5 of 10 contracts (500 sh uncapped) | BE SS: $456.00 | CC-SS: $464.34 | IV: LOW | Accounts: Main:1299
| Max Loss | $128,000 | (ND $136.00 + SW $120) x 500 |
| Normal income ref | $8,412/mo | 45% ann ROI on ML |
| Hedge rolling cost | $674/mo | |
| Unrealized P&L | $-61,850 | fortress legs from IBKR |
| Open leg | Acct | Credit/sh | In flight | Opened |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5x $410C 31 Jul 2026 | U10001299 | $3.30 | $1,650 | 2026-07-02 |
Each Friday gets its own recommended pick and full income ladder (safest strike per income rung, sized across your 5 contracts). The master ranks the two by E[net]/mo to pick one grand pick; both are shown here so you can choose the tenor that fits your roll cadence.
| Track | Expiry | Sell | Survival | Income/mo | E[net]/mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NEXT FRIDAY 🏆 | 17 Jul 2026 · 8d | 5 × $385 | 77% | $4,312 | $622 |
| Rung | Sell | Expiry | DTE | OTM | Survival | Touch odds | Per cycle | Income/mo | Δ vs pick | Cap give-up | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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| ▸ | cover hedge | 5 × $400 | 17 Jul | 8d | 6.6% | 96% | 9% | $180 | $675 | -$3,638 | $31,992 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Sell 5 × $400 6.6% OTM over spot $375.26 17 Jul 2026 (8d, $0.38 mid) = $180 credit for the 8d cycle → $675/mo projected Survival (stays ≤ $400) 96% Breach risk 4% POP (stays ≤ $400.38) 96% EV / mo +$467 📈 CAMPAIGN OUTLOOK (400 paths, sell-roll-repeat this rung for 9 mo) whole in 4.5 mo [3.3-6.9] median · 27% of paths whole by 9 mo (vs 23% without) · ~1.6 challenges expected · median CC cash $-712 🛡 IF CHALLENGED (spot reaches the strike) · challenge = the strike is touched at any point, so it runs ~2x the breach risk (finishing through it) Challenge odds (touch by expiry) 7% Flat exit net (mid-life) -$2,602 Free roll-up +$2/wk Safest escape (by 24 Jul 2026) $406 @ 73% POP 63% survival Roll menuyour doors if the call gets challenged; each row = buy back the 5 calls + sell the new ones, one order. Prices assume the central case (day 4 of 8); earlier = worse credits, later = better, through the strike = add intrinsic Buyback gross: $7.87/sh now → $5.56 mid-life (likely $3.94–$7.41) → ≈ $0 at expiry | you banked $0.36/sh, so a flat mid-life exit nets -$5.20/sh | roll rows are incremental, the banked premium stays yours 📊 Across 208 simulated challenges: the $400 strike is typically first touched on day 6 of 8, at $403 (overshoots $3.15). The [P25–P75] under each Total is that door's credit across those paths; % credit is the share of those challenges where the roll is a net credit.
POP = P(stays ≤ strike + premium collected, the call is profitable); surv = P(stays ≤ strike, the call expires fully worthless). Survival is the stricter bar (no premium cushion), so it sits below POP. Method: each leg = its live quote (buyback off the ask, sells off the bid) × a Black-Scholes ratio to the challenge, using the leg's own IV shifted +0.5 vol pt per +1% move (spike-vol name: vol expands on a fast move, richer buyback). Estimates, not quotes; the live roll table owns the real decision when a CC is actually threatened. More detail, income coverage, downside budget, tripwires, held-to-expiry ladder, V-bounce stressIncome coverage
Downside budget ⚠ $400 is $64 below CC-SS $464.34: assignment on a recovery to whole locks the cap give-up below.
Tripwiresprice and time left decide together; the matrix is the playbook The one rule: roll when the short call's remaining TIME VALUE < $0.09/sh (~25% of the $0.36 collected) or spot ≥ $400.38 (breakeven), whichever comes first. Time value = call mark price minus intrinsic (max(0, spot − $400)); NOT the premium you collected. Momentum override: two daily closes above $397.09 (daily upper band) or daily RSI > 70 → treat "pressing" as "through".
If held to expiryexact, settlement = intrinsic · fortress delta 1.38 (IBKR)
V-BOUNCE STRESS (stock → CC-SS $464.34, where you are whole again, by expiry) Starting unrealized P&L: $-61,850 + Fortress recovery (un-capped): +$61,602 − CC assignment net of premium (5 × $400): -$31,992 Total Position P&L @ SS: $-32,240 (+$29,610 vs today) Do-nothing baseline at SS: $-4,915 (this trade vs do-nothing: $-27,325, the opportunity cost of earning $675/mo FIGHT income now) BB-reversion stress (→ $419.70 20W MA (bounce target), the probable scenario per weekly technicals): CC give-up -$9,670, position total $-40,790 (+$21,060 vs today) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ | 🛡 safe yield | 5 × $393 | 17 Jul | 8d | 4.7% | 90% | 20% | $400 | $1,500 | -$2,812 | $35,272 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Sell 5 × $393 4.7% OTM over spot $375.26 17 Jul 2026 (8d, $0.86 mid) = $400 credit for the 8d cycle → $1,500/mo projected Survival (stays ≤ $393) 90% Breach risk 10% POP (stays ≤ $393.86) 91% EV / mo +$845 📈 CAMPAIGN OUTLOOK (400 paths, sell-roll-repeat this rung for 9 mo) whole in 4.5 mo [3.3-5.8] median, 0.4 mo faster than no FIGHT (4.9 mo) · 24% of paths whole by 9 mo (vs 22% without) · ~4.2 challenges expected · median CC cash $3,703 🛡 IF CHALLENGED (spot reaches the strike) · challenge = the strike is touched at any point, so it runs ~2x the breach risk (finishing through it) Challenge odds (touch by expiry) 16% Flat exit net (mid-life) -$2,247 Free roll-up +$2/wk Safest escape (by 24 Jul 2026) $400 @ 74% POP 65% survival Roll menuyour doors if the call gets challenged; each row = buy back the 5 calls + sell the new ones, one order. Prices assume the central case (day 4 of 8); earlier = worse credits, later = better, through the strike = add intrinsic Buyback gross: $7.49/sh now → $5.29 mid-life (likely $4.51–$7.60) → ≈ $0 at expiry | you banked $0.80/sh, so a flat mid-life exit nets -$4.49/sh | roll rows are incremental, the banked premium stays yours 📊 Across 486 simulated challenges: the $393 strike is typically first touched on day 5 of 8, at $396 (overshoots $2.99). The [P25–P75] under each Total is that door's credit across those paths; % credit is the share of those challenges where the roll is a net credit.
POP = P(stays ≤ strike + premium collected, the call is profitable); surv = P(stays ≤ strike, the call expires fully worthless). Survival is the stricter bar (no premium cushion), so it sits below POP. Method: each leg = its live quote (buyback off the ask, sells off the bid) × a Black-Scholes ratio to the challenge, using the leg's own IV shifted +0.5 vol pt per +1% move (spike-vol name: vol expands on a fast move, richer buyback). Estimates, not quotes; the live roll table owns the real decision when a CC is actually threatened. More detail, income coverage, downside budget, tripwires, held-to-expiry ladder, V-bounce stressIncome coverage
Downside budget ⚠ $393 is $71 below CC-SS $464.34: assignment on a recovery to whole locks the cap give-up below.
Tripwiresprice and time left decide together; the matrix is the playbook The one rule: roll when the short call's remaining TIME VALUE < $0.20/sh (~25% of the $0.80 collected) or spot ≥ $393.86 (breakeven), whichever comes first. Time value = call mark price minus intrinsic (max(0, spot − $393)); NOT the premium you collected. Momentum override: two daily closes above $397.09 (daily upper band) or daily RSI > 70 → treat "pressing" as "through".
If held to expiryexact, settlement = intrinsic · fortress delta 1.38 (IBKR)
V-BOUNCE STRESS (stock → CC-SS $464.34, where you are whole again, by expiry) Starting unrealized P&L: $-61,850 + Fortress recovery (un-capped): +$61,602 − CC assignment net of premium (5 × $393): -$35,272 Total Position P&L @ SS: $-35,520 (+$26,330 vs today) Do-nothing baseline at SS: $-4,915 (this trade vs do-nothing: $-30,605, the opportunity cost of earning $1,500/mo FIGHT income now) BB-reversion stress (→ $419.70 20W MA (bounce target), the probable scenario per weekly technicals): CC give-up -$12,950, position total $-44,070 (+$17,780 vs today) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ | 33% normal ← lean | 5 × $388 | 17 Jul | 8d | 3.4% | 83% | 35% | $775 | $2,906 | -$1,406 | $37,397 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Sell 5 × $388 3.4% OTM over spot $375.26 17 Jul 2026 (8d, $1.61 mid) = $775 credit for the 8d cycle → $2,906/mo projected Survival (stays ≤ $388) 83% Breach risk 17% POP (stays ≤ $389.61) 86% EV / mo +$1,371 📈 CAMPAIGN OUTLOOK (400 paths, sell-roll-repeat this rung for 9 mo) whole in 5.0 mo [3.5-6.9] median · 31% of paths whole by 9 mo (vs 23% without) · ~8.1 challenges expected · median CC cash $9,161 🛡 IF CHALLENGED (spot reaches the strike) · challenge = the strike is touched at any point, so it runs ~2x the breach risk (finishing through it) Challenge odds (touch by expiry) 30% Flat exit net (mid-life) -$1,777 Free roll-up +$2/wk Safest escape (by 24 Jul 2026) $397 @ 77% POP 70% survival Roll menuyour doors if the call gets challenged; each row = buy back the 5 calls + sell the new ones, one order. Prices assume the central case (day 4 of 8); earlier = worse credits, later = better, through the strike = add intrinsic Buyback gross: $7.22/sh now → $5.10 mid-life (likely $5.11–$7.82) → ≈ $0 at expiry | you banked $1.55/sh, so a flat mid-life exit nets -$3.55/sh | roll rows are incremental, the banked premium stays yours 📊 Across 888 simulated challenges: the $388 strike is typically first touched on day 5 of 8, at $391 (overshoots $3.00). The [P25–P75] under each Total is that door's credit across those paths; % credit is the share of those challenges where the roll is a net credit.
POP = P(stays ≤ strike + premium collected, the call is profitable); surv = P(stays ≤ strike, the call expires fully worthless). Survival is the stricter bar (no premium cushion), so it sits below POP. Method: each leg = its live quote (buyback off the ask, sells off the bid) × a Black-Scholes ratio to the challenge, using the leg's own IV shifted +0.5 vol pt per +1% move (spike-vol name: vol expands on a fast move, richer buyback). Estimates, not quotes; the live roll table owns the real decision when a CC is actually threatened. More detail, income coverage, downside budget, tripwires, held-to-expiry ladder, V-bounce stressIncome coverage
Downside budget ⚠ $388 is $76 below CC-SS $464.34: assignment on a recovery to whole locks the cap give-up below.
Tripwiresprice and time left decide together; the matrix is the playbook The one rule: roll when the short call's remaining TIME VALUE < $0.39/sh (~25% of the $1.55 collected) or spot ≥ $389.61 (breakeven), whichever comes first. Time value = call mark price minus intrinsic (max(0, spot − $388)); NOT the premium you collected. Momentum override: two daily closes above $397.09 (daily upper band) or daily RSI > 70 → treat "pressing" as "through".
If held to expiryexact, settlement = intrinsic · fortress delta 1.38 (IBKR)
V-BOUNCE STRESS (stock → CC-SS $464.34, where you are whole again, by expiry) Starting unrealized P&L: $-61,850 + Fortress recovery (un-capped): +$61,602 − CC assignment net of premium (5 × $388): -$37,397 Total Position P&L @ SS: $-37,645 (+$24,205 vs today) Do-nothing baseline at SS: $-4,915 (this trade vs do-nothing: $-32,730, the opportunity cost of earning $2,906/mo FIGHT income now) BB-reversion stress (→ $419.70 20W MA (bounce target), the probable scenario per weekly technicals): CC give-up -$15,075, position total $-46,195 (+$15,655 vs today) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ | 🎯 50% normal | 5 × $385 | 17 Jul | 8d | 2.6% | 77% | 39% | $1,150 | $4,312 | — | $38,522 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Sell 5 × $385 2.6% OTM over spot $375.26 17 Jul 2026 (8d, $2.36 mid) = $1,150 credit for the 8d cycle → $4,312/mo projected Survival (stays ≤ $385) 77% Breach risk 23% POP (stays ≤ $387.36) 81% EV / mo +$1,813 📈 CAMPAIGN OUTLOOK (400 paths, sell-roll-repeat this rung for 9 mo) whole in 4.6 mo [3.2-6.9] median, 0.1 mo SLOWER than no FIGHT (4.5 mo): roll costs eat the credits at this rung · 34% of paths whole by 9 mo (vs 24% without) · ~11.3 challenges expected · median CC cash $13,439 🛡 IF CHALLENGED (spot reaches the strike) · challenge = the strike is touched at any point, so it runs ~2x the breach risk (finishing through it) Challenge odds (touch by expiry) 39% Flat exit net (mid-life) -$1,346 Free roll-up +$2/wk Safest escape (by 24 Jul 2026) $396 @ 79% POP 74% survival Roll menuyour doors if the call gets challenged; each row = buy back the 5 calls + sell the new ones, one order. Prices assume the central case (day 4 of 8); earlier = worse credits, later = better, through the strike = add intrinsic Buyback gross: $7.06/sh now → $4.99 mid-life (likely $5.39–$8.26) → ≈ $0 at expiry | you banked $2.30/sh, so a flat mid-life exit nets -$2.69/sh | roll rows are incremental, the banked premium stays yours 📊 Across 1,183 simulated challenges: the $385 strike is typically first touched on day 4 of 8, at $388 (overshoots $3.14). The [P25–P75] under each Total is that door's credit across those paths; % credit is the share of those challenges where the roll is a net credit.
POP = P(stays ≤ strike + premium collected, the call is profitable); surv = P(stays ≤ strike, the call expires fully worthless). Survival is the stricter bar (no premium cushion), so it sits below POP. Method: each leg = its live quote (buyback off the ask, sells off the bid) × a Black-Scholes ratio to the challenge, using the leg's own IV shifted +0.5 vol pt per +1% move (spike-vol name: vol expands on a fast move, richer buyback). Estimates, not quotes; the live roll table owns the real decision when a CC is actually threatened. More detail, income coverage, downside budget, tripwires, held-to-expiry ladder, V-bounce stressIncome coverage
Downside budget ⚠ $385 is $79 below CC-SS $464.34: assignment on a recovery to whole locks the cap give-up below.
Tripwiresprice and time left decide together; the matrix is the playbook The one rule: roll when the short call's remaining TIME VALUE < $0.57/sh (~25% of the $2.30 collected) or spot ≥ $387.36 (breakeven), whichever comes first. Time value = call mark price minus intrinsic (max(0, spot − $385)); NOT the premium you collected. Momentum override: two daily closes above $397.09 (daily upper band) or daily RSI > 70 → treat "pressing" as "through".
If held to expiryexact, settlement = intrinsic · fortress delta 1.38 (IBKR)
V-BOUNCE STRESS (stock → CC-SS $464.34, where you are whole again, by expiry) Starting unrealized P&L: $-61,850 + Fortress recovery (un-capped): +$61,602 − CC assignment net of premium (5 × $385): -$38,522 Total Position P&L @ SS: $-38,770 (+$23,080 vs today) Do-nothing baseline at SS: $-4,915 (this trade vs do-nothing: $-33,855, the opportunity cost of earning $4,312/mo FIGHT income now) BB-reversion stress (→ $419.70 20W MA (bounce target), the probable scenario per weekly technicals): CC give-up -$16,200, position total $-47,320 (+$14,530 vs today) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ | 100% normal | 5 × $378 | 17 Jul | 8d | 0.7% | 58% | 84% | $2,425 | $9,094 | +$4,781 | $40,747 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Sell 5 × $378 0.7% OTM over spot $375.26 17 Jul 2026 (8d, $4.97 mid) = $2,425 credit for the 8d cycle → $9,094/mo projected Survival (stays ≤ $378) 58% Breach risk 42% POP (stays ≤ $382.98) 71% EV / mo +$2,396 📈 CAMPAIGN OUTLOOK (400 paths, sell-roll-repeat this rung for 9 mo) whole in 4.8 mo [3.4-6.2] median, 0.4 mo SLOWER than no FIGHT (4.3 mo): roll costs eat the credits at this rung · 34% of paths whole by 9 mo (vs 21% without) · ~28.1 challenges expected · median CC cash $20,768 🛡 IF CHALLENGED (spot reaches the strike) · challenge = the strike is touched at any point, so it runs ~2x the breach risk (finishing through it) Challenge odds (touch by expiry) 70% Flat exit net (mid-life) +$58 Free roll-up +$2/wk Safest escape (by 24 Jul 2026) $398 @ 90% POP 89% survival Roll menuyour doors if the call gets challenged; each row = buy back the 5 calls + sell the new ones, one order. Prices assume the central case (day 4 of 8); earlier = worse credits, later = better, through the strike = add intrinsic Buyback gross: $6.69/sh now → $4.73 mid-life (likely $6.27–$8.89) → ≈ $0 at expiry | you banked $4.85/sh, so a flat mid-life exit nets +$0.12/sh | roll rows are incremental, the banked premium stays yours 📊 Across 2,086 simulated challenges: the $378 strike is typically first touched on day 3 of 8, at $381 (overshoots $3.19). The [P25–P75] under each Total is that door's credit across those paths; % credit is the share of those challenges where the roll is a net credit.
POP = P(stays ≤ strike + premium collected, the call is profitable); surv = P(stays ≤ strike, the call expires fully worthless). Survival is the stricter bar (no premium cushion), so it sits below POP. Method: each leg = its live quote (buyback off the ask, sells off the bid) × a Black-Scholes ratio to the challenge, using the leg's own IV shifted +0.5 vol pt per +1% move (spike-vol name: vol expands on a fast move, richer buyback). Estimates, not quotes; the live roll table owns the real decision when a CC is actually threatened. More detail, income coverage, downside budget, tripwires, held-to-expiry ladder, V-bounce stressIncome coverage
Downside budget ⚠ $378 is $86 below CC-SS $464.34: assignment on a recovery to whole locks the cap give-up below.
Tripwiresprice and time left decide together; the matrix is the playbook The one rule: roll when the short call's remaining TIME VALUE < $1.21/sh (~25% of the $4.85 collected) or spot ≥ $382.98 (breakeven), whichever comes first. Time value = call mark price minus intrinsic (max(0, spot − $378)); NOT the premium you collected. Momentum override: two daily closes above $397.09 (daily upper band) or daily RSI > 70 → treat "pressing" as "through".
If held to expiryexact, settlement = intrinsic · fortress delta 1.38 (IBKR)
V-BOUNCE STRESS (stock → CC-SS $464.34, where you are whole again, by expiry) Starting unrealized P&L: $-61,850 + Fortress recovery (un-capped): +$61,602 − CC assignment net of premium (5 × $378): -$40,747 Total Position P&L @ SS: $-40,995 (+$20,855 vs today) Do-nothing baseline at SS: $-4,915 (this trade vs do-nothing: $-36,080, the opportunity cost of earning $9,094/mo FIGHT income now) BB-reversion stress (→ $419.70 20W MA (bounce target), the probable scenario per weekly technicals): CC give-up -$18,425, position total $-49,545 (+$12,305 vs today) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Every eligible strike x expiry in the 4-45 DTE band (6 expiries scanned, 98 clear the income floor), each sized to the minimum contracts that clear it. Sorted by survival (safest first): the primary 🎯 is the safest; rows below trade safety for income.
Fortress delta: 1.383 (IBKR) | Recovery@SS: +$61,602 (un-capped fortress gain if stock rallies to SS) | Do-nothing @ SS: $-4,915
| Strike | DTE | Expiry | Bid | Sell | Income/mo | Net/mo | Survival | POP (mid) | EV/mo | Cap Give-up @ CC-SS | %IC | Total P&L @ SS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| $382 | 4d | 13 Jul 2026 | $1.25 | 5/5 | $4,688 | $4,013 | 79% | 83% | +$2,049 | -$40,547 | 59.6% | $-40,795 (vs do-nothing $-35,880) |
| $384 | 6d | 15 Jul 2026 | $1.79 | 5/5 | $4,475 | $3,801 | 77% | 82% | +$1,783 | -$39,277 | 57.8% | $-39,525 (vs do-nothing $-34,610) |
| $385 | 8d | 17 Jul 2026 | $2.30 | 5/5 | $4,312 | $3,638 | 77% | 81% | +$1,813 | -$38,522 | 56.7% | $-38,770 (vs do-nothing $-33,855) |
| $381 | 4d | 13 Jul 2026 | $1.53 | 4/5 | $4,590 | $3,918 | 75% | 81% | +$1,871 | -$32,726 | 48.1% | $-33,907 (vs do-nothing $-28,992) |
| $383 | 6d | 15 Jul 2026 | $2.07 | 5/5 | $5,175 | $4,501 | 75% | 80% | +$1,953 | -$39,637 | 58.3% | $-39,885 (vs do-nothing $-34,970) |
| $384 | 8d | 17 Jul 2026 | $2.54 | 5/5 | $4,762 | $4,088 | 74% | 80% | +$1,844 | -$38,902 | 57.2% | $-39,150 (vs do-nothing $-34,235) |
| $382 | 6d | 15 Jul 2026 | $2.39 | 4/5 | $4,780 | $4,108 | 72% | 78% | +$1,714 | -$31,982 | 47.0% | $-33,163 (vs do-nothing $-28,248) |
| $383 | 8d | 17 Jul 2026 | $2.84 | 4/5 | $4,260 | $3,588 | 72% | 78% | +$1,545 | -$31,402 | 46.2% | $-32,583 (vs do-nothing $-27,668) |
| $380 | 4d | 13 Jul 2026 | $1.85 | 4/5 | $5,550 | $4,878 | 71% | 78% | +$2,089 | -$32,998 | 48.5% | $-34,179 (vs do-nothing $-29,264) |
| $383 | 11d | 20 Jul 2026 | $3.20 | 5/5 | $4,364 | $3,689 | 70% | 77% | +$1,363 | -$39,072 | 57.5% | $-39,320 (vs do-nothing $-34,405) |
| $382 | 8d | 17 Jul 2026 | $3.15 | 4/5 | $4,725 | $4,053 | 69% | 77% | +$1,583 | -$31,678 | 46.6% | $-32,859 (vs do-nothing $-27,944) |
| $381 | 6d | 15 Jul 2026 | $2.73 | 4/5 | $5,460 | $4,788 | 69% | 77% | +$1,837 | -$32,246 | 47.4% | $-33,427 (vs do-nothing $-28,512) |
| $383 | 13d | 22 Jul 2026 | $3.85 | 5/5 | $4,442 | $3,768 | 69% | 76% | +$1,398 | -$38,747 | 57.0% | $-38,995 (vs do-nothing $-34,080) |
Showing the 60 next-safest rows of 85.
| Strike | DTE | Expiry | Bid | Sell | Income/mo | Net/mo | Survival | POP (mid) | EV/mo | Cap Give-up @ CC-SS | %IC | Total P&L @ SS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| $382 | 11d | 20 Jul 2026 | $3.55 | 5/5 | $4,841 | $4,167 | 68% | 76% | +$1,432 | -$39,397 | 57.9% | $-39,645 (vs do-nothing $-34,730) |
| $383 | 15d | 24 Jul 2026 | $4.40 | 5/5 | $4,400 | $3,726 | 67% | 75% | +$1,260 | -$38,472 | 56.6% | $-38,720 (vs do-nothing $-33,805) |
| $379 | 4d | 13 Jul 2026 | $2.20 | 3/5 | $4,950 | $4,281 | 67% | 76% | +$1,687 | -$24,943 | 36.7% | $-27,058 (vs do-nothing $-22,143) |
| $381 | 8d | 17 Jul 2026 | $3.55 | 4/5 | $5,325 | $4,653 | 67% | 75% | +$1,706 | -$31,918 | 46.9% | $-33,099 (vs do-nothing $-28,184) |
| $382 | 13d | 22 Jul 2026 | $4.15 | 5/5 | $4,788 | $4,114 | 66% | 75% | +$1,374 | -$39,097 | 57.5% | $-39,345 (vs do-nothing $-34,430) |
| $380 | 6d | 15 Jul 2026 | $3.10 | 3/5 | $4,650 | $3,981 | 66% | 75% | +$1,459 | -$24,373 | 35.8% | $-26,488 (vs do-nothing $-21,573) |
| $381 | 11d | 20 Jul 2026 | $3.95 | 4/5 | $4,309 | $3,638 | 65% | 75% | +$1,223 | -$31,758 | 46.7% | $-32,939 (vs do-nothing $-28,024) |
| $382 | 15d | 24 Jul 2026 | $4.80 | 5/5 | $4,800 | $4,126 | 65% | 74% | +$1,327 | -$38,772 | 57.0% | $-39,020 (vs do-nothing $-34,105) |
| $381 | 13d | 22 Jul 2026 | $4.60 | 4/5 | $4,246 | $3,575 | 64% | 74% | +$1,193 | -$31,498 | 46.3% | $-32,679 (vs do-nothing $-27,764) |
| $380 | 8d | 17 Jul 2026 | $3.95 | 3/5 | $4,444 | $3,775 | 64% | 74% | +$1,334 | -$24,118 | 35.5% | $-26,233 (vs do-nothing $-21,318) |
| $381 | 15d | 24 Jul 2026 | $5.20 | 5/5 | $5,200 | $4,526 | 63% | 73% | +$1,369 | -$39,072 | 57.5% | $-39,320 (vs do-nothing $-34,405) |
| $380 | 11d | 20 Jul 2026 | $4.40 | 4/5 | $4,800 | $4,128 | 63% | 73% | +$1,321 | -$31,978 | 47.0% | $-33,159 (vs do-nothing $-28,244) |
| $379 | 6d | 15 Jul 2026 | $3.50 | 3/5 | $5,250 | $4,581 | 63% | 73% | +$1,528 | -$24,553 | 36.1% | $-26,668 (vs do-nothing $-21,753) |
| $378 | 4d | 13 Jul 2026 | $2.61 | 3/5 | $5,872 | $5,204 | 63% | 74% | +$1,823 | -$25,120 | 36.9% | $-27,235 (vs do-nothing $-22,320) |
| $380 | 13d | 22 Jul 2026 | $5.00 | 4/5 | $4,615 | $3,944 | 62% | 73% | +$1,214 | -$31,738 | 46.7% | $-32,919 (vs do-nothing $-28,004) |
| $379 | 8d | 17 Jul 2026 | $4.40 | 3/5 | $4,950 | $4,281 | 61% | 73% | +$1,406 | -$24,283 | 35.7% | $-26,398 (vs do-nothing $-21,483) |
| $380 | 15d | 24 Jul 2026 | $5.65 | 4/5 | $4,520 | $3,848 | 61% | 72% | +$1,148 | -$31,478 | 46.3% | $-32,659 (vs do-nothing $-27,744) |
| $379 | 11d | 20 Jul 2026 | $4.75 | 4/5 | $5,182 | $4,510 | 60% | 72% | +$1,277 | -$32,238 | 47.4% | $-33,419 (vs do-nothing $-28,504) |
| $378 | 6d | 15 Jul 2026 | $3.95 | 3/5 | $5,925 | $5,256 | 60% | 72% | +$1,612 | -$24,718 | 36.4% | $-26,833 (vs do-nothing $-21,918) |
| $379 | 13d | 22 Jul 2026 | $5.40 | 4/5 | $4,985 | $4,313 | 60% | 71% | +$1,208 | -$31,978 | 47.0% | $-33,159 (vs do-nothing $-28,244) |
| $379 | 15d | 24 Jul 2026 | $6.10 | 4/5 | $4,880 | $4,208 | 59% | 71% | +$1,179 | -$31,698 | 46.6% | $-32,879 (vs do-nothing $-27,964) |
| $378 | 8d | 17 Jul 2026 | $4.85 | 3/5 | $5,456 | $4,787 | 58% | 71% | +$1,438 | -$24,448 | 36.0% | $-26,563 (vs do-nothing $-21,648) |
| $377 | 4d | 13 Jul 2026 | $3.05 | 2/5 | $4,575 | $3,909 | 58% | 71% | +$1,268 | -$16,859 | 24.8% | $-19,907 (vs do-nothing $-14,992) |
| $378 | 11d | 20 Jul 2026 | $5.25 | 3/5 | $4,295 | $3,627 | 58% | 71% | +$1,021 | -$24,328 | 35.8% | $-26,443 (vs do-nothing $-21,528) |
| $378 | 13d | 22 Jul 2026 | $5.90 | 4/5 | $5,446 | $4,775 | 57% | 70% | +$1,267 | -$32,178 | 47.3% | $-33,359 (vs do-nothing $-28,444) |
| $378 | 15d | 24 Jul 2026 | $6.60 | 4/5 | $5,280 | $4,608 | 57% | 70% | +$1,230 | -$31,898 | 46.9% | $-33,079 (vs do-nothing $-28,164) |
| $377 | 6d | 15 Jul 2026 | $4.40 | 2/5 | $4,400 | $3,734 | 57% | 71% | +$1,242 | -$16,589 | 24.4% | $-19,637 (vs do-nothing $-14,722) |
| $377 | 8d | 17 Jul 2026 | $5.35 | 3/5 | $6,019 | $5,350 | 56% | 70% | +$1,487 | -$24,598 | 36.2% | $-26,713 (vs do-nothing $-21,798) |
| $377 | 11d | 20 Jul 2026 | $5.75 | 3/5 | $4,705 | $4,036 | 55% | 69% | +$1,058 | -$24,478 | 36.0% | $-26,593 (vs do-nothing $-21,678) |
| $377 | 13d | 22 Jul 2026 | $6.40 | 3/5 | $4,431 | $3,762 | 55% | 69% | +$974 | -$24,283 | 35.7% | $-26,398 (vs do-nothing $-21,483) |
| $377 | 15d | 24 Jul 2026 | $7.10 | 3/5 | $4,260 | $3,591 | 55% | 69% | +$944 | -$24,073 | 35.4% | $-26,188 (vs do-nothing $-21,273) |
| $376 | 4d | 13 Jul 2026 | $3.50 | 2/5 | $5,250 | $4,584 | 54% | 69% | +$1,252 | -$16,969 | 25.0% | $-20,017 (vs do-nothing $-15,102) |
| $376 | 6d | 15 Jul 2026 | $4.90 | 2/5 | $4,900 | $4,234 | 53% | 69% | +$1,115 | -$16,689 | 24.5% | $-19,737 (vs do-nothing $-14,822) |
| $376 | 8d | 17 Jul 2026 | $5.85 | 2/5 | $4,388 | $3,721 | 53% | 69% | +$998 | -$16,499 | 24.3% | $-19,547 (vs do-nothing $-14,632) |
| $376 | 11d | 20 Jul 2026 | $6.25 | 3/5 | $5,114 | $4,445 | 53% | 68% | +$1,068 | -$24,628 | 36.2% | $-26,743 (vs do-nothing $-21,828) |
| $376 | 13d | 22 Jul 2026 | $7.00 | 3/5 | $4,846 | $4,177 | 53% | 68% | +$1,046 | -$24,403 | 35.9% | $-26,518 (vs do-nothing $-21,603) |
| $376 | 15d | 24 Jul 2026 | $7.60 | 3/5 | $4,560 | $3,891 | 53% | 68% | +$950 | -$24,223 | 35.6% | $-26,338 (vs do-nothing $-21,423) |
| $375 | 15d | 24 Jul 2026 | $8.15 | 3/5 | $4,890 | $4,221 | 50% | 67% | +$970 | -$24,358 | 35.8% | $-26,473 (vs do-nothing $-21,558) |
| $375 | 13d | 22 Jul 2026 | $7.55 | 3/5 | $5,227 | $4,558 | 50% | 67% | +$1,063 | -$24,538 | 36.1% | $-26,653 (vs do-nothing $-21,738) |
| $375 | 11d | 20 Jul 2026 | $6.85 | 3/5 | $5,605 | $4,936 | 50% | 67% | +$1,135 | -$24,748 | 36.4% | $-26,863 (vs do-nothing $-21,948) |
| $375 | 8d | 17 Jul 2026 | $6.40 | 2/5 | $4,800 | $4,134 | 50% | 67% | +$1,016 | -$16,589 | 24.4% | $-19,637 (vs do-nothing $-14,722) |
| $375 | 6d | 15 Jul 2026 | $5.45 | 2/5 | $5,450 | $4,784 | 50% | 68% | +$1,362 | -$16,779 | 24.7% | $-19,827 (vs do-nothing $-14,912) |
| $375 | 4d | 13 Jul 2026 | $4.10 | 2/5 | $6,150 | $5,484 | 49% | 67% | +$1,377 | -$17,049 | 25.1% | $-20,097 (vs do-nothing $-15,182) |
| $374 | 15d | 24 Jul 2026 | $8.70 | 3/5 | $5,220 | $4,551 | 48% | 66% | +$974 | -$24,493 | 36.0% | $-26,608 (vs do-nothing $-21,693) |
| $374 | 13d | 22 Jul 2026 | $8.10 | 3/5 | $5,608 | $4,939 | 48% | 66% | +$1,060 | -$24,673 | 36.3% | $-26,788 (vs do-nothing $-21,873) |
| $374 | 11d | 20 Jul 2026 | $7.40 | 3/5 | $6,055 | $5,386 | 48% | 66% | +$1,135 | -$24,883 | 36.6% | $-26,998 (vs do-nothing $-22,083) |
| $374 | 8d | 17 Jul 2026 | $7.00 | 2/5 | $5,250 | $4,584 | 47% | 67% | +$1,334 | -$16,669 | 24.5% | $-19,717 (vs do-nothing $-14,802) |
| $374 | 6d | 15 Jul 2026 | $6.05 | 2/5 | $6,050 | $5,384 | 47% | 66% | +$1,193 | -$16,859 | 24.8% | $-19,907 (vs do-nothing $-14,992) |
| $373 | 15d | 24 Jul 2026 | $9.30 | 3/5 | $5,580 | $4,911 | 46% | 65% | +$993 | -$24,613 | 36.2% | $-26,728 (vs do-nothing $-21,813) |
| $373 | 13d | 22 Jul 2026 | $8.60 | 3/5 | $5,954 | $5,285 | 46% | 65% | +$1,004 | -$24,823 | 36.5% | $-26,938 (vs do-nothing $-22,023) |
| $373 | 11d | 20 Jul 2026 | $8.00 | 2/5 | $4,364 | $3,698 | 45% | 65% | +$767 | -$16,669 | 24.5% | $-19,717 (vs do-nothing $-14,802) |
| $374 | 4d | 13 Jul 2026 | $4.60 | 2/5 | $6,900 | $6,234 | 45% | 65% | +$1,270 | -$17,149 | 25.2% | $-20,197 (vs do-nothing $-15,282) |
| $372 | 15d | 24 Jul 2026 | $9.90 | 3/5 | $5,940 | $5,271 | 44% | 65% | +$997 | -$24,733 | 36.4% | $-26,848 (vs do-nothing $-21,933) |
| $373 | 8d | 17 Jul 2026 | $7.55 | 2/5 | $5,662 | $4,996 | 44% | 66% | +$1,331 | -$16,759 | 24.6% | $-19,807 (vs do-nothing $-14,892) |
| $372 | 13d | 22 Jul 2026 | $9.25 | 2/5 | $4,269 | $3,603 | 44% | 64% | +$688 | -$16,619 | 24.4% | $-19,667 (vs do-nothing $-14,752) |
| $373 | 6d | 15 Jul 2026 | $6.65 | 2/5 | $6,650 | $5,984 | 43% | 65% | +$1,198 | -$16,939 | 24.9% | $-19,987 (vs do-nothing $-15,072) |
| $372 | 11d | 20 Jul 2026 | $8.65 | 2/5 | $4,718 | $4,052 | 43% | 64% | +$788 | -$16,739 | 24.6% | $-19,787 (vs do-nothing $-14,872) |
| $371 | 15d | 24 Jul 2026 | $10.50 | 3/5 | $6,300 | $5,631 | 42% | 64% | +$986 | -$24,853 | 36.5% | $-26,968 (vs do-nothing $-22,053) |
| $371 | 13d | 22 Jul 2026 | $9.85 | 2/5 | $4,546 | $3,880 | 41% | 64% | +$671 | -$16,699 | 24.6% | $-19,747 (vs do-nothing $-14,832) |
| $372 | 8d | 17 Jul 2026 | $8.20 | 2/5 | $6,150 | $5,484 | 41% | 65% | +$1,376 | -$16,829 | 24.7% | $-19,877 (vs do-nothing $-14,962) |
Income/mo = FIGHT leg gross, DTE-prorated. Net/mo = FIGHT + conservative CC gross minus hedge cost. POP (mid) = probability stock closes at or below (strike + mid premium) at expiry, per-strike chain IV when available. Survival = CC expires fully worthless. EV/mo = premium minus expected buyback, monthly, with realized vol = IV x 85% (variance risk premium 15%). Cap give-up @ SS = recovery mortgaged on a V-bounce to SS, net of premium. Total P&L @ SS = absolute position P&L if the stock closes at SS; "vs do-nothing" = opportunity cost against holding all 5 contracts at the conservative CC.