5 of 10 contracts (500 sh uncapped) | BE SS: $456.00 | CC-SS: $472.43 (banked floor $472.03) | IV: MEDIUM | Accounts: Main:1299
| Max Loss | $128,000 | (ND $136.00 + SW $120) x 500 |
| Normal income ref | $6,911/mo | 75% ann ROI on ML |
| Hedge rolling cost | $695/mo | |
| Unrealized P&L | $-65,850 | fortress legs from IBKR |
| Open leg | Acct | Credit/sh | In flight | Opened |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5x $390C 17 Jul 2026 | U10001299 | $1.35 | $676 | 2026-07-10 |
Each Friday gets its own recommended pick and full income ladder (safest strike per income rung, sized across your 5 contracts). The master ranks the two by E[net]/mo to pick one grand pick; both are shown here so you can choose the tenor that fits your roll cadence.
| Track | Expiry | Sell | Survival | Income/mo | E[net]/mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| THIS FRIDAY | 17 Jul 2026 · 4d | 5 × $381 | 83% | $3,675 | $383 |
| NEXT FRIDAY 🏆 | 24 Jul 2026 · 11d | 5 × $380 | 73% | $3,641 | $555 |
| Rung | Sell | Expiry | DTE | OTM | Survival | Touch odds | Per cycle | Income/mo | Δ vs pick | Cap give-up | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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| ▸ | cover hedge | 5 × $389 | 17 Jul | 4d | 4.9% | 97% | 6% | $110 | $825 | -$2,850 | $41,603 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Sell 5 × $389 4.9% OTM over spot $370.75 17 Jul 2026 (4d, $0.28 mid) = $110 credit for the 4d cycle → $825/mo projected Survival (stays ≤ $389) 97% Breach risk 3% POP (stays ≤ $389.27) 97% EV / mo +$670 📈 CAMPAIGN OUTLOOK (400 paths, sell-roll-repeat this rung for 9 mo) whole in 4.4 mo [3.1-7.1] median, 0.1 mo SLOWER than no FIGHT (4.3 mo): roll costs eat the credits at this rung · 24% of paths whole by 9 mo (vs 21% without) · ~2.2 challenges expected · median CC cash $289 🛡 IF CHALLENGED (spot reaches the strike) · challenge = the strike is touched at any point, so it runs ~2x the breach risk (finishing through it) Challenge odds (touch by expiry) 7% Flat exit net (mid-life) -$1,792 Free roll-up +$3/wk Safest escape (by 31 Jul 2026) $401 @ 77% POP 72% survival Roll menuyour doors if the call gets challenged; each row = buy back the 5 calls + sell the new ones, one order. Prices assume the central case (day 2 of 4); earlier = worse credits, later = better, through the strike = add intrinsic Buyback gross: $5.38/sh now → $3.80 mid-life (likely $3.19–$5.98) → ≈ $0 at expiry | you banked $0.22/sh, so a flat mid-life exit nets -$3.58/sh | roll rows are incremental, the banked premium stays yours 📊 Across 199 simulated challenges: the $389 strike is typically first touched on day 3 of 4, at $392 (overshoots $3.20). The [P25–P75] under each Total is that door's credit across those paths; % credit is the share of those challenges where the roll is a net credit.
If rolled & exited = your total from-entry P&L if you roll to that strike and then close the whole fortress with the stock pinned there (all legs repriced; SAFE = P&L ≥ 0). Cap gain is what that roll earns THIS cycle (premium + appreciation from today to the new strike); the total adds your existing MTM on top. Same from-entry basis as this tool's @cap / total-exit numbers, at the rolled strike. POP = P(stays ≤ strike + premium collected, the call is profitable); surv = P(stays ≤ strike, the call expires fully worthless). Survival is the stricter bar (no premium cushion), so it sits below POP. Method: each leg = its live quote (buyback off the ask, sells off the bid) × a Black-Scholes ratio to the challenge, using the leg's own IV shifted +0.5 vol pt per +1% move (spike-vol name: vol expands on a fast move, richer buyback). Estimates, not quotes; the live roll table owns the real decision when a CC is actually threatened. More detail, income coverage, downside budget, tripwires, held-to-expiry ladder, V-bounce stressIncome coverage
Downside budget ⚠ $389 is $83 below CC-SS $472.43: assignment on a recovery to whole locks the cap give-up below.
Tripwiresprice and time left decide together; the matrix is the playbook The one rule: roll when the short call's remaining TIME VALUE < $0.06/sh (~25% of the $0.22 collected) or spot ≥ $389.27 (breakeven), whichever comes first. Time value = call mark price minus intrinsic (max(0, spot − $389)); NOT the premium you collected. Momentum override: two daily closes above $395.63 (daily upper band) or daily RSI > 70 → treat "pressing" as "through".
If held to expiryexact, settlement = intrinsic · fortress delta 1.39 (IBKR)
V-BOUNCE STRESS (stock → CC-SS $472.43, where you are whole again, by expiry) Starting unrealized P&L: $-65,850 + Fortress recovery (un-capped): +$70,715 − CC assignment net of premium (5 × $389): -$41,603 Total Position P&L @ SS: $-36,737 (+$29,113 vs today) Do-nothing baseline at SS: $-3,842 (this trade vs do-nothing: $-32,895, the opportunity cost of earning $825/mo FIGHT income now) BB-reversion stress (→ $414.14 20W MA (bounce target), the probable scenario per weekly technicals): CC give-up -$12,460, position total $-48,132 (+$17,718 vs today) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ | 🛡 safe yield | 5 × $385 | 17 Jul | 4d | 3.8% | 91% | 18% | $250 | $1,875 | -$1,800 | $43,463 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Sell 5 × $385 3.8% OTM over spot $370.75 17 Jul 2026 (4d, $0.53 mid) = $250 credit for the 4d cycle → $1,875/mo projected Survival (stays ≤ $385) 91% Breach risk 9% POP (stays ≤ $385.54) 92% EV / mo +$998 📈 CAMPAIGN OUTLOOK (400 paths, sell-roll-repeat this rung for 9 mo) whole in 4.5 mo [3.1-6.3] median, 0.2 mo faster than no FIGHT (4.7 mo) · 30% of paths whole by 9 mo (vs 25% without) · ~6.9 challenges expected · median CC cash $6,020 🛡 IF CHALLENGED (spot reaches the strike) · challenge = the strike is touched at any point, so it runs ~2x the breach risk (finishing through it) Challenge odds (touch by expiry) 13% Flat exit net (mid-life) -$1,600 Free roll-up +$3/wk Safest escape (by 31 Jul 2026) $398 @ 78% POP 74% survival Roll menuyour doors if the call gets challenged; each row = buy back the 5 calls + sell the new ones, one order. Prices assume the central case (day 2 of 4); earlier = worse credits, later = better, through the strike = add intrinsic Buyback gross: $5.23/sh now → $3.70 mid-life (likely $3.60–$6.47) → ≈ $0 at expiry | you banked $0.50/sh, so a flat mid-life exit nets -$3.20/sh | roll rows are incremental, the banked premium stays yours 📊 Across 391 simulated challenges: the $385 strike is typically first touched on day 3 of 4, at $388 (overshoots $3.44). The [P25–P75] under each Total is that door's credit across those paths; % credit is the share of those challenges where the roll is a net credit.
If rolled & exited = your total from-entry P&L if you roll to that strike and then close the whole fortress with the stock pinned there (all legs repriced; SAFE = P&L ≥ 0). Cap gain is what that roll earns THIS cycle (premium + appreciation from today to the new strike); the total adds your existing MTM on top. Same from-entry basis as this tool's @cap / total-exit numbers, at the rolled strike. POP = P(stays ≤ strike + premium collected, the call is profitable); surv = P(stays ≤ strike, the call expires fully worthless). Survival is the stricter bar (no premium cushion), so it sits below POP. Method: each leg = its live quote (buyback off the ask, sells off the bid) × a Black-Scholes ratio to the challenge, using the leg's own IV shifted +0.5 vol pt per +1% move (spike-vol name: vol expands on a fast move, richer buyback). Estimates, not quotes; the live roll table owns the real decision when a CC is actually threatened. More detail, income coverage, downside budget, tripwires, held-to-expiry ladder, V-bounce stressIncome coverage
Downside budget ⚠ $385 is $87 below CC-SS $472.43: assignment on a recovery to whole locks the cap give-up below.
Tripwiresprice and time left decide together; the matrix is the playbook The one rule: roll when the short call's remaining TIME VALUE < $0.12/sh (~25% of the $0.50 collected) or spot ≥ $385.54 (breakeven), whichever comes first. Time value = call mark price minus intrinsic (max(0, spot − $385)); NOT the premium you collected. Momentum override: two daily closes above $395.63 (daily upper band) or daily RSI > 70 → treat "pressing" as "through".
If held to expiryexact, settlement = intrinsic · fortress delta 1.39 (IBKR)
V-BOUNCE STRESS (stock → CC-SS $472.43, where you are whole again, by expiry) Starting unrealized P&L: $-65,850 + Fortress recovery (un-capped): +$70,715 − CC assignment net of premium (5 × $385): -$43,463 Total Position P&L @ SS: $-38,597 (+$27,253 vs today) Do-nothing baseline at SS: $-3,842 (this trade vs do-nothing: $-34,755, the opportunity cost of earning $1,875/mo FIGHT income now) BB-reversion stress (→ $414.14 20W MA (bounce target), the probable scenario per weekly technicals): CC give-up -$14,320, position total $-49,992 (+$15,858 vs today) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ | 33% normal | 4 × $382 | 17 Jul | 4d | 3.0% | 88% | 24% | $324 | $2,430 | -$1,245 | $35,846 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Sell 4 × $382 3.0% OTM over spot $370.75 17 Jul 2026 (4d, $0.92 mid) = $324 credit for the 4d cycle → $2,430/mo projected Survival (stays ≤ $382) 88% Breach risk 12% POP (stays ≤ $382.92) 90% EV / mo +$1,450 📈 CAMPAIGN OUTLOOK (400 paths, sell-roll-repeat this rung for 9 mo) whole in 4.9 mo [3.2-6.6] median, 0.2 mo faster than no FIGHT (5.1 mo) · 27% of paths whole by 9 mo (vs 21% without) · ~9.8 challenges expected · median CC cash $8,684 🛡 IF CHALLENGED (spot reaches the strike) · challenge = the strike is touched at any point, so it runs ~2x the breach risk (finishing through it) Challenge odds (touch by expiry) 22% Flat exit net (mid-life) -$1,125 Free roll-up +$3/wk Safest escape (by 31 Jul 2026) $396 @ 80% POP 76% survival Roll menuyour doors if the call gets challenged; each row = buy back the 4 calls + sell the new ones, one order. Prices assume the central case (day 2 of 4); earlier = worse credits, later = better, through the strike = add intrinsic Buyback gross: $5.12/sh now → $3.62 mid-life (likely $3.71–$6.35) → ≈ $0 at expiry | you banked $0.81/sh, so a flat mid-life exit nets -$2.81/sh | roll rows are incremental, the banked premium stays yours 📊 Across 646 simulated challenges: the $382 strike is typically first touched on day 3 of 4, at $385 (overshoots $3.34). The [P25–P75] under each Total is that door's credit across those paths; % credit is the share of those challenges where the roll is a net credit.
If rolled & exited = your total from-entry P&L if you roll to that strike and then close the whole fortress with the stock pinned there (all legs repriced; SAFE = P&L ≥ 0). Cap gain is what that roll earns THIS cycle (premium + appreciation from today to the new strike); the total adds your existing MTM on top. Same from-entry basis as this tool's @cap / total-exit numbers, at the rolled strike. POP = P(stays ≤ strike + premium collected, the call is profitable); surv = P(stays ≤ strike, the call expires fully worthless). Survival is the stricter bar (no premium cushion), so it sits below POP. Method: each leg = its live quote (buyback off the ask, sells off the bid) × a Black-Scholes ratio to the challenge, using the leg's own IV shifted +0.5 vol pt per +1% move (spike-vol name: vol expands on a fast move, richer buyback). Estimates, not quotes; the live roll table owns the real decision when a CC is actually threatened. More detail, income coverage, downside budget, tripwires, held-to-expiry ladder, V-bounce stressIncome coverage
Downside budget ⚠ $382 is $90 below CC-SS $472.43: assignment on a recovery to whole locks the cap give-up below.
Tripwiresprice and time left decide together; the matrix is the playbook The one rule: roll when the short call's remaining TIME VALUE < $0.20/sh (~25% of the $0.81 collected) or spot ≥ $382.92 (breakeven), whichever comes first. Time value = call mark price minus intrinsic (max(0, spot − $382)); NOT the premium you collected. Momentum override: two daily closes above $395.63 (daily upper band) or daily RSI > 70 → treat "pressing" as "through".
If held to expiryexact, settlement = intrinsic · fortress delta 1.39 (IBKR)
V-BOUNCE STRESS (stock → CC-SS $472.43, where you are whole again, by expiry) Starting unrealized P&L: $-65,850 + Fortress recovery (un-capped): +$70,715 − CC assignment net of premium (4 × $382): -$35,846 − Conservative CC assignment net of premium (1 × $455): -$1,742 Total Position P&L @ SS: $-32,722 (+$33,128 vs today) Do-nothing baseline at SS: $-3,842 (this trade vs do-nothing: $-28,880, the opportunity cost of earning $2,430/mo FIGHT income now) BB-reversion stress (→ $414.14 20W MA (bounce target), the probable scenario per weekly technicals): CC give-up -$12,532, position total $-48,203 (+$17,647 vs today) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ | 🎯 50% normal | 5 × $381 | 17 Jul | 4d | 2.8% | 83% | 24% | $490 | $3,675 | — | $45,223 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Sell 5 × $381 2.8% OTM over spot $370.75 17 Jul 2026 (4d, $1.06 mid) = $490 credit for the 4d cycle → $3,675/mo projected Survival (stays ≤ $381) 83% Breach risk 17% POP (stays ≤ $382.06) 86% EV / mo +$1,419 📈 CAMPAIGN OUTLOOK (400 paths, sell-roll-repeat this rung for 9 mo) whole in 4.3 mo [3.0-6.4] median, 0.1 mo SLOWER than no FIGHT (4.2 mo): roll costs eat the credits at this rung · 32% of paths whole by 9 mo (vs 24% without) · ~13.7 challenges expected · median CC cash $13,256 🛡 IF CHALLENGED (spot reaches the strike) · challenge = the strike is touched at any point, so it runs ~2x the breach risk (finishing through it) Challenge odds (touch by expiry) 24% Flat exit net (mid-life) -$1,309 Free roll-up +$3/wk Safest escape (by 31 Jul 2026) $396 @ 81% POP 78% survival Roll menuyour doors if the call gets challenged; each row = buy back the 5 calls + sell the new ones, one order. Prices assume the central case (day 2 of 4); earlier = worse credits, later = better, through the strike = add intrinsic Buyback gross: $5.09/sh now → $3.60 mid-life (likely $3.69–$6.08) → ≈ $0 at expiry | you banked $0.98/sh, so a flat mid-life exit nets -$2.62/sh | roll rows are incremental, the banked premium stays yours 📊 Across 732 simulated challenges: the $381 strike is typically first touched on day 3 of 4, at $384 (overshoots $3.09). The [P25–P75] under each Total is that door's credit across those paths; % credit is the share of those challenges where the roll is a net credit.
If rolled & exited = your total from-entry P&L if you roll to that strike and then close the whole fortress with the stock pinned there (all legs repriced; SAFE = P&L ≥ 0). Cap gain is what that roll earns THIS cycle (premium + appreciation from today to the new strike); the total adds your existing MTM on top. Same from-entry basis as this tool's @cap / total-exit numbers, at the rolled strike. POP = P(stays ≤ strike + premium collected, the call is profitable); surv = P(stays ≤ strike, the call expires fully worthless). Survival is the stricter bar (no premium cushion), so it sits below POP. Method: each leg = its live quote (buyback off the ask, sells off the bid) × a Black-Scholes ratio to the challenge, using the leg's own IV shifted +0.5 vol pt per +1% move (spike-vol name: vol expands on a fast move, richer buyback). Estimates, not quotes; the live roll table owns the real decision when a CC is actually threatened. More detail, income coverage, downside budget, tripwires, held-to-expiry ladder, V-bounce stressIncome coverage
Downside budget ⚠ $381 is $91 below CC-SS $472.43: assignment on a recovery to whole locks the cap give-up below.
Tripwiresprice and time left decide together; the matrix is the playbook The one rule: roll when the short call's remaining TIME VALUE < $0.24/sh (~25% of the $0.98 collected) or spot ≥ $382.06 (breakeven), whichever comes first. Time value = call mark price minus intrinsic (max(0, spot − $381)); NOT the premium you collected. Momentum override: two daily closes above $395.63 (daily upper band) or daily RSI > 70 → treat "pressing" as "through".
If held to expiryexact, settlement = intrinsic · fortress delta 1.39 (IBKR)
V-BOUNCE STRESS (stock → CC-SS $472.43, where you are whole again, by expiry) Starting unrealized P&L: $-65,850 + Fortress recovery (un-capped): +$70,715 − CC assignment net of premium (5 × $381): -$45,223 Total Position P&L @ SS: $-40,357 (+$25,493 vs today) Do-nothing baseline at SS: $-3,842 (this trade vs do-nothing: $-36,515, the opportunity cost of earning $3,675/mo FIGHT income now) BB-reversion stress (→ $414.14 20W MA (bounce target), the probable scenario per weekly technicals): CC give-up -$16,080, position total $-51,752 (+$14,098 vs today) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ | 100% normal | 5 × $377 | 17 Jul | 4d | 1.7% | 72% | 56% | $965 | $7,238 | +$3,562 | $46,748 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Sell 5 × $377 1.7% OTM over spot $370.75 17 Jul 2026 (4d, $2.03 mid) = $965 credit for the 4d cycle → $7,238/mo projected Survival (stays ≤ $377) 72% Breach risk 28% POP (stays ≤ $379.03) 78% EV / mo +$2,027 📈 CAMPAIGN OUTLOOK (400 paths, sell-roll-repeat this rung for 9 mo) whole in 4.0 mo [2.7-6.0] median · 43% of paths whole by 9 mo (vs 30% without) · ~22.9 challenges expected · median CC cash $22,153 🛡 IF CHALLENGED (spot reaches the strike) · challenge = the strike is touched at any point, so it runs ~2x the breach risk (finishing through it) Challenge odds (touch by expiry) 41% Flat exit net (mid-life) -$784 Free roll-up +$3/wk Safest escape (by 31 Jul 2026) $397 @ 87% POP 85% survival Roll menuyour doors if the call gets challenged; each row = buy back the 5 calls + sell the new ones, one order. Prices assume the central case (day 2 of 4); earlier = worse credits, later = better, through the strike = add intrinsic Buyback gross: $4.95/sh now → $3.50 mid-life (likely $4.11–$6.72) → ≈ $0 at expiry | you banked $1.93/sh, so a flat mid-life exit nets -$1.57/sh | roll rows are incremental, the banked premium stays yours 📊 Across 1,237 simulated challenges: the $377 strike is typically first touched on day 2 of 4, at $380 (overshoots $3.38). The [P25–P75] under each Total is that door's credit across those paths; % credit is the share of those challenges where the roll is a net credit.
If rolled & exited = your total from-entry P&L if you roll to that strike and then close the whole fortress with the stock pinned there (all legs repriced; SAFE = P&L ≥ 0). Cap gain is what that roll earns THIS cycle (premium + appreciation from today to the new strike); the total adds your existing MTM on top. Same from-entry basis as this tool's @cap / total-exit numbers, at the rolled strike. POP = P(stays ≤ strike + premium collected, the call is profitable); surv = P(stays ≤ strike, the call expires fully worthless). Survival is the stricter bar (no premium cushion), so it sits below POP. Method: each leg = its live quote (buyback off the ask, sells off the bid) × a Black-Scholes ratio to the challenge, using the leg's own IV shifted +0.5 vol pt per +1% move (spike-vol name: vol expands on a fast move, richer buyback). Estimates, not quotes; the live roll table owns the real decision when a CC is actually threatened. More detail, income coverage, downside budget, tripwires, held-to-expiry ladder, V-bounce stressIncome coverage
Downside budget ⚠ $377 is $95 below CC-SS $472.43: assignment on a recovery to whole locks the cap give-up below.
Tripwiresprice and time left decide together; the matrix is the playbook The one rule: roll when the short call's remaining TIME VALUE < $0.48/sh (~25% of the $1.93 collected) or spot ≥ $379.03 (breakeven), whichever comes first. Time value = call mark price minus intrinsic (max(0, spot − $377)); NOT the premium you collected. Momentum override: two daily closes above $395.63 (daily upper band) or daily RSI > 70 → treat "pressing" as "through".
If held to expiryexact, settlement = intrinsic · fortress delta 1.39 (IBKR)
V-BOUNCE STRESS (stock → CC-SS $472.43, where you are whole again, by expiry) Starting unrealized P&L: $-65,850 + Fortress recovery (un-capped): +$70,715 − CC assignment net of premium (5 × $377): -$46,748 Total Position P&L @ SS: $-41,882 (+$23,968 vs today) Do-nothing baseline at SS: $-3,842 (this trade vs do-nothing: $-38,040, the opportunity cost of earning $7,238/mo FIGHT income now) BB-reversion stress (→ $414.14 20W MA (bounce target), the probable scenario per weekly technicals): CC give-up -$17,605, position total $-53,277 (+$12,573 vs today) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Rung | Sell | Expiry | DTE | OTM | Survival | Touch odds | Per cycle | Income/mo | Δ vs pick | Cap give-up | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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| ▸ | cover hedge | 5 × $395 | 24 Jul | 11d | 6.5% | 93% | 14% | $255 | $695 | -$2,945 | $38,458 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Sell 5 × $395 6.5% OTM over spot $370.75 24 Jul 2026 (11d, $0.57 mid) = $255 credit for the 11d cycle → $695/mo projected Survival (stays ≤ $395) 93% Breach risk 7% POP (stays ≤ $395.57) 93% EV / mo +$352 📈 CAMPAIGN OUTLOOK (400 paths, sell-roll-repeat this rung for 9 mo) whole in 4.7 mo [3.2-6.7] median, 0.4 mo faster than no FIGHT (5.1 mo) · 24% of paths whole by 9 mo (vs 22% without) · ~2.4 challenges expected · median CC cash $-1,289 🛡 IF CHALLENGED (spot reaches the strike) · challenge = the strike is touched at any point, so it runs ~2x the breach risk (finishing through it) Challenge odds (touch by expiry) 10% Flat exit net (mid-life) -$2,595 Free roll-up +$1/wk Safest escape (by 31 Jul 2026) $401 @ 72% POP 63% survival Roll menuyour doors if the call gets challenged; each row = buy back the 5 calls + sell the new ones, one order. Prices assume the central case (day 5 of 11); earlier = worse credits, later = better, through the strike = add intrinsic Buyback gross: $8.06/sh now → $5.70 mid-life (likely $4.19–$7.60) → ≈ $0 at expiry | you banked $0.51/sh, so a flat mid-life exit nets -$5.19/sh | roll rows are incremental, the banked premium stays yours 📊 Across 308 simulated challenges: the $395 strike is typically first touched on day 8 of 11, at $398 (overshoots $2.89). The [P25–P75] under each Total is that door's credit across those paths; % credit is the share of those challenges where the roll is a net credit.
If rolled & exited = your total from-entry P&L if you roll to that strike and then close the whole fortress with the stock pinned there (all legs repriced; SAFE = P&L ≥ 0). Cap gain is what that roll earns THIS cycle (premium + appreciation from today to the new strike); the total adds your existing MTM on top. Same from-entry basis as this tool's @cap / total-exit numbers, at the rolled strike. POP = P(stays ≤ strike + premium collected, the call is profitable); surv = P(stays ≤ strike, the call expires fully worthless). Survival is the stricter bar (no premium cushion), so it sits below POP. Method: each leg = its live quote (buyback off the ask, sells off the bid) × a Black-Scholes ratio to the challenge, using the leg's own IV shifted +0.5 vol pt per +1% move (spike-vol name: vol expands on a fast move, richer buyback). Estimates, not quotes; the live roll table owns the real decision when a CC is actually threatened. More detail, income coverage, downside budget, tripwires, held-to-expiry ladder, V-bounce stressIncome coverage
Downside budget ⚠ $395 is $77 below CC-SS $472.43: assignment on a recovery to whole locks the cap give-up below.
Tripwiresprice and time left decide together; the matrix is the playbook The one rule: roll when the short call's remaining TIME VALUE < $0.13/sh (~25% of the $0.51 collected) or spot ≥ $395.57 (breakeven), whichever comes first. Time value = call mark price minus intrinsic (max(0, spot − $395)); NOT the premium you collected. Momentum override: two daily closes above $395.63 (daily upper band) or daily RSI > 70 → treat "pressing" as "through".
If held to expiryexact, settlement = intrinsic · fortress delta 1.39 (IBKR)
V-BOUNCE STRESS (stock → CC-SS $472.43, where you are whole again, by expiry) Starting unrealized P&L: $-65,850 + Fortress recovery (un-capped): +$70,715 − CC assignment net of premium (5 × $395): -$38,458 Total Position P&L @ SS: $-33,592 (+$32,258 vs today) Do-nothing baseline at SS: $-3,842 (this trade vs do-nothing: $-29,750, the opportunity cost of earning $695/mo FIGHT income now) BB-reversion stress (→ $414.14 20W MA (bounce target), the probable scenario per weekly technicals): CC give-up -$9,315, position total $-44,987 (+$20,863 vs today) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ | 🛡 safe yield | 5 × $392 | 24 Jul | 11d | 5.7% | 91% | 19% | $345 | $941 | -$2,700 | $39,868 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Sell 5 × $392 5.7% OTM over spot $370.75 24 Jul 2026 (11d, $0.77 mid) = $345 credit for the 11d cycle → $941/mo projected Survival (stays ≤ $392) 91% Breach risk 9% POP (stays ≤ $392.77) 91% EV / mo +$429 📈 CAMPAIGN OUTLOOK (400 paths, sell-roll-repeat this rung for 9 mo) whole in 4.4 mo [3.2-6.1] median, 0.2 mo faster than no FIGHT (4.5 mo) · 26% of paths whole by 9 mo (vs 25% without) · ~3.1 challenges expected · median CC cash $13 🛡 IF CHALLENGED (spot reaches the strike) · challenge = the strike is touched at any point, so it runs ~2x the breach risk (finishing through it) Challenge odds (touch by expiry) 14% Flat exit net (mid-life) -$2,442 Free roll-up +$1/wk Safest escape (by 31 Jul 2026) $398 @ 73% POP 63% survival Roll menuyour doors if the call gets challenged; each row = buy back the 5 calls + sell the new ones, one order. Prices assume the central case (day 5 of 11); earlier = worse credits, later = better, through the strike = add intrinsic Buyback gross: $7.88/sh now → $5.57 mid-life (likely $4.49–$7.58) → ≈ $0 at expiry | you banked $0.69/sh, so a flat mid-life exit nets -$4.88/sh | roll rows are incremental, the banked premium stays yours 📊 Across 407 simulated challenges: the $392 strike is typically first touched on day 7 of 11, at $395 (overshoots $2.93). The [P25–P75] under each Total is that door's credit across those paths; % credit is the share of those challenges where the roll is a net credit.
If rolled & exited = your total from-entry P&L if you roll to that strike and then close the whole fortress with the stock pinned there (all legs repriced; SAFE = P&L ≥ 0). Cap gain is what that roll earns THIS cycle (premium + appreciation from today to the new strike); the total adds your existing MTM on top. Same from-entry basis as this tool's @cap / total-exit numbers, at the rolled strike. POP = P(stays ≤ strike + premium collected, the call is profitable); surv = P(stays ≤ strike, the call expires fully worthless). Survival is the stricter bar (no premium cushion), so it sits below POP. Method: each leg = its live quote (buyback off the ask, sells off the bid) × a Black-Scholes ratio to the challenge, using the leg's own IV shifted +0.5 vol pt per +1% move (spike-vol name: vol expands on a fast move, richer buyback). Estimates, not quotes; the live roll table owns the real decision when a CC is actually threatened. More detail, income coverage, downside budget, tripwires, held-to-expiry ladder, V-bounce stressIncome coverage
Downside budget ⚠ $392 is $80 below CC-SS $472.43: assignment on a recovery to whole locks the cap give-up below.
Tripwiresprice and time left decide together; the matrix is the playbook The one rule: roll when the short call's remaining TIME VALUE < $0.17/sh (~25% of the $0.69 collected) or spot ≥ $392.77 (breakeven), whichever comes first. Time value = call mark price minus intrinsic (max(0, spot − $392)); NOT the premium you collected. Momentum override: two daily closes above $395.63 (daily upper band) or daily RSI > 70 → treat "pressing" as "through".
If held to expiryexact, settlement = intrinsic · fortress delta 1.39 (IBKR)
V-BOUNCE STRESS (stock → CC-SS $472.43, where you are whole again, by expiry) Starting unrealized P&L: $-65,850 + Fortress recovery (un-capped): +$70,715 − CC assignment net of premium (5 × $392): -$39,868 Total Position P&L @ SS: $-35,002 (+$30,848 vs today) Do-nothing baseline at SS: $-3,842 (this trade vs do-nothing: $-31,160, the opportunity cost of earning $941/mo FIGHT income now) BB-reversion stress (→ $414.14 20W MA (bounce target), the probable scenario per weekly technicals): CC give-up -$10,725, position total $-46,397 (+$19,453 vs today) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ | 33% normal ← lean | 5 × $384 | 24 Jul | 11d | 3.6% | 80% | 40% | $855 | $2,332 | -$1,309 | $43,358 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Sell 5 × $384 3.6% OTM over spot $370.75 24 Jul 2026 (11d, $1.83 mid) = $855 credit for the 11d cycle → $2,332/mo projected Survival (stays ≤ $384) 80% Breach risk 20% POP (stays ≤ $385.83) 83% EV / mo +$673 📈 CAMPAIGN OUTLOOK (400 paths, sell-roll-repeat this rung for 9 mo) whole in 5.0 mo [3.0-6.9] median, 0.1 mo SLOWER than no FIGHT (4.9 mo): roll costs eat the credits at this rung · 24% of paths whole by 9 mo (vs 20% without) · ~7.5 challenges expected · median CC cash $5,460 🛡 IF CHALLENGED (spot reaches the strike) · challenge = the strike is touched at any point, so it runs ~2x the breach risk (finishing through it) Challenge odds (touch by expiry) 32% Flat exit net (mid-life) -$1,768 Free roll-up +$1/wk Safest escape (by 31 Jul 2026) $393 @ 76% POP 70% survival Roll menuyour doors if the call gets challenged; each row = buy back the 5 calls + sell the new ones, one order. Prices assume the central case (day 5 of 11); earlier = worse credits, later = better, through the strike = add intrinsic Buyback gross: $7.42/sh now → $5.25 mid-life (likely $5.23–$7.79) → ≈ $0 at expiry | you banked $1.71/sh, so a flat mid-life exit nets -$3.54/sh | roll rows are incremental, the banked premium stays yours 📊 Across 949 simulated challenges: the $384 strike is typically first touched on day 6 of 11, at $387 (overshoots $2.89). The [P25–P75] under each Total is that door's credit across those paths; % credit is the share of those challenges where the roll is a net credit.
If rolled & exited = your total from-entry P&L if you roll to that strike and then close the whole fortress with the stock pinned there (all legs repriced; SAFE = P&L ≥ 0). Cap gain is what that roll earns THIS cycle (premium + appreciation from today to the new strike); the total adds your existing MTM on top. Same from-entry basis as this tool's @cap / total-exit numbers, at the rolled strike. POP = P(stays ≤ strike + premium collected, the call is profitable); surv = P(stays ≤ strike, the call expires fully worthless). Survival is the stricter bar (no premium cushion), so it sits below POP. Method: each leg = its live quote (buyback off the ask, sells off the bid) × a Black-Scholes ratio to the challenge, using the leg's own IV shifted +0.5 vol pt per +1% move (spike-vol name: vol expands on a fast move, richer buyback). Estimates, not quotes; the live roll table owns the real decision when a CC is actually threatened. More detail, income coverage, downside budget, tripwires, held-to-expiry ladder, V-bounce stressIncome coverage
Downside budget ⚠ $384 is $88 below CC-SS $472.43: assignment on a recovery to whole locks the cap give-up below.
Tripwiresprice and time left decide together; the matrix is the playbook The one rule: roll when the short call's remaining TIME VALUE < $0.43/sh (~25% of the $1.71 collected) or spot ≥ $385.83 (breakeven), whichever comes first. Time value = call mark price minus intrinsic (max(0, spot − $384)); NOT the premium you collected. Momentum override: two daily closes above $395.63 (daily upper band) or daily RSI > 70 → treat "pressing" as "through".
If held to expiryexact, settlement = intrinsic · fortress delta 1.39 (IBKR)
V-BOUNCE STRESS (stock → CC-SS $472.43, where you are whole again, by expiry) Starting unrealized P&L: $-65,850 + Fortress recovery (un-capped): +$70,715 − CC assignment net of premium (5 × $384): -$43,358 Total Position P&L @ SS: $-38,492 (+$27,358 vs today) Do-nothing baseline at SS: $-3,842 (this trade vs do-nothing: $-34,650, the opportunity cost of earning $2,332/mo FIGHT income now) BB-reversion stress (→ $414.14 20W MA (bounce target), the probable scenario per weekly technicals): CC give-up -$14,215, position total $-49,887 (+$15,963 vs today) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ | 🎯 50% normal | 5 × $380 | 24 Jul | 11d | 2.5% | 73% | 44% | $1,335 | $3,641 | — | $44,878 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Sell 5 × $380 2.5% OTM over spot $370.75 24 Jul 2026 (11d, $2.77 mid) = $1,335 credit for the 11d cycle → $3,641/mo projected Survival (stays ≤ $380) 73% Breach risk 27% POP (stays ≤ $382.77) 78% EV / mo +$885 📈 CAMPAIGN OUTLOOK (400 paths, sell-roll-repeat this rung for 9 mo) whole in 4.5 mo [3.0-6.2] median, 0.2 mo faster than no FIGHT (4.7 mo) · 28% of paths whole by 9 mo (vs 23% without) · ~10.9 challenges expected · median CC cash $8,955 🛡 IF CHALLENGED (spot reaches the strike) · challenge = the strike is touched at any point, so it runs ~2x the breach risk (finishing through it) Challenge odds (touch by expiry) 44% Flat exit net (mid-life) -$1,208 Free roll-up +$1/wk Safest escape (by 31 Jul 2026) $392 @ 80% POP 76% survival Roll menuyour doors if the call gets challenged; each row = buy back the 5 calls + sell the new ones, one order. Prices assume the central case (day 5 of 11); earlier = worse credits, later = better, through the strike = add intrinsic Buyback gross: $7.19/sh now → $5.09 mid-life (likely $5.71–$8.09) → ≈ $0 at expiry | you banked $2.67/sh, so a flat mid-life exit nets -$2.42/sh | roll rows are incremental, the banked premium stays yours 📊 Across 1,335 simulated challenges: the $380 strike is typically first touched on day 5 of 11, at $383 (overshoots $2.88). The [P25–P75] under each Total is that door's credit across those paths; % credit is the share of those challenges where the roll is a net credit.
If rolled & exited = your total from-entry P&L if you roll to that strike and then close the whole fortress with the stock pinned there (all legs repriced; SAFE = P&L ≥ 0). Cap gain is what that roll earns THIS cycle (premium + appreciation from today to the new strike); the total adds your existing MTM on top. Same from-entry basis as this tool's @cap / total-exit numbers, at the rolled strike. POP = P(stays ≤ strike + premium collected, the call is profitable); surv = P(stays ≤ strike, the call expires fully worthless). Survival is the stricter bar (no premium cushion), so it sits below POP. Method: each leg = its live quote (buyback off the ask, sells off the bid) × a Black-Scholes ratio to the challenge, using the leg's own IV shifted +0.5 vol pt per +1% move (spike-vol name: vol expands on a fast move, richer buyback). Estimates, not quotes; the live roll table owns the real decision when a CC is actually threatened. More detail, income coverage, downside budget, tripwires, held-to-expiry ladder, V-bounce stressIncome coverage
Downside budget ⚠ $380 is $92 below CC-SS $472.43: assignment on a recovery to whole locks the cap give-up below.
Tripwiresprice and time left decide together; the matrix is the playbook The one rule: roll when the short call's remaining TIME VALUE < $0.67/sh (~25% of the $2.67 collected) or spot ≥ $382.77 (breakeven), whichever comes first. Time value = call mark price minus intrinsic (max(0, spot − $380)); NOT the premium you collected. Momentum override: two daily closes above $395.63 (daily upper band) or daily RSI > 70 → treat "pressing" as "through".
If held to expiryexact, settlement = intrinsic · fortress delta 1.39 (IBKR)
V-BOUNCE STRESS (stock → CC-SS $472.43, where you are whole again, by expiry) Starting unrealized P&L: $-65,850 + Fortress recovery (un-capped): +$70,715 − CC assignment net of premium (5 × $380): -$44,878 Total Position P&L @ SS: $-40,012 (+$25,838 vs today) Do-nothing baseline at SS: $-3,842 (this trade vs do-nothing: $-36,170, the opportunity cost of earning $3,641/mo FIGHT income now) BB-reversion stress (→ $414.14 20W MA (bounce target), the probable scenario per weekly technicals): CC give-up -$15,735, position total $-51,407 (+$14,443 vs today) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ | 100% normal | 5 × $373 | 24 Jul | 11d | 0.6% | 56% | 88% | $2,600 | $7,091 | +$3,450 | $47,113 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Sell 5 × $373 0.6% OTM over spot $370.75 24 Jul 2026 (11d, $5.35 mid) = $2,600 credit for the 11d cycle → $7,091/mo projected Survival (stays ≤ $373) 56% Breach risk 44% POP (stays ≤ $378.35) 69% EV / mo +$1,174 📈 CAMPAIGN OUTLOOK (400 paths, sell-roll-repeat this rung for 9 mo) whole in 4.8 mo [3.3-6.5] median, 0.2 mo faster than no FIGHT (5.0 mo) · 30% of paths whole by 9 mo (vs 22% without) · ~27.3 challenges expected · median CC cash $13,857 🛡 IF CHALLENGED (spot reaches the strike) · challenge = the strike is touched at any point, so it runs ~2x the breach risk (finishing through it) Challenge odds (touch by expiry) 74% Flat exit net (mid-life) +$195 Free roll-up +$1/wk Safest escape (by 31 Jul 2026) $394 @ 91% POP 90% survival Roll menuyour doors if the call gets challenged; each row = buy back the 5 calls + sell the new ones, one order. Prices assume the central case (day 5 of 11); earlier = worse credits, later = better, through the strike = add intrinsic Buyback gross: $6.80/sh now → $4.81 mid-life (likely $6.54–$8.80) → ≈ $0 at expiry | you banked $5.20/sh, so a flat mid-life exit nets +$0.39/sh | roll rows are incremental, the banked premium stays yours 📊 Across 2,229 simulated challenges: the $373 strike is typically first touched on day 3 of 11, at $376 (overshoots $3.06). The [P25–P75] under each Total is that door's credit across those paths; % credit is the share of those challenges where the roll is a net credit.
If rolled & exited = your total from-entry P&L if you roll to that strike and then close the whole fortress with the stock pinned there (all legs repriced; SAFE = P&L ≥ 0). Cap gain is what that roll earns THIS cycle (premium + appreciation from today to the new strike); the total adds your existing MTM on top. Same from-entry basis as this tool's @cap / total-exit numbers, at the rolled strike. POP = P(stays ≤ strike + premium collected, the call is profitable); surv = P(stays ≤ strike, the call expires fully worthless). Survival is the stricter bar (no premium cushion), so it sits below POP. Method: each leg = its live quote (buyback off the ask, sells off the bid) × a Black-Scholes ratio to the challenge, using the leg's own IV shifted +0.5 vol pt per +1% move (spike-vol name: vol expands on a fast move, richer buyback). Estimates, not quotes; the live roll table owns the real decision when a CC is actually threatened. More detail, income coverage, downside budget, tripwires, held-to-expiry ladder, V-bounce stressIncome coverage
Downside budget ⚠ $373 is $99 below CC-SS $472.43: assignment on a recovery to whole locks the cap give-up below.
Tripwiresprice and time left decide together; the matrix is the playbook The one rule: roll when the short call's remaining TIME VALUE < $1.30/sh (~25% of the $5.20 collected) or spot ≥ $378.35 (breakeven), whichever comes first. Time value = call mark price minus intrinsic (max(0, spot − $373)); NOT the premium you collected. Momentum override: two daily closes above $395.63 (daily upper band) or daily RSI > 70 → treat "pressing" as "through".
If held to expiryexact, settlement = intrinsic · fortress delta 1.39 (IBKR)
V-BOUNCE STRESS (stock → CC-SS $472.43, where you are whole again, by expiry) Starting unrealized P&L: $-65,850 + Fortress recovery (un-capped): +$70,715 − CC assignment net of premium (5 × $373): -$47,113 Total Position P&L @ SS: $-42,247 (+$23,603 vs today) Do-nothing baseline at SS: $-3,842 (this trade vs do-nothing: $-38,405, the opportunity cost of earning $7,091/mo FIGHT income now) BB-reversion stress (→ $414.14 20W MA (bounce target), the probable scenario per weekly technicals): CC give-up -$17,970, position total $-53,642 (+$12,208 vs today) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Every eligible strike x expiry in the 4-45 DTE band (6 expiries scanned, 100 clear the income floor), each sized to the minimum contracts that clear it. Sorted by survival (safest first): the primary 🎯 is the safest; rows below trade safety for income.
Fortress delta: 1.391 (IBKR) | Recovery@SS: +$70,715 (un-capped fortress gain if stock rallies to SS) | Do-nothing @ SS: $-3,842
| Strike | DTE | Expiry | Bid | Sell | Income/mo | Net/mo | Survival | POP (mid) | EV/mo | Cap Give-up @ CC-SS | %IC | Total P&L @ SS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| $381 | 4d | 17 Jul 2026 | $0.98 | 5/5 | $3,675 | $2,980 | 83% | 86% | +$1,419 | -$45,223 | 66.5% | $-40,357 (vs do-nothing $-36,515) |
| $380 | 4d | 17 Jul 2026 | $1.17 | 4/5 | $3,510 | $2,818 | 81% | 84% | +$1,257 | -$36,502 | 53.7% | $-33,378 (vs do-nothing $-29,536) |
| $379 | 4d | 17 Jul 2026 | $1.37 | 4/5 | $4,110 | $3,418 | 81% | 85% | +$2,075 | -$36,822 | 54.2% | $-33,698 (vs do-nothing $-29,856) |
| $380 | 9d | 22 Jul 2026 | $2.08 | 5/5 | $3,467 | $2,772 | 75% | 80% | +$1,045 | -$45,173 | 66.4% | $-40,307 (vs do-nothing $-36,465) |
| $378 | 4d | 17 Jul 2026 | $1.62 | 3/5 | $3,645 | $2,956 | 75% | 80% | +$1,075 | -$27,842 | 40.9% | $-26,459 (vs do-nothing $-22,617) |
| $379 | 7d | 20 Jul 2026 | $1.76 | 5/5 | $3,771 | $3,077 | 75% | 79% | +$767 | -$45,833 | 67.4% | $-40,967 (vs do-nothing $-37,125) |
| $380 | 11d | 24 Jul 2026 | $2.67 | 5/5 | $3,641 | $2,946 | 73% | 78% | +$885 | -$44,878 | 66.0% | $-40,012 (vs do-nothing $-36,170) |
| $379 | 9d | 22 Jul 2026 | $2.32 | 5/5 | $3,867 | $3,172 | 72% | 77% | +$780 | -$45,553 | 67.0% | $-40,687 (vs do-nothing $-36,845) |
| $377 | 4d | 17 Jul 2026 | $1.93 | 3/5 | $4,342 | $3,653 | 72% | 78% | +$1,216 | -$28,049 | 41.2% | $-26,666 (vs do-nothing $-22,824) |
| $378 | 7d | 20 Jul 2026 | $2.03 | 4/5 | $3,480 | $2,788 | 72% | 77% | +$677 | -$36,958 | 54.4% | $-33,834 (vs do-nothing $-29,992) |
| $379 | 11d | 24 Jul 2026 | $2.93 | 5/5 | $3,995 | $3,301 | 70% | 77% | +$893 | -$45,248 | 66.5% | $-40,382 (vs do-nothing $-36,540) |
| $378 | 9d | 22 Jul 2026 | $2.61 | 4/5 | $3,480 | $2,788 | 70% | 76% | +$665 | -$36,726 | 54.0% | $-33,602 (vs do-nothing $-29,760) |
| $377 | 7d | 20 Jul 2026 | $2.33 | 4/5 | $3,994 | $3,302 | 69% | 76% | +$742 | -$37,238 | 54.8% | $-34,114 (vs do-nothing $-30,272) |
Showing the 60 next-safest rows of 87.
| Strike | DTE | Expiry | Bid | Sell | Income/mo | Net/mo | Survival | POP (mid) | EV/mo | Cap Give-up @ CC-SS | %IC | Total P&L @ SS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| $376 | 4d | 17 Jul 2026 | $2.22 | 3/5 | $4,995 | $4,306 | 69% | 76% | +$1,226 | -$28,262 | 41.6% | $-26,879 (vs do-nothing $-23,037) |
| $380 | 18d | 31 Jul 2026 | $4.20 | 5/5 | $3,500 | $2,805 | 68% | 75% | +$758 | -$44,113 | 64.9% | $-39,247 (vs do-nothing $-35,405) |
| $378 | 11d | 24 Jul 2026 | $3.25 | 4/5 | $3,545 | $2,853 | 68% | 75% | +$759 | -$36,470 | 53.6% | $-33,346 (vs do-nothing $-29,504) |
| $378 | 14d | 27 Jul 2026 | $3.45 | 5/5 | $3,696 | $3,002 | 68% | 75% | +$809 | -$45,488 | 66.9% | $-40,622 (vs do-nothing $-36,780) |
| $375 | 4d | 17 Jul 2026 | $2.60 | 2/5 | $3,900 | $3,213 | 68% | 77% | +$1,552 | -$18,965 | 27.9% | $-19,324 (vs do-nothing $-15,482) |
| $377 | 9d | 22 Jul 2026 | $2.95 | 4/5 | $3,933 | $3,241 | 67% | 75% | +$737 | -$36,990 | 54.4% | $-33,866 (vs do-nothing $-30,024) |
| $379 | 18d | 31 Jul 2026 | $4.50 | 5/5 | $3,750 | $3,055 | 67% | 74% | +$759 | -$44,463 | 65.4% | $-39,597 (vs do-nothing $-35,755) |
| $376 | 7d | 20 Jul 2026 | $2.67 | 4/5 | $4,577 | $3,885 | 67% | 74% | +$823 | -$37,502 | 55.2% | $-34,378 (vs do-nothing $-30,536) |
| $377 | 11d | 24 Jul 2026 | $3.55 | 4/5 | $3,873 | $3,181 | 66% | 74% | +$756 | -$36,750 | 54.0% | $-33,626 (vs do-nothing $-29,784) |
| $377 | 14d | 27 Jul 2026 | $3.80 | 5/5 | $4,071 | $3,377 | 66% | 74% | +$835 | -$45,813 | 67.4% | $-40,947 (vs do-nothing $-37,105) |
| $376 | 9d | 22 Jul 2026 | $3.30 | 4/5 | $4,400 | $3,708 | 65% | 74% | +$1,006 | -$37,250 | 54.8% | $-34,126 (vs do-nothing $-30,284) |
| $378 | 18d | 31 Jul 2026 | $4.85 | 5/5 | $4,042 | $3,347 | 65% | 73% | +$784 | -$44,788 | 65.9% | $-39,922 (vs do-nothing $-36,080) |
| $374 | 4d | 17 Jul 2026 | $2.96 | 2/5 | $4,440 | $3,753 | 64% | 75% | +$1,613 | -$19,093 | 28.1% | $-19,452 (vs do-nothing $-15,610) |
| $375 | 7d | 20 Jul 2026 | $3.00 | 3/5 | $3,857 | $3,168 | 64% | 72% | +$623 | -$28,328 | 41.7% | $-26,945 (vs do-nothing $-23,103) |
| $376 | 11d | 24 Jul 2026 | $3.95 | 4/5 | $4,309 | $3,617 | 64% | 73% | +$833 | -$36,990 | 54.4% | $-33,866 (vs do-nothing $-30,024) |
| $376 | 14d | 27 Jul 2026 | $4.20 | 4/5 | $3,600 | $2,908 | 63% | 73% | +$704 | -$36,890 | 54.3% | $-33,766 (vs do-nothing $-29,924) |
| $377 | 18d | 31 Jul 2026 | $5.25 | 4/5 | $3,500 | $2,808 | 63% | 72% | +$667 | -$36,070 | 53.0% | $-32,946 (vs do-nothing $-29,104) |
| $375 | 9d | 22 Jul 2026 | $3.70 | 3/5 | $3,700 | $3,011 | 62% | 72% | +$646 | -$28,118 | 41.3% | $-26,735 (vs do-nothing $-22,893) |
| $375 | 11d | 24 Jul 2026 | $4.35 | 3/5 | $3,559 | $2,870 | 61% | 71% | +$660 | -$27,923 | 41.1% | $-26,540 (vs do-nothing $-22,698) |
| $376 | 18d | 31 Jul 2026 | $5.65 | 4/5 | $3,767 | $3,075 | 61% | 71% | +$692 | -$36,310 | 53.4% | $-33,186 (vs do-nothing $-29,344) |
| $374 | 7d | 20 Jul 2026 | $3.40 | 3/5 | $4,371 | $3,682 | 61% | 71% | +$676 | -$28,508 | 41.9% | $-27,125 (vs do-nothing $-23,283) |
| $375 | 14d | 27 Jul 2026 | $4.60 | 4/5 | $3,943 | $3,251 | 60% | 70% | +$338 | -$37,130 | 54.6% | $-34,006 (vs do-nothing $-30,164) |
| $374 | 9d | 22 Jul 2026 | $4.10 | 3/5 | $4,100 | $3,411 | 60% | 70% | +$672 | -$28,298 | 41.6% | $-26,915 (vs do-nothing $-23,073) |
| $375 | 18d | 31 Jul 2026 | $6.05 | 4/5 | $4,033 | $3,341 | 59% | 70% | +$704 | -$36,550 | 53.8% | $-33,426 (vs do-nothing $-29,584) |
| $374 | 11d | 24 Jul 2026 | $4.75 | 3/5 | $3,886 | $3,197 | 59% | 70% | +$732 | -$28,103 | 41.3% | $-26,720 (vs do-nothing $-22,878) |
| $373 | 4d | 17 Jul 2026 | $3.35 | 2/5 | $5,025 | $4,338 | 59% | 70% | +$860 | -$19,215 | 28.3% | $-19,574 (vs do-nothing $-15,732) |
| $374 | 14d | 27 Jul 2026 | $5.00 | 4/5 | $4,286 | $3,594 | 58% | 69% | +$342 | -$37,370 | 55.0% | $-34,246 (vs do-nothing $-30,404) |
| $373 | 7d | 20 Jul 2026 | $3.85 | 3/5 | $4,950 | $4,261 | 58% | 69% | +$749 | -$28,673 | 42.2% | $-27,290 (vs do-nothing $-23,448) |
| $374 | 18d | 31 Jul 2026 | $6.50 | 4/5 | $4,333 | $3,641 | 57% | 70% | +$734 | -$36,770 | 54.1% | $-33,646 (vs do-nothing $-29,804) |
| $373 | 9d | 22 Jul 2026 | $4.55 | 3/5 | $4,550 | $3,861 | 57% | 70% | +$845 | -$28,463 | 41.9% | $-27,080 (vs do-nothing $-23,238) |
| $373 | 11d | 24 Jul 2026 | $5.20 | 3/5 | $4,255 | $3,565 | 56% | 69% | +$704 | -$28,268 | 41.6% | $-26,885 (vs do-nothing $-23,043) |
| $373 | 14d | 27 Jul 2026 | $5.45 | 3/5 | $3,504 | $2,814 | 56% | 68% | +$276 | -$28,193 | 41.5% | $-26,810 (vs do-nothing $-22,968) |
| $373 | 18d | 31 Jul 2026 | $7.00 | 3/5 | $3,500 | $2,811 | 55% | 69% | +$586 | -$27,728 | 40.8% | $-26,345 (vs do-nothing $-22,503) |
| $372 | 4d | 17 Jul 2026 | $3.85 | 2/5 | $5,775 | $5,088 | 55% | 68% | +$932 | -$19,315 | 28.4% | $-19,674 (vs do-nothing $-15,832) |
| $372 | 7d | 20 Jul 2026 | $4.35 | 2/5 | $3,729 | $3,042 | 55% | 68% | +$559 | -$19,215 | 28.3% | $-19,574 (vs do-nothing $-15,732) |
| $372 | 9d | 22 Jul 2026 | $5.00 | 3/5 | $5,000 | $4,311 | 54% | 68% | +$838 | -$28,628 | 42.1% | $-27,245 (vs do-nothing $-23,403) |
| $372 | 11d | 24 Jul 2026 | $5.70 | 3/5 | $4,664 | $3,974 | 54% | 68% | +$752 | -$28,418 | 41.8% | $-27,035 (vs do-nothing $-23,193) |
| $372 | 14d | 27 Jul 2026 | $6.00 | 3/5 | $3,857 | $3,168 | 54% | 67% | +$342 | -$28,328 | 41.7% | $-26,945 (vs do-nothing $-23,103) |
| $372 | 18d | 31 Jul 2026 | $7.45 | 3/5 | $3,725 | $3,036 | 54% | 68% | +$586 | -$27,893 | 41.0% | $-26,510 (vs do-nothing $-22,668) |
| $371 | 18d | 31 Jul 2026 | $8.00 | 3/5 | $4,000 | $3,311 | 52% | 67% | +$624 | -$28,028 | 41.2% | $-26,645 (vs do-nothing $-22,803) |
| $371 | 14d | 27 Jul 2026 | $6.45 | 3/5 | $4,146 | $3,457 | 52% | 66% | +$328 | -$28,493 | 41.9% | $-27,110 (vs do-nothing $-23,268) |
| $371 | 4d | 17 Jul 2026 | $4.35 | 2/5 | $6,525 | $5,838 | 51% | 67% | +$940 | -$19,415 | 28.6% | $-19,774 (vs do-nothing $-15,932) |
| $371 | 11d | 24 Jul 2026 | $6.20 | 3/5 | $5,073 | $4,383 | 51% | 67% | +$776 | -$28,568 | 42.0% | $-27,185 (vs do-nothing $-23,343) |
| $371 | 7d | 20 Jul 2026 | $4.85 | 2/5 | $4,157 | $3,471 | 51% | 67% | +$588 | -$19,315 | 28.4% | $-19,674 (vs do-nothing $-15,832) |
| $371 | 9d | 22 Jul 2026 | $5.50 | 2/5 | $3,667 | $2,980 | 51% | 67% | +$564 | -$19,185 | 28.2% | $-19,544 (vs do-nothing $-15,702) |
| $370 | 18d | 31 Jul 2026 | $8.50 | 3/5 | $4,250 | $3,561 | 50% | 66% | +$626 | -$28,178 | 41.4% | $-26,795 (vs do-nothing $-22,953) |
| $370 | 14d | 27 Jul 2026 | $7.00 | 3/5 | $4,500 | $3,811 | 49% | 65% | +$361 | -$28,628 | 42.1% | $-27,245 (vs do-nothing $-23,403) |
| $370 | 11d | 24 Jul 2026 | $6.75 | 2/5 | $3,682 | $2,995 | 49% | 66% | +$539 | -$19,135 | 28.1% | $-19,494 (vs do-nothing $-15,652) |
| $370 | 9d | 22 Jul 2026 | $6.05 | 2/5 | $4,033 | $3,347 | 49% | 66% | +$579 | -$19,275 | 28.3% | $-19,634 (vs do-nothing $-15,792) |
| $370 | 7d | 20 Jul 2026 | $5.40 | 2/5 | $4,629 | $3,942 | 48% | 65% | +$628 | -$19,405 | 28.5% | $-19,764 (vs do-nothing $-15,922) |
| $370 | 4d | 17 Jul 2026 | $4.95 | 1/5 | $3,712 | $3,029 | 48% | 65% | +$517 | -$9,748 | 14.3% | $-11,848 (vs do-nothing $-8,006) |
| $369 | 18d | 31 Jul 2026 | $9.05 | 3/5 | $4,525 | $3,836 | 48% | 65% | +$652 | -$28,313 | 41.6% | $-26,930 (vs do-nothing $-23,088) |
| $369 | 14d | 27 Jul 2026 | $7.55 | 3/5 | $4,854 | $4,164 | 47% | 65% | +$378 | -$28,763 | 42.3% | $-27,380 (vs do-nothing $-23,538) |
| $369 | 11d | 24 Jul 2026 | $7.30 | 2/5 | $3,982 | $3,295 | 46% | 65% | +$537 | -$19,225 | 28.3% | $-19,584 (vs do-nothing $-15,742) |
| $369 | 9d | 22 Jul 2026 | $6.60 | 2/5 | $4,400 | $3,713 | 46% | 65% | +$570 | -$19,365 | 28.5% | $-19,724 (vs do-nothing $-15,882) |
| $368 | 18d | 31 Jul 2026 | $9.65 | 3/5 | $4,825 | $4,136 | 46% | 65% | +$670 | -$28,433 | 41.8% | $-27,050 (vs do-nothing $-23,208) |
| $369 | 7d | 20 Jul 2026 | $5.95 | 2/5 | $5,100 | $4,413 | 45% | 64% | +$636 | -$19,495 | 28.7% | $-19,854 (vs do-nothing $-16,012) |
| $368 | 14d | 27 Jul 2026 | $8.15 | 2/5 | $3,493 | $2,806 | 45% | 64% | +$273 | -$19,255 | 28.3% | $-19,614 (vs do-nothing $-15,772) |
| $369 | 4d | 17 Jul 2026 | $5.45 | 1/5 | $4,088 | $3,404 | 45% | 64% | +$459 | -$9,798 | 14.4% | $-11,898 (vs do-nothing $-8,056) |
| $368 | 11d | 24 Jul 2026 | $7.90 | 2/5 | $4,309 | $3,623 | 44% | 64% | +$578 | -$19,305 | 28.4% | $-19,664 (vs do-nothing $-15,822) |
Income/mo = FIGHT leg gross, DTE-prorated. Net/mo = FIGHT + conservative CC gross minus hedge cost. POP (mid) = probability stock closes at or below (strike + mid premium) at expiry, per-strike chain IV when available. Survival = CC expires fully worthless. EV/mo = premium minus expected buyback, monthly, with realized vol = IV x 85% (variance risk premium 15%). Cap give-up @ SS = recovery mortgaged on a V-bounce to SS, net of premium. Total P&L @ SS = absolute position P&L if the stock closes at SS; "vs do-nothing" = opportunity cost against holding all 5 contracts at the conservative CC.