll-up
+$2/wk
Safest escape (by 27 Nov 2026)
$263 @ 83% POP
80% survival
Roll menuyour doors if the call gets challenged; each row = buy back the 5 calls + sell the new ones, one order. Prices assume the central case (day 3 of 7); earlier = worse credits, later = better, through the strike = add intrinsic
Buyback gross: $5.67/sh now → $4.01 mid-life (likely $4.47–$6.74) → ≈ $0 at expiry  |  you banked $2.02/sh, so a flat mid-life exit nets -$1.99/sh  |  roll rows are incremental, the banked premium stays yours
📊 Across 1,141 simulated challenges: the $248 strike is typically first touched on day 4 of 7, at $250 (overshoots $2.82). The [P25–P75] under each Total is that door's credit across those paths; % credit is the share of those challenges where the roll is a net credit.
MoveNew strike ≈New expiryTenorEst netTotal (5 ct)POP / surv
of new CC
If rolled & exited
total P&L · cap gain @ new strike
Reliable up-and-out (highest cap still free ≥60%)~$25327 Nov 202624d left+$1.55/sh+$776
cycle +$1,786
[+$206…+$786] · 88% credit
73%
surv 63%
-$6,494 NOT
cap gain +$8,791
Roll out (same strike, buy time)~$2489 Nov 20266d left+$0.51/sh+$253
cycle +$1,263
[+$25…+$301] · 81% credit
67%
surv 51%
-$9,909 NOT
cap gain +$5,376
Max even-money escape in the band~$25320 Nov 202618d left+$0.76/sh+$378
cycle +$1,388
[-$178…+$358] · 56% credit
73%
surv 64%
-$6,891 NOT
cap gain +$8,394
SS $268 not reachable for even money within 45d; this is the ceiling of the free ladder
Up-and-out for even (raise the cap, free)~$2489 Nov 20266d left+$0.11/sh+$54
cycle +$1,064
[-$205…+$81] · 33% credit
69%
surv 54%
-$9,659 NOT
cap gain +$5,626
Safety roll (pay small debit, max POP)~$26327 Nov 202624d left-$1.51/sh-$756
cycle +$254
[-$1,649…-$888] · 3% credit
83%
surv 80%
-$3,141 NOT
cap gain +$12,144
budget: banked $1,010 debit $756 (75% used ≈ 0.8 wk of income) → whole cycle still +$254 cash · rolled 5 ct earn ≈ $1,560/mo while parked; 0 ct free to re-sell
If rolled & exited = your total from-entry P&L if you roll to that strike and then close the whole fortress with the stock pinned there (all legs repriced; SAFE = P&L ≥ 0). Cap gain is what that roll earns THIS cycle (premium + appreciation from today to the new strike); the total adds your existing MTM on top. Same from-entry basis as this tool's @cap / total-exit numbers, at the rolled strike.
POP = P(stays ≤ strike + premium collected, the call is profitable); surv = P(stays ≤ strike, the call expires fully worthless). Survival is the stricter bar (no premium cushion), so it sits below POP.
Method: each leg = its live quote (buyback off the ask, sells off the bid) × a Black-Scholes ratio to the challenge, using the leg's own IV shifted -0.4 vol pt per +1% move (equity skew: vol eases as spot rises; buyback shift floored at 0). Estimates, not quotes; the live roll table owns the real decision when a CC is actually threatened.
More detail, income coverage, downside budget, tripwires, held-to-expiry ladder, V-bounce stress
Income coverage
Gross FIGHT income$4,329/mo
vs 50% target ($3,429/mo)+26%
vs normal income ($6,857/mo)63% covered
Net income (after hedge)$3,224/mo
Downside budget
⚠ $247.50 is $22 below CC-SS $269.82: assignment on a recovery to whole locks the cap give-up below.
Cap give-up @ CC-SS (V-bounce)-$10,149
… as % of IC ($33,960)29.9%
… as % of ML ($51,460)19.7%
Recovery months (at normal income)1.5 mo
Surgical close (5 ct)$-15,310
Tripwiresprice and time left decide together; the matrix is the playbook
The one rule: roll when the short call's remaining TIME VALUE < $0.51/sh (~25% of the $2.02 collected) or spot ≥ $249.57 (breakeven), whichever comes first. Time value = call mark price minus intrinsic (max(0, spot − $248)); NOT the premium you collected. Momentum override: two daily closes above $267.91 (daily upper band) or daily RSI > 70 → treat "pressing" as "through".
Spot \ Time≥ 4d left3d left≤ 2d (expiry)
Below $245.03Do nothing. Theta wins.Do nothing.Penny buyback at the close; re-sell next cycle.
Pressing the strike
$245-249.57
Hold, alert at breakeven. Rolling into a spike pays top dollar; let theta bleed the buyback first.★ Roll on strength NOW: cheap buyback, fat credits.Close or roll same day; pin risk at the strike.
Through breakeven
≥ $249.57
Act now: intrinsic compounds daily. Up-and-out or safety roll.Roll or close immediately; time value is gone.Close today, or be assigned.
If held to expiryexact, settlement = intrinsic  ·  fortress delta 0.98 (IBKR)
ScenarioSpotCC leg netPosition totalvs todayvs do-nothing
at strike$247.50 (≤1σ, normal week)$1,010$-10,162+$5,123+$940
+2.5%$253.69 (1.2σ)$-2,084$-10,233+$5,052-$2,154
+5%$259.88 (1.8σ)$-5,178$-10,304+$4,981-$5,248
SS (= V-bounce)$267.92 (2.5σ)$-9,200$-10,397+$4,888-$9,060
V-BOUNCE STRESS (stock → CC-SS $269.82, where you are whole again, by expiry)
Starting unrealized P&L: $-15,285
+ Fortress recovery (un-capped): +$15,015
− CC assignment net of premium (5 × $247.50): -$10,149
Total Position P&L @ SS: $-10,418 (+$4,867 vs today)
Do-nothing baseline at SS: $-1,358 (this trade vs do-nothing: $-9,060, the opportunity cost of earning $4,329/mo FIGHT income now)
▸100% normal5 × $242.506 Nov7d1.4%62%hist 66%78%hist 68%+16pp$1,825$7,821+$3,493$11,834
Sell 5 × $242.50 1.4% OTM over spot $239.08 6 Nov 2026 (7d, $3.75 mid)
= $1,825 credit for the 7d cycle → $7,821/mo projected
Survival (stays ≤ $242.50)
62%
Breach risk
38%
POP (stays ≤ $246.25)
72%
EV / mo
+$1,824
📈 CAMPAIGN OUTLOOK (400 simulated futures, this rung on repeat for 9 months, no directional opinion)
FIGHT'S EDGE
+16pp
77% whole by 9mo vs 62% doing nothing
FIRE DRILLS
~4.7/quarter
challenges to roll; realized tends lower (calibration)
BANKED RATE WHILE FIGHTING
$1,734/mo
median; plan ~$1,179/mo after 68% keep · $3,860 banked by campaign end (selling stops once whole)
green: with FIGHT · grey: without
if it recovers, the typical trip is ~1.3 mo [0.6-3.6], measured ONLY among the 77% of futures that got whole
🛡 IF CHALLENGED (spot reaches the strike) · challenge = the strike is touched at any point, so it runs ~2x the breach risk (finishing through it)
Challenge odds (touch by expiry)
62%
Flat exit net (mid-life)
-$138
Free roll-up
+$2/wk
Safest escape (by 27 Nov 2026)
$268 @ 91% POP
90% survival
Roll menuyour doors if the call gets challenged; each row = buy back the 5 calls + sell the new ones, one order. Prices assume the central case (day 3 of 7); earlier = worse credits, later = better, through the strike = add intrinsic
Buyback gross: $5.55/sh now → $3.93 mid-life (likely $5.03–$7.40) → ≈ $0 at expiry  |  you banked $3.65/sh, so a flat mid-life exit nets -$0.28/sh  |  roll rows are incremental, the banked premium stays yours
📊 Across 1,854 simulated challenges: the $242 strike is typically first touched on day 3 of 7, at $245 (overshoots $2.95). The [P25–P75] under each Total is that door's credit across those paths; % credit is the share of those challenges where the roll is a net credit.
MoveNew strike ≈New expiryTenorEst netTotal (5 ct)POP / surv
of new CC
If rolled & exited
total P&L · cap gain @ new strike
Reliable up-and-out (highest cap still free ≥60%)~$24827 Nov 202624d left+$1.69/sh+$843
cycle +$2,668
[+$104…+$584] · 82% credit
73%
surv 63%
-$8,054 NOT
cap gain +$7,231
Roll out (same strike, buy time)~$2429 Nov 20266d left+$0.61/sh+$303
cycle +$2,128
[+$14…+$220] · 78% credit
67%
surv 51%
-$11,486 NOT
cap gain +$3,799
Max even-money escape in the band~$24820 Nov 202618d left+$0.87/sh+$437
cycle +$2,262
[-$285…+$187] · 46% credit
73%
surv 64%
-$8,461 NOT
cap gain +$6,824
SS $268 not reachable for even money within 45d; this is the ceiling of the free ladder
Up-and-out for even (raise the cap, free)~$2439 Nov 20266d left+$0.21/sh+$104
cycle +$1,929
[-$230…-$8] · 24% credit
69%
surv 54%
-$11,236 NOT
cap gain +$4,049
Safety roll (pay small debit, max POP)~$26827 Nov 202624d left-$2.88/sh-$1,441
cycle +$384
[-$2,867…-$1,902]
91%
surv 90%
-$569 NOT
cap gain +$14,716
budget: banked $1,825 debit $1,441 (79% used ≈ 0.8 wk of income) → whole cycle still +$384 cash · rolled 5 ct earn ≈ $653/mo while parked; 0 ct free to re-sell · clears SS ✓
If rolled & exited = your total from-entry P&L if you roll to that strike and then close the whole fortress with the stock pinned there (all legs repriced; SAFE = P&L ≥ 0). Cap gain is what that roll earns THIS cycle (premium + appreciation from today to the new strike); the total adds your existing MTM on top. Same from-entry basis as this tool's @cap / total-exit numbers, at the rolled strike.
POP = P(stays ≤ strike + premium collected, the call is profitable); surv = P(stays ≤ strike, the call expires fully worthless). Survival is the stricter bar (no premium cushion), so it sits below POP.
Method: each leg = its live quote (buyback off the ask, sells off the bid) × a Black-Scholes ratio to the challenge, using the leg's own IV shifted -0.4 vol pt per +1% move (equity skew: vol eases as spot rises; buyback shift floored at 0). Estimates, not quotes; the live roll table owns the real decision when a CC is actually threatened.
More detail, income coverage, downside budget, tripwires, held-to-expiry ladder, V-bounce stress
Income coverage
Gross FIGHT income$7,821/mo
vs 50% target ($3,429/mo)+128%
vs normal income ($6,857/mo)114% covered
Net income (after hedge)$6,717/mo
Downside budget
⚠ $242.50 is $27 below CC-SS $269.82: assignment on a recovery to whole locks the cap give-up below.
Cap give-up @ CC-SS (V-bounce)-$11,834
… as % of IC ($33,960)34.8%
… as % of ML ($51,460)23.0%
Recovery months (at normal income)1.7 mo
Surgical close (5 ct)$-15,335
Tripwiresprice and time left decide together; the matrix is the playbook
The one rule: roll when the short call's remaining TIME VALUE < $0.91/sh (~25% of the $3.65 collected) or spot ≥ $246.25 (breakeven), whichever comes first. Time value = call mark price minus intrinsic (max(0, spot − $242)); NOT the premium you collected. Momentum override: two daily closes above $267.91 (daily upper band) or daily RSI > 70 → treat "pressing" as "through".
Spot \ Time≥ 4d left3d left≤ 2d (expiry)
Below $240.07Do nothing. Theta wins.Do nothing.Penny buyback at the close; re-sell next cycle.
Pressing the strike
$240-246.25
Hold, alert at breakeven. Rolling into a spike pays top dollar; let theta bleed the buyback first.★ Roll on strength NOW: cheap buyback, fat credits.Close or roll same day; pin risk at the strike.
Through breakeven
≥ $246.25
Act now: intrinsic compounds daily. Up-and-out or safety roll.Roll or close immediately; time value is gone.Close today, or be assigned.
If held to expiryexact, settlement = intrinsic  ·  fortress delta 0.98 (IBKR)
ScenarioSpotCC leg netPosition totalvs todayvs do-nothing
at strike$242.50 (≤1σ, normal week)$1,825$-11,789+$3,496+$1,755
+2.5%$248.56 (≤1σ, normal week)$-1,206$-11,859+$3,426-$1,276
+5%$254.62 (1.3σ)$-4,238$-11,929+$3,356-$4,307
SS (= V-bounce)$267.92 (2.5σ)$-10,885$-12,082+$3,203-$10,745
V-BOUNCE STRESS (stock → CC-SS $269.82, where you are whole again, by expiry)
Starting unrealized P&L: $-15,285
+ Fortress recovery (un-capped): +$15,015
− CC assignment net of premium (5 × $242.50): -$11,834
Total Position P&L @ SS: $-12,103 (+$3,182 vs today)
Do-nothing baseline at SS: $-1,358 (this trade vs do-nothing: $-10,745, the opportunity cost of earning $7,821/mo FIGHT income now)
A nudge, not a rule: the engine maximizes income at acceptable safety; this weighs the income you would give up against the breach risk you would shed. Your hedge bleed and your read on AMZN are the tiebreakers.
⚔ FIGHT CC options · full candidate scan (35 clear the floor), click to expand

Every eligible strike x expiry in the 4-45 DTE band (7 expiries scanned, 35 clear the income floor), each sized to the minimum contracts that clear it. Sorted by survival (safest first): the primary 🎯 is the safest; rows below trade safety for income.

Fortress delta: 0.977 (IBKR)  |  Recovery@SS: +$15,015 (un-capped fortress gain if stock rallies to SS)  |  Do-nothing @ SS: $-1,358

StrikeDTEExpiryBidSellPer cycleIncome/moNet/moSurvivalTouchPOP (mid)EV/moCap Give-up @ CC-SS%ICRecoverTotal P&L @ SS
$247.505d4 Nov 2026$1.425/5$710$4,260$3,15579%hist 83%43%hist 40%82%+$1,553-$10,44930.8%1.5mo$-10,718 (vs do-nothing $-9,360)
$247.507d6 Nov 2026$2.025/5$1,010$4,329$3,22476%hist 83%50%hist 40%80%+$1,476-$10,14929.9%1.5mo$-10,418 (vs do-nothing $-9,060)
$2455d4 Nov 2026$2.085/5$1,040$6,240$5,13572%hist 83%58%hist 44%78%+$1,938-$11,36933.5%1.7mo$-11,638 (vs do-nothing $-10,280)
$247.5014d13 Nov 2026$3.355/5$1,675$3,589$2,48470%hist 83%61%hist 54%77%+$940-$9,48427.9%1.4mo$-9,753 (vs do-nothing $-8,395)
$2457d6 Nov 2026$2.765/5$1,380$5,914$4,80969%hist 66%63%hist 54%76%+$1,707-$11,02932.5%1.6mo$-11,298 (vs do-nothing $-9,940)
$24510d9 Nov 2026$2.845/5$1,420$4,260$3,15568%hist 66%66%hist 54%75%+$832-$10,98932.4%1.6mo$-11,258 (vs do-nothing $-9,900)
$24512d11 Nov 2026$2.915/5$1,455$3,638$2,53366%hist 66%69%hist 54%74%+$191-$10,95432.3%1.6mo$-11,223 (vs do-nothing $-9,865)
$24514d13 Nov 2026$4.255/5$2,125$4,554$3,44965%hist 66%72%hist 68%74%+$1,108-$10,28430.3%1.5mo$-10,553 (vs do-nothing $-9,195)
$242.505d4 Nov 2026$2.935/5$1,465$8,790$7,68563%hist 66%75%hist 68%73%+$2,200-$12,19435.9%1.8mo$-12,463 (vs do-nothing $-11,105)
$24521d20 Nov 2026$5.505/5$2,750$3,929$2,82463%hist 66%76%hist 68%73%+$934-$9,65928.4%1.4mo$-9,928 (vs do-nothing $-8,570)
$242.507d6 Nov 2026$3.655/5$1,825$7,821$6,71762%hist 66%78%hist 68%72%+$1,824-$11,83434.8%1.7mo$-12,103 (vs do-nothing $-10,745)
$242.5010d9 Nov 2026$3.855/5$1,925$5,775$4,67061%hist 66%80%hist 68%72%+$1,047-$11,73434.6%1.7mo$-12,003 (vs do-nothing $-10,645)
$242.5012d11 Nov 2026$3.705/5$1,850$4,625$3,52060%hist 66%82%hist 79%71%+$42-$11,80934.8%1.7mo$-12,078 (vs do-nothing $-10,720)
Show 22 more candidates (lower strikes: more income, lower survival)
StrikeDTEExpiryBidSellPer cycleIncome/moNet/moSurvivalTouchPOP (mid)EV/moCap Give-up @ CC-SS%ICRecoverTotal P&L @ SS
$242.5014d13 Nov 2026$5.305/5$2,650$5,679$4,57459%hist 70%84%hist 79%71%+$1,139-$11,00932.4%1.6mo$-11,278 (vs do-nothing $-9,920)
$242.5021d20 Nov 2026$6.605/5$3,300$4,714$3,60958%hist 70%86%hist 79%70%+$959-$10,35930.5%1.5mo$-10,628 (vs do-nothing $-9,270)
$2405d4 Nov 2026$3.955/5$1,975$11,850$10,74554%hist 70%93%hist 89%68%+$2,170-$12,93438.1%1.9mo$-13,203 (vs do-nothing $-11,845)
$2407d6 Nov 2026$4.805/5$2,400$10,286$9,18154%hist 70%94%hist 89%68%+$2,018-$12,50936.8%1.8mo$-12,778 (vs do-nothing $-11,420)
$24010d9 Nov 2026$5.255/5$2,625$7,875$6,77054%hist 70%95%hist 89%69%+$1,522-$12,28436.2%1.8mo$-12,553 (vs do-nothing $-11,195)
$24012d11 Nov 2026$5.005/5$2,500$6,250$5,14554%hist 70%95%hist 89%68%+$286-$12,40936.5%1.8mo$-12,678 (vs do-nothing $-11,320)
$24014d13 Nov 2026$6.405/5$3,200$6,857$5,75254%hist 70%95%hist 89%68%+$1,204-$11,70934.5%1.7mo$-11,978 (vs do-nothing $-10,620)
$24021d20 Nov 2026$7.855/5$3,925$5,607$4,50253%hist 70%96%hist 89%68%+$1,058-$10,98432.3%1.6mo$-11,253 (vs do-nothing $-9,895)
$24028d27 Nov 2026$8.505/5$4,250$4,554$3,44953%hist 70%96%hist 89%69%+$879-$10,65931.4%1.6mo$-10,928 (vs do-nothing $-9,570)
$237.5021d20 Nov 2026$9.155/5$4,575$6,536$5,43149%100%hist 89%66%+$1,071-$11,58434.1%1.7mo$-11,853 (vs do-nothing $-10,495)
$237.5014d13 Nov 2026$7.755/5$3,875$8,304$7,19948%100%hist 89%66%+$1,327-$12,28436.2%1.8mo$-12,553 (vs do-nothing $-11,195)
$237.5012d11 Nov 2026$5.855/5$2,925$7,312$6,20847%100%hist 89%64%$-281-$13,23439.0%1.9mo$-13,503 (vs do-nothing $-12,145)
$237.5010d9 Nov 2026$6.305/5$3,150$9,450$8,34547%100%hist 89%65%+$1,138-$13,00938.3%1.9mo$-13,278 (vs do-nothing $-11,920)
$237.507d6 Nov 2026$6.105/5$3,050$13,071$11,96746%100%hist 89%65%+$2,030-$13,10938.6%1.9mo$-13,378 (vs do-nothing $-12,020)
$237.505d4 Nov 2026$5.255/5$2,625$15,750$14,64545%100%hist 89%64%+$2,145-$13,53439.9%2.0mo$-13,803 (vs do-nothing $-12,445)
$23528d27 Nov 2026$10.805/5$5,400$5,786$4,68144%100%hist 89%65%+$640-$12,00935.4%1.8mo$-12,278 (vs do-nothing $-10,920)
$23521d20 Nov 2026$10.605/5$5,300$7,571$6,46744%100%hist 89%64%+$1,057-$12,10935.7%1.8mo$-12,378 (vs do-nothing $-11,020)
$23514d13 Nov 2026$9.205/5$4,600$9,857$8,75242%100%hist 89%63%+$1,298-$12,80937.7%1.9mo$-13,078 (vs do-nothing $-11,720)
$23512d11 Nov 2026$7.355/5$3,675$9,188$8,08341%100%hist 89%62%$-279-$13,73440.4%2.0mo$-14,003 (vs do-nothing $-12,645)
$23510d9 Nov 2026$6.955/5$3,475$10,425$9,32040%100%hist 89%61%$-173-$13,93441.0%2.0mo$-14,203 (vs do-nothing $-12,845)
$2357d6 Nov 2026$7.555/5$3,775$16,179$15,07439%100%hist 89%62%+$1,866-$13,63440.1%2.0mo$-13,903 (vs do-nothing $-12,545)
$2355d4 Nov 2026$6.805/5$3,400$20,400$19,29536%100%hist 89%61%+$2,077-$14,00941.3%2.0mo$-14,278 (vs do-nothing $-12,920)
126 more priced, not eligible (safety, income floor or quote screens): shown for reference
StrikeDTEExpiryBidSellPer cycleIncome/moNet/moSurvivalTouchPOP (mid)EV/moCap Give-up @ CC-SS%ICRecoverTotal P&L @ SSWhy not eligible
$2905d4 Nov 2026$0.015/5$5$30$-1,07599+%hist 95%0%hist 4%100%+$24-$00.0%0.0mo$-265 (vs do-nothing +$1,094)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$297.507d6 Nov 2026$0.015/5$5$21$-1,08399+%hist 95%1%hist 4%100%+$15-$00.0%0.0mo$-265 (vs do-nothing +$1,094)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$2957d6 Nov 2026$0.015/5$5$21$-1,08399+%hist 95%1%hist 4%100%+$15-$00.0%0.0mo$-265 (vs do-nothing +$1,094)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$292.507d6 Nov 2026$0.025/5$10$43$-1,06299+%hist 95%1%hist 4%100%+$35-$00.0%0.0mo$-260 (vs do-nothing +$1,099)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$2855d4 Nov 2026$0.015/5$5$30$-1,07599+%hist 95%1%hist 4%100%+$20-$00.0%0.0mo$-265 (vs do-nothing +$1,094)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$2907d6 Nov 2026$0.025/5$10$43$-1,06299+%hist 95%1%hist 4%100%+$33-$00.0%0.0mo$-260 (vs do-nothing +$1,099)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$297.5010d9 Nov 2026$0.015/5$5$15$-1,09099+%hist 95%1%hist 4%100%+$6-$00.0%0.0mo$-265 (vs do-nothing +$1,094)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$282.505d4 Nov 2026$0.015/5$5$30$-1,07599+%hist 95%1%hist 4%100%+$16-$00.0%0.0mo$-265 (vs do-nothing +$1,094)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$287.507d6 Nov 2026$0.035/5$15$64$-1,04199+%hist 95%1%hist 4%100%+$53-$00.0%0.0mo$-255 (vs do-nothing +$1,104)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$29510d9 Nov 2026$0.015/5$5$15$-1,09099+%hist 95%1%hist 4%100%+$5-$00.0%0.0mo$-265 (vs do-nothing +$1,094)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$297.5012d11 Nov 2026$0.025/5$10$25$-1,08099%hist 95%1%hist 4%99%+$15-$00.0%0.0mo$-260 (vs do-nothing +$1,099)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$292.5010d9 Nov 2026$0.025/5$10$30$-1,07599%hist 95%1%hist 4%99%+$19-$00.0%0.0mo$-260 (vs do-nothing +$1,099)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$2857d6 Nov 2026$0.035/5$15$64$-1,04199%hist 95%1%hist 4%99%+$51-$00.0%0.0mo$-255 (vs do-nothing +$1,104)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$2805d4 Nov 2026$0.035/5$15$90$-1,01599%hist 95%1%hist 4%99%+$72-$00.0%0.0mo$-255 (vs do-nothing +$1,104)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$29512d11 Nov 2026$0.025/5$10$25$-1,08099%hist 95%1%hist 4%99%+$14-$00.0%0.0mo$-260 (vs do-nothing +$1,099)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$297.5014d13 Nov 2026$0.035/5$15$32$-1,07399%hist 95%1%hist 4%99%+$21-$00.0%0.0mo$-255 (vs do-nothing +$1,104)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$282.507d6 Nov 2026$0.035/5$15$64$-1,04199%hist 95%1%hist 4%99%+$49-$00.0%0.0mo$-255 (vs do-nothing +$1,104)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$287.5010d9 Nov 2026$0.025/5$10$30$-1,07599%hist 95%1%hist 4%99%+$16-$00.0%0.0mo$-260 (vs do-nothing +$1,099)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$292.5012d11 Nov 2026$0.025/5$10$25$-1,08099%hist 95%1%hist 4%99%+$12-$00.0%0.0mo$-260 (vs do-nothing +$1,099)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$277.505d4 Nov 2026$0.025/5$10$60$-1,04599%hist 95%1%hist 4%99%+$36-$00.0%0.0mo$-260 (vs do-nothing +$1,099)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$2807d6 Nov 2026$0.045/5$20$86$-1,01999%hist 95%1%hist 4%99%+$67-$00.0%0.0mo$-250 (vs do-nothing +$1,109)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$29010d9 Nov 2026$0.015/5$5$15$-1,09099%hist 95%1%hist 4%99%$-3-$00.0%0.0mo$-265 (vs do-nothing +$1,094)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$29012d11 Nov 2026$0.035/5$15$38$-1,06799%hist 95%1%hist 4%99%+$23-$00.0%0.0mo$-255 (vs do-nothing +$1,104)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$29514d13 Nov 2026$0.065/5$30$64$-1,04199%hist 95%1%hist 4%99%+$50-$00.0%0.0mo$-240 (vs do-nothing +$1,119)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$28510d9 Nov 2026$0.055/5$25$75$-1,03099%hist 95%2%hist 4%99%+$57-$00.0%0.0mo$-245 (vs do-nothing +$1,114)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$292.5014d13 Nov 2026$0.055/5$25$54$-1,05199%hist 95%2%hist 4%99%+$38-$00.0%0.0mo$-245 (vs do-nothing +$1,114)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$287.5012d11 Nov 2026$0.035/5$15$38$-1,06799%hist 95%2%hist 4%99%+$20-$00.0%0.0mo$-255 (vs do-nothing +$1,104)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$2755d4 Nov 2026$0.045/5$20$120$-98599%hist 95%2%hist 4%99%+$90-$00.0%0.0mo$-250 (vs do-nothing +$1,109)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$277.507d6 Nov 2026$0.045/5$20$86$-1,01999%hist 95%2%hist 4%99%+$62-$00.0%0.0mo$-250 (vs do-nothing +$1,109)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$282.5010d9 Nov 2026$0.035/5$15$45$-1,06099%hist 95%2%hist 4%99%+$24-$00.0%0.0mo$-255 (vs do-nothing +$1,104)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$287.5014d13 Nov 2026$0.055/5$25$54$-1,05199%hist 95%2%hist 4%99%+$35-$00.0%0.0mo$-245 (vs do-nothing +$1,114)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$28512d11 Nov 2026$0.035/5$15$38$-1,06799%hist 95%2%hist 4%99%+$16-$00.0%0.0mo$-255 (vs do-nothing +$1,104)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$29014d13 Nov 2026$0.085/5$40$86$-1,01999%hist 95%2%hist 4%99%+$64-$00.0%0.0mo$-230 (vs do-nothing +$1,129)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$272.505d4 Nov 2026$0.035/5$15$90$-1,01599%hist 95%2%hist 4%99%+$51-$00.0%0.0mo$-255 (vs do-nothing +$1,104)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$2757d6 Nov 2026$0.065/5$30$129$-97699%hist 95%2%hist 4%99%+$98-$00.0%0.0mo$-240 (vs do-nothing +$1,119)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$28010d9 Nov 2026$0.045/5$20$60$-1,04599%hist 95%2%hist 4%99%+$34-$00.0%0.0mo$-250 (vs do-nothing +$1,109)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$282.5012d11 Nov 2026$0.055/5$25$62$-1,04299%hist 95%2%hist 4%99%+$36-$00.0%0.0mo$-245 (vs do-nothing +$1,114)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$29521d20 Nov 2026$0.135/5$65$93$-1,01299%hist 95%3%hist 4%99%+$69-$00.0%0.0mo$-205 (vs do-nothing +$1,154)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$277.5010d9 Nov 2026$0.025/5$10$30$-1,07599%hist 95%3%hist 4%99%$-3-$00.0%0.0mo$-260 (vs do-nothing +$1,099)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$2705d4 Nov 2026$0.055/5$25$150$-95599%hist 95%3%hist 4%99%+$98-$00.0%0.0mo$-245 (vs do-nothing +$1,114)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$272.507d6 Nov 2026$0.065/5$30$129$-97699%hist 95%3%hist 4%99%+$87-$00.0%0.0mo$-240 (vs do-nothing +$1,119)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$28514d13 Nov 2026$0.115/5$55$118$-98799%hist 95%3%hist 4%99%+$88-$00.0%0.0mo$-215 (vs do-nothing +$1,144)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$28012d11 Nov 2026$0.075/5$35$88$-1,01799%hist 95%3%hist 4%99%+$55-$00.0%0.0mo$-235 (vs do-nothing +$1,124)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$27510d9 Nov 2026$0.085/5$40$120$-98598%hist 95%3%hist 4%98%+$77-$00.0%0.0mo$-230 (vs do-nothing +$1,129)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$29528d27 Nov 2026$0.165/5$80$86$-1,01998%hist 95%3%hist 4%98%+$60-$00.0%0.0mo$-190 (vs do-nothing +$1,169)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$282.5014d13 Nov 2026$0.125/5$60$129$-97698%hist 95%3%hist 4%98%+$88-$00.0%0.0mo$-210 (vs do-nothing +$1,149)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$267.505d4 Nov 2026$0.075/5$35$210$-89598%hist 95%3%hist 4%98%+$139-$1,1243.3%0.2mo$-1,393 (vs do-nothing $-35)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$277.5012d11 Nov 2026$0.055/5$25$62$-1,04298%hist 95%3%hist 4%98%+$20-$00.0%0.0mo$-245 (vs do-nothing +$1,114)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$2707d6 Nov 2026$0.095/5$45$193$-91298%hist 95%3%hist 4%98%+$134-$00.0%0.0mo$-225 (vs do-nothing +$1,134)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$29021d20 Nov 2026$0.185/5$90$129$-97698%hist 95%3%hist 4%98%+$94-$00.0%0.0mo$-180 (vs do-nothing +$1,179)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$28014d13 Nov 2026$0.155/5$75$161$-94498%hist 95%4%hist 4%98%+$113-$00.0%0.0mo$-195 (vs do-nothing +$1,164)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$272.5010d9 Nov 2026$0.045/5$20$60$-1,04598%hist 95%4%hist 4%98%+$3-$00.0%0.0mo$-250 (vs do-nothing +$1,109)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$27512d11 Nov 2026$0.125/5$60$150$-95598%hist 95%4%hist 4%98%+$94-$00.0%0.0mo$-210 (vs do-nothing +$1,149)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$29028d27 Nov 2026$0.245/5$120$129$-97698%hist 95%4%hist 4%98%+$91-$00.0%0.0mo$-150 (vs do-nothing +$1,209)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$2655d4 Nov 2026$0.095/5$45$270$-83598%hist 95%4%hist 4%98%+$170-$2,3647.0%0.3mo$-2,633 (vs do-nothing $-1,275)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$277.5014d13 Nov 2026$0.165/5$80$171$-93398%hist 95%4%hist 4%98%+$113-$00.0%0.0mo$-190 (vs do-nothing +$1,169)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$267.507d6 Nov 2026$0.115/5$55$236$-86998%hist 95%4%hist 4%98%+$151-$1,1043.3%0.2mo$-1,373 (vs do-nothing $-15)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$28521d20 Nov 2026$0.235/5$115$164$-94198%hist 95%5%hist 4%98%+$110-$00.0%0.0mo$-155 (vs do-nothing +$1,204)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$27010d9 Nov 2026$0.115/5$55$165$-94098%hist 95%5%hist 4%98%+$87-$00.0%0.0mo$-215 (vs do-nothing +$1,144)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$272.5012d11 Nov 2026$0.145/5$70$175$-93097%hist 95%5%hist 4%98%+$99-$00.0%0.0mo$-200 (vs do-nothing +$1,159)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$27514d13 Nov 2026$0.215/5$105$225$-88097%hist 95%5%hist 4%97%+$146-$00.0%0.0mo$-165 (vs do-nothing +$1,194)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$262.505d4 Nov 2026$0.115/5$55$330$-77597%hist 95%6%hist 4%97%+$183-$3,60410.6%0.5mo$-3,873 (vs do-nothing $-2,515)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$28528d27 Nov 2026$0.305/5$150$161$-94497%hist 95%6%hist 4%97%+$104-$00.0%0.0mo$-120 (vs do-nothing +$1,239)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$2657d6 Nov 2026$0.185/5$90$386$-71997%hist 95%6%hist 4%97%+$260-$2,3196.8%0.3mo$-2,588 (vs do-nothing $-1,230)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$267.5010d9 Nov 2026$0.145/5$70$210$-89597%hist 95%6%hist 4%97%+$100-$1,0893.2%0.2mo$-1,358 (vs do-nothing +$0)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$27012d11 Nov 2026$0.195/5$95$238$-86797%hist 95%7%hist 4%97%+$132-$00.0%0.0mo$-175 (vs do-nothing +$1,184)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$28021d20 Nov 2026$0.335/5$165$236$-86997%hist 95%7%hist 4%97%+$151-$00.0%0.0mo$-105 (vs do-nothing +$1,254)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$272.5014d13 Nov 2026$0.285/5$140$300$-80597%hist 95%7%hist 4%97%+$199-$00.0%0.0mo$-130 (vs do-nothing +$1,229)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$2605d4 Nov 2026$0.195/5$95$570$-53596%hist 95%8%hist 4%96%+$343-$4,81414.2%0.7mo$-5,083 (vs do-nothing $-3,725)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$277.5021d20 Nov 2026$0.375/5$185$264$-84196%hist 95%8%hist 4%96%+$157-$00.0%0.0mo$-85 (vs do-nothing +$1,274)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$28028d27 Nov 2026$0.455/5$225$241$-86496%hist 95%8%hist 4%96%+$152-$00.0%0.0mo$-45 (vs do-nothing +$1,314)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$27014d13 Nov 2026$0.355/5$175$375$-73096%hist 95%8%hist 4%96%+$244-$00.0%0.0mo$-95 (vs do-nothing +$1,264)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$262.507d6 Nov 2026$0.245/5$120$514$-59196%hist 95%8%hist 4%96%+$321-$3,53910.4%0.5mo$-3,808 (vs do-nothing $-2,450)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$26510d9 Nov 2026$0.145/5$70$210$-89596%hist 95%8%hist 4%96%+$51-$2,3396.9%0.3mo$-2,608 (vs do-nothing $-1,250)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$267.5012d11 Nov 2026$0.265/5$130$325$-78096%hist 95%8%hist 4%96%+$177-$1,0293.0%0.2mo$-1,298 (vs do-nothing +$60)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$27521d20 Nov 2026$0.475/5$235$336$-76995%hist 95%9%hist 4%96%+$199-$00.0%0.0mo$-35 (vs do-nothing +$1,324)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$267.5014d13 Nov 2026$0.405/5$200$429$-67695%hist 95%10%hist 13%95%+$247-$9592.8%0.1mo$-1,228 (vs do-nothing +$130)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$26512d11 Nov 2026$0.335/5$165$412$-69295%hist 95%11%hist 13%95%+$202-$2,2446.6%0.3mo$-2,513 (vs do-nothing $-1,155)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$262.5010d9 Nov 2026$0.285/5$140$420$-68595%hist 95%11%hist 13%95%+$188-$3,51910.4%0.5mo$-3,788 (vs do-nothing $-2,430)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$257.505d4 Nov 2026$0.275/5$135$810$-29595%hist 95%11%hist 13%95%+$446-$6,02417.7%0.9mo$-6,293 (vs do-nothing $-4,935)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$2607d6 Nov 2026$0.355/5$175$750$-35595%hist 95%11%hist 13%95%+$448-$4,73413.9%0.7mo$-5,003 (vs do-nothing $-3,645)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$272.5021d20 Nov 2026$0.575/5$285$407$-69894%hist 95%11%hist 13%95%+$231-$00.0%0.0mo$15 (vs do-nothing +$1,374)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$27528d27 Nov 2026$0.635/5$315$338$-76794%hist 95%11%hist 13%95%+$194-$00.0%0.0mo$45 (vs do-nothing +$1,404)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$26514d13 Nov 2026$0.545/5$270$579$-52693%hist 95%13%hist 13%94%+$314-$2,1396.3%0.3mo$-2,408 (vs do-nothing $-1,050)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$27021d20 Nov 2026$0.705/5$350$500$-60593%hist 95%14%hist 13%94%+$272-$00.0%0.0mo$80 (vs do-nothing +$1,439)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$262.5012d11 Nov 2026$0.465/5$230$575$-53093%hist 95%14%hist 13%94%+$273-$3,42910.1%0.5mo$-3,698 (vs do-nothing $-2,340)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$26010d9 Nov 2026$0.405/5$200$600$-50593%hist 95%14%hist 13%93%+$256-$4,70913.9%0.7mo$-4,978 (vs do-nothing $-3,620)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$257.507d6 Nov 2026$0.505/5$250$1,071$-3392%hist 95%15%hist 13%93%+$593-$5,90917.4%0.9mo$-6,178 (vs do-nothing $-4,820)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$2555d4 Nov 2026$0.425/5$210$1,260$15592%hist 95%16%hist 13%93%+$661-$7,19921.2%1.0mo$-7,468 (vs do-nothing $-6,110)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$27028d27 Nov 2026$0.915/5$455$488$-61792%hist 95%16%hist 13%93%+$252-$00.0%0.0mo$185 (vs do-nothing +$1,544)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$267.5021d20 Nov 2026$0.855/5$425$607$-49892%hist 95%17%hist 13%92%+$309-$7342.2%0.1mo$-1,003 (vs do-nothing +$355)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$262.5014d13 Nov 2026$0.745/5$370$793$-31292%hist 95%17%hist 13%92%+$408-$3,2899.7%0.5mo$-3,558 (vs do-nothing $-2,200)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$26012d11 Nov 2026$0.705/5$350$875$-23091%hist 95%18%hist 13%92%+$438-$4,55913.4%0.7mo$-4,828 (vs do-nothing $-3,470)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$257.5010d9 Nov 2026$0.385/5$190$570$-53591%hist 95%19%hist 13%91%+$55-$5,96917.6%0.9mo$-6,238 (vs do-nothing $-4,880)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$26521d20 Nov 2026$1.075/5$535$764$-34190%hist 95%20%hist 13%91%+$374-$1,8745.5%0.3mo$-2,143 (vs do-nothing $-785)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$2557d6 Nov 2026$0.715/5$355$1,521$41790%hist 86%21%hist 23%91%+$762-$7,05420.8%1.0mo$-7,323 (vs do-nothing $-5,965)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$26014d13 Nov 2026$0.975/5$485$1,039$-6689%hist 86%22%hist 23%90%+$496-$4,42413.0%0.6mo$-4,693 (vs do-nothing $-3,335)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$252.505d4 Nov 2026$0.635/5$315$1,890$78589%hist 86%22%hist 23%90%+$892-$8,34424.6%1.2mo$-8,613 (vs do-nothing $-7,255)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$26528d27 Nov 2026$1.345/5$670$718$-38789%hist 86%23%hist 23%90%+$328-$1,7395.1%0.3mo$-2,008 (vs do-nothing $-650)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$257.5012d11 Nov 2026$0.835/5$415$1,037$-6789%hist 86%23%hist 23%90%+$405-$5,74416.9%0.8mo$-6,013 (vs do-nothing $-4,655)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$262.5021d20 Nov 2026$1.325/5$660$943$-16288%hist 86%24%hist 23%89%+$431-$2,9998.8%0.4mo$-3,268 (vs do-nothing $-1,910)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$25510d9 Nov 2026$0.695/5$345$1,035$-7088%hist 86%25%hist 23%89%+$266-$7,06420.8%1.0mo$-7,333 (vs do-nothing $-5,975)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$257.5014d13 Nov 2026$1.235/5$615$1,318$21387%hist 86%27%hist 23%88%+$564-$5,54416.3%0.8mo$-5,813 (vs do-nothing $-4,455)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$252.507d6 Nov 2026$1.025/5$510$2,186$1,08186%hist 86%28%hist 23%88%+$984-$8,14924.0%1.2mo$-8,418 (vs do-nothing $-7,060)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$26021d20 Nov 2026$1.645/5$820$1,171$6786%hist 86%29%hist 23%88%+$500-$4,08912.0%0.6mo$-4,358 (vs do-nothing $-3,000)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$25512d11 Nov 2026$0.975/5$485$1,212$10885%hist 86%30%hist 23%87%+$301-$6,92420.4%1.0mo$-7,193 (vs do-nothing $-5,835)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$2505d4 Nov 2026$0.955/5$475$2,850$1,74585%hist 86%31%hist 30%87%+$1,193-$9,43427.8%1.4mo$-9,703 (vs do-nothing $-8,345)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$26028d27 Nov 2026$2.005/5$1,000$1,071$-3384%hist 86%32%hist 30%86%+$429-$3,90911.5%0.6mo$-4,178 (vs do-nothing $-2,820)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$252.5010d9 Nov 2026$1.135/5$565$1,695$59084%hist 86%33%hist 30%86%+$551-$8,09423.8%1.2mo$-8,363 (vs do-nothing $-7,005)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$25514d13 Nov 2026$1.605/5$800$1,714$60984%hist 86%33%hist 30%86%+$697-$6,60919.5%1.0mo$-6,878 (vs do-nothing $-5,520)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$257.5021d20 Nov 2026$2.035/5$1,015$1,450$34583%hist 86%35%hist 30%85%+$572-$5,14415.1%0.8mo$-5,413 (vs do-nothing $-4,055)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$252.5012d11 Nov 2026$1.315/5$655$1,638$53382%hist 86%37%hist 30%84%+$337-$8,00423.6%1.2mo$-8,273 (vs do-nothing $-6,915)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$2507d6 Nov 2026$1.455/5$725$3,107$2,00281%hist 86%38%hist 30%84%+$1,233-$9,18427.0%1.3mo$-9,453 (vs do-nothing $-8,095)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$25521d20 Nov 2026$2.505/5$1,250$1,786$68180%hist 83%41%hist 40%83%+$643-$6,15918.1%0.9mo$-6,428 (vs do-nothing $-5,070)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$252.5014d13 Nov 2026$2.075/5$1,035$2,218$1,11380%hist 83%42%hist 40%83%+$768-$7,62422.4%1.1mo$-7,893 (vs do-nothing $-6,535)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$25010d9 Nov 2026$1.645/5$820$2,460$1,35579%hist 83%42%hist 40%83%+$780-$9,08926.8%1.3mo$-9,358 (vs do-nothing $-8,000)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$25528d27 Nov 2026$3.005/5$1,500$1,607$50278%hist 83%45%hist 40%82%+$564-$5,90917.4%0.9mo$-6,178 (vs do-nothing $-4,820)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$25012d11 Nov 2026$1.965/5$980$2,450$1,34577%hist 83%47%hist 40%81%+$618-$8,92926.3%1.3mo$-9,198 (vs do-nothing $-7,840)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$252.5021d20 Nov 2026$3.055/5$1,525$2,179$1,07476%hist 83%49%hist 40%81%+$703-$7,13421.0%1.0mo$-7,403 (vs do-nothing $-6,045)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$25014d13 Nov 2026$2.685/5$1,340$2,871$1,76775%hist 83%50%hist 44%80%+$908-$8,56925.2%1.2mo$-8,838 (vs do-nothing $-7,480)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$247.5010d9 Nov 2026$2.155/5$1,075$3,225$2,12074%hist 83%53%hist 44%79%+$799-$10,08429.7%1.5mo$-10,353 (vs do-nothing $-8,995)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$25021d20 Nov 2026$3.755/5$1,875$2,679$1,57472%hist 83%57%hist 44%78%+$789-$8,03423.7%1.2mo$-8,303 (vs do-nothing $-6,945)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$247.5012d11 Nov 2026$2.315/5$1,155$2,888$1,78372%hist 83%57%hist 44%78%+$350-$10,00429.5%1.5mo$-10,273 (vs do-nothing $-8,915)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$25028d27 Nov 2026$4.405/5$2,200$2,357$1,25271%hist 83%60%hist 44%78%+$709-$7,70922.7%1.1mo$-7,978 (vs do-nothing $-6,620)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$247.5021d20 Nov 2026$4.555/5$2,275$3,250$2,14568%hist 66%66%hist 54%76%+$857-$8,88426.2%1.3mo$-9,153 (vs do-nothing $-7,795)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$24528d27 Nov 2026$6.205/5$3,100$3,321$2,21763%hist 66%77%hist 68%73%+$808-$9,30927.4%1.4mo$-9,578 (vs do-nothing $-8,220)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract

Per cycle = bid x 100 x contracts, the cash this expiry pays. Touch = P(strike trades before expiry), with the graded record's hist pill. Recover = months of this income to close the hole to CC-SS. Income/mo = FIGHT leg gross, DTE-prorated. Net/mo = FIGHT + conservative CC gross minus hedge cost. POP (mid) = probability stock closes at or below (strike + mid premium) at expiry, per-strike chain IV when available. Survival = CC expires fully worthless. EV/mo = premium minus expected buyback, monthly, with realized vol = IV x 85% (variance risk premium 15%). Survival, POP and touch use vol x 1.00 (raw implied: the VRP haircut is applied to the premium edge but NOT to risk, because understating the edge costs opportunity while understating breach odds costs capital; the risk-side haircut arms only from the graded ledger). Cap give-up @ SS = recovery mortgaged on a V-bounce to SS, net of premium. Total P&L @ SS = absolute position P&L if the stock closes at SS; "vs do-nothing" = opportunity cost against holding all 5 contracts at the conservative CC.

fortress_fight.py v6.3  |  2026-10-31 03:19