3 contracts (300 sh) | BE SS: $562.50 | CC-SS: $570.73 (banked floor $567.25) | IV: HIGH | Accounts: Main:1299
| Max Loss | $99,750 | (ND $252.50 + SW $80) x 300 |
| Normal income ref | $16,256/mo | 95% ann ROI on ML |
| Hedge rolling cost | $489/mo | |
| Unrealized P&L | $-3,795 | fortress legs from IBKR |
| Open leg | Acct | Credit/sh | In flight | Opened |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3x $625C 25 Sep 2026 | U10001299 | $5.00 | $1,499 | 2026-09-21 |
| Move | New strike ≈ | New expiry | Tenor | Est net | Total (3 ct) | POP / surv of new CC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Roll out (same strike, buy time) | ~$572 | 2 Oct 2026 | 8d left | +$11.77/sh | +$3,530 cycle +$5,585 [+$2,429…+$3,470] · 98% credit | 67% surv 52% |
| Reliable up-and-out (highest cap still free ≥60%) | ~$625 | 16 Oct 2026 | 22d left | +$6.40/sh | +$1,921 cycle +$3,976 [-$646…+$1,614] · 67% credit | 80% surv 74% |
| Up-and-out for even (raise the cap, free) | ~$603 | 2 Oct 2026 | 8d left | +$0.23/sh | +$69 cycle +$2,124 [-$2,343…-$247] · 13% credit | 78% surv 72% |
| Max even-money escape in the band | ~$655 | 16 Oct 2026 | 22d left | +$0.12/sh | +$35 cycle +$2,090 [-$3,109…-$365] · 12% credit | 86% surv 83% |
| Safety roll (pay small debit, max POP) | ~$685 | 16 Oct 2026 | 22d left | -$3.90/sh | -$1,171 cycle +$884 [-$4,742…-$1,652] | 90% surv 89% |
| budget: banked $2,055 debit $1,171 (57% used ≈ 0.2 wk of income) → whole cycle still +$884 cash · rolled 3 ct earn ≈ $2,432/mo while parked; 0 ct free to re-sell | ||||||
| Move | New strike ≈ | New expiry | Tenor | Est net | Total (3 ct) | POP / surv of new CC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Roll out (same strike, buy time) | ~$582 | 2 Oct 2026 | 8d left | +$11.72/sh | +$3,516 cycle +$4,776 [+$2,614…+$3,532] · 98% credit | 67% surv 52% |
| Reliable up-and-out (highest cap still free ≥60%) | ~$640 | 16 Oct 2026 | 22d left | +$5.14/sh | +$1,541 cycle +$2,801 [-$737…+$1,357] · 64% credit | 81% surv 76% |
| Up-and-out for even (raise the cap, free) | ~$613 | 2 Oct 2026 | 8d left | +$0.16/sh | +$48 cycle +$1,308 [-$2,039…-$175] · 15% credit | 78% surv 72% |
| Max even-money escape in the band | ~$665 | 16 Oct 2026 | 22d left | +$0.07/sh | +$20 cycle +$1,280 [-$2,673…-$237] · 15% credit | 85% surv 83% |
| Safety roll (pay small debit, max POP) | ~$695 | 16 Oct 2026 | 22d left | -$3.99/sh | -$1,197 cycle +$63 [-$4,263…-$1,536] | 90% surv 89% |
| budget: banked $1,260 debit $1,197 (95% used ≈ 0.3 wk of income) → whole cycle still +$63 cash · rolled 3 ct earn ≈ $2,467/mo while parked; 0 ct free to re-sell | ||||||
| Move | New strike ≈ | New expiry | Tenor | Est net | Total (3 ct) | POP / surv of new CC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Roll out (same strike, buy time) | ~$632 | 9 Oct 2026 | 12d left | +$6.16/sh | +$1,849 cycle +$2,794 [+$1,392…+$2,821] · 98% credit | 67% surv 52% |
| Reliable up-and-out (highest cap still free ≥60%) | ~$660 | 16 Oct 2026 | 18d left | +$2.54/sh | +$761 cycle +$1,706 [-$256…+$1,712] · 68% credit | 74% surv 66% |
| Up-and-out for even (raise the cap, free) | ~$645 | 9 Oct 2026 | 12d left | +$1.21/sh | +$362 cycle +$1,307 [-$397…+$1,173] · 61% credit | 71% surv 59% |
| Max even-money escape in the band | ~$668 | 16 Oct 2026 | 18d left | +$0.02/sh | +$7 cycle +$952 [-$1,182…+$927] · 44% credit | 76% surv 69% |
| Safety roll (pay small debit, max POP) | ~$678 | 16 Oct 2026 | 18d left | -$2.95/sh | -$886 cycle +$59 [-$2,314…+$0] · 25% credit | 79% surv 73% |
| budget: banked $945 debit $886 (94% used ≈ 1.2 wk of income) → whole cycle still +$59 cash · rolled 3 ct earn ≈ $8,157/mo while parked; 0 ct free to re-sell | ||||||
Every eligible strike x expiry in the 2-45 DTE band (4 expiries scanned, 78 clear the income floor), each sized to the minimum contracts that clear it. Sorted by survival (safest first): the primary 🎯 is the safest; rows below trade safety for income.
Fortress delta: 1.016 (IBKR) | Recovery@SS: +$4,040 (un-capped fortress gain if stock rallies to SS) | Do-nothing @ SS: $5,935
| Strike | DTE | Expiry | Bid | Sell | Income/mo | Net/mo | Survival | POP (mid) | EV/mo | Cap Give-up @ CC-SS | %IC | Total P&L @ SS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| $597.50 | 2d | 25 Sep 2026 | $1.89 | 3/3 | $8,505 | $8,016 | 90% | 91% | +$5,018 | -$0 | 0.0% | $812 (vs do-nothing $-5,123) |
| $595 | 2d | 25 Sep 2026 | $2.16 | 3/3 | $9,720 | $9,231 | 89% | 90% | +$5,493 | -$0 | 0.0% | $893 (vs do-nothing $-5,042) |
| $592.50 | 2d | 25 Sep 2026 | $2.53 | 3/3 | $11,385 | $10,896 | 88% | 89% | +$6,278 | -$0 | 0.0% | $1,004 (vs do-nothing $-4,931) |
| $590 | 2d | 25 Sep 2026 | $2.84 | 2/3 | $8,520 | $13,131 | 86% | 88% | +$4,422 | -$0 | 0.0% | $2,709 (vs do-nothing $-3,225) |
| $587.50 | 2d | 25 Sep 2026 | $3.25 | 2/3 | $9,750 | $14,361 | 84% | 87% | +$4,837 | -$0 | 0.0% | $2,791 (vs do-nothing $-3,143) |
| $585 | 2d | 25 Sep 2026 | $3.70 | 2/3 | $11,100 | $15,711 | 82% | 85% | +$5,234 | -$0 | 0.0% | $2,881 (vs do-nothing $-3,053) |
| $582.50 | 2d | 25 Sep 2026 | $4.20 | 2/3 | $12,600 | $17,211 | 80% | 84% | +$5,627 | -$0 | 0.0% | $2,981 (vs do-nothing $-2,953) |
| $580 | 2d | 25 Sep 2026 | $4.80 | 2/3 | $14,400 | $19,011 | 78% | 82% | +$6,149 | -$0 | 0.0% | $3,101 (vs do-nothing $-2,833) |
| $597.50 | 9d | 2 Oct 2026 | $8.45 | 3/3 | $8,450 | $7,961 | 77% | 81% | +$2,580 | -$0 | 0.0% | $2,780 (vs do-nothing $-3,155) |
| $595 | 9d | 2 Oct 2026 | $9.05 | 3/3 | $9,050 | $8,561 | 76% | 80% | +$2,684 | -$0 | 0.0% | $2,960 (vs do-nothing $-2,975) |
| $577.50 | 2d | 25 Sep 2026 | $5.40 | 2/3 | $16,200 | $20,811 | 75% | 81% | +$6,483 | -$0 | 0.0% | $3,221 (vs do-nothing $-2,713) |
| $592.50 | 9d | 2 Oct 2026 | $9.65 | 3/3 | $9,650 | $9,161 | 74% | 80% | +$2,754 | -$0 | 0.0% | $3,140 (vs do-nothing $-2,795) |
| $590 | 9d | 2 Oct 2026 | $10.35 | 3/3 | $10,350 | $9,861 | 73% | 79% | +$2,887 | -$0 | 0.0% | $3,350 (vs do-nothing $-2,585) |
Showing the 60 next-safest rows of 65.
| Strike | DTE | Expiry | Bid | Sell | Income/mo | Net/mo | Survival | POP (mid) | EV/mo | Cap Give-up @ CC-SS | %IC | Total P&L @ SS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| $575 | 2d | 25 Sep 2026 | $6.10 | 1/3 | $9,150 | $18,861 | 73% | 79% | +$3,458 | -$0 | 0.0% | $4,648 (vs do-nothing $-1,287) |
| $587.50 | 9d | 2 Oct 2026 | $11.05 | 3/3 | $11,050 | $10,561 | 72% | 78% | +$2,981 | -$0 | 0.0% | $3,560 (vs do-nothing $-2,375) |
| $595 | 16d | 9 Oct 2026 | $15.00 | 3/3 | $8,438 | $7,948 | 71% | 78% | +$2,276 | -$0 | 0.0% | $4,745 (vs do-nothing $-1,190) |
| $592.50 | 16d | 9 Oct 2026 | $15.75 | 3/3 | $8,859 | $8,370 | 70% | 77% | +$2,255 | -$0 | 0.0% | $4,970 (vs do-nothing $-965) |
| $585 | 9d | 2 Oct 2026 | $11.80 | 3/3 | $11,800 | $11,311 | 70% | 77% | +$3,087 | -$0 | 0.0% | $3,785 (vs do-nothing $-2,150) |
| $572.50 | 2d | 25 Sep 2026 | $6.85 | 1/3 | $10,275 | $19,986 | 70% | 77% | +$3,640 | -$0 | 0.0% | $4,723 (vs do-nothing $-1,212) |
| $590 | 16d | 9 Oct 2026 | $16.85 | 3/3 | $9,478 | $8,989 | 69% | 76% | +$2,445 | -$0 | 0.0% | $5,300 (vs do-nothing $-635) |
| $595 | 23d | 16 Oct 2026 | $21.00 | 3/3 | $8,217 | $7,728 | 69% | 76% | +$2,195 | -$0 | 0.0% | $6,545 (vs do-nothing +$610) |
| $582.50 | 9d | 2 Oct 2026 | $12.65 | 2/3 | $8,433 | $13,044 | 69% | 76% | +$2,167 | -$0 | 0.0% | $4,671 (vs do-nothing $-1,263) |
| $592.50 | 23d | 16 Oct 2026 | $21.80 | 3/3 | $8,530 | $8,041 | 68% | 76% | +$2,224 | -$0 | 0.0% | $6,785 (vs do-nothing +$850) |
| $587.50 | 16d | 9 Oct 2026 | $17.40 | 3/3 | $9,788 | $9,298 | 68% | 76% | +$2,323 | -$0 | 0.0% | $5,465 (vs do-nothing $-470) |
| $580 | 9d | 2 Oct 2026 | $13.50 | 2/3 | $9,000 | $13,611 | 67% | 75% | +$2,248 | -$0 | 0.0% | $4,841 (vs do-nothing $-1,093) |
| $570 | 2d | 25 Sep 2026 | $7.70 | 1/3 | $11,550 | $21,261 | 67% | 76% | +$3,855 | -$0 | 0.0% | $4,735 (vs do-nothing $-1,200) |
| $590 | 23d | 16 Oct 2026 | $22.60 | 3/3 | $8,843 | $8,354 | 67% | 75% | +$2,243 | -$0 | 0.0% | $7,025 (vs do-nothing +$1,090) |
| $585 | 16d | 9 Oct 2026 | $18.20 | 3/3 | $10,238 | $9,748 | 67% | 75% | +$2,278 | -$0 | 0.0% | $5,705 (vs do-nothing $-230) |
| $587.50 | 23d | 16 Oct 2026 | $23.45 | 3/3 | $9,176 | $8,687 | 66% | 75% | +$2,270 | -$0 | 0.0% | $7,280 (vs do-nothing +$1,345) |
| $577.50 | 9d | 2 Oct 2026 | $14.30 | 2/3 | $9,533 | $14,144 | 66% | 74% | +$2,266 | -$0 | 0.0% | $5,001 (vs do-nothing $-933) |
| $582.50 | 16d | 9 Oct 2026 | $19.10 | 3/3 | $10,744 | $10,254 | 65% | 74% | +$2,341 | -$0 | 0.0% | $5,975 (vs do-nothing +$40) |
| $585 | 23d | 16 Oct 2026 | $24.35 | 3/3 | $9,528 | $9,039 | 65% | 74% | +$2,305 | -$0 | 0.0% | $7,550 (vs do-nothing +$1,615) |
| $580 | 16d | 9 Oct 2026 | $20.10 | 3/3 | $11,306 | $10,817 | 64% | 74% | +$2,441 | -$0 | 0.0% | $6,275 (vs do-nothing +$340) |
| $567.50 | 2d | 25 Sep 2026 | $8.55 | 1/3 | $12,825 | $22,536 | 64% | 74% | +$3,942 | -$0 | 0.0% | $4,570 (vs do-nothing $-1,365) |
| $582.50 | 23d | 16 Oct 2026 | $25.25 | 3/3 | $9,880 | $9,391 | 64% | 74% | +$2,328 | -$0 | 0.0% | $7,820 (vs do-nothing +$1,885) |
| $575 | 9d | 2 Oct 2026 | $15.20 | 2/3 | $10,133 | $14,744 | 64% | 74% | +$2,319 | -$0 | 0.0% | $5,181 (vs do-nothing $-753) |
| $577.50 | 16d | 9 Oct 2026 | $21.00 | 3/3 | $11,812 | $11,323 | 63% | 73% | +$2,465 | -$0 | 0.0% | $6,545 (vs do-nothing +$610) |
| $580 | 23d | 16 Oct 2026 | $26.20 | 3/3 | $10,252 | $9,763 | 63% | 73% | +$2,358 | -$0 | 0.0% | $8,105 (vs do-nothing +$2,170) |
| $572.50 | 9d | 2 Oct 2026 | $16.15 | 2/3 | $10,767 | $15,377 | 62% | 73% | +$2,375 | -$0 | 0.0% | $5,371 (vs do-nothing $-563) |
| $577.50 | 23d | 16 Oct 2026 | $27.15 | 3/3 | $10,624 | $10,134 | 62% | 73% | +$2,377 | -$0 | 0.0% | $8,390 (vs do-nothing +$2,455) |
| $575 | 16d | 9 Oct 2026 | $21.95 | 2/3 | $8,231 | $12,842 | 62% | 72% | +$1,665 | -$0 | 0.0% | $6,531 (vs do-nothing +$597) |
| $565 | 2d | 25 Sep 2026 | $9.50 | 1/3 | $14,250 | $23,961 | 61% | 73% | +$4,047 | -$0 | 0.0% | $4,415 (vs do-nothing $-1,520) |
| $575 | 23d | 16 Oct 2026 | $28.10 | 3/3 | $10,996 | $10,506 | 61% | 72% | +$2,384 | -$0 | 0.0% | $8,675 (vs do-nothing +$2,740) |
| $570 | 9d | 2 Oct 2026 | $17.00 | 2/3 | $11,333 | $15,944 | 61% | 72% | +$2,332 | -$0 | 0.0% | $5,395 (vs do-nothing $-540) |
| $572.50 | 16d | 9 Oct 2026 | $22.15 | 2/3 | $8,306 | $12,917 | 61% | 72% | +$1,391 | -$0 | 0.0% | $6,571 (vs do-nothing +$637) |
| $572.50 | 23d | 16 Oct 2026 | $29.10 | 3/3 | $11,387 | $10,897 | 60% | 72% | +$2,398 | -$0 | 0.0% | $8,975 (vs do-nothing +$3,040) |
| $570 | 16d | 9 Oct 2026 | $24.05 | 2/3 | $9,019 | $13,629 | 59% | 71% | +$1,741 | -$0 | 0.0% | $6,805 (vs do-nothing +$870) |
| $567.50 | 9d | 2 Oct 2026 | $18.20 | 2/3 | $12,133 | $16,744 | 59% | 71% | +$2,489 | -$0 | 0.0% | $5,135 (vs do-nothing $-800) |
| $570 | 23d | 16 Oct 2026 | $30.15 | 3/3 | $11,798 | $11,308 | 59% | 71% | +$2,419 | -$0 | 0.0% | $9,070 (vs do-nothing +$3,135) |
| $567.50 | 16d | 9 Oct 2026 | $25.10 | 2/3 | $9,412 | $14,023 | 58% | 70% | +$1,759 | -$0 | 0.0% | $6,515 (vs do-nothing +$580) |
| $562.50 | 2d | 25 Sep 2026 | $10.60 | 1/3 | $15,900 | $25,611 | 58% | 71% | +$4,238 | -$0 | 0.0% | $4,275 (vs do-nothing $-1,660) |
| $567.50 | 23d | 16 Oct 2026 | $31.20 | 2/3 | $8,139 | $12,750 | 58% | 71% | +$1,618 | -$0 | 0.0% | $7,735 (vs do-nothing +$1,800) |
| $565 | 9d | 2 Oct 2026 | $18.90 | 2/3 | $12,600 | $17,211 | 57% | 70% | +$2,279 | -$0 | 0.0% | $4,775 (vs do-nothing $-1,160) |
| $565 | 16d | 9 Oct 2026 | $26.20 | 2/3 | $9,825 | $14,436 | 57% | 70% | +$1,780 | -$0 | 0.0% | $6,235 (vs do-nothing +$300) |
| $565 | 23d | 16 Oct 2026 | $32.30 | 2/3 | $8,426 | $13,037 | 57% | 70% | +$1,628 | -$0 | 0.0% | $7,455 (vs do-nothing +$1,520) |
| $562.50 | 9d | 2 Oct 2026 | $19.85 | 2/3 | $13,233 | $17,844 | 56% | 69% | +$2,202 | -$0 | 0.0% | $4,465 (vs do-nothing $-1,470) |
| $562.50 | 23d | 16 Oct 2026 | $33.40 | 2/3 | $8,713 | $13,324 | 55% | 69% | +$1,629 | -$0 | 0.0% | $7,175 (vs do-nothing +$1,240) |
| $562.50 | 16d | 9 Oct 2026 | $27.20 | 2/3 | $10,200 | $14,811 | 55% | 69% | +$1,749 | -$0 | 0.0% | $5,935 (vs do-nothing +$0) |
| $560 | 2d | 25 Sep 2026 | $11.65 | 1/3 | $17,475 | $27,186 | 54% | 70% | +$4,203 | -$0 | 0.0% | $4,130 (vs do-nothing $-1,805) |
| $560 | 23d | 16 Oct 2026 | $34.55 | 2/3 | $9,013 | $13,624 | 54% | 69% | +$1,634 | -$0 | 0.0% | $6,905 (vs do-nothing +$970) |
| $560 | 16d | 9 Oct 2026 | $28.60 | 2/3 | $10,725 | $15,336 | 54% | 69% | +$1,854 | -$0 | 0.0% | $5,715 (vs do-nothing $-220) |
| $560 | 9d | 2 Oct 2026 | $21.40 | 2/3 | $14,267 | $18,877 | 54% | 69% | +$2,489 | -$0 | 0.0% | $4,275 (vs do-nothing $-1,660) |
| $557.50 | 23d | 16 Oct 2026 | $35.80 | 2/3 | $9,339 | $13,950 | 53% | 68% | +$1,657 | -$0 | 0.0% | $6,655 (vs do-nothing +$720) |
| $557.50 | 16d | 9 Oct 2026 | $28.90 | 2/3 | $10,838 | $15,448 | 53% | 68% | +$1,531 | -$0 | 0.0% | $5,275 (vs do-nothing $-660) |
| $557.50 | 9d | 2 Oct 2026 | $22.70 | 2/3 | $15,133 | $19,744 | 52% | 68% | +$2,574 | -$0 | 0.0% | $4,035 (vs do-nothing $-1,900) |
| $555 | 23d | 16 Oct 2026 | $36.95 | 2/3 | $9,639 | $14,250 | 52% | 68% | +$1,645 | -$0 | 0.0% | $6,385 (vs do-nothing +$450) |
| $555 | 16d | 9 Oct 2026 | $30.20 | 2/3 | $11,325 | $15,936 | 51% | 67% | +$1,568 | -$0 | 0.0% | $5,035 (vs do-nothing $-900) |
| $557.50 | 2d | 25 Sep 2026 | $12.90 | 1/3 | $19,350 | $29,061 | 51% | 68% | +$4,334 | -$33 | 0.0% | $4,005 (vs do-nothing $-1,930) |
| $555 | 9d | 2 Oct 2026 | $23.75 | 2/3 | $15,833 | $20,444 | 50% | 67% | +$2,457 | -$0 | 0.0% | $3,745 (vs do-nothing $-2,190) |
| $550 | 23d | 16 Oct 2026 | $39.45 | 2/3 | $10,291 | $14,902 | 50% | 67% | +$1,647 | -$0 | 0.0% | $5,885 (vs do-nothing $-50) |
| $550 | 16d | 9 Oct 2026 | $32.85 | 2/3 | $12,319 | $16,929 | 49% | 66% | +$1,614 | -$0 | 0.0% | $4,565 (vs do-nothing $-1,370) |
| $552.50 | 9d | 2 Oct 2026 | $24.90 | 1/3 | $8,300 | $18,011 | 48% | 66% | +$1,185 | -$0 | 0.0% | $4,705 (vs do-nothing $-1,230) |
| $555 | 2d | 25 Sep 2026 | $14.20 | 1/3 | $21,300 | $31,011 | 48% | 67% | +$4,383 | -$153 | 0.2% | $3,885 (vs do-nothing $-2,050) |
Income/mo = FIGHT leg gross, DTE-prorated. Net/mo = FIGHT + conservative CC gross minus hedge cost. POP (mid) = probability stock closes at or below (strike + mid premium) at expiry, per-strike chain IV when available. Survival = CC expires fully worthless. EV/mo = premium minus expected buyback, monthly, with realized vol = IV x 85% (variance risk premium 15%). Survival, POP and touch use vol x 1.00 (raw implied: the VRP haircut is applied to the premium edge but NOT to risk, because understating the edge costs opportunity while understating breach odds costs capital; the risk-side haircut arms only from the graded ledger). Cap give-up @ SS = recovery mortgaged on a V-bounce to SS, net of premium. Total P&L @ SS = absolute position P&L if the stock closes at SS; "vs do-nothing" = opportunity cost against holding all 3 contracts at the conservative CC.